Team Romney calls surveys showing Obama bounce a 'sugar high'
September 10th, 2012
12:40 PM ET
2 years ago

Team Romney calls surveys showing Obama bounce a 'sugar high'

Washington (CNN) – Polling that indicates a post-convention bounce for President Barack Obama is merely a "sugar high" that will dissipate by the time voters head to the voting booths on Election Day, Mitt Romney's chief pollster wrote in a memo Monday.

"Don't get too worked up about the latest polling," Neil Newhouse wrote, the day after Gallup's Daily Tracking Poll, along with some other surveys, indicated that Obama received a "bounce" after last week's Democratic National Convention. The Gallup poll showed the president opening a five point margin over Romney, and was conducted September 2-8, a time window that included the entirety of the convention in Charlotte, North Carolina-as well as two days before and two days after the event.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.

CNN will release a post-convention poll at 4 p.m. ET Monday, with the numbers debuting on CNN's "The Situation Room" and on the CNN Political Ticker.

In his memo, Newhouse reiterated the Romney campaign's longstanding position that a persistently weak economy would outweigh other factors leading up to November's general election.

"The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama Presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race," Newhouse wrote. He went on to cite disappointing Labor Department figures, released Friday, that showed a job market struggling to rebound.

"President Obama is the only president in modern American history to stand before the American people asking for re-election with this many Americans struggling to find work," Newhouse wrote. "The key numbers in this election are the 43 straight months of 8% or higher unemployment, the 23 million Americans struggling to find work, and the 47 million Americans who are on food stamps."

In an attempt to quell worry among Romney supporters, Newhouse pointed to an expanded map of states the campaign regards as competitive, including Wisconsin and New Mexico. He also cited the Romney campaign's sizable financial advantage over the Democrats.

"All of this is not possible without resources, and the Romney-Ryan campaign and the Republican Party have a real advantage," Newhouse wrote. While the Obama effort revealed Monday they had out-raised Romney and the GOP in August, the Republicans retain their cash-on-hand advantage after months of out-fundraising Democrats.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls
soundoff (75 Responses)
  1. lolo

    @ Terry, believe what you want. Mittens the kittens is a wimp and he only wants to be president because it is a lifelong dream of his for show not to make America better. This man talks out the side of his mouth and when someone does this they are nothing but a big fat liar period.

    September 10, 2012 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  2. Kr55

    The DNC bounce is supposed to just cancel out the RNC bounce. So, we should be back to square 1 right now. Are they admitting the RNC was lousy and didn't have any affect on voters?

    September 10, 2012 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  3. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Your 3-day Obama Hate Fest in Tampa netted you a whopping ONE-POINT bump in the polls.
    In light of that, whatever negative comments you have for the President's FIVE-POINT gain sound like so many sour grapes.

    P.S.
    The enourmous dollar investment you put into your hate and lies fest netted you nothing.
    Prepare yourself to get the same return on your investment with your political ads.

    September 10, 2012 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  4. Wilson

    @Terry, and all the lefties don't mention when Obama changes his mind on something. People get new information and change their opinions every day, including Obama. But it is not "flip-flopping" when he does it. The hypocrisy of the left is simply amazing. They wonder why this country is so divided. It is mostly their fault, though in fairness, it is not entirely their fault, just mostly.

    September 10, 2012 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  5. vic , nashville ,tn

    I read a article in politico yesterday, advice to Romney campaign zip it do some work tell Romney to give speech on his plan with specific

    September 10, 2012 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  6. cnnife

    "post-convention bounce for President Barack Obama is merely a "sugar high" that will dissipate by the time voters head to the voting booths on Election Day, Mitt Romney's chief pollster wrote in a memo Monday"
    REALLY, Wondering whay Mitt did not receive his own measure of sugar high bounce after the RNC convention!

    September 10, 2012 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  7. CanadaONE

    Romney better known as ROB -ME has changed his mind so many times

    WHEN DO YOU KNOW IF HE IS TELLING THE TRUTH ?

    what if Romney gets in THEN changes his mind and delcares the MORMON church THE ONLY "REAL CHURCH" – now that would be a real SUGAR HIGH – more like a narcotic high !

    Canada VOTES OBAMA – we believe in true honesty

    September 10, 2012 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  8. Jane

    ...which is one 'sugar high' more than the Rombot got, both when signing up Ayn Rand, er, I mean, Paul Ryan (not his real last name, incidentally) and/or after the Republican Business Conference in Tampa.

    September 10, 2012 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  9. Independent Voter

    Talk about fox and sour grapes....what a whiny bunch the Grand Old Party has become.

    September 10, 2012 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  10. TY

    Keep talking Mitt, I voted for Obama in 2008 and i will vote for him again. I will not turn my back on him and for those who voted for him in 2008, please don't you either.

    September 10, 2012 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  11. Paul Okoh, Lagos Nigeria

    The trouble with the American economy started under George Bush foLlowed by the global melt down.Obama is on a rescue mission. He deserves a second termm

    September 10, 2012 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  12. NEVER to VOTE REPUBLICAN again

    Romney is just a dream of the rich!
    OBAMA 2012!

    September 10, 2012 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  13. Expat American

    The RNC Hate Fest was the same as it was in 2008. A convention hall of angry people feeding off the negative energy and lies spewed by those on stage.
    It was fun to try to count how many minorities were in the audience; alongside their bloated red faced, Caucasian bigoted brethren. I totaled about 11 for the entire convention. That’s not to say, some may have been counted twice over each day.
    But Clint Eastwood took the cake. All he needed to say was “Why did I come into this room?” Eastwood really took the wind out of Romney’s speech. And it’s hard to take the wind out of a windbag.

    September 10, 2012 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  14. jsmithqwe

    Reagan had an unemployment rate of 7.8% before the start of his second term after the unemployment levels reached 10.8% during his first term.

    And Reagan won his second term by a landslide.

    What's more – tax rates on the rich are lower under Obama than they were under Reagan when Reagan stood for reelection.

    Obama is in for a landslide.

    September 10, 2012 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  15. GI Joe

    All of my family is voting for Obama. And we don't even take sugar in our tea !!!

    September 10, 2012 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
  16. Tree

    Here is the deal the GOP thought that we were stupit. Yea we all not there yet but it is getting better. We do know that GB started this and Obama will clean up their mess. If this is sugar bring it on............ This is bigger than the economy. Its bigger than you Mitt. You are not fit for the 21st century. We don't forget. Pass me the SUGAR please.

    September 10, 2012 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
  17. proud canadian

    I wonder what the republican CNN John King supporter has to say about this on his map? Not forgotting David Gregen who was a consultant for Bain Capital.No matter what Republicans want the world to believe, Obama is still popular worldwide and one of the best US Presidents ever! He polls amazingly high in Canada more than all our politicians.

    September 10, 2012 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  18. Sniffit

    "And Reagan won his second term by a landslide. "

    People on both sides really need to stop trying so hard to compare this all to Reagan's elections in one way or another. There are so many significant substantive differences that it really just looks silly to try to square-peg-round-hole the analogy.

    September 10, 2012 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  19. The Real Tom Paine

    -"FORWARD"...to where..?

    The D-Convention with all those speeches...speaker afer speaker all fired-up with "Deliberated Reidicule Sarcasm" but without a word or call for Unity...attack after attack on the terrible Republicans..but without any specifics or plans to back their slogan "FORWARD" Pres Obama not done yet in his"FIRST' but promises to do it in his "SECOND"......IF????
    Contrary to the Dems Claim....Republicans always had plans going way back...LINCOLN ended slavery...Eisenhower ended segregation...Regan (with Gorbachev's collaboration) ended the cold war....and yes Ryan had a budget-plan in Congress...for the better of worth..which the Dems love to put asunder "WHY"? because the never presented a budget of their own..just attacks....Romney no matter how hard the Dems spin-it never adopted a Ryan-budget..get it!! all Romney did ask Ryan to join his GOP-ticket Romney Is the Presidential candidate who will formulate a"Grand Plan" perhaps in concert with Ryan to put America on the path to a real Recovery...The Romney/Ryan campaign most likely will release the specifics in due course at the right time and place...
    *********************************************************
    Really? The GOP convention was an exercise in national unity? Speech after speech bashing and ridiculing the President, not a mention of policy or how they would unify the country, and topped off by Clint Eastwood's performance art? Please, you should have stopped there. The statement that the GOP has "always had a plan": have you read about Hoover's response to the Crash of 1929? Was his response a plan suitable to the situation? Nixon said he had a plan to end Viet Nam: he did not bother to tell people it involved years of prolonged air attacks at a huge cost in both blood and treasure. The GOP has had no plan to deal with economic problems, only to dismantle the government they have repeatedly attacked as an impediment to the economic freedom of their wealthiest backers. There is no plan from Romney except the one that is the most politically expedient for him. He did endorse the Ryan Budget, and the President has submitted a budget ( he is required by law to submit one) on time every year. Its the GOP that deliberately fosters instability by self-righteously claiming that they bear no responsibility for the mess they handed the President. One final thing: if the situation is as dire as the GOP says it is, than why don't make their plans known and present the voters with a clear choice? Probably because they don't have a plan. Romney has run for the office longer than Obama, yet he still cannot convince people he deserves a shot: why? You don't hand government over to the guy who threw you out of work and pocketed the money with a smile, then tells you he knows what's best for you. Ryan? He's never held a job in the private sector, yet he has no problem with government taking care of him and his family. A pair of hypocrites, spouting a lie they don't even believe, just so they can have something to fill their resume, that's what the GOP is offering as an alternative.

    September 10, 2012 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  20. ghostriter

    Wilson, I think the difference is that people can have a change of heart. People change and their views may as well. However, to have changed on just about every issue, sometimes going back to the original, is nothing but flopping. Especially if it occurs when you notice the other guy getting a "bump" in the polls.

    How else can you explain how Romney was going to get rid of Obamacare in it's entirety, but now he just wants to get rid of some of it. If I was a conservative, I would be mad. But I would also be delusional and probably believe whatever lie created to cover for it.

    September 10, 2012 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  21. Eddie The Barber

    Yes it's a sugar-high and "HOW SWEET IT IS!"

    And how bitter it will be when liers Mitt and Ryan loose in November.

    As far as fundraising goes – I gave $100 to the Obama campaign in August and if I can do it – so can all of you Dems and pro Obama Independents and Republicans out there. We've got to fight off those millionaires and billionaires who are funding Romney and his super pacs. I intend on giving another $100 this month and another in October – so if by chance we do loose to these guys – we know that we did what we could to help out Barack Obama and our cause for fairness and justice. Come on all you pro Obama folks – time to put our money where out hearts are and don't let this be an election won by the wealthy of the far right. Please contribute today – right now – it will make you feel good about youself and your beliefs.

    September 10, 2012 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  22. Let's Talk About Confections

    Neil Newhouse is also the Romney advisor that said: "We're not going to let our campaign be dictated by fact-checkers."

    Maybe what he meant by that statement was that he was actually going to ignore the facts he was seeing in his polling numbers. It seems that Neil Newhouse is quite content now to delude himself that Romney is somehow still going to win on the issue of the economy. Delusional Neil thinks that everybody in America is waiting with rapt attention at the monthly employment numbers (like he apparently is). Listen to the way that Neil is trying to spin the facts now:

    "The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama Presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race."

    I hate to be the one to break the news to Neil, but he's missing the forest for the trees. The problem with Neil's little "ultimate downfall" theory is that there are a large number of Americans who actually are not as stupid as Neil and the Romney campaign seem to think Americans are. It seems the inconvenient truth of the entire matter is that a majority of Americans don't look at the economy and automatically think it is Obama's economy. Quite the opposite, Neil. People still see this economy as Bush's economy, and they see Romney as more of the same old tired ideas with nothing new to offer.

    Neil thinks that America is on a "sugar high" and will come down from it and ultimately blame Obama and vote "anybody but Obama." Unfortunately for Neil, he has got it exactly backwards, and he is actually the one on a sugar high. Why is Neil Newhouse on a sugar high, you ask? Because Neil Newhouse's candidate is Willard Mitt Romney, and Neil has the problem of making that piece of crap taste good to the American people. The problem for Neil is:

    Mitt Romney is like a box of chocolates: You never know what you're going to get.

    September 10, 2012 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  23. Connie

    You supporters are obviously those that I go to work everyday to support and are among those who think you are "entitled".

    I am "entitled" too.......I am entitled to a president that will SUPPORT the Constitution of the United States of America and let me live under those laws. Obama is alllowed to have a website for blacks who support him, buttons that say "vote black and you will never go back". Good for him since he is exercising his right of free speech give to him under our Consitution. Since I have those same rights I want to start a "white people for Romney" website and wear a button that says 'vote white"......how far do you think I will get with that? I have never been a racist but it is getting increasingly more difficut to stay that way.

    September 10, 2012 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  24. Joe from CT, not Lieberman

    Let's see. RNC ends and Willard gets a 2 point bounce that is gone in three days. DNC ends and Barry gets a 7 point bounce that is still there. Great enthusiasm Repubs! Now how do you explain Willard stating that it will take him at least 8 years to fix the economy, even though he complains that Barry couldn't do it in 3.5 years? How do you explain that Willard stated he liked portions of "Obamacare"?

    September 10, 2012 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  25. Tabeth

    Friends,
    just on the basis of how the economy was when Obama took the Office, it is very ridiculous to accuse him after after four years of hard work, i could bite to that in 2016 but not now!
    They want to take the WH and mess again and humper the recovery.......No way!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    September 10, 2012 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
1 2 3