Obama's convention bounce vanishes in Gallup poll
September 18th, 2012
05:12 PM ET
2 years ago

Obama's convention bounce vanishes in Gallup poll

(CNN) – After a wave of post-convention approval, President Barack Obama's lead has faded, according to the latest Gallup daily tracking poll Tuesday.

Gallup's seven-day rolling average indicates that 47% of registered voters supporting Obama and 46% supporting Romney, returning the race back to narrow, pre-convention margins.

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The president's lead was as high as seven points in Gallup's daily tracking poll last Wednesday.

A CNN Poll of Polls which averages the seven national survey of likely voters conducted following the conclusion of the Democratic National Convention earlier this month indicated that 49% of likely voters were backing the president, with 46% supporting the Republican nominee.

While the Gallup poll samples registered voters, it will move to sample the smaller pool of likely voters in the next few weeks as November draws near.

This latest edition of the Gallup poll was conducted September 11-17, nearly entirely before Monday's release of secretly recorded clips of Romney speaking at a private fundraiser in May that critics charge portray him as out of touch with ordinary Americans. Those clips have dominated coverage of the campaign trail over the past 24 hours.

The Gallup daily tracking poll is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3,050 registered voters; Margin of error is plus or minus two percentage points.

CNN's Dana Davidsen and Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • President Obama
soundoff (151 Responses)
  1. kashbmaryd

    That poll is starting not to matter because: 1. Obama usually has the lead whether it is 5 points or 1; 2. Obama is leading in the states that Romney needs. The way I see it, the election is just about set. Can't wait 'til November.

    September 18, 2012 08:36 pm at 8:36 pm |
  2. Matt

    There was never a huge lead for Obama. The CNN poll interviewed 50% Democrats 45% Republicans and 5% Independents. What did they think the outcome would be?

    September 18, 2012 08:43 pm at 8:43 pm |
  3. khaleeshi

    My vote is for President Obama. I don't want a president that doesn't care about the poor and middle class, who will repeal affordable health care, that will get rid of medicare and privatize social security, all while giving more tax breaks for himself and the other billionaire boys club members on the backs of the working class. President Obama will work hard for affordable healthcare for all, keeping medicare and social security safe, and making the tax system fair.

    Obama/Biden 2012

    September 18, 2012 08:44 pm at 8:44 pm |
  4. bsm

    To DanB ("Marie, you live in Maryland, what do you expect. Try moving to West VA and see who likes Oblunder. He almost lost his primary to A GUY IN PRISON"). This says more about West VA than it does about Obama.

    September 18, 2012 08:46 pm at 8:46 pm |
  5. America1st

    As a veteran who is now disabled, I do receive a minor stipend. But let me say Romney,., YOU getting your daddy's well connected "deferements' to avoid serving this great nation is the disgrace. I feel like a victim only because of people like you who are out there protesting ' "go to NAM" serve, and then hide in a French school learing polly vous francais. You are a a disgrace.

    September 18, 2012 08:50 pm at 8:50 pm |
  6. Ted McD

    Oh yeah ....look at the new NBC/Wall street Journal polls...and it was done before the 47% fiasco . People are alredy jumping ship .....This thing is over.

    September 18, 2012 08:50 pm at 8:50 pm |
  7. td40

    I've never understood this stuff. There was a bump after the convention- and now it's gone. What does that mean? Are people actually flaky enough to support a candidate based on convention activity and then decide, after the buzz has worn off, that they're not sure about that candidate anymore? How shallow. Nothing about Obama's platform, ideas, plans, record, or even personality has changed in the past week or two, but people who were for him for those reasons last week might've changed their mind this week- though nothing about the candidate has changed? No wonder this country is so messed up. Voters are, apparently, children with short attention spans who always see the little picture instead of the big one. Sad stuff.

    September 18, 2012 08:51 pm at 8:51 pm |
  8. Workers Unite

    How Obama got any bump is beyond me.
    As we speak, his policies burn in the middle east.

    September 18, 2012 08:52 pm at 8:52 pm |
  9. Tony in ST. Louis

    Either these CNN polls are really inaccurate, or the American voter is incredibly stupid. But I get Mitt already said that 47% of you are losers ...so nevermind.

    September 18, 2012 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  10. Congo

    lol – I guess there goes the "convention bump" talk.

    Seriously, let's put in Mitt Romney. If he can't get things done, let's put in a Democrat 4 years later. While we are add it, remove any long-term Senators (2+ terms) and House of Representatives from office (5+terms).

    It is, indeed, time for a change. Let us Hope.

    September 18, 2012 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  11. Charles Deisla

    The media greatly exaggerated Obama's great campaign "bounce". Anytime a liberally biased poll like Gallop says that Obama is only up by 1, its safe to say that his "bounce" is gone.

    September 18, 2012 09:01 pm at 9:01 pm |
  12. 2008-2016

    Polls, schmolls. The only polll I'm concerned with is the one where I vote in November. I'll vote for Obama before I go to
    my job that I've worked for twenty-four years. My wife will vote for Obama before she goes to work at the job where
    she has been for twenty four years, also. So, yes, my wife and I are working people, who unlike the one described by
    Mittens D. Clown, we do work and pay our taxes. And yes, we pay much higher than 13%.

    September 18, 2012 09:04 pm at 9:04 pm |
  13. Graham Krueger

    Interesting. The polls I see all have Obama well ahead in most contested states. This actually seems to point to Obama winning the electoral college yet losing the popular vote- a bizarre outcome.

    September 18, 2012 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  14. PaulGadner

    Simple Conclusion: Mitt is not Fitt...to be President.

    September 18, 2012 09:08 pm at 9:08 pm |
  15. copanut

    Prior to the conventions, Gallup had Romney up by as much as 3 points. Other polls had the race at dead even. So, there is still a good 3 point bounce from the conventions, contrary to what this article claims.

    September 18, 2012 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  16. David

    The media has a vested interest in "keeping the election close". Just remember, it is VERY HARD to unseat a sitting president. President Obama will be re-elected come November...

    September 18, 2012 09:14 pm at 9:14 pm |
  17. Jessie P.

    Does anyone writing these comments look at independent fact checkers and also realize that it was the republicans who voted against a bill of President Obama's that would have added millions of jobs, but the republicans said they refused to help Obama and the American people.........also what about the states that are trying to make it more difficult for people to vote.......they know these people are voting for President Obama. This registered republican will be voting for President Obama 2012 as well!! Please wake up people and read these independent fact checkers and you will see how Romney/Ryan are not for middle class or poor people and how they have lied at their rallies and tv interviews!

    September 18, 2012 09:17 pm at 9:17 pm |
  18. toddamorgan1

    Obama says many, many, many disturbing things all the time. For example "you didn't build that" and what comes after that he wants to put Americans back to work building ROADS, BRIDGES, and SCHOOLS....excuse me, are we in the 1930's??? Let's trade in that $70k job for a $30k manual labor job making Just Over Poverty (Obama J.O.B.). NO THANKS!

    September 18, 2012 09:18 pm at 9:18 pm |
  19. PaPilot

    Not that he needs a bump. He's got this election locked up...

    Obama 54%, Romney 43%, Other/Write-in/Third Party 3%

    September 18, 2012 09:21 pm at 9:21 pm |
  20. Dorkus Maximus

    This poll likely reflects the unrest in the Middle East. While Romney stuck his foot in his mouth again on that one, it wasn't so newsworthy as the scenes of rioters and news of the ambassador's murder. We'll see what Romney's latest blunder does.

    September 18, 2012 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  21. eojsmada

    Amazingly laughable how if the polls don't fit the agenda, they must be bad. But when they do fit the agenda, they are 100% proof positive that things are that way.

    So which is it folks? Or do you have to wait for your talking points from David Axelrod's weekly missive?

    September 18, 2012 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |
  22. mjcharron

    I dont care how many percentage points any poll says about these two candidates. Let's see a debate. Shall we?

    September 18, 2012 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |
  23. Dick Hertz

    Obama has two chances. Slim and none.

    September 18, 2012 09:29 pm at 9:29 pm |
  24. Dave

    It's Gallup. Good Lord they are biased to the right nearly as much as Rassmussen. Every other poll (including Fox) has Obama ahead by 5 points or better.

    September 18, 2012 09:30 pm at 9:30 pm |
  25. beevee

    Just as Romney is not backing down on the stupid and insulting statements he made to his rich friends about the middle class and poor americans blaming them that they pay no taxes, it is time for democrats to stay on the offensive and use his out of touch with ordinary americans attidue to trounce him on November 6.

    September 18, 2012 09:33 pm at 9:33 pm |
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