Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney
September 9th, 2012
08:39 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney

(CNN) - Three days after the Democratic convention wrapped up, President Barack Obama opened up his largest margin over Mitt Romney since early July in Gallup's daily tracking poll.

According to the poll released Sunday, Obama has 49% among registered voters nationwide, while Romney has 44%.

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The survey was conducted September 2-8, a time window that included the entirety of the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina-as well as two days before and two days after the event.

During the party gathering, major leaders, including former President Bill Clinton, gave prime time speeches on why voters should elect Obama to a second term. The president himself capped off the week Thursday night with a final address.

"If you turn away now - if you buy into the cynicism that the change we fought for isn't possible, well, change will not happen," Obama said, depicting a scenario in which special interests and conservative politicians run Washington and the country. "... Only you can make sure that doesn't happen. Only you have the power to move us forward."

The same poll showed Obama with only a one-point margin (47%-46%) one week ago as he headed into the convention, which came a week after the Republican convention in Tampa, Florida.

Responding to the new numbers, Romney's pollster Neil Newhouse warned against getting "too worked up about the latest polling."

"While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama Presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race," Newhouse said in a statement.

According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Tuesday, Romney received a one point bounce after the GOP event, going from 47% to 48% compared to Obama's 49%.

The last time Obama held a five-point margin over Romney occurred on July 1, when the president had 48% and Romney had 43%.

While it's not unusual for a candidate to get a modest boost in the polls after a convention, a senior Obama campaign official said last week that big swings are becoming less common due to conventions now falling so late in the election year.

Speaking with CNN reporters in Charlotte, the official said candidates no longer get double-digit bounces, like the 16-point bump Clinton received after the 1992 convention in New York. Because of higher interest early on and long primary seasons, the "process is fundamentally different" now so that voters get exposed to the candidates much sooner and form their opinions before the conventions.

For the poll, Gallup surveyed approximately 3,050 registered voters by telephone. The sampling error is plus or minus two percentage points.


– CNN's Tom Cohen contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Democratic National Convention • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (219 Responses)
  1. bspurloc

    mittens doesnt have enough money to buy the delegates needed to win.....
    TAX RETURNS PLEASE....

    September 9, 2012 11:54 pm at 11:54 pm |
  2. BlackDynamite

    After the debates, the lead should be double-digits.....
    BD

    September 9, 2012 11:55 pm at 11:55 pm |
  3. escher7

    The closer the election the more reality sets in. Come November, folks will realize trusting an unknown and scary candidate in times like these is folly.

    September 9, 2012 11:56 pm at 11:56 pm |
  4. migeli

    Lively discussion!

    September 9, 2012 11:57 pm at 11:57 pm |
  5. John Balbi

    More lies by the left. Romney is far ahead of Obama. The internet traffic has been turning in favor of Romney over the last 3 months. I have been tracking right and left wing sites and the comments made have been turning in favor of Romney by four to one. Obama is in big trouble.

    September 10, 2012 12:00 am at 12:00 am |
  6. ghost

    Romney is going to have to start hitting below the belt if he doesn't want to choke on Obama's dust.

    September 10, 2012 12:03 am at 12:03 am |
  7. MediaSELLS

    Not surprising. One's a real guy, the other is a shady corporate puppet who doesn't pay his taxes and won't show them because he invests in other countries before he even looks at America... which he'll run into the ground like he made his career at Bain doing so and reaping the benefits. Seriously people, not even the GOP likes him... they're just putting him out there because the nominees were as big a joke as Palin – And if you think Obama hasn't done anything, you should probably ask yourself who's been filibustering EVERY SINGLE EFFORT HE'S TRIED and WHY when they have NEVER come up with a better idea..!

    September 10, 2012 12:07 am at 12:07 am |
  8. His Eminence

    As an Independent and in a group of independents, i can say that while me and my fellow group members were undecided before the conventions, some of us (most actually) now lean toward the President. In the group I'm in we have 20 Independents, after the DNC, now 13 of our Independents lean towards Obama. What made me and some of the others start to lean was President Clinton's speech. He explained everything, literally.

    September 10, 2012 12:11 am at 12:11 am |
  9. Rex

    Isn't it true that Axelrod threatens Gallop if Obama is NOT ahead in the polls. YES, It's true. It doesn't matter if Obama is ahead. As long as liberals envision it as such. Al Gore was ahead of Bush on 7 NOV 2000 according to polls, then didn't win.

    September 10, 2012 12:13 am at 12:13 am |
  10. Bob Smith

    Big deal. Jimmy Carter was up around 20 points against Reagan two months before the election. We all know how that turned out.

    September 10, 2012 12:17 am at 12:17 am |
  11. roadkilled

    Yawn! The betting odds were 2:1 for Obama all along. Nothing new, here.

    September 10, 2012 12:19 am at 12:19 am |
  12. DP

    People need to realize that they need to reelect someone who really cares for them vs. someone who flip flops just to be elected. Just today Romney says that the budget issues were a mistake and that he would also favor keeping parts of Obamacare.

    WOW! WOW!! WOW!! Just a few days/weeks back he said with a straight face that he would repeal Obamacare altogether. How can you trust Romney, you can't tell if he is truthful now, vs. before? People are finally realizing the truth and electing someone who is trying hard to improve the lives of the middle class in our country!!

    September 10, 2012 12:22 am at 12:22 am |
  13. zflynn

    This term there will be no reason to try and hamstring him-there's no re-election at stake. Still, they may try to sabotage him to give a Republican a better chance against the future Democrat candidate.
    Well, maybe, just maybe, the too many who are so obviously hung up on his skin color and won't admit it will learn a lesson in humility when they realize he really does want to help the middle and poorer classes, which is more helpful than a lot of empty words as more money is given to the rich, more corporations are allowed to do whatever makes them a buck screw everything else, more awful contrived wars are started which are THE BIGGEST drain on the economy and humanity.
    Maybe, just maybe the hysterical, angry and not overly educated nor informed will join the race.
    The human race.

    September 10, 2012 12:28 am at 12:28 am |
  14. Leonore H. Dvorkin

    Obama/Biden 2012! Obama is very far ahead of Romney on Intrade.

    September 10, 2012 12:31 am at 12:31 am |
  15. Lenny Pincus

    538 has Romney with an under 20% chance of winning.

    For good reason. Go to Youtube and search:

    MITT ROMNEY IS NOT FIT TO BE PRESIDENT

    September 10, 2012 12:38 am at 12:38 am |
  16. Bob Farrell

    I'm still disappointed with the answers during Ryan's interview on Face the Nation - which he didn't.

    September 10, 2012 12:41 am at 12:41 am |
  17. Zwei Stein

    Yes!

    September 10, 2012 12:42 am at 12:42 am |
  18. Socrates

    Romney made two big mistakes. He doesn't want to show his income taxes of the last ten years and his choice for VP was wrong. Paul Ryan is a loose canon. He is scaring people.

    September 10, 2012 12:44 am at 12:44 am |
  19. Pablo

    Bull, the race is even at best for Obama. He will not survive for a second term because he isn't fit for the position.

    September 10, 2012 12:57 am at 12:57 am |
  20. AmesIA

    Romney is past the "get to know me" point and well, he has the leg of the GOP that would eat glass before voting across the aisle and most of the rest are not getting a better impression the more they know. Go home Mitt – to CA, MI, the Cayman's, MA, wherever...just go.

    September 10, 2012 01:00 am at 1:00 am |
  21. Tad

    This is not a bounce. It is the beginning of the end for R-R. They've had up until now to develop a routine. They chose to be dishonest and try to convince people that the country is headed in the wrong direction, and that the 2007-2008 trickle-down implosion never happened. Clearly the wrong direction occurred 2001-2009 and Americans still have that taste in their mouth. No need for a re-run of that just yet.

    September 10, 2012 01:05 am at 1:05 am |
  22. Harry From Pa

    Don't worry Obama's lead will get bigger, Mitt just bucked his party, and is starting back in to his flip flop ways again.

    September 10, 2012 01:07 am at 1:07 am |
  23. Bill

    The only "change" I have seen since Obama became president is that I have been laid off from a 50k a year job to a similar job that pays less than $35k a year. Thanks

    September 10, 2012 01:09 am at 1:09 am |
  24. MessiahNoMo

    Why does it seem like Obama is constantly shouting, yelling at us. With the exception of interviews, he never misses a chance to burst his jugulars at us. I feel so sick of being talked at, shouted at, yelled at.

    September 10, 2012 01:11 am at 1:11 am |
  25. Tom in San Diego

    I truly wish we as the viewing public could honestly know if a poll or a newservice relationship was completely accurate. I was taught in grad school that any poll could be easily manipulated just by the demographic and base you laid the foundation of the poll upon....Its seems to me, that when reading an article from an already left leaning service and then consider an associated poll it simple cannot represent anything accurate. One thing is for sure, on November 15th, we will know, assuming there are no crooks in the mix...

    September 10, 2012 01:12 am at 1:12 am |
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