North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map
August 27th, 2012
06:28 PM ET
2 years ago

North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map

(CNN) – CNN Monday turned the important battleground state of North Carolina from "lean Romney" to true "toss up" on its Electoral Map, following the release of a new CNN/Time Magazine/ORC International poll that indicated the race for the state's 15 electoral votes was a dead heat.

The move by CNN comes one week before the Democratic convention kicks off in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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The poll, released earlier on Monday, indicates it's all knotted up in the Tar Heel state, with 48% of likely voters supporting Republican challenger Mitt Romney and 47% backing President Barack Obama.

Other polls from other organizations conducted earlier this summer also indicated a close contest in North Carolina.

"It's hard to imagine the perfect storm that helped then Sen. Obama narrowly carry the state in 2008. But at the moment the polling shows a tossup, and both campaigns say their numbers are in the same ballpark as our survey," says CNN Chief National Correspondent John King. "That, plus all the attention Democrats are about to give the state, gives us ample reason to move North Carolina to tossup."

"It's a must win for Romney, and even top Obama aides privately say it is a lot harder to see it going blue this time. But Romney can't take it for granted and the poll backs up what we see in the recent ad wars in North Carolina: It's a tight battleground," adds King.

Obama was the first Democrat to carry the state in a presidential election since 1976.

North Carolina now becomes the ninth state CNN considers a true toss up, joining Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. CNN considers Michigan, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania as states that lean towards Obama, with Arizona, Indiana, and Missouri as states that lean towards Romney.

With North Carolina's move to true "toss up," the CNN Electoral Map now suggests Obama leading in states with a combined 237 electoral votes, Romney ahead in states with a combined 191 electoral votes, and states with 110 electoral votes are up for grabs. Two-hundred and seventy electoral votes are needed with win the White House.

– CNN's Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.

soundoff (445 Responses)
  1. rude

    Obama only has to win Florida while Rmoney needs to win most states. The electorial college is looking like civil war as psychos are NOT going to accept 4 more yrs of a black president.

    August 28, 2012 01:03 am at 1:03 am |
  2. Scottsdale AZ

    Boy, you leftists...first the baby inside the women is not the woman's body! It is alien to the women's body! So THINK! Next, by allowing the women to make a dictator's decision about aborting the child takes the right of the father away completely! Do not us men have a say in the life of their child! You leftist place the life of a dog as important as the life of a human! But you think humans are animals, no different than dogs! You're so sick that if a stranger was drowning next to your dog, you'd save the dog and let the stranger die! You leftist are true haters of anyone with differing opinions. Study history, it is leftist that have murdered a hundred million people for the sake of their theology. It is leftist w=who were screaming in the street about Bush so call torture on our enemies, but it suddenly is okay to kill those people! How stupid are you?

    August 28, 2012 01:18 am at 1:18 am |
  3. Frustrated

    I won't vote for EITHER of them! But I'll vote Democratic for the down-ballot offices

    August 28, 2012 01:22 am at 1:22 am |
  4. dfeaster

    I hope anyone who is thinking of voting for Romney will think long and hard about his vision for America.

    August 28, 2012 01:23 am at 1:23 am |
  5. bob

    I want evrything free...go obama!

    August 28, 2012 01:26 am at 1:26 am |
  6. Muhammad

    Hopefully the American voter is more intelligent than the Republicans give it credit for. The Republicans nearly destroy the county, stock market, banks, and housing, and a democratic lead government have the country headed toward a complete recovery.

    August 28, 2012 01:31 am at 1:31 am |
  7. gg

    After Romney gets caught up in all his lies and hypocrisy during the presidential debates, there will no longer be a such thing as toss up states.

    August 28, 2012 01:57 am at 1:57 am |
  8. Mike

    After Obama told NC christians they were wrong to vote to make marraige between one man and one woman, I did not think the race would be this close here. I truthfully feel that christians will come out in force this Novemeber and vote for Romney.

    August 28, 2012 02:22 am at 2:22 am |
  9. Mike

    Many voted for Obama in 2008 to prove they were not racist. This time they will vote for Romney to prove they are not stupid.

    August 28, 2012 02:26 am at 2:26 am |
  10. Mack

    I only can wonder why anyone in their right mind would vote for Obama for another depressing 4 years. I am so tired of listening to his rhetoric, promises and untruths. I have never heard anyone blame others as much as Obama and Biden do. His background is full of hate Rev. Wright and his father hated America. I finally came to the conclusion that people who vote for Obama only want free hand outs. That's it. It can't be racism. It's 2012!

    August 28, 2012 02:49 am at 2:49 am |
  11. josh rogen

    thank goodness the media has already called the election for Obama, guess we can all stay home come election day

    August 28, 2012 03:00 am at 3:00 am |
  12. MG.

    This electoral map is a fading Democrat dream. Even liberal politico is giving WI., Iowa and N.Carolina a leaning towards Romney mark. ...reality will set in after the libbies get whipped in November! ...dream on boys, you're only fooling yourselves! ...LOL

    August 28, 2012 03:13 am at 3:13 am |
  13. RDM3

    I can't wait until the GOP officially make Mittens the candidate and the DNC/Team Obama really go to work on him. He will drop like Frazier in the 1st round vs. Foreman!!! GOP, your candidate is flawed and he will be disposed of handily in November.

    August 28, 2012 03:14 am at 3:14 am |
  14. Josh

    This is too bad that they did most of the polling only around Charlotte and Raleigh where most of the liberals in the start are. They didn't check the rest of the state.

    August 28, 2012 04:06 am at 4:06 am |
  15. North Carolina

    Sorry to break this to you guys,but in North Carolina we have a saying;
    "Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me."

    I know a lot of people that voted for Barack Obama in NC that will not admit it now. And that was before he became first gay president. After he did that I started hearing African Americans claiming he was a White Man. Then he signed in a little back door amnesty. So keep on dreaming that Liberal Wet Dream cause wake up time is just around the corner...hallelujah!

    August 28, 2012 04:08 am at 4:08 am |
  16. imputt

    More anti republican ranting from mainstream media. You can not trust any information from this outlet as reliable when it is so biased.

    August 28, 2012 04:27 am at 4:27 am |
  17. jt covington

    Think for the write up i think was is close to right but i belive at end 0bama will be awinner jt covington think.s

    August 28, 2012 04:41 am at 4:41 am |
  18. Sleepless in NC

    I live in NC and I am voting for Obama. There is just something about Romney I dont like. I cant really put my finger on it but something about him isnt right. And....no...im not a Dem...

    August 28, 2012 04:44 am at 4:44 am |
  19. Observer

    Everyone I encounter here in North Carolina seems to have something nasty to say about Republicans, especially Romney since he picked Ryan as running mate. Romney is toast! Romney could maybe win the election for dog catcher but is he qualified?

    August 28, 2012 05:59 am at 5:59 am |
  20. Halls for Obama

    "Randy

    Romney/Ryan win big in 2012!!! Socialist liberal democrats losing momentum, bad news for black democratic politicians in the future as future black politicians will have the stigma of a failed disastrous Obama administration to deal with."
    If Romney/Ryan win you will wish you had a Black Obama to save your behind, if you are young enough to fight your butt will be fighting for your life. You see if the black wont have a penny in the fight they will not have to fight. Since the like of you who don't like blacks I hope you get everything you wish for. Just maybe they will let you be the first person to go to mars there is no black there.

    August 28, 2012 06:07 am at 6:07 am |
  21. livewiremd

    After reading poll after poll, I still have a hard time finding ANYONE who is going to vote for Obama (or even admit to doing it). Being a nice man with a basket of empty promises doesn't seem to be helping anyone exceot those who take instead of contribute. Obama has a poor record now and this time it can't be overlooked. $4 a gal gas is going to seal his fate.

    August 28, 2012 06:19 am at 6:19 am |
  22. bear

    I am so glad that Pres. Obama's message is finally reaching the working people of N.C. Obama -Biden 2012.

    August 28, 2012 06:35 am at 6:35 am |
  23. johnmenacherjr

    Good for NC. This person who is an independet can absolutely never ever vote a Morman Bishop and his mate a Rand deciiple into the white house NEVER! Get religion and its trapping out of my politics!

    August 28, 2012 06:45 am at 6:45 am |
  24. macbil

    To My Republican Friends,

    Two points. One, Romney should be much farther ahead in NC and elsewhere at this point if he is going to win. The second is, Obama is not a Socialist, this is not a Socialist country. Look up the meaning of the word before you use it. It's one of those words that you use that is an insult but not an accurate description of the President or his policies.

    August 28, 2012 06:59 am at 6:59 am |
  25. debbie

    What a joke this poll is. Romney doesn't care for women that is laughable!! Those who speak loudest about abortion never had one. They are the most degrading thing a Woman can undergo! I can't believe women by into this speech! As for the poll perhaps CNN got scared that Romney could take North Carolina so they took it off the map.

    August 28, 2012 07:14 am at 7:14 am |
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