Poll: Obama 47%-Romney 37% in Michigan
September 13th, 2012
12:18 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama 47%-Romney 37% in Michigan

(CNN) - Are the auto bailouts of General Motors and Chrysler motoring President Barack Obama to a lead in the swing state of Michigan?

A new poll indicates President Barack Obama holding a double digit lead over Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the state. According to an EPIC/MRA survey, 47% of likely voters in Michigan support the president, with 37% backing Romney and 16% unsure.

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The poll, done for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV, was conducted Saturday-Tuesday, entirely after the Democratic National Convention, which was held last Tuesday-Thursday, in Charlotte, North Carolina. The auto bailouts were prominently showcased during all three nights of the convention, as was Romney's opposition to Washington's role.

The federal government's assistance of auto giants was started under President George W. Bush in 2008, but the next year Obama grabbed the keys to the program, managing and funding the bailouts of GM and Chrysler. Romney opposed the government bailout and pushed for a privately financed, managed bankruptcy of the two automakers.

The auto bailouts could have an impact on the race in Michigan, home to the domestic auto makers, and in neighboring Ohio, a battleground state which is also a major base for the auto industry.

Some surveys conducted prior to the two parties' political conventions indicated a closer contest in Michigan.

According to the new poll, the president holds a nine point advantage among independent voters, with a very high 37% unsure. The survey also indicates the president holding a two point margin among men and a 16 point lead among women. And Obama has the lead in three crucial suburban counties (Macomb, Oakland, and Wayne) near Detroit.

Romney, and his wife Ann, were both born in Michigan, and Romney's father served as a popular two-term governor of the state in the 1960's.

Romney last campaigned in the state late last month, at a rally with running mate Rep. Paul Ryan in Commerce, Michigan. The president last campaigned in the state in April.

The EPIC/MRA poll was conducted September 8-11, with 600 likely voters in Michigan questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Michigan • Polls
soundoff (52 Responses)
  1. don

    If that is a legit poll color that state BLUE

    September 13, 2012 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  2. Anonymous

    You think this is why Romney had already pulled out of Michigan even before the RNC convention?

    September 13, 2012 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  3. Tim

    The way things are shaping up, I'm beginning to think that Obama will win by a much larger margin than even his campaign could hope for. Why? Because Romney and Ryan keep shooting themselves in the feet with their outlandish and innaccurate statemenst and lackluster convention. Romney's incorrect and inappropriate comment accusing Obama of "apologizing" to Libyans which was NOT TRUE, and completely INAPPROPRIATE.

    September 13, 2012 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  4. oshihidra

    16% unsure? Or 16% Gary Johnson because polls refuse to include him? Likewise for that 37% independents unsure.

    September 13, 2012 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  5. I Voted for Obama in '08!

    Never again a what a mistake - four years of pushing America to fall further, more divided, and supporting people to be resentful of folks who can make it on their own. Yikes. It's like he's doing this to hurt us on purpose.

    September 13, 2012 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  6. DJ

    The problem with this poll, is that it gave ZERO demographic information, and ZERO breakdown of D/R/I

    September 13, 2012 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  7. Rob Charlotte, NC

    I am working for an Automotive Supplier in Charlotte, NC and I havent forgotten the bailout yet. I am most thankful to our president.

    September 13, 2012 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  8. Kenny K

    @Jon

    Interesting ... this is the second blue state poll released today ... is this all the liberals can come up with when 4 days after the DNC convention Obama blows a 8 point lead and now trails Romney in the National polls.
    _________________
    Which national poll are you referring to, and what date?

    September 13, 2012 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  9. 1nsite

    Spin it GOP! What have you got to say about the Faux poll? Don't worry. You still have a month and a half to sink lower.

    September 13, 2012 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  10. murray

    jon- is that all we got??? Buddy- last wk every liberal was probably thinking the same thing i was- why is Rasmussen reporting favorable numbers when we all know how he rolls. The answer... He went with the pack knowing he has little to no credibility left and now a week later he is starting to break back so that he can claim that the bounce is disappearing. Hell even FOX is recording Obama still up by 5. Want more evidence that mittens is on the ropes? Conservatives everywhere are starting to write stories of why he is failing. Even with stupid Sarah the party stayed by her bedside until it was over!!! good luck in 2016- maybe the party can rebuild.

    September 13, 2012 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  11. Rick McDaniel

    The unions have given their workers the edict.......this IS who you WILL vote for, and don't you DARE vote for anyone else!

    September 13, 2012 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  12. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    The failed governor of MA has been on the wrong side of Detroit, TARP, ACA, the stimulus, Libya, Egypt, Iraq, Afghanistan, London Olympics, medicare, social security, Russia, foreign policy, veterans benefits, college students, tax cuts for the wealthy, the environment, the national debt, and job creation. Other than that, he is white, though, and that means a lot to his base.

    September 13, 2012 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  13. Whatever

    It's been nice not having to listen to R-money's pathetic commercials...more of you "battleground" states should hurry up and push yourself to a 10% margin....now if we can get Hoekstra to stop advertising it'd be a great day.

    September 13, 2012 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  14. zzczzx

    More mainstream media proaganda! People are tired of obama's smoke and mirrors.....bye bye obama...Romney 2012!

    September 13, 2012 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  15. Rudy NYC

    Anonymous pointed out:

    You think this is why Romney had already pulled out of Michigan even before the RNC convention?
    --------------------
    Pathetic. Romney can't when either one of his home states.

    September 13, 2012 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  16. Willie K.

    Maybe he should show them his birth certificate. It might be worth a vote or two for them to know that he was born in Michigan, before he left to become a billionaire who was against the bailout before he was for it. He probably thought he could by GM on the cheap, dismantle and sell it for a profit, like he did dozens of other companies while at Bain.

    September 13, 2012 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  17. Randy, San Francisco

    Did Romney use the same snake oil sales pitch when Bain Capital shoved Americans onto the unemployment line?

    September 13, 2012 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  18. Joe from CT, not Lieberman

    After Willard effectively told Michigan to "pack sand" regarding the GM and Chrysler bailouts, I am not surprised at his being 10 points behind. What surprises me is he actually has 37% favoring him! Guess they must be Ford workers.

    September 13, 2012 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  19. ghostriter

    Did Romney even take the state in the primaries?

    September 13, 2012 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  20. Gtacious

    Look at the splits...26% strong D / 20% strong R. 600 people polled is a shallow sample. With a 4% MoE and and a bad split, this poll is close to worthless. Always read the actual results because wouldn't a properly written article include those facts as well?

    September 13, 2012 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  21. logi_101

    The auto bailout has tangible results in Michigan. In the rest of the country it is more difficult to see but it is there none the less. From Market Watch by WSJ "For example, four years ago, in the fourth quarter of 2008, the gross domestic product was contracting at a horrific annual rate of 9% — the worst quarterly decline in 75 years. Today, the GDP is rising, albeit at a puny pace.

    Four years ago, private-sector payrolls were shrinking at an 800,000 monthly clip. Today this measure of employment is rising as it has been doing for the past 30 months.

    However, even though employment is on the rise, it is growing only slowly. At this point in the three previous recoveries, all of the jobs lost during these recessions were recovered and then some.

    Today, less than half of the nearly 9 million jobs lost have been filled. As a consequence, total employment today is 3-1/2% (4.7 million jobs) lower than it was at the start of the Great Recession.

    Not surprisingly, job seekers are in bad shape. For one thing, the unemployment rate today is 8.1% compared with 5% four years ago. Add in the underemployed, long-term jobless and discouraged workers and the comparison is even worse. "

    September 13, 2012 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  22. Sniffit

    "The problem with this poll, is that it gave ZERO demographic information, and ZERO breakdown of D/R/I"

    Not really. In any case, you guys really REALLY need to learn what "random sampling" is and why it is a core tenet in the methodology underlying these kinds of polls and surveys.

    September 13, 2012 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  23. w l jones

    The president is a student of ancient history, they gave us a blue print how to keep a great civilization moving forward for thousand years and this president is following theirs advice to the letter. Sturdy bring employee on line, keeping down inflation in housing market low and building our road and brides for the day the economy take off. Thank you.

    September 13, 2012 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  24. beevee

    Michigan poll numbers indicate the impending truth of the election outcome. It is going to be president Obama's second term 2012-2016

    September 13, 2012 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  25. ST

    Where was Romney born? Was it not in Michigan where they never dare asking his birth certificate? Any candidate who loses in a place he was born, deserves to lose everywhere.

    September 13, 2012 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
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