Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney
September 9th, 2012
08:39 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney

(CNN) - Three days after the Democratic convention wrapped up, President Barack Obama opened up his largest margin over Mitt Romney since early July in Gallup's daily tracking poll.

According to the poll released Sunday, Obama has 49% among registered voters nationwide, while Romney has 44%.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.

The survey was conducted September 2-8, a time window that included the entirety of the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina-as well as two days before and two days after the event.

During the party gathering, major leaders, including former President Bill Clinton, gave prime time speeches on why voters should elect Obama to a second term. The president himself capped off the week Thursday night with a final address.

"If you turn away now - if you buy into the cynicism that the change we fought for isn't possible, well, change will not happen," Obama said, depicting a scenario in which special interests and conservative politicians run Washington and the country. "... Only you can make sure that doesn't happen. Only you have the power to move us forward."

The same poll showed Obama with only a one-point margin (47%-46%) one week ago as he headed into the convention, which came a week after the Republican convention in Tampa, Florida.

Responding to the new numbers, Romney's pollster Neil Newhouse warned against getting "too worked up about the latest polling."

"While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama Presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race," Newhouse said in a statement.

According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Tuesday, Romney received a one point bounce after the GOP event, going from 47% to 48% compared to Obama's 49%.

The last time Obama held a five-point margin over Romney occurred on July 1, when the president had 48% and Romney had 43%.

While it's not unusual for a candidate to get a modest boost in the polls after a convention, a senior Obama campaign official said last week that big swings are becoming less common due to conventions now falling so late in the election year.

Speaking with CNN reporters in Charlotte, the official said candidates no longer get double-digit bounces, like the 16-point bump Clinton received after the 1992 convention in New York. Because of higher interest early on and long primary seasons, the "process is fundamentally different" now so that voters get exposed to the candidates much sooner and form their opinions before the conventions.

For the poll, Gallup surveyed approximately 3,050 registered voters by telephone. The sampling error is plus or minus two percentage points.


- CNN's Tom Cohen contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Democratic National Convention • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (219 Responses)
  1. hi

    Nice. First coment

    September 10, 2012 01:14 am at 1:14 am |
  2. wesley

    Once the big debates start, romney will lucky if he's even in the 30's. those debates will spell the end of romney and ryan. its his big mouth that will do it in for him. flip floping on everything, well today I say yes, the next day I say no. then I say im half and half. No one Knows what he is REALLY plotting. I mean come on people when you have to

    1. buy tweets so people will think your not such a bad guy
    2. block the peoples votes in battleground states
    3. have US territories in front row at the RNC chanting, which they were paid to do
    4. have your wife come out and say what a good husband and business man you are
    5. covering up your crooked past
    6. making back room deals with the koch bro's
    7. your energy plan only includes oil and coal, and all states who use others will punished
    8. have to bring out a white board to show everyone your senior health plan is better
    9. have to have clint eastwood talk to a chair
    10. have to take a week or 2 and practise for 1 debate
    YOU'VE HAD IT. YOUR DONE. END OF STORY

    September 10, 2012 01:19 am at 1:19 am |
  3. paul

    as per ted kennedy 'multiple choice' mitt is now 'obama' too as he will retain 'parts of obamacare'. meaning: any bump obama recives can be claimed by mitt romney.

    September 10, 2012 01:25 am at 1:25 am |
  4. cryslas

    There were over 19 debates by Republican Presidentatial candidates this year. Coming this October there will only be 3 between Obama and Romney. Seems to me, there should have been far fewer debates by the hopefuls and many more for any would-be President. I hope everyone will try to watch these and use several sources to make their decisions, so that Americans will vote with intelligence and thoughtfulness. There couldn't be a more important election!

    September 10, 2012 01:26 am at 1:26 am |
  5. Sloan

    This comes at no surprise really. There are LOTS of Republicans out there, however, I think Democrats will come out on top this election.

    September 10, 2012 01:29 am at 1:29 am |
  6. Bob

    We hear the word impossible in this country so often Americans are starting to believe it. It would be impossible to get all the guns off the street. It isn't in other countries. Why should it be impossible here? It's impossible to have national health care here, like every other western industrialized country has. Why should this be so? Is it for the same reason that it is impossible for us to be number one in education or creativity? If something simply cannot be done for some reason or another it very well might be impossible. But things that are done routinely are clearly possible. Saying that something is not possible in this country is a form or spin doctoring used by word weasels. It is used to draw attention from the fact that things like gun control and national health care are clearly possible, that in fact they are the norm in the greater world out there. There was a time when it was impossible to sail around the world, to fly, to break the sound barrier, to go into space, to rebel against England, to understand life and its origins, to split the atom, to clone a living being, to transplant a heart, except they all turned out to be possible in the end and are now taken for granted by us, just like national health care and gun control are outside of the United States. So the next time someone tells you something is impossible ask them if it has ever been done by anyone, anywhere. And if it has, ask them why it should be impossible to do here. The answer in the above instances is that it is very profitable for special interest groups to keep things the way they are, and so they tell us it would be impossible to make a change. Rubbish. It would be undesirable for the people who are making a killing on more and more killings, but it is definitely, absolutely, positively not impossible. Obama knows this. Keep him in office and let him keep trying to do the impossible. Since everything he wants to do is ultimately possible and has already been achieved by the rest of the civilized world, he might even succeed.

    September 10, 2012 01:29 am at 1:29 am |
  7. zutux

    "Obama expands advantage over Romney"
    Wrong! No one expanded. Romney shrunk like a new Wool sweater after a hot wash and dry.

    September 10, 2012 01:34 am at 1:34 am |
  8. Bob

    Romney never stood a chance to begin with. Not only, that, Romney was on TV today talking about keeping parts of Obamacare and not wanting to stick with the budget deal that the Republicans made. Romney is toast.

    September 10, 2012 01:36 am at 1:36 am |
  9. bgg1175

    Great news!!! We have a struggling economy, yes but that doesnt mean we automatically hand the White House to the Rich Man's pick.

    September 10, 2012 01:38 am at 1:38 am |
  10. Chris

    I think it is rather unfortunate that we've ended up voting on the parties as opposed to the individual. Even though I support Obama, I would have had to make a tough decision if Romney or even McCain were just straight up with their message, policies and plans. As it is, I can rally only vote based on my trust of either the Dems or Repubs, and with the way things have been going, that goes for the Dems.

    And as for the "Independents", unfortunately the reality is I'd rather make sure the lesser of the two evils gets in, than the greater evil get in just because I wanted to make a message.

    September 10, 2012 01:39 am at 1:39 am |
  11. Name

    Keep going strong president obama the people are listen it is all most over four more years

    September 10, 2012 01:42 am at 1:42 am |
  12. Jonathan Burton

    The opinions of the electorate are already set for most as we know, when it comes to Barack Obama. They have by and large become acquainted with him over the last 4 years or so. Romney on the other hand has not had a whole lot of luck making himself presentable and likable to us lower people. His wife puts her silver foot in her mouth without careful scripting. The more Romney is introduced to the American people, the more they will have to stand him up against Obama, and that is when they will discover that Romney can
    t measure up to Barack Obama.

    September 10, 2012 01:43 am at 1:43 am |
  13. Lee

    Those that were inclined to HATE Obama after a campaign of 4 years of misinformation, lies and racist code on Fox "News", hate radio and e-mails sent by angry old guys, already DO! They will not find NEW people to buy into all that nonsense.

    So the battle lines will now remain fairly rigid, even as the Koch brothers pour millions into ads, and a smallish swing of 3 or 4 points like this is a major move. There won't be many bigger.

    September 10, 2012 01:45 am at 1:45 am |
  14. Facepalm28

    Well, guess that answers who did better at their convention. Now on the the debates, where Obama will deal Romney the deathblow.

    September 10, 2012 01:53 am at 1:53 am |
  15. Sam

    It's all a manufactured puppet gov and media feeding the American sheeple the disinformation and minipulating them all

    September 10, 2012 01:55 am at 1:55 am |
  16. tadesse

    we will see romney going down after the debate.

    September 10, 2012 01:59 am at 1:59 am |
  17. william

    I love good news!

    September 10, 2012 01:59 am at 1:59 am |
  18. willardhater

    Lincoln would be ashamed of the current Republican tea party...the likes of Bachmann, Gingrich, Palin, Christie, Romney and Ryan...is this the best that they have to offer America. Can you put any of those in the same sentence as Lincoln or Eisenhower?? What a shame. I will be voting for Obama again .

    September 10, 2012 02:02 am at 2:02 am |
  19. Carol

    Wow...That's great! 4 MORE YEARS!!!!!!....He has almost half the country backing him.

    September 10, 2012 02:18 am at 2:18 am |
  20. Reagan80

    Keep this in mind: With the one exception of his 2008 campaign against McCain, Obama has always polled better than he got in the actual vote. Both primaries and general elections. In the 2008 NH primary, he polled to win in a landslide against Hillary and he lost in a landslide in the actual voting.

    September 10, 2012 02:18 am at 2:18 am |
  21. peggy

    And it will get better still.

    September 10, 2012 02:19 am at 2:19 am |
  22. Razorking

    " The Republican party or any political party has got to recognize the problems of a growing and complex industrial civilization. And I don't think the Republican party is really wide awake to that"

    September 10, 2012 02:23 am at 2:23 am |
  23. Kris

    Dear GOP,

    We're very sorry you picked McCain/Paln in 2008. We're very sorry you picked a billionaire-tax-cheater-cultist in 2012. We'll see you agaib in 2016 when you'll pick yet another person out of touch with middle America.

    Signed,
    Average American

    September 10, 2012 02:43 am at 2:43 am |
  24. Kris

    Romney hopes we forgot all about G. Bush Jr....because he's running on the same exact platform. Tax the middle class, tax cuts for the wealthy.

    September 10, 2012 02:51 am at 2:51 am |
  25. dallas.alphonso

    The American people in the middle are not stupid, why should we change from someone that improved the situation to go back to the people who created mess Obama inherited. I have not heard anything except tax cuts from Romney/Ryan, which is why we have a huge deficit. We have had tax cuts for 12 years and it didn't help, it made things worse.

    September 10, 2012 02:58 am at 2:58 am |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9