Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney
September 9th, 2012
08:39 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney

(CNN) - Three days after the Democratic convention wrapped up, President Barack Obama opened up his largest margin over Mitt Romney since early July in Gallup's daily tracking poll.

According to the poll released Sunday, Obama has 49% among registered voters nationwide, while Romney has 44%.

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The survey was conducted September 2-8, a time window that included the entirety of the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina-as well as two days before and two days after the event.

During the party gathering, major leaders, including former President Bill Clinton, gave prime time speeches on why voters should elect Obama to a second term. The president himself capped off the week Thursday night with a final address.

"If you turn away now - if you buy into the cynicism that the change we fought for isn't possible, well, change will not happen," Obama said, depicting a scenario in which special interests and conservative politicians run Washington and the country. "... Only you can make sure that doesn't happen. Only you have the power to move us forward."

The same poll showed Obama with only a one-point margin (47%-46%) one week ago as he headed into the convention, which came a week after the Republican convention in Tampa, Florida.

Responding to the new numbers, Romney's pollster Neil Newhouse warned against getting "too worked up about the latest polling."

"While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama Presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race," Newhouse said in a statement.

According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Tuesday, Romney received a one point bounce after the GOP event, going from 47% to 48% compared to Obama's 49%.

The last time Obama held a five-point margin over Romney occurred on July 1, when the president had 48% and Romney had 43%.

While it's not unusual for a candidate to get a modest boost in the polls after a convention, a senior Obama campaign official said last week that big swings are becoming less common due to conventions now falling so late in the election year.

Speaking with CNN reporters in Charlotte, the official said candidates no longer get double-digit bounces, like the 16-point bump Clinton received after the 1992 convention in New York. Because of higher interest early on and long primary seasons, the "process is fundamentally different" now so that voters get exposed to the candidates much sooner and form their opinions before the conventions.

For the poll, Gallup surveyed approximately 3,050 registered voters by telephone. The sampling error is plus or minus two percentage points.


– CNN's Tom Cohen contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Democratic National Convention • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (219 Responses)
  1. Bill in Florida

    Yes! Forward! Obama/Biden 2012!

    September 9, 2012 11:11 pm at 11:11 pm |
  2. NotFooledByDistractions

    And...Obama's approval rating is up to 52%, whereas Mr. Romney is still upside down. BTW, the 1.9% bounce romney got following the aarp convention, er...republican convention is gone now.

    September 9, 2012 11:11 pm at 11:11 pm |
  3. Grundoon

    Yes! We still can!!.

    September 9, 2012 11:13 pm at 11:13 pm |
  4. Sandy

    That's good news for President Obama. But my evaluation of our President would be much higher, considering the mess he inherited from the previous administration.

    September 9, 2012 11:14 pm at 11:14 pm |
  5. G

    Obviously Barry Os the king!!

    September 9, 2012 11:15 pm at 11:15 pm |
  6. sparky

    How about the margin of error?

    September 9, 2012 11:17 pm at 11:17 pm |
  7. rude

    Too much birther, muslim issues by the GOPers. And what do they spout in their ads? You didn't build that??? They think independent voters are as dumb as they are!!! Just because the mindless minnions believe the "You didn't Build that" garbage they think ALL voters will be likewise fooled.

    September 9, 2012 11:18 pm at 11:18 pm |
  8. proudmemberofglobalzero

    Checked out your map and am a little confused. Basically in Ohio, according to PPP 15% in Ohio think Mitt Romney is the one that carried out the raid that killed OBL. 47% were not sure which left few that think PBO did. This was a poll of Republicans....really?!?

    September 9, 2012 11:18 pm at 11:18 pm |
  9. Ricardo Williams

    Romney is such a flip flopper who stands for everything and nothing at the same time. We'll never get to meet the real Romney because he is held captive by Paul Ryan and the Tea Party.

    September 9, 2012 11:21 pm at 11:21 pm |
  10. paco

    This would seem to be a big bump given the current context and late timing of conventions. Romney should be worried. Yes, debates and unforeseen surprises can reverse this course. Let's see how it holds up pending the next poll which is entirely post-convention.

    September 9, 2012 11:22 pm at 11:22 pm |
  11. John

    Of course he is ahead... The dnc put out a sane and realistic response to the flip flopping and offensive gop..It is going to be a landslide!

    September 9, 2012 11:25 pm at 11:25 pm |
  12. ClaudiaL

    This is good news for Pres. Obama, but even better news for Americans. Mitt Romney is becoming as unpredictable as the Texas weather. Being an opportunist for over a decade & bending with the electorate in order to get elected, I don't think Romney knows what he stands for. We, the people, know what Pres. Obama stands for & I truly believe he stands for what is good for the people.

    September 9, 2012 11:25 pm at 11:25 pm |
  13. sherman

    among registered voters, yes but what about with the electoral college?

    September 9, 2012 11:26 pm at 11:26 pm |
  14. KC Yankee

    Blood in the water around Mittens. Read Hunter S. Thompson if you want to see what's going to happen next.

    September 9, 2012 11:26 pm at 11:26 pm |
  15. Emmittkitty

    The majority of Americans identify with the path Obama has taken. There are bumps in the road; mainly the trashed economy Obama inherited and the current do nothing republican congress. Elect Obama and kick the obstructionist republicans out so America can get moving.

    September 9, 2012 11:28 pm at 11:28 pm |
  16. enuff

    BUT where was Romney's bump?

    September 9, 2012 11:31 pm at 11:31 pm |
  17. Paul Williamson

    Romney has yet to explain(1) how he is going to reduce the deficit by increasing DoD's budget and cutting taxes for the rich and corporations, and eliminating capital gains, dividens, and eestate taxes; unless the middle class and poor pay more taxes (2500/yr per person) or medicare, medicaid and social security are seriously cut (30% or more); (2) how eliminating regulations and taxes on corporations are going to create any middle-class jobs. Reducing taxes on corporations in the US will not impact outsourcing to India and China; corporations do that to get a lower labor rate ($2/hour instead of $10/hr)not to reduce taxes, and thus they can cut costs and increase profits,. Apple is sitting on $100 B in cash they will invest in China; if their taxes went down so they were sitting on $120 B in cash, does anyone anyone think this would change their mind and they would create new manufacturing jobs in the US? No, they would just invest more in China. Obama has a plan for tax credits if corporations and small businesses create new jobs in the US, or raise employee salaries; this will immediately help the middle class and the poor with more jobs and higher pay, which will result in more consumer spending, which will in turn help the corporations to make more profit. It is consumer demand, which requires money in the hands of middle class and poor, that determines the health of our economy. Favorable balance of trade and exports will also help. .

    September 9, 2012 11:31 pm at 11:31 pm |
  18. Katy

    Yay! Great news! Obama 2012!

    September 9, 2012 11:34 pm at 11:34 pm |
  19. JASON

    I am disappointed in Obama for still pandering to the NAFTA crowd. But I also understand that bring Bush back in the ehite house is definitely not the solution. A vote for Mitt is vote for Bush without the compassion factor

    September 9, 2012 11:35 pm at 11:35 pm |
  20. McIver3

    Democrats, enjoy the post-convention surge while you can. Republicans will catch up. People will see the truth in spite of Obama's lies to you. Obama said last time:

    “I will be held accountable. You know, I've got four years. A year from now, I think people are gonna see that we're starting to make some progress, but there's still gonna be some pain out there. If I don't this done in three years, then there's gonna be a one-term proposition.”
    -Barak Obama 2/2/2009

    September 9, 2012 11:35 pm at 11:35 pm |
  21. Terri

    Well Obama is right we can not give up now! Do people really even pay attention to what Romney and Ryan says! He does not care about the average person! If Obama was not black than so many people would be more willing to vote for him instead of this obvious elitist. People cant even admit to themselves just how racist they are being. Its really sad that in this day and age people still ignore the truth when its right in front of them

    September 9, 2012 11:38 pm at 11:38 pm |
  22. Anonymous

    I've never been on the fence like I am with this one.

    September 9, 2012 11:40 pm at 11:40 pm |
  23. Herman Munster

    This is just TREMENDOUS!

    September 9, 2012 11:44 pm at 11:44 pm |
  24. moonghaelela

    Meaningless numbers. What is going to count are the one's who actually vote.

    September 9, 2012 11:45 pm at 11:45 pm |
  25. bill davis

    As the poor improve their standard of living the middle class find their home have dropped in value 40%, and their saving accounts pay no interest...Spread the wealth is good for our poor, and bad for the middle class...

    Tax them all to death, and let run the debt to the roof...let our young kids pay for US....

    September 9, 2012 11:49 pm at 11:49 pm |
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