Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney
September 9th, 2012
08:39 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney

(CNN) - Three days after the Democratic convention wrapped up, President Barack Obama opened up his largest margin over Mitt Romney since early July in Gallup's daily tracking poll.

According to the poll released Sunday, Obama has 49% among registered voters nationwide, while Romney has 44%.

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The survey was conducted September 2-8, a time window that included the entirety of the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina-as well as two days before and two days after the event.

During the party gathering, major leaders, including former President Bill Clinton, gave prime time speeches on why voters should elect Obama to a second term. The president himself capped off the week Thursday night with a final address.

"If you turn away now - if you buy into the cynicism that the change we fought for isn't possible, well, change will not happen," Obama said, depicting a scenario in which special interests and conservative politicians run Washington and the country. "... Only you can make sure that doesn't happen. Only you have the power to move us forward."

The same poll showed Obama with only a one-point margin (47%-46%) one week ago as he headed into the convention, which came a week after the Republican convention in Tampa, Florida.

Responding to the new numbers, Romney's pollster Neil Newhouse warned against getting "too worked up about the latest polling."

"While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama Presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race," Newhouse said in a statement.

According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Tuesday, Romney received a one point bounce after the GOP event, going from 47% to 48% compared to Obama's 49%.

The last time Obama held a five-point margin over Romney occurred on July 1, when the president had 48% and Romney had 43%.

While it's not unusual for a candidate to get a modest boost in the polls after a convention, a senior Obama campaign official said last week that big swings are becoming less common due to conventions now falling so late in the election year.

Speaking with CNN reporters in Charlotte, the official said candidates no longer get double-digit bounces, like the 16-point bump Clinton received after the 1992 convention in New York. Because of higher interest early on and long primary seasons, the "process is fundamentally different" now so that voters get exposed to the candidates much sooner and form their opinions before the conventions.

For the poll, Gallup surveyed approximately 3,050 registered voters by telephone. The sampling error is plus or minus two percentage points.


– CNN's Tom Cohen contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Democratic National Convention • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (219 Responses)
  1. larry

    People are starting to catch on to Romneyhood....steal from the poor to give to the rich.

    September 9, 2012 09:46 pm at 9:46 pm |
  2. EKIA

    Fortunately, we have an electoral college system.

    September 9, 2012 09:47 pm at 9:47 pm |
  3. jasoninthecenter

    America is beginning to see how fake and phoney Romney is. I am sure he will flip on a few issues over the next few weeks as he gets more desparate.

    September 9, 2012 09:47 pm at 9:47 pm |
  4. Cindy

    I think Paul Ryan could be a factor. Paul Ryan is a man with a forked tongue. He is a liar and should not be considered worthy of trust .

    September 9, 2012 09:50 pm at 9:50 pm |
  5. Griff.

    "Why is it CNN? Fox News always disagrees with you, on your Oppinion Polls? Fox News has Obama losing ground. He's six lengths behind Romney and there only three furlongs to go!"

    September 9, 2012 09:51 pm at 9:51 pm |
  6. Nietodarwin

    Great news. More importantly, President Obama is the favorite of the bookies and oddsmakers in England, where it is legal to bet on the outcome of the election.
    Say "Bye bye" GOP

    September 9, 2012 09:55 pm at 9:55 pm |
  7. Gloria

    I am so pleased! I want our president to be elected to a second term! In my opinion, he's done exceptionally well in light of all that was handed to him from the start. And, of course, blatant lies and obstructions by the GOP have only served to compound the matter. How shameful that the GOP would have as its goal from the beginning of Obama's first term to have as its main priority to see that Obama would not get a second term.. Well, they had better prepare for an Obama win!

    September 9, 2012 09:56 pm at 9:56 pm |
  8. Sad

    Obama must be re-elected.
    A group of plumbers came to my house once for job, and a terrible job they did. I was unable to flush the toilets and leaks were all over the place. They were so incompetent, when the door bell rang, the toilets flushed. I hired a new group of plumbers while the old group still present. The new group, although was working slow, was working on fixing the problems. Members of the olg group had the nerves to criticize the works of the new group and wanted the job back. I would be the stupidest person in the world to re-hire these idiots.
    I would prefer getting a second bad job from the second group than the first.
    OBAMA 2012! FORWARD!

    September 9, 2012 09:56 pm at 9:56 pm |
  9. Yonni

    There is no comparison at all the contrast is so striking between the man who thinks he is destined to be the president of US and the man who see the need of his country at the trying time and acted to be an agent of change for the better. The letter should win with landslide. .

    September 9, 2012 09:59 pm at 9:59 pm |
  10. James

    Remember, Obama has bullied the Gallop polling company so we all know these numbers are rigged and shouldnt be listened to anymore...>

    September 9, 2012 10:01 pm at 10:01 pm |
  11. Hillcrester

    As Romney falls farther behind in the polls, he will disintegrate further, finding more issues to pander on in a continuing and desperate effort to get people to like him.

    September 9, 2012 10:02 pm at 10:02 pm |
  12. Jose G

    So where's the other 7% ?
    Where Gary Johnson (Libertarian) and Jill Stein (Green) included in the Poll? They should be.

    September 9, 2012 10:04 pm at 10:04 pm |
  13. Eddie

    I don't see how any man or woman living in this country can vote for THIS REPUBLICAN PARTY.

    September 9, 2012 10:04 pm at 10:04 pm |
  14. Sam

    OBAMA 2012! It will continue to expand. Mitt blamed republicans today. Things are not going well in the other side. OBAMA 2012!

    September 9, 2012 10:05 pm at 10:05 pm |
  15. california99

    With Romney always FLIP-FLOPPING no wonder Obama is ahead in the polls!! how can the country trust Romney that is constantly changing his mind depending on how the polls are doing! Romney is not Presidential Material, he is a walking disaster for the future of this country! I want a president that has the guts to send the Navy seals to have l the architect of 911, Bin Laden killed and he did!!!!!! a Gutsy President.FOUR MORE YEARS FOR OBAMA!

    September 9, 2012 10:06 pm at 10:06 pm |
  16. KellyF

    This is great. America is finally waking up to the fact they dont want to SERVE the 1%. Why should we pay our taxes so that the rich can have MORE. Anyone voting for that, has something wrong with their head.

    September 9, 2012 10:06 pm at 10:06 pm |
  17. Susanna

    The country is broke…Obama broke it. I voted for him, for hope! He turned us into China’s slaves! What about the vast number of unfulfilled promises?? 16 trillion in debt! 5 trillion in the last year! You want Obama to run this country into the ground? Unless you're on food stamps, it's time for a new president. I just wish someone else in the democratic party would have ran against him in a primary. The Unemployment is insane! You have a better chance of finding employment in Iraq than in the US. . I hated Bush….but, no one, has done worse for us than Obama….and when you put your emotions aside, drop the political rhetoric, and think about how bad off we really are financially….you will realize it.

    September 9, 2012 10:06 pm at 10:06 pm |
  18. Susanna

    • Actually everyone keeps forgetting that at the end of the 1990's Obama was the attorney that would bring the banks to court so people that could not afford to buy a house would then be pushed through and get one. He is the start of the housing crisis. The wonderful Barack, has to make everything equal for everyone whether they are able to maintain that status or not. Then of course the law that Clinton passed with the Dems help right before he left office that got rid of regulation on the 20 percent down that used to be in place – it was not the Republicans that did that . Republicans didn't have enough votes to stop it at that point. Then when Bush was in office he could see it happening but could not stop it, Barney Frank was literally in bed with one of the big wigs at Fannie Mae. Dems would vote the regulation down everytime because they need the minority vote to win elections. Stop blaming Bush – the man is a man of great honor and holds his tongue because that's what the Office of President of the United States does. Obama, what a disgrace. Blame, lies and thinks of people as voting blocks and you are all going to be fooled again. Shame on you that do.

    September 9, 2012 10:07 pm at 10:07 pm |
  19. Andrew

    Two months to go. Two more poor jobs reports to come out and remind voters that the workforce is no larger than it was 12 years ago. 142 million people were working and paying taxes then and now. There are 31 million more people in the USA than in 2000 though. Scary stuff.
    That is the only number that matters. Unemployment rates only measure those actually seeking work. The millions of people who have given up or who have been added to the ranks of the disabled ( several million since 2008) is alarming.

    September 9, 2012 10:07 pm at 10:07 pm |
  20. Susanna

    i have yet to find one example, not one, where a community organizer helped the working man! they are usually taking resources from the working man....to give to the non-working man!

    September 9, 2012 10:07 pm at 10:07 pm |
  21. zq

    LTTP CNN – but I guess that is better than missing it altogether. Nate Silver says Obama is at 80% to win now.

    September 9, 2012 10:12 pm at 10:12 pm |
  22. lassy

    For anyone sane, Obama is such an obvious choice.

    September 9, 2012 10:13 pm at 10:13 pm |
  23. onlyfacts

    If all Democrats vote Obama will win, it's that easy. Do we want the Koch brothers and Rove running the country or Obama? Do we want the environment trashed to improve corporate profits? Do we want banking regulations to benefit us or the banks? Do we want a leader who will have us prosecuted for hiding our income while hiding his own? Do we want our retired relatives health care costs controlled by the government or for profit only health providers? Do we want our leader who will say anything to get elected or the one who has proven he wants the best for ALL of us? The list goes on and on. VOTE OBAMA!!!!

    September 9, 2012 10:13 pm at 10:13 pm |
  24. Ed1

    On medicare Obama and his stupid team are using old information that has been rdevised but they will not say anything about that.

    People wake up before it's to late Obama is running this country into the ground and the sad part is you will vote for this loser.

    Fact checks will tell you Obama and Clinton both are lying try it out and you will see in their book 2+2= what ever they you will believe.

    September 9, 2012 10:14 pm at 10:14 pm |
  25. David

    People have finally realized this President has been fighting for us tooth and nail for 4 years. The first year or so he had to fight the GOP to get Health Care Reform passed. Then he had to focus jobs and stimulating the economy that was in free fall. It took 8 years to destroy this economy, surely will take at least that long to fix. It is amazing he has gotten as much done that he has with the GOP saying NO to every plan he has come up with. Even the Affordable Care Act, the Democrats had to use a special procedure to get the bill through. It's a shame the GOP couldn't have worked with this President to make history.

    September 9, 2012 10:14 pm at 10:14 pm |
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