New Wisconsin poll shows Obama with significant lead
September 19th, 2012
05:01 PM ET
2 years ago

New Wisconsin poll shows Obama with significant lead

(CNN) - A new poll of Wisconsin likely voters released Wednesday afternoon shows President Barack Obama with a double digit lead over Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney there. It stands in contrast to other national and state polls released Tuesday and Wednesday which have shown a close race, some giving Obama a slight advantage over Romney.

The Marquette Law School Poll put Obama 14 percentage points ahead of Romney among likely voters in the Badger State. It also shows a significant change in the Wisconsin race for a U.S. Senate seat.

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The poll, like others released this week, was conducted entirely before secretly recorded clips of Romney speaking at a May fund-raiser consumed the political news cycle. The clips showed Romney describing recipients of government support as dependent and Obama supporters.

A separate poll of likely Wisconsin voters released earlier on Wednesday also showed Obama with an edge, but significantly less of one. His six point advantage over Romney (51% to 45%) in the New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac survey was outside of the poll's sampling error but far less than was indicated in the Marquette poll.

The Marquette poll showed Obama gaining five points and Romney losing six, as the two candidates were separated by three points in an August iteration of this survey.

Romney's running mate is Rep. Paul Ryan, a seven-term congressman from the state. In mid-August, the state was moved from leaning in Obama's favor to a toss-up between Obama and Romney on the CNN Electoral Map.

The poll also showed a significant shift in the U.S. Senate race between Rep. Tammy Baldwin and former Gov. Tommy Thompson. It shows Baldwin with a nine point lead over Thompson, 50% to 41% - a reversal of the two candidates' standings in the August survey. In that poll, Thompson was at 50% and Baldwin at 41%.

The professor who led the poll, Charles Franklin, said in a press release announcing the results, "These are both very large moves in just four weeks."

It noted Obama and Baldwin expanded their support among independents, while the support among partisans of their own candidates remained largely unchanged.

- CNN's Paul Steinhauser and Gregory Wallace contributed to this report

Also see:

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- Obama camp wastes no time highlighting Romney tapes

- Hatch might 'die before his term' ends, opponent charges

- Biden on Romney tape: 'words speak for themselves'


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • President Obama • Tammy Baldwin • Tommy Thompson • Wisconsin
soundoff (79 Responses)
  1. thetruthandnothingbutthetruth

    but i thought that Anne romney humanized Mitt?

    September 19, 2012 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  2. truth hurts

    A separate poll of likely Wisconsin voters released earlier on Wednesday also showed Obama with an edge, but significantly less of one. His six point advantage over Romney (51% to 45%) in the New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac survey was outside of the poll's sampling error but far less than was indicated in the Marquette poll.
    ==================================================================================================

    And yet CNN decides to headline the outlier poll??? SERIOUSLY???

    September 19, 2012 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  3. Larry L

    As a disabled vet and career Army Officer I don't appreciate Romney placing me in the 47% who aren't worth worrying about. He's just a spoiled draft-dodger who now plays the "chicken-hawk" game – ostensibly to promise defense contractors big bucks for their campaign contributions. He and "Lyin'-Ryan" are finished in Wisconsin!

    September 19, 2012 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  4. Sorensen

    Romney is now so far out, that he might as well go home to his car-elevator and shut up forever.
    In the meantime the GOP should start planning an enormous housecleaning following the upcoming electoral defeat,
    more humiliating then ever.

    September 19, 2012 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  5. Kef14

    Just hearing that Paul Ryan was from there gave a boost...then they heard him talk.

    September 19, 2012 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  6. BigTBone

    The hits just keep coming.

    Keep it rolling and we may have a chance to bury this modern GOP/TP batch of frauds in the history books forever as one of the most contemptuous and disrespectful group in our lifetime.

    Modern day neocon righties keep doubling down. And losing. Where would they be without the big money donors? Amazing how a $200 cellphone camera will negate hundreds of millions in a couple months. Obama/Biden, D ticket 2012. Clinton/Warren 2016.

    September 19, 2012 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  7. Bill

    The endgame is at hand. No Ann, it most certainly is not your turn. Go buy a blouse, ride your horse, drive a Cadillac and go away.

    September 19, 2012 05:19 pm at 5:19 pm |
  8. Lee

    The polls leading up to the govern's recall election showed a very tight race, but on election day, Gov. Walker won by 9 points. The polls in Wisconsin are very unreliable. If I were either canidate, I'd take nothing for granted or conceed anything here.

    September 19, 2012 05:20 pm at 5:20 pm |
  9. once upon a horse

    @ truth hurts.....

    love it how your type always gripes about CNN YET you still keep coming here to post. I think you secretly enjoy it!

    September 19, 2012 05:23 pm at 5:23 pm |
  10. Pete

    This is the way its gonna be if Romney doesn't shut his mouth,he's arrogent,brash,insensitive and he doesn't care who likes him,he just needs your vote,not you...He's there for the wealthy elitist who much like himself is not hindered by recessions,its better for them because things they need or obtain business wise is cheaper,that's why when recessions come around they pounce on everything,its inherient..Romney like most wealthy people are out of touch they don't personally pay their own bills,they don't fill up the cars gas tank,they don't go grocery shopping,they as wealthy elitist have their help do that,that's why Romneys out of touch.They don't get it,they don't suffer monthly economicly,they make enough by business or inheritance to pay bills ,they know it so don't ask someone like Romney to relate like me,he can't and won't,he doesn't have too,he's elite!!!

    September 19, 2012 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  11. Fortinbras

    If Mitt cant win Iowa, forget Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, and Colorado. The reason why Wisconsin can elect a republican governor and pass conservative referendums is because minorities have extremely low turnouts on such elections. That will not be the case this coming election day.

    September 19, 2012 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  12. truth hurts

    The poll also showed a significant shift in the U.S. Senate race between Rep. Tammy Baldwin and former Gov. Tommy Thompson. It shows Baldwin with a nine point lead over Thompson, 50% to 41% – a reversal of the two candidates' standings in the August survey. In that poll, Thompson was at 50% and Baldwin at 41%.
    ===================================================================================================

    So this "poll" says there was a 9% flip in the Senate race IN ONE MONTH?! BWAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!

    Is this polling organization owned by George Soros???? Honestly CNN, why are you even mentioning this obvious trash poll?

    September 19, 2012 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  13. Malory Archer

    truth hurts
    A separate poll of likely Wisconsin voters released earlier on Wednesday also showed Obama with an edge, but significantly less of one. His six point advantage over Romney (51% to 45%) in the New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac survey was outside of the poll's sampling error but far less than was indicated in the Marquette poll.
    ==================================================================================================

    And yet CNN decides to headline the outlier poll??? SERIOUSLY???

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    They mentioned it earlier. CNN posts all polls, including those you don't like and those you downright hate.

    September 19, 2012 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  14. jinx88

    Mittens losing in his home state of Michigan and losing in Wisc., Ryan home state, is hilarious.

    September 19, 2012 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  15. Elle

    Wisconsin is full of hardworking, middle class people. what do you expect? Should they vote for a multi-miilionaire whose advice to students was to start businesses by borrowing money from their parents. He is out of touch. And he got his own hand outs, inheritance. Deferment to do "missionary work" ...in France. Off shore tax shelters.

    September 19, 2012 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  16. truth hurts

    Malory Archer
    They mentioned it earlier. CNN posts all polls, including those you don't like and those you downright hate
    ================================================================================
    Posting the poll is one thing but headlining it and leaving the other nonoutlier polls below the fold is rather deceitful and/or biased.

    September 19, 2012 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  17. Sniffit

    "love it how your type always gripes about CNN YET you still keep coming here to post. I think you secretly enjoy it!"

    There's a certain amount of masochism involved in being a non-millionaire GOPer/Teatroll.

    September 19, 2012 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  18. Haas

    Mitt had better campaign hard in Florida and do his best to keep Ohio close and hope voter suppression in Pennsylvania holds. He can forget Wisconsin. He's not going to do well in Colorado or Nevada either. Virginia might be in Romney's corner, but...who am I kidding, Romney's done!

    September 19, 2012 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  19. Me IN HOUSTON

    Do not get happy
    Do not get comfortable
    Do not get complacent
    Do not take anything for granted

    It's a long way till November
    And if you want your candidate to be elected
    YOU are going to have to work for it
    VOTE
    get your friends an neighbors registered
    GET THEM TO VOTE
    The only way we win is if we VOTE

    September 19, 2012 05:42 pm at 5:42 pm |
  20. Gurgyl

    Just work hard, talk sense–know hidden cameras, etc, good luck, buddy.

    September 19, 2012 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  21. thetruthandnothingbutthetruth

    could it be that the romney/ryan ticket is worse than mccain/palin?

    September 19, 2012 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  22. 1CentFree

    Time for Mittens to move back to Mexico and practice being more Latino. He seems to think that will fool more people into voting for him.

    September 19, 2012 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  23. Sniffit

    "Posting the poll is one thing but headlining it and leaving the other nonoutlier polls below the fold is rather deceitful and/or biased."

    I don't disagree. However, you have to understand though: it's not bias for one party or the other, because they do it both ways indiscriminately. Rather, it is a "bias" for sensationalism and controversy as the means by which they generate viewership and clicking activity, etc., in order to get better ad revenue. It's akin to their bias for false equivalencies and whitewashing actual, meaningful differences or helping people get away with falsehoods and lying. In that case, it's no less biased just because what they are doing is specifically designed to create an equivalence that doesn't exist. It causes them to treat as legitimate all sorts of untruths and ridiculousness so that they can have two sides playing off and against each other on the issue. Coming out and reporting that "so and sois full of crap and here's the facts to prove it" just wouldn't give them seomething to sensationalize and a controversy to perpetuate.

    September 19, 2012 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  24. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Truth is hurting.
    Truth is hurting real bad.
    Bwahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!!!!!

    @ Me IN HOUSTON
    You got that right!
    Obama 2012. Pedal to the medal all the way through November 6th.

    September 19, 2012 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  25. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Pedal to the metal I meant. lol!

    September 19, 2012 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
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