New Wisconsin poll shows Obama with significant lead
September 19th, 2012
05:01 PM ET
2 years ago

New Wisconsin poll shows Obama with significant lead

(CNN) - A new poll of Wisconsin likely voters released Wednesday afternoon shows President Barack Obama with a double digit lead over Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney there. It stands in contrast to other national and state polls released Tuesday and Wednesday which have shown a close race, some giving Obama a slight advantage over Romney.

The Marquette Law School Poll put Obama 14 percentage points ahead of Romney among likely voters in the Badger State. It also shows a significant change in the Wisconsin race for a U.S. Senate seat.

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The poll, like others released this week, was conducted entirely before secretly recorded clips of Romney speaking at a May fund-raiser consumed the political news cycle. The clips showed Romney describing recipients of government support as dependent and Obama supporters.

A separate poll of likely Wisconsin voters released earlier on Wednesday also showed Obama with an edge, but significantly less of one. His six point advantage over Romney (51% to 45%) in the New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac survey was outside of the poll's sampling error but far less than was indicated in the Marquette poll.

The Marquette poll showed Obama gaining five points and Romney losing six, as the two candidates were separated by three points in an August iteration of this survey.

Romney's running mate is Rep. Paul Ryan, a seven-term congressman from the state. In mid-August, the state was moved from leaning in Obama's favor to a toss-up between Obama and Romney on the CNN Electoral Map.

The poll also showed a significant shift in the U.S. Senate race between Rep. Tammy Baldwin and former Gov. Tommy Thompson. It shows Baldwin with a nine point lead over Thompson, 50% to 41% - a reversal of the two candidates' standings in the August survey. In that poll, Thompson was at 50% and Baldwin at 41%.

The professor who led the poll, Charles Franklin, said in a press release announcing the results, "These are both very large moves in just four weeks."

It noted Obama and Baldwin expanded their support among independents, while the support among partisans of their own candidates remained largely unchanged.

- CNN's Paul Steinhauser and Gregory Wallace contributed to this report

Also see:

- Eastwood: If they were 'dumb enough to ask me…'

- In new tape, Romney casts doubt on peace in Israel

- Obama camp wastes no time highlighting Romney tapes

- Hatch might 'die before his term' ends, opponent charges

- Biden on Romney tape: 'words speak for themselves'


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • President Obama • Tammy Baldwin • Tommy Thompson • Wisconsin
soundoff (79 Responses)
  1. not in WI

    Dear God! Anyone but Obama please! History will eventually paint him as the most damaging president in US history. Please vote the criminal out!

    September 19, 2012 08:40 pm at 8:40 pm |
  2. bonnie

    Yes..elect mittens scumney and lower your wages in half. Yeah job creation flipping burgers at mcdonalds! His true colors came out in the video. Funny thing is anyone can end up on the street. None of us are.immune to needing help at.some point in our lives. It's called entitlement..mittens is entitled to a.priveledged life. Not luck he did it all on his own. Uh huh..yeah right! It's luck of the draw.

    September 19, 2012 09:03 pm at 9:03 pm |
  3. scott

    Ya all ready to pay more in taxes under Obama Health Care bad news from CBO. Also what is the Marquette Law School Poll? Never heard of it must be a bunch of liberal students trying for extra credit. Shows you just how bad this country is. Obama is history, Romney 2012.

    September 19, 2012 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  4. daniel

    ROMNEY!? By the time Obama is done with you, you will never be watching TV, probably you want to consider to buy an island to fulfill your ego of becoming a President. Go Obama

    September 19, 2012 09:14 pm at 9:14 pm |
  5. Scott

    As someone from Wisconsin, don't by into ALL 700 people who were polled they do not represent WI. Keep getting your hopes up come November there is no way Dem will win WI. We proved it with Walker.

    September 19, 2012 09:18 pm at 9:18 pm |
  6. Namepeggyengland

    Finally the GOP'S secret back door agenda is EXPOSED!! I find their contempt for the elderly, the poor,and the military devastating!! These are Americans-ME–YOU–US!!! I"m finding all this frightening,disgusting,and very DISAPPOINTING!!

    September 19, 2012 09:30 pm at 9:30 pm |
  7. Joan in MS

    Well, Ryan opened his mouth and the whole state saw him for the fraud he is. Apparently his Congressional district in Wisconsin has been re-electing this pathetic liar for at least 12 years. As a true marathon man, he continues to outrun his brain every time he opens his mouth.

    September 19, 2012 09:37 pm at 9:37 pm |
  8. Namejims

    This is a joke. You folks do know that a solid 48% of the country will vote for one or the other. Obama said the same thing when he was running. He can't worry about the 47 or 48% that vote for the other guy. I am a veteran and i am offended by Obama. I woild rather we elect a goat than relect Obama

    September 19, 2012 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  9. Rob in NH

    New Romney slogan: Partially Believe in America (Sorry NOT in 47% Americans)

    September 19, 2012 09:51 pm at 9:51 pm |
  10. Rob-me and Lyin' Ryan

    Independent voters are moving these polls towards the President. They are too smart to fall for the lies and distortions of the Romney campaign. They want to see the tax returns!

    September 19, 2012 10:26 pm at 10:26 pm |
  11. betty

    Rommey comments racist AND demeaning to the less fortunate.

    September 19, 2012 10:29 pm at 10:29 pm |
  12. Bob

    If Obama is elected by the end of another 4 years we all will be dependant on the government. LIving of somebody elses hard earned money. I don't want to live of someone else.

    September 19, 2012 10:30 pm at 10:30 pm |
  13. Bill

    I'm sick and tired of CNN and other left wing media outlets putting up front page articles of latest polls from unknown group or papers showing Obama leading by 15 to 20 points. Why don't you find some other absurd polls that shows Romney leading by 20 points (yes, there are plenty out there)? The national polls from legit organizations says that the race is close and yet that never stop CNN, CBS, MSNBC, and other left leaning groups from posting all sort of unknown polls showing Obama with big leads. I have never seen an election where virtually the entire mainstream media being one sided. How can you call yourself a news organization that's supposed to be unbiased and report things fairly? How can CNN, CBS, and MSNBC call themselves professional?

    September 19, 2012 10:40 pm at 10:40 pm |
  14. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    The question I have at first thought is how many other polls show Romney losing this state? If Romney loses Wisconsin, it makes harder for him to win the election.

    September 19, 2012 10:41 pm at 10:41 pm |
  15. Leroy

    Cheeseheads for Obama/Biden in 2012 !!!

    September 19, 2012 11:00 pm at 11:00 pm |
  16. DENNA

    Now there's a shocker. Mittens is evidently working to get President Obama reelected, while pretending to run for office himself. If that is not the case, man is he one incompetent dude.

    September 19, 2012 11:17 pm at 11:17 pm |
  17. SafeJourney

    say bye bye Romney and Lyin Ryan

    September 19, 2012 11:26 pm at 11:26 pm |
  18. Republican grandma

    I am white christian and a Republican! But I am not crazy! I love Reagan but I am not insane like Mitt or Paul Ryan! Once you talk about ending medicare and want to change it with voucher aka coupon?? Are you joking???????? You can buy anything you want but not my vote!! I am poor but not crazy! I will walk 10 miles to scream as loud as I can not to vote for crazy republican like you Mitt! Not now! Not ever!!!

    September 19, 2012 11:55 pm at 11:55 pm |
  19. Big Beam

    So those on the right are just going to chalk up all of Mitts gaffes?? lol

    September 20, 2012 12:18 am at 12:18 am |
  20. Big Beam

    ok forget about the 3 stooges comment about the 47% are you going to simply chalk up every other gaffe this guy has said?? I know some very intelligent republicans and not one of them thinks this guys is competent in the way he handles his campaign. So if you are going to over look his 300 gaffes and chalk it up to "Well at least hes better then Obama" I'm going to need some proof on that lmaoooo!!!

    September 20, 2012 12:21 am at 12:21 am |
  21. Brighgom young

    Romney let a blind guy walk into a glass door and bullied a gay kid.Now he chalks off 47 percent of the U.S. as freeloaders.Do you really trust this guy?

    September 20, 2012 12:37 am at 12:37 am |
  22. economics&history

    you would have to be a moron to vote for the republicans they are just socialists for the rich . oh the republicans beleave in the redistribution of wealth don't worry about that they just redistribute it to the elite rich via tax cuts and state asset sales etc . if Romney thinks the middle class have it sweet and he Romney has it tough , he has just yesterday said he wont be governing for half the country so why would anyone vote for that . even the rich loose in the long run , whats your next trick gop when tax is zero .these greedy rich free loaders pay no income tax compared to just 35 years ago they paid 70% , they are greedy free loaders on the state the likes of MIT Romney .

    September 20, 2012 12:48 am at 12:48 am |
  23. Nick

    Poor Money Boo Boo is getting his Mittens handed to him.

    September 20, 2012 01:04 am at 1:04 am |
  24. Quint

    Mitt is the best selection for this election. Then people will start investing back in the USA. Can't you liberals understand this? And the headline is biased as bias gets. That's why CNN is no longer considered a serious news outlet.

    September 20, 2012 01:48 am at 1:48 am |
  25. jeff kingworthy

    Obama leads in 8 of the 9 battleground states. This election will not even be close.

    September 20, 2012 01:51 am at 1:51 am |
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