North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map
August 27th, 2012
06:28 PM ET
2 years ago

North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map

(CNN) – CNN Monday turned the important battleground state of North Carolina from "lean Romney" to true "toss up" on its Electoral Map, following the release of a new CNN/Time Magazine/ORC International poll that indicated the race for the state's 15 electoral votes was a dead heat.

The move by CNN comes one week before the Democratic convention kicks off in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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The poll, released earlier on Monday, indicates it's all knotted up in the Tar Heel state, with 48% of likely voters supporting Republican challenger Mitt Romney and 47% backing President Barack Obama.

Other polls from other organizations conducted earlier this summer also indicated a close contest in North Carolina.

"It's hard to imagine the perfect storm that helped then Sen. Obama narrowly carry the state in 2008. But at the moment the polling shows a tossup, and both campaigns say their numbers are in the same ballpark as our survey," says CNN Chief National Correspondent John King. "That, plus all the attention Democrats are about to give the state, gives us ample reason to move North Carolina to tossup."

"It's a must win for Romney, and even top Obama aides privately say it is a lot harder to see it going blue this time. But Romney can't take it for granted and the poll backs up what we see in the recent ad wars in North Carolina: It's a tight battleground," adds King.

Obama was the first Democrat to carry the state in a presidential election since 1976.

North Carolina now becomes the ninth state CNN considers a true toss up, joining Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. CNN considers Michigan, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania as states that lean towards Obama, with Arizona, Indiana, and Missouri as states that lean towards Romney.

With North Carolina's move to true "toss up," the CNN Electoral Map now suggests Obama leading in states with a combined 237 electoral votes, Romney ahead in states with a combined 191 electoral votes, and states with 110 electoral votes are up for grabs. Two-hundred and seventy electoral votes are needed with win the White House.

– CNN's Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.

soundoff (445 Responses)
  1. modfan

    Must be true that Romney's team paying cnn and abc off to make him look better than how they are really doing.

    August 27, 2012 08:29 pm at 8:29 pm |
  2. Col B

    Sashatree: I respect a womens body and want to provide her all the health care she needs. But since when is MURDERING an unborn child considered "health care?" If a women is attacked and the fetus is killed, that person is convicted of murder. If the mother decides the pregnancy is an inconvenience and murders the same fetus, that is considered a "choice" because it is her body? Did anyone ask the fetus? Perhaps the world would be better off if your mother had aborted you!

    August 27, 2012 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
  3. BG

    GOP = Greed Over People

    August 27, 2012 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
  4. A Kickin` Donkey

    One more Democratic win in North Carolina and the Republican electoral map will be significantly upset for the long haul. Latinos & asians in North Carolina need to turn out like never before to make the difference.

    Get out there for Mr. Obama. He`s fought the xenophobic GOP for you.

    August 27, 2012 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
  5. betty

    You must pick and choose your battles. Nobody is going to agree with either canidate on all the issues. With this country so divided, to belittle the opposite views will not make your choice win. Relax, RESEARCH and vote what is best overall.

    August 27, 2012 08:33 pm at 8:33 pm |
  6. David

    If Bozo the clown was running, I'd vote for him. Obama failed us horribly. I can't believe half te people would still vote for him again.

    August 27, 2012 08:34 pm at 8:34 pm |
  7. nc1965

    Until Mitt releases several years of taxes like previous Presidential Candidates (including his father who released 12 years), he's not qualified to be President.

    August 27, 2012 08:35 pm at 8:35 pm |
  8. Simon

    Major GOP platform talking point; Free cialis for everyone over 50 with no tax penalties.

    August 27, 2012 08:36 pm at 8:36 pm |
  9. GdNews

    Oh please! I'm a woman and I'm definately voting for Romney/Ryan. I can't trust a word out of Obama's mouth. He tells you what you want to hear, but doesn't follow through. It's time for him to go. As for a womans right to choose. Go to an article on Fox News (expand your herizons). Romney talks about what he's done for womans healthcare that includes NOT bankrupting medicare which Obama is doing with his crappy Obamacare.

    August 27, 2012 08:36 pm at 8:36 pm |
  10. dan

    Sorry, but poles are based on which party is reporting. Maybe the group that the poles need too look at are the ones that are not voting for some one that created this mess in the first eight years before the current administration. But this is too easy to do. Way not blame the current. Its safer then owning up too the own problems.

    August 27, 2012 08:36 pm at 8:36 pm |
  11. The Truth

    I cannot believe all these states want to give up their Medicare when they are seniors. Who would vote for Robme and Lyin' ?

    August 27, 2012 08:36 pm at 8:36 pm |
  12. 2tired2care

    If unemployment is above 8 Obama will probably loose.

    August 27, 2012 08:37 pm at 8:37 pm |
  13. NoTags

    I would like a Christian to explain to me how they can vote for Romney since his LDS religion believes any religion other than LDS is an abomination? The LDS church is nothing but a non-Christian cult.

    August 27, 2012 08:38 pm at 8:38 pm |
  14. mcjon22

    So? It all comes down to Florida and Ohio

    August 27, 2012 08:38 pm at 8:38 pm |
  15. Tell It Like It Is

    A couple of states went from leaning Obama to being toss up states ~ like Wisconsin and Arizona (which now leans Romney). This is all still very fluid. It will go back and forth and will remain fluid for a while. Polls aren't always accurate anyhow. The true test will be election day. Period.

    August 27, 2012 08:38 pm at 8:38 pm |
  16. Eric

    Sorry Obama, no vote from me this time!

    August 27, 2012 08:41 pm at 8:41 pm |
  17. Teddy

    Big surprise coming for Obama. GOP landslide is coming down the mountain and NC is in the red. When NY and NJ turn its going to blow everyone's mind. Bye bye bama

    August 27, 2012 08:44 pm at 8:44 pm |
  18. working 80 hours for $30,000

    All dumocrats will never get it. We have to celebrate if Romney pull this off running against the President and the media. The dumos call the Reps are against woman and they have Clinton as key note speaker in their convention, Dumos have no respect for women. The more you see Romney I am sure the people will accept him and vote for him.

    August 27, 2012 08:44 pm at 8:44 pm |
  19. nyclposter

    Obama is an utter disaster. How anyone with an IQ over 60 cant see right through this man is beyond me. Perhaps you liberals should check out the Obama movie and see what this man has in store for us the next 4 years and mind you, its in his own words. According to him its "his duty to right the wrongs of colonialism". If that dont scare you folks, it should. Wake up America!!!

    August 27, 2012 08:45 pm at 8:45 pm |
  20. Gerard

    People are being misguided into thinking the Democrats and Obama are for women' rights. What they want is the right to womens' paychecks and their vote. I think if Obama was for womens rights he should have fought for their right for having a job.

    August 27, 2012 08:45 pm at 8:45 pm |
  21. Oscar Pitchfork

    It appears that 'Randy' and 'Motto' are either bot programs, sent to try and muddy the waters, or closet Retardicans trying to desperately keep their portfolios afloat by doing and saying anything to get their rich "friends" elected so they can maintain their lifestyle of beating their women with their left hand and playing with themselves with their right.

    August 27, 2012 08:46 pm at 8:46 pm |
  22. poopfactory

    Romney now wants suffrage for corporations.

    August 27, 2012 08:46 pm at 8:46 pm |
  23. iklindo

    With all of the "halfbacks" moving into NC over the past decade as well as the growing research and tech industry in the try cites area, it does not surprise me that NC is or will become a serious toss up. This election will be interesting to say the least...

    August 27, 2012 08:47 pm at 8:47 pm |
  24. Polar Bear

    Is the "anointed one's" camp getting nervous? In 2008, the handout crowd turned out. They won't be turning out this time. They didn't get more handouts. This time, hard working Americans will turn out instead and get this experiment over with.

    August 27, 2012 08:49 pm at 8:49 pm |
  25. Anonymous

    I think the Dems...and everyone at CNN, will be SHOCKED when Romney wins...by a lot. Funny how people who report on the World news have no pulse of what is happening in America. Wisconsin was just a teaser. This will happen all over America as the citizens of this country take back their governments from the Dems and the public sector unions.

    August 27, 2012 08:49 pm at 8:49 pm |
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