Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney
September 9th, 2012
08:39 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney

(CNN) - Three days after the Democratic convention wrapped up, President Barack Obama opened up his largest margin over Mitt Romney since early July in Gallup's daily tracking poll.

According to the poll released Sunday, Obama has 49% among registered voters nationwide, while Romney has 44%.

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The survey was conducted September 2-8, a time window that included the entirety of the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina-as well as two days before and two days after the event.

During the party gathering, major leaders, including former President Bill Clinton, gave prime time speeches on why voters should elect Obama to a second term. The president himself capped off the week Thursday night with a final address.

"If you turn away now - if you buy into the cynicism that the change we fought for isn't possible, well, change will not happen," Obama said, depicting a scenario in which special interests and conservative politicians run Washington and the country. "... Only you can make sure that doesn't happen. Only you have the power to move us forward."

The same poll showed Obama with only a one-point margin (47%-46%) one week ago as he headed into the convention, which came a week after the Republican convention in Tampa, Florida.

Responding to the new numbers, Romney's pollster Neil Newhouse warned against getting "too worked up about the latest polling."

"While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama Presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race," Newhouse said in a statement.

According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Tuesday, Romney received a one point bounce after the GOP event, going from 47% to 48% compared to Obama's 49%.

The last time Obama held a five-point margin over Romney occurred on July 1, when the president had 48% and Romney had 43%.

While it's not unusual for a candidate to get a modest boost in the polls after a convention, a senior Obama campaign official said last week that big swings are becoming less common due to conventions now falling so late in the election year.

Speaking with CNN reporters in Charlotte, the official said candidates no longer get double-digit bounces, like the 16-point bump Clinton received after the 1992 convention in New York. Because of higher interest early on and long primary seasons, the "process is fundamentally different" now so that voters get exposed to the candidates much sooner and form their opinions before the conventions.

For the poll, Gallup surveyed approximately 3,050 registered voters by telephone. The sampling error is plus or minus two percentage points.


- CNN's Tom Cohen contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Democratic National Convention • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (219 Responses)
  1. Dennis from Millbrae

    MItt might want to retract that Bain CEO resignation letter; he'll be looking for a job on November 7th.

    September 9, 2012 08:45 pm at 8:45 pm |
  2. WarrenM

    Thank goodness people are coming to their senses.....

    September 9, 2012 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  3. bobbrooklyn

    Obama is a very honest person who was brought up in a middle class family so he is like most of american middle class citizens and Mitt Romney is not to b trusted he is too secretive for middle class Americans he just want to b a president and will say wat electorates want to hear not wat is in his mind that is why he FLIP-FLOP a lot on all d issues he is a business man just making profit but does not care about the out come as long as him and his family is happy he doea not care LET DETRIOT GO BANKCRUPT

    September 9, 2012 09:02 pm at 9:02 pm |
  4. Harkers

    Enjoy it while it last.....Obama is going down and will be exposed as the greatest farce ever committed on the American people!

    September 9, 2012 09:03 pm at 9:03 pm |
  5. migeli

    Still no more than two years of tax returns from Romney or Ryan.Something is fishy here.What are these guys hiding?I don't trust either one of them.How do Americans perceive Romney as better for the economy when he advocates the same policies as Bush.And guarantied we will be fighting 5 wars with Romney as president.This guy is as diplomatic as Hitler.

    September 9, 2012 09:05 pm at 9:05 pm |
  6. Gurgyl

    Mitt is a joke to USA and world. This guy is a total nonsense.

    September 9, 2012 09:06 pm at 9:06 pm |
  7. Richard Schwartz

    Other key factors that might help explain Obama pulling ahead of Romney:

    1. Mitt Romney, Paul Ryan, and other Republicans are promoting policies similar to or often worse than those that had such disastrous results during the George W. Bush administration, including converting a three-year major surplus, which was on track to completely eliminate the total federal debt, into a major deficit, creating very few net jobs (none in the private sector), and leaving the country on the brink of a depression, with an average of 750,000 jobs being lost during its last three months. As Bill Clinton put it, “Romney is Bush on steroids.”

    2. Republicans have obstructed efforts to get our country out of the tremendous ditch they left us in by voting no on and sometimes filibustering many Democratic proposals, some of which they previously supported and sometimes even co-sponsored. Hence, it is not surprising that a recent poll showed that 49% of Americans believe that Republican Congress members are purposely sabotaging the U.S. economy in order to defeat Obama and other Democrats, while only 40% disagree.

    3. Republicans support continued tax breaks for the wealthiest Americans and highly profitable corporations, while basic social services that middle class and poor people depend on are being cut and teachers, police officers, fire fighters, and others are losing their jobs.

    September 9, 2012 09:06 pm at 9:06 pm |
  8. n

    Romney is a dead fish floating upside down in muddy waters. Period.

    September 9, 2012 09:06 pm at 9:06 pm |
  9. Tubby the Tuba Texas

    Hang in there President Obama. Mitt the Twitt is shooting himself in the foot by being critical of the republican party...and denouncing Bush's ability to run the budget! Keep it up Mitt the Twitt!

    September 9, 2012 09:20 pm at 9:20 pm |
  10. Anonymous

    49 out of 96 people in the US are foolish

    September 9, 2012 09:25 pm at 9:25 pm |
  11. Gurgyl

    I mean mitt is a total nonsense.

    September 9, 2012 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  12. Randy, San Francisco

    Romney/Ryan failed to connect with the American people at the RNC. Their speeches did not present a credible case as to why voters should vote for them. Furthermore, convention managers committed political malpractice by giving prime speech time to that rambling old man with the empty chair.

    September 9, 2012 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  13. Sf

    Theres still us non polled voters who are backing our president! We've witnessed the bs republicans have spewed not just in the past couple of weeks but for the past 3.5 years and counting! Not only will we reelect obama but we'll rid ourselves from all tea party and republican senators and congressman/women...as many as we can! They have brought our country to its knees one too many times!

    September 9, 2012 09:32 pm at 9:32 pm |
  14. nolimits3333

    George W. Bush inherited a strong economy, a budget surplus, and a nation at peace.

    Eight years later, he left Obama with a shattered economy, a trillion dollar deficit, and two useless wars.

    Obama saved the country from another Great Depression, rebuilt GM, reformed healthcare, reformed Wall Street, doubled the stock market, created 12 straight quarters of GDP growth, created 30 straight months of private sector job growth, got Bin Laden, got Gaddafi, and got us out of Iraq.

    And now with the automatic spending cuts and the expiration of the Bush tax cuts in 2012, Obama has solved the deficit problem as well.

    Obama has done a very good job.

    September 9, 2012 09:35 pm at 9:35 pm |
  15. jake

    You'll find as the election day gets closer Obama will climb even higher in the polls. This is a President who actually cares about what happens to all americans unlike the romney team who only care's about thier own fortune and giving tax breaks to the elite. Hey romney, where's your tax returns? Hey where are you tax returns willard? What are you hiding? oh ya wait your hiding everything..isn't that true mitt? Your hiding like the coward you are.

    September 9, 2012 09:37 pm at 9:37 pm |
  16. David Kuklinski

    With good reason. I think the GOP has hit the wall with how many voters they can alienate at this point however, so we might see a bounce on the right side of things following this.

    September 9, 2012 09:38 pm at 9:38 pm |
  17. whay

    No doubt of second term for him and another second term for Clinton

    September 9, 2012 09:38 pm at 9:38 pm |
  18. romneyzda1

    I hope for my children's sake, and for the sake of peace around the world that this lead doesn't stay long. Mitt Romney is a real leader, like Reagan he'll revive the economy and secure freedom around the globe. Obama is a European style back seat golf playing leader. We need a leader for the free world, someone who has really accomplished success and leadership. Mitt will bring the return of the America that accomplishes miracles.

    September 9, 2012 09:40 pm at 9:40 pm |
  19. Anonymous

    The biggest reason Obama has the lead is that nobody trusts Romney. They will rather go with the devil they know than the devil they fear.

    September 9, 2012 09:40 pm at 9:40 pm |
  20. Fact

    It's simple to understand. Truth wins!

    September 9, 2012 09:41 pm at 9:41 pm |
  21. Thatguy371

    Excellent speeches from Obama, Clinton and others at the DNC convention. And they dealt in reality... quite a change from all the hot air that came outta Tampa.

    September 9, 2012 09:42 pm at 9:42 pm |
  22. Guest

    HOW? How can people be this stupid

    September 9, 2012 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  23. Pete

    If you actually believe polls,I honestly don't,they'd be more in the presidents favor than Romneys.Take the convention for example,it rated lower than a new series on Discovery Channel called Honey Boo Boo,both nights this show had a greater viewing audience than Romneys,Ryans speeches,the polls don't tell you that intelligence and open minded research does.People dispise Romney,Ryan and their elitist world,they're sick of them rubbing the common persons nose in their wealth than saying how they struggled when you know the truth because its publicized so much.Both millionairs,both born into it,but they lie and say they worked hard for what they got,more millions or trying to make more of what they want,that's why they're running cause they don't want to lose it,plain and simple..It's that thirst for wealth,power and scared of losing it and what to do illegal or not to prevent your loss from coming true...That's why they're so hell bent on lying to keep what they have,their wealth,arrogence,power and a place in elitist society to keep them going,the country club set,the yacht club, the jet setters,globe trotters only most of us dream of.They're there now and you're not taking it away from them,politics or not,this presidency is easy money for Romney,Ryan its all tax free because it politically contributed,like that ha,millions for free,like taking candy from a baby!!!

    September 9, 2012 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  24. Liz the First

    Didn't hear about any RMoney bounce after his CONvention. this gives me hope for the survival of the country. I want to see Obama win by a landslide. i hope folks have the good sense to give him a Democratic congress that will actually work FOR US instead of just AGAINST HIM. folks who vote for president and congress from different parties are misguided, to say the least. no farmer was able to plough a field with a team of horses hitched up to pull in opposite directions. we need a good majority who want to move this country forward.

    September 9, 2012 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  25. Robert

    With 100's of millions spent on the Romney campaign, a network dedicated to the GOP narrative working it's spin 24/7 and this is the best the could manage? Money and time should have been invested into a better GOP candidate not the muppet they have out front now.

    September 9, 2012 09:46 pm at 9:46 pm |
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