North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map
August 27th, 2012
06:28 PM ET
2 years ago

North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map

(CNN) – CNN Monday turned the important battleground state of North Carolina from "lean Romney" to true "toss up" on its Electoral Map, following the release of a new CNN/Time Magazine/ORC International poll that indicated the race for the state's 15 electoral votes was a dead heat.

The move by CNN comes one week before the Democratic convention kicks off in Charlotte, North Carolina.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.

The poll, released earlier on Monday, indicates it's all knotted up in the Tar Heel state, with 48% of likely voters supporting Republican challenger Mitt Romney and 47% backing President Barack Obama.

Other polls from other organizations conducted earlier this summer also indicated a close contest in North Carolina.

"It's hard to imagine the perfect storm that helped then Sen. Obama narrowly carry the state in 2008. But at the moment the polling shows a tossup, and both campaigns say their numbers are in the same ballpark as our survey," says CNN Chief National Correspondent John King. "That, plus all the attention Democrats are about to give the state, gives us ample reason to move North Carolina to tossup."

"It's a must win for Romney, and even top Obama aides privately say it is a lot harder to see it going blue this time. But Romney can't take it for granted and the poll backs up what we see in the recent ad wars in North Carolina: It's a tight battleground," adds King.

Obama was the first Democrat to carry the state in a presidential election since 1976.

North Carolina now becomes the ninth state CNN considers a true toss up, joining Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. CNN considers Michigan, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania as states that lean towards Obama, with Arizona, Indiana, and Missouri as states that lean towards Romney.

With North Carolina's move to true "toss up," the CNN Electoral Map now suggests Obama leading in states with a combined 237 electoral votes, Romney ahead in states with a combined 191 electoral votes, and states with 110 electoral votes are up for grabs. Two-hundred and seventy electoral votes are needed with win the White House.

– CNN's Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.

soundoff (445 Responses)
  1. Sedona

    RNC chair Priebus says taking NC is vital to a Romney win. This must be making him very nervous.

    August 27, 2012 07:29 pm at 7:29 pm |
  2. Sashatree

    How could any woman, or any person who RESPECTS women, vote for Romney or ANY OTHER GOP candidate?? I mean....really??? The GOP has permanently lost the women's vote - and a good portion of decent men who respect a woman's right to her own body!!

    August 27, 2012 07:29 pm at 7:29 pm |
  3. @getmecash

    The media is working to make this election appear closer then it is. OBAMA BIDEN 2012. FORWARD

    August 27, 2012 07:29 pm at 7:29 pm |
  4. IL DEM ONE

    Although I think polling is overdone..this is welcome news considering the fact it is harder for an incumbent president to carry a second time a close state he barely carried the first time...It will take alot of work, but the good people in that state will realize who is on their side, following the debates, and hearing what ALL the candidates of both parties say , running for the House and Senate....as well as the Presidential and VP candidates...I am for OBama-Biden and fully expect a close election, if we hold the base and point out the stark differences, with hard work we will prevail...

    August 27, 2012 07:30 pm at 7:30 pm |
  5. Obama2012

    Obama will win by a landslide!

    August 27, 2012 07:31 pm at 7:31 pm |
  6. Randy

    Can't you liberal democratic leaning socialist see that the Romney is gaining on Oblame-o or leading in all the toss up state polls? Can't you see that this election is slipping away from the socialist, slowly but surely. The polls now suggest that Romney will do a better job on medicare, that Romney will do a better job with economy and that 67% of the people think that the country is going in the wrong direction under Oblame-O? Electoral College computer model that's correctly predicted presidential elections since 1980 shows big WIN for Romney

    Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2192464/Bad-news-Obama-Electoral-College-model-correctly-predicted-presidential-elections-1980-opts-ROMNEY.html#ixzz24nByAH6V

    August 27, 2012 07:31 pm at 7:31 pm |
  7. terry Moore

    Come on North Carolinians... a small effort and the disaster of the century ( GOP in the White House with the likes of Romney and Ryan) will be averted...

    August 27, 2012 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  8. John N. Seattle, WA

    Gee, it wouldnt have anything to do with Romney STILL refusing to PROVE that he pays taxes, would it? Or the "Birther" joke he made last week? Or the fact that Romney and Ryan want to take us back to the dark ages with respect to a woman's right to choose? Or the fact that the GOP is doing nothing but preaching "anyone but Obama", even though their candidate is DEEPLY flawed? Hmmm...must be a statistical glitch, huh?

    August 27, 2012 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  9. Bob

    Interesting map. It looks like Nevada and Colorado moved from "lean Obama" to toss up.

    August 27, 2012 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  10. us_1776

    The GOP ala Reagan/Bush-I/Bush-II sets the national house on fire. They overspent by $12 trillion and counting. We're still paying for StarWars, Gulf War, Afghanistan, Iraq, the tax cut, the Great Republican Recession.

    The country called Fireman Obama to put out the fire and save the house.

    As soon as he arrived, the GOP in Washington began stabbing the fire hoses, letting the air out of the fire truck's tires, and turning in false alarms (death panels, birth certificate, Kenya, socialist indoctrination of children, closet Muslim, Rev. Wright, etc.).

    Now the GOP are saying that we should blame the fireman, not the guys who set the fire in the first place.

    .

    August 27, 2012 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  11. Richard Parrilla

    I'm voting for Gary Johnson in the not-so-swing state of TX. Obama's siphoning too many votes away from the Greens and Mitt Romney is just a pesky thorn in Johnson's side.

    August 27, 2012 07:33 pm at 7:33 pm |
  12. yogi

    I am waiting for the breaking news on election day that Obama won!

    August 27, 2012 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  13. Patrick

    Chris Matthews says it best, google "Matthews: Romney is ‘one of the bad guy" and watch Chris Matthew rip Romney apart.

    And google "Obama upstages, upbraids Romney on lies' talk" and watch the MSNBC, Martin Bashir Video.

    August 27, 2012 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  14. UndecidedNOT

    I live here in Raleigh NC, and I will be voting for Obama!! sorry Mitt from what I heard thus far you do nothing for me...nor my Mother my Dad..my siter... My Grandmother...you see where this is going..ect..ect

    August 27, 2012 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  15. Motto

    CNN and Obozo can say whatever they want, toss-up .... or gainning/losing.... but for sure we will vote to unseat Obama-Biden in Nov 2011 for these ugly/worst economic, unemployment rate, nation debt, labor/industry, security...
    Pushing the Chinese, Russian back to their shelled territory!!!! NO MORE OBAMA

    August 27, 2012 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  16. Randy

    Romney/Ryan win big in 2012!!! Socialist liberal democrats losing momentum, bad news for black democratic politicians in the future as future black politicians will have the stigma of a failed disastrous Obama administration to deal with.

    August 27, 2012 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  17. DC

    In order for Obama to keep NC "blue", he needs the democratic turnout in the big cities, he will also need the backing of women, blacks, and Hispanics, and there needs to have the suburbs. Tougher since it's not 2008, but certainly within reach.

    Obama/Biden 2012!

    August 27, 2012 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  18. 2buttercups

    This poll demonstrates that Mr. Romney hasn't broken away to take the lead. This was the same problem he had during the primaries. He could never break away from the pack.
    Obama/Biden 2012

    August 27, 2012 07:41 pm at 7:41 pm |
  19. Larry L

    North Carolina seems like just another red state – under-educated, bigoted and easy to dupe with conspiracy theories and "swift-boat" lies. Maybe I'm incorrect in my viewpoint of the state. Could they see Romney as what he is – a man with absolutely no convictions and nothing more than a front for the Koch brothers and other billionaires? Do they have the ability to turn off Fox News and think for themselves? Maybe...

    August 27, 2012 07:41 pm at 7:41 pm |
  20. Donkey Party

    You whiney, pathetic little right-wing knuckle-draggers hate when polls don't favor your sociopathic candidates. Can't wait to see you all running around with your hair on fire after Obama wins a second term.

    August 27, 2012 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  21. Name

    Obama did it once he can again but it's best he dont he made history and no one can take that back

    August 27, 2012 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  22. snj

    Is that the above vs. below average IQ map with blue being above average IQ?

    Or is it the obese vs. normal weight map with blue being normal?

    August 27, 2012 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  23. NC resident

    It went dem in '08, but 2012 still has a good chance for republicans – too many unemployed here.

    August 27, 2012 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  24. El Flaco

    Conservatism isn't a political philosophy. Instead, it is a way to get middle class voters to vote against their own self-interest.

    August 27, 2012 07:45 pm at 7:45 pm |
  25. shaolinkaz

    I'm voting for Gary Johnson. There's absolutely NO WAY I'm going to place a vote for Obama or Romney who are both one in the same. I'm in NYC who I'm sure will heavily favor Obama. As time passes, both main stream conservatives & liberals will begin to realize their Liberties are being pissed away by establishment candidates and they'll have no other choice but to turn to the Libertarian cause. It will happen...I can guarantee it, there's no decline in sight of it.

    August 27, 2012 07:45 pm at 7:45 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18