North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map
August 27th, 2012
06:28 PM ET
2 years ago

North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map

(CNN) – CNN Monday turned the important battleground state of North Carolina from "lean Romney" to true "toss up" on its Electoral Map, following the release of a new CNN/Time Magazine/ORC International poll that indicated the race for the state's 15 electoral votes was a dead heat.

The move by CNN comes one week before the Democratic convention kicks off in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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The poll, released earlier on Monday, indicates it's all knotted up in the Tar Heel state, with 48% of likely voters supporting Republican challenger Mitt Romney and 47% backing President Barack Obama.

Other polls from other organizations conducted earlier this summer also indicated a close contest in North Carolina.

"It's hard to imagine the perfect storm that helped then Sen. Obama narrowly carry the state in 2008. But at the moment the polling shows a tossup, and both campaigns say their numbers are in the same ballpark as our survey," says CNN Chief National Correspondent John King. "That, plus all the attention Democrats are about to give the state, gives us ample reason to move North Carolina to tossup."

"It's a must win for Romney, and even top Obama aides privately say it is a lot harder to see it going blue this time. But Romney can't take it for granted and the poll backs up what we see in the recent ad wars in North Carolina: It's a tight battleground," adds King.

Obama was the first Democrat to carry the state in a presidential election since 1976.

North Carolina now becomes the ninth state CNN considers a true toss up, joining Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. CNN considers Michigan, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania as states that lean towards Obama, with Arizona, Indiana, and Missouri as states that lean towards Romney.

With North Carolina's move to true "toss up," the CNN Electoral Map now suggests Obama leading in states with a combined 237 electoral votes, Romney ahead in states with a combined 191 electoral votes, and states with 110 electoral votes are up for grabs. Two-hundred and seventy electoral votes are needed with win the White House.

– CNN's Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.

soundoff (445 Responses)
  1. NanH

    This is not reporting, it is guessing. The media needs to report, no opinions, no predicting, no wishing, just report. That would be so refreshing, but at this point it's only dreaming.

    August 27, 2012 09:14 pm at 9:14 pm |
  2. spanglish

    Obama Biden they suck and everybody knows that. A bunch of lies, they remind me of Hugo Chavez Frias the big lier of Venezuela. Obama is a populist, manipulator, bully, embezzler,amoral,etc.,

    August 27, 2012 09:15 pm at 9:15 pm |
  3. DDM

    Republicans shouted they would RUIN our country for 4 years to get Obama out, so if you don't like our economy maybe you should remember the party of NO and obstruction. No jobs, no investments?- Big business/wealthy are sitting on trillions in cash to kill the economy (and blame Obama) until after the election. Vote for Obama and let's see if Repukes want to brag on holding out for another 4 years.

    August 27, 2012 09:15 pm at 9:15 pm |
  4. hoapres

    Obama has already won the 2012 nonelection.

    August 27, 2012 09:15 pm at 9:15 pm |
  5. Zwei Stein

    Yo!! Come on now! I am sick and tired of supporting all these freeloaders on Social Security and Medicare! We are not a socialist country. Need medical attention ?? PAY for it! CAN'T? Tough! Need money?? Use your savings move in with your kids. You should have planned for this...get out of my pocket! Let's give the 1% some incentive to hire!!! Vote for Ryan and Romney!

    August 27, 2012 09:16 pm at 9:16 pm |
  6. Steve

    The Democrats are desperaste in spewing propganda, lies and more lies. They must sence it that Obama is going to loose big time. I don't see the Republicans bad mouthing Obama like the Democrats bad mouth Romney. Sorry Liberalos you have been brainwashed and you're going to loose.

    August 27, 2012 09:18 pm at 9:18 pm |
  7. Santex

    It will be necessary for the anticipated "results" to be tweaked a little bit every now and then in order for the media to extract maximum pritability from this election cycle. Got to keep the interest level up.

    August 27, 2012 09:20 pm at 9:20 pm |
  8. babooph

    So 2 glib greedy,carpetbagging yankees are less pleasing to N.C. than a part black guy who is protecting the benefits they worked for-I am not southern,but I do understand their....

    August 27, 2012 09:20 pm at 9:20 pm |
  9. Mary

    I am a women and I really don't get the reason you say women are against the GOP? Roe V Wade is the law, like it or not, so what is the issue? I personally don't approve of abortion being used as a form of birth control, but not much I can do to change that, but I can fight to keep my tax dollars from being used to pay for your abortions! Other than rape and incest, I have no problem with those issues being paid for with my taxes, and I don't think I should have to pay for your birth control pills, for goodness sake what in the world is anyone responsible for these days? Time for folks to get back to the business of taking care of themselves, the government and tax dollars paid by hard working folks are not your bank account.

    August 27, 2012 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  10. NanH

    Ok if you are going to moderate my comments the moderate already. Don't just say in moderation and then leave the comment hanging out in no where land. At least be honest and say your comment will never see the light of day, you are an idiot and your comments are not welcome here, you disagree with CNN and that can't happen, we put you on a blacklist for some known or unknown reason and that's that. I could go on but I think you get my point, OH wait you are not going to read this anyway.....gotta be moderated first.

    August 27, 2012 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |
  11. Educating The Ignorant

    The first Wednesday of November, after the Democratic victory and holding of the Senate, why don't you right-wingers try doing what you did in 1861? Personally, I wouldn't mind rejoining the now-Union Army if they tell me I get to shoot teabaggers.

    August 27, 2012 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |
  12. PJ

    Hopefully the people of North Carolina and Florida will examine the true history of Romney and study the Ryan Budget. Romney has two interests: power and to spread his faith. It is quite frightening.

    August 27, 2012 09:24 pm at 9:24 pm |
  13. canadianobserver

    Just shaking my head...

    August 27, 2012 09:24 pm at 9:24 pm |
  14. MontanaTrace

    Obama has not presented an energy plan unless you consider his declaring war on coal and natural gas, stopping the Keystone pipeline from Canada, opposing drilling, frakking............. what's left? Windmills and the half million birds killed? (Google wind mills killing birds) We could be energy independent instead of sending money to countries that want us dead.

    August 27, 2012 09:25 pm at 9:25 pm |
  15. David

    We took a gamble on someone that failed us, lets look to someone new that can truely change America for the better.

    August 27, 2012 09:25 pm at 9:25 pm |
  16. Dave H.

    Please cover 3rd parties. There's no hope with the Republocrats.

    August 27, 2012 09:25 pm at 9:25 pm |
  17. Dave

    Oh, and as to taxes, lets just assume for one second, that the IRS IS DOING ITS FREAKING JOB. Do you really think if Romney was doing something illegal on his taxes, it would just go unnoticed by governmental body assigned to notice those things. He is one of the wealthiest people in the country. The IRS knows who he is, and I assure you, he is filing tax returns, and they have passed the test. The fact that he isn't under investigation by the IRS is all the proof you should need. Instead, you make unfounded claims on a topic that isn't important to the future of this country. All the while, I'm still waiting to find out if Obama was a quality college student ... oops, no transcripts

    August 27, 2012 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |
  18. trickbunny

    I've always found the electoral map interesting and telling. Basically, the jist is this: People who live in the modern, highly populated, centers of business, technology, and education (aka LA, SF, Seattle, Portalnd, NYC, Boston, Philly, etc.) vote for Democrats. The people who live in the middle of nowhere (ND, SD, Wyoming, Nebraska) or in areas where a depressed economy, rampant poverty, and low graduation rates are the norm instead of the exeception, vote for Republicans. I think that pretty much tells you what you need to know.

    August 27, 2012 09:27 pm at 9:27 pm |
  19. nmmell08

    Randy: You know the state that went to Toss up was a Lean Romney state. That spells what for you. Bob: CO and NV have always been Toss Ups on this map. And MI for Demsmustgo is loving the GM bail out and how there unemployment is dropping like a rock. MI is in a much better place than 4 years ago. Its likely going blue

    August 27, 2012 09:27 pm at 9:27 pm |
  20. Brian from DC

    WHAT???? The people that the Republican Party have openly declared war on - women, African-Americans, Hispanics, gays - are actually going to vote for Democrats?? Who knew.

    August 27, 2012 09:29 pm at 9:29 pm |
  21. brian

    somebody call the duke boys for help...

    August 27, 2012 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
  22. JaneH

    How can any true American vote for Obama? We know what he can do for this country! We need more presidential choices.

    August 27, 2012 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
  23. Norm

    It is extremely difficult to understand why so many mid-class and poor people vote for the very people who intend to put them out on the street with nothing. I am 81 years old and have never seen candidates like Romney/Ryan who tell more lies than any candidate in my life time. The worst part of it is the uneducated people who believe these lies. Representatives are supposed to be elected to support the american people, not Grover Norquest who is the true man who leads the Tea Party and the GOP. If you sign a pledge to honor Grover Norquest (Or get fired if you don't) rather than to keep your pledge to the American people – in my book that is treason. Is that what you really want. Shame on you and I hope you wake up soon.

    August 27, 2012 09:32 pm at 9:32 pm |
  24. bugmetoo

    No fair! Just case Obama said there was 57 states democrats believe it now.
    You can't count 7 extra states for Obama!

    August 27, 2012 09:32 pm at 9:32 pm |
  25. mike j

    i live in a blue state of delaware and ill be darned if im voting for that clown who sits in dc. im tired of paying for obamacare while a bunch of lazy people sit around all day and wont work. its bad enough that taxes are through the roof to where the middle class working families can barely get my... sorry tweedle dee and tweedle dumd...im going red....romney/paul 2012....and the sign is in my front window to prove it.

    August 27, 2012 09:32 pm at 9:32 pm |
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