Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney
September 9th, 2012
08:39 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama expands advantage over Romney

(CNN) - Three days after the Democratic convention wrapped up, President Barack Obama opened up his largest margin over Mitt Romney since early July in Gallup's daily tracking poll.

According to the poll released Sunday, Obama has 49% among registered voters nationwide, while Romney has 44%.

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The survey was conducted September 2-8, a time window that included the entirety of the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina-as well as two days before and two days after the event.

During the party gathering, major leaders, including former President Bill Clinton, gave prime time speeches on why voters should elect Obama to a second term. The president himself capped off the week Thursday night with a final address.

"If you turn away now - if you buy into the cynicism that the change we fought for isn't possible, well, change will not happen," Obama said, depicting a scenario in which special interests and conservative politicians run Washington and the country. "... Only you can make sure that doesn't happen. Only you have the power to move us forward."

The same poll showed Obama with only a one-point margin (47%-46%) one week ago as he headed into the convention, which came a week after the Republican convention in Tampa, Florida.

Responding to the new numbers, Romney's pollster Neil Newhouse warned against getting "too worked up about the latest polling."

"While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama Presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race," Newhouse said in a statement.

According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Tuesday, Romney received a one point bounce after the GOP event, going from 47% to 48% compared to Obama's 49%.

The last time Obama held a five-point margin over Romney occurred on July 1, when the president had 48% and Romney had 43%.

While it's not unusual for a candidate to get a modest boost in the polls after a convention, a senior Obama campaign official said last week that big swings are becoming less common due to conventions now falling so late in the election year.

Speaking with CNN reporters in Charlotte, the official said candidates no longer get double-digit bounces, like the 16-point bump Clinton received after the 1992 convention in New York. Because of higher interest early on and long primary seasons, the "process is fundamentally different" now so that voters get exposed to the candidates much sooner and form their opinions before the conventions.

For the poll, Gallup surveyed approximately 3,050 registered voters by telephone. The sampling error is plus or minus two percentage points.


– CNN's Tom Cohen contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Democratic National Convention • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (219 Responses)
  1. loops808

    It appears that the Obama's administration intimidation of Gallup worked. Not getting much coverage, but their were emails between Axelrod and Gallup in which Axelrod was questioning Gallups methodology after Romney pulled ahead of Obama and Gallup felt they were being intiimidated. The Feds then joined in a lawsuit against Gallup. Now, almost magically despite a dismal 96k job creating in August, Obama is opening a wide lead over Romney. I guess the most reliable pollster is undoubtedly Rassmusen.

    September 10, 2012 03:11 am at 3:11 am |
  2. Johan S

    I can't wait till Obama wipes the floor with Romney at the debates.

    September 10, 2012 03:15 am at 3:15 am |
  3. chuks

    i think that they should give obama chance to proof his point,

    September 10, 2012 03:18 am at 3:18 am |
  4. Mike

    At this point, with Romney ALREADY backing away from his promise to repeal Obamacare, it really doesn't matter who wins. Romney already threw the only reason to vote for him out the window.

    September 10, 2012 03:33 am at 3:33 am |
  5. gregory

    Of course because more are thinking of what they can get from the pandering Dems who no longer follow JFKs advice "Ask not what your country can do for you but what you can do for your country". Dems would call JFK a right-winger today. We're a nation of leeches off the govt.

    September 10, 2012 03:34 am at 3:34 am |
  6. Edy aguilar

    Obama has an edge specially when bill clinton make a speech regarding his agenda.go obama you deserved a second term

    September 10, 2012 03:40 am at 3:40 am |
  7. Phi Thomas

    After that pathetic display the RNC put on in Tampa, no new ideas just attack the President. Never ending barage of lies that got picked up by fact checkers. One day you built that based on distortion, come on. Then they act as if they didn't have a hand in this mess or prolonging it. These guys and their Super Packs will learn in November they can't buy a president, even one as washy washy as Mitts. The America voters won't let the

    September 10, 2012 03:47 am at 3:47 am |
  8. Michael

    I am an Obaama supporter, but even I take these polls with a grain of salt. I do think that the country as a whole trusts Obama over Romney, and the main reason is because Romney has failed to offer ANY solutions to help solve the countries economic issues. Saying that "He wasn't good, and I would have and will be better" isn't going to get him elected. I would guess that 6/10 of the votes Romney will receive will be votes AGAINST Obama rather than for Romney and that won't be enough to win Mitt the preciddency. Most people aren't as cynical as the GOP had hoped, and even though the conditions of the economy will cause this election to be closer than the one in 2008, in the end enough intelligent Americans will propel Obama back into the White House.

    September 10, 2012 03:57 am at 3:57 am |
  9. clare

    President Obama needs another term to clear up the mess on the congressional hill. too many vital issues are pending. the special interests groop has to move out of the way to save needed programs. congress has tro work with president Obama.

    September 10, 2012 04:04 am at 4:04 am |
  10. stonesrule

    Apparently Axelrod's threats against polling outfits are working....

    September 10, 2012 04:16 am at 4:16 am |
  11. crazeelegs

    Mitt, your lies aren't working. You will continue to get more deperate and will go to any length, including more attack ads and even more lies. Your ads have been proven to be untruth by factcheckers, but you simply refuse to tell America the truth. It is getting panic time for you and the debates will further the President Obama's lead.

    Nice try, Mitt, but America wants to continue to move forward and not to return to more tax cuts and policies that benefit you and your rich cronies only. You will soon be free to sail under your Cayman flag to the islands to count your money. Continue to believe you will be a 'God' in the hereafter and think you will be given your own planet. Good bye. You will not be missed.

    September 10, 2012 04:16 am at 4:16 am |
  12. Ivette M Alvarez

    I am a Ronald Reagan republ ican; have always voted for the party line up to the 2008 election.. This year for the first time in my life I will vote fo ggiving -President Obama 4 more years to continue the great job he started .I do not approve of the way the Repoblicans have behaved towards his plans & believe in his implemented programs. he is getting my vote this year..Good job President Obama O God bless you & your family..

    September 10, 2012 04:29 am at 4:29 am |
  13. Samuel Ehis Irabor

    The American people will finally see Romney and Ryan for who they trully are – bigots who are more keen in seeing the back of Obama than having cogent plans to move America forward.
    - Samuel Ehis Irabor, Makurdi,
    Benue State, Nigeria.

    September 10, 2012 04:39 am at 4:39 am |
  14. hal

    The poll consisted of Democrats.....

    September 10, 2012 05:01 am at 5:01 am |
  15. Anonymous

    Lets vote already. Obama win 48 to 17

    September 10, 2012 05:11 am at 5:11 am |
  16. Walt

    America: BETTER OFF WITH President Obama.

    September 10, 2012 05:24 am at 5:24 am |
  17. Republican voting for Obama

    Obama is far from perfect, but he's better than the R&R option

    September 10, 2012 05:26 am at 5:26 am |
  18. jonat

    Carter was 4 points up on Reagan September 1980 and 8 points up in October of the same year...we all know the outcome

    September 10, 2012 05:41 am at 5:41 am |
  19. aurelius

    What this poll shows is that there is still 44% of Americans who are rich, or plain prejudiced, racist and bigot.

    September 10, 2012 05:46 am at 5:46 am |
  20. mike t

    Jimmy Carter led Reagan by 7 at this point in the election.We all know how that one turned out do we not?

    September 10, 2012 05:54 am at 5:54 am |
  21. Bart

    I guest it's the electorate fault. Twice believing in Obama's lies puts the blame on them and not on Obama. Obama can't help himself since he is a habitual liar. Listen, if you can, to his own words/speeches.

    September 10, 2012 06:01 am at 6:01 am |
  22. Kalashnikova

    So far, Romney and Ryan have alienated true fiscal conservatives (eliminating taxes on investment income and giving the ultra-rich yet another tax break will NOT balance the budget), women (birth control and "forcible"/"legitimate" rape), and people who hate liars.

    Of course Obama's rising in the polls; a dead dog by the side of the road looks good compared to these nutcases.

    September 10, 2012 06:04 am at 6:04 am |
  23. Bill the Cat

    Polls are funny...

    September 10, 2012 06:09 am at 6:09 am |
  24. margo

    Of course his points are up, he throws the loudest party with the best music to get everyone riled. He kept all the best executive orders under wraps to spring them on us for this years elections. He could have passed them all along but why not hold out until now and see what Romney opposes.Notice how he decided just after he announced he was running again, that gays should get married, womans rights were top issue they will bring in abortion rights activists, that he expresses constantly how he was the one who killed Bin Laden not Bush and don't you forget it, obviously a top priority, social security and college for dreamers and illegals under 30 without having to be citizens, teachers recruitment, to name a few issues that were left dragging until election time. Last elections he has gifts for blacks but this year I don't hear as many. All of a sudden everything is getting passed, if you can dream it you will get it with Obama, even if you are white as long as you work on AUTOS.

    September 10, 2012 06:09 am at 6:09 am |
  25. Don't wan't an average Joe in White House

    Frankly, I don't give a hoot how much or how Romney, Obama, or even Clinton made their money since it doesn't affect me nor do I want to have beer with any of them.... it is not like any of them will give me money out of their pockets, and when was the last time that you went out to happy hour with your CEO or would ever want to????

    In addition, I don't want to see an average Joe running the country or creating jobs, do you see yourself running the country or trying to create jobs? I want to see the most qualified executive running the country and creating jobs. Obama has his priorities messed up in that what he thinks are important should be the US priorities rather than the US needs being his priorities, which is what a true leader does. Obama missed his leadership 101 class... It's the economy, stupid.... Worked for Bill Clinton; live by the sword, die by the sword.

    Oh yeah, about this blame Bush non-sense, I would be fired in a heart beat if I were brought in to fix a project and I kept blaming my predecessor that it can’t be fixed…. or can’t even make it better…. I don’t see how Obama can talk his way out of it for 4 years, that’s right, for 4 years!!!!

    September 10, 2012 06:26 am at 6:26 am |
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