Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney
September 9th, 2012
08:39 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney

(CNN) - Three days after the Democratic convention wrapped up, President Barack Obama opened up his largest margin over Mitt Romney since early July in Gallup's daily tracking poll.

According to the poll released Sunday, Obama has 49% among registered voters nationwide, while Romney has 44%.

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The survey was conducted September 2-8, a time window that included the entirety of the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina-as well as two days before and two days after the event.

During the party gathering, major leaders, including former President Bill Clinton, gave prime time speeches on why voters should elect Obama to a second term. The president himself capped off the week Thursday night with a final address.

"If you turn away now - if you buy into the cynicism that the change we fought for isn't possible, well, change will not happen," Obama said, depicting a scenario in which special interests and conservative politicians run Washington and the country. "... Only you can make sure that doesn't happen. Only you have the power to move us forward."

The same poll showed Obama with only a one-point margin (47%-46%) one week ago as he headed into the convention, which came a week after the Republican convention in Tampa, Florida.

Responding to the new numbers, Romney's pollster Neil Newhouse warned against getting "too worked up about the latest polling."

"While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama Presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race," Newhouse said in a statement.

According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Tuesday, Romney received a one point bounce after the GOP event, going from 47% to 48% compared to Obama's 49%.

The last time Obama held a five-point margin over Romney occurred on July 1, when the president had 48% and Romney had 43%.

While it's not unusual for a candidate to get a modest boost in the polls after a convention, a senior Obama campaign official said last week that big swings are becoming less common due to conventions now falling so late in the election year.

Speaking with CNN reporters in Charlotte, the official said candidates no longer get double-digit bounces, like the 16-point bump Clinton received after the 1992 convention in New York. Because of higher interest early on and long primary seasons, the "process is fundamentally different" now so that voters get exposed to the candidates much sooner and form their opinions before the conventions.

For the poll, Gallup surveyed approximately 3,050 registered voters by telephone. The sampling error is plus or minus two percentage points.


– CNN's Tom Cohen contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Democratic National Convention • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (219 Responses)
  1. labman57

    The DNC gave Obama a respectable bump, but more significant will be the televised debates, during which we can expect to see Romney take a major thump and head into the final stretch looking like a total chump.

    September 9, 2012 10:15 pm at 10:15 pm |
  2. Galaxy Prime

    I really believe that when they show on TV Obama or Romney supporters waving banners and cheering for their respective candidate, a small percentage of them will vote differently in the polling booth – but they will never admit to it.

    September 9, 2012 10:15 pm at 10:15 pm |
  3. Lionel

    Comparing the Republican and Democratic conventions, I am not surprised. Obama, Biden, Michelle, Clinton, Julian Castro and many others were awesome.

    The Republicans left a big mess for Obama and all they did was complain that he did not clean it up fast enough.

    Folks, do not give the Republicans the keys to the White House again. Just look at the diversity at the Democratic convention, now that's what I am talking about.

    Obama has changed a lot of things and saved us from another great depression which the Repubtards don't want to hear.

    Obama / Biden 2012

    September 9, 2012 10:16 pm at 10:16 pm |
  4. RSVP

    I think the American public is finally seeing through the lies and lack of plan by R & R. Americans are adults and want to hear the truth. It's insulting how Romney and Ryan have lied looking us straight in the eye. They talk down to us like we will be better off with them. Just trust them yet they have not revealed the details of their plans. What loop holes are they going to close if they are elected? I want to know before the election, not afterwards. Then it's too late. And no, I don't trust them and won't vote for them. It's not good for me or the rest of the USA.

    September 9, 2012 10:16 pm at 10:16 pm |
  5. Because Obama Cares!

    , Because The President of The United States spoke out loud and clear. President Obama is genuine and I believe he cares about creating opportunities for all Americans, even those who dislike him. : ) Wow, Obama Cares!

    September 9, 2012 10:17 pm at 10:17 pm |
  6. RSVP

    Congratulations, Mr. President. It sounds like the American public is listening to you and to the liars. Good for you.

    September 9, 2012 10:18 pm at 10:18 pm |
  7. RSVP

    High five!

    September 9, 2012 10:19 pm at 10:19 pm |
  8. Marie

    Will the new voter I.D. laws in some states get Romney elected? We know the republicans are going to pull out all the stops.

    September 9, 2012 10:19 pm at 10:19 pm |
  9. tom

    No amount of money will sell a defective candidate. Ann Coulter was correct, if the RNC runs Mitt Romney, Obama will win. She knew Romney would not hold up under presidential scrutiny – there were too many skeletons in the closet from the begining.

    September 9, 2012 10:19 pm at 10:19 pm |
  10. Anonymous

    In 2008, Dems had a 7.5% voter registration advantage, and in 2010 that shrunk to a 1.5% margin but they still lost the House...big time. As of July'12, the repubs enjoy a 4.5% voter registration advantage over the Dems. The % of voters who are registered as replublicans is at an all time record high.
    Yet these polls say whatever they saw....they must be oversampling democrats based on last presidential cycle.
    I wonder why they would do that?

    September 9, 2012 10:21 pm at 10:21 pm |
  11. Anthony A

    And yet this doesn't matter as only 6-7 states will really decide who wins and the rest of us don't really matter.

    September 9, 2012 10:21 pm at 10:21 pm |
  12. martin

    Well, not surprised. If conventions were football games the score would be like: DEMS 48 GOP: 0

    September 9, 2012 10:22 pm at 10:22 pm |
  13. khaleeshi

    My vote is for President Obama

    Obama/Biden 2012

    September 9, 2012 10:22 pm at 10:22 pm |
  14. gmenfan54

    This is the beginning of the end for Romney.

    September 9, 2012 10:23 pm at 10:23 pm |
  15. Maria

    Thank God

    September 9, 2012 10:24 pm at 10:24 pm |
  16. chupacabra

    I'm tellin ya...people are afraid of republicans....after what Bush did to this countrys creditability socialy,moraly,financialy it's a wonder there are as many republicans as there. Bush hate runs deep and our nation hasn't healed yet.

    September 9, 2012 10:26 pm at 10:26 pm |
  17. mgrgurich

    ruh roh elroy! The Mittanic doesn't have any lifeboats!

    September 9, 2012 10:27 pm at 10:27 pm |
  18. DJESQ

    As an Independent, I say ABO ...

    ... alas, the American people are no longer the sharpest tools in the shed ...

    ... ... too much "Dancing with the Stars" and not enough American History ...
    .

    September 9, 2012 10:30 pm at 10:30 pm |
  19. KK

    I am not surprised. I still don't know what and how Romney is cutting the deficits and give tax cuts. What loop holes does he plan to close. If they knew, why didn't Ryan in Congress propose them over the last 10 years?

    September 9, 2012 10:31 pm at 10:31 pm |
  20. RT

    And hopefully the "arithmetic" will help widen President's Obama's lead over this last stretch right into the polls. The idea of further austerity without raising revenue sounds like a bad plan for average Americans–but of course mega-corporations and the wealthiest Americans will make off like bandits.

    September 9, 2012 10:32 pm at 10:32 pm |
  21. Tired

    Im not sure it matters who is elected some of us will benefit,some of won't,and a lot will be bleeped either way.

    September 9, 2012 10:33 pm at 10:33 pm |
  22. GDaddy

    It comes as no surprise that Obama will improve in the poll's. It takes more than 4 years to fix what was messed up in 8!! It really is simple math. Also as a Canadian watching the US elections it is really easy to choose between someone like Obama vs. someone who looks as trustworthy as a crooked used car salesman. Romney does not want to show his full deck of cards to the registered voters as they will surely see they have been stacked with corporate lobbyists and millionaires. He cares about nothing more than his and other rich peoples wallets. Sooner or later his type will realize if you have no middle class you will not have what you have stolen from them without them.

    May Obama be re-elected and continue on the morally correct but difficult road to recovery.

    September 9, 2012 10:34 pm at 10:34 pm |
  23. America1st

    All I want is to trust the man who is President of the United States. And when I see a guy who flat out refuses to be honest with the American people and simply show his tax records and SHOW once and for all, precisely what he claims he does versus what he actually does. Then I'll know who to vote for – right now, it ABSOLUTELY has to be Obama because I get a terrible sensation from Romney that he just can't be trusted to do the right thing for me, or my fellow Americans.

    September 9, 2012 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  24. Don't Waste Time

    When Bill Clinton indicated in his DNC convention meeting that he had accomplished because he was able to lead and able to work with republicans. He indirectly stated that Obama was not able to deliver all Clinton did due to lack of leadership and negation skills of the President. Why do we want to keep him in the office when he had failed?

    September 9, 2012 10:36 pm at 10:36 pm |
  25. Rennes11

    I fully support Obama and Biden. I explain all the programs they've succeeded to get to help us in the middle class. I explain that the numbers aren't clear because you don't really know some of the factors. When I explain that to independents and those sitting on the fence, they say it makes sense to re-elect Obama.

    It is a good thing we like more than we hate. Obama and Biden 2012

    September 9, 2012 10:36 pm at 10:36 pm |
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