New poll: Close contest in Virginia
September 27th, 2012
06:00 PM ET
2 years ago

New poll: Close contest in Virginia

(CNN) - On the day that President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney both campaigned in Virginia, a new poll indicates a very close contest between the two candidates for the state's 13 electoral votes.

According to Suffolk University/WWBT-Richmond survey released Thursday, Obama holds a 46%-44% edge over Romney among likely voters in Virginia, with seven percent undecided. The president's two point margin is within the poll's sampling error.

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The Suffolk poll is the fourth non-partisan, live operator survey conducted of likely voters in Virginia over the past two and a half weeks. The other surveys are Fox News (Sept. 16-18), Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times and Washington Post (Sept. 12-16). Those earlier surveys indicated larger advantages for Obama. A CNN Poll of Polls that averages all four surveys indicates the president at 49% and Romney at 44%.

The Suffolk survey indicates Obama's favorable/unfavorable rating at 52%-44%, with Romney at 42%-45%.

"Barack Obama shows personal popularity and strength, especially outside of the D.C. area in northern Virginia," said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston, Massachusetts. "However, with job approval and head-to-head numbers stuck at 46 percent, it will be a significant challenge for Obama to convince the remaining undecided voters to re-elect him."

Four years ago Obama became the first Democrat since 1964 to win the Virginia in a presidential election.

Thursday the president campaigned in Virginia Beach, with Romney visiting Springfield, in northern Virginia.

Three other candidates are on the presidential ballot in Virginia. According to the Suffolk poll, Constitution Party nominee Virgil Goode (a former Republican congressman from Virginia) and Libertarian Gary Johnson each received 1% support, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein registered less than 1%.

In the race for Virginia's open U.S. Senate seat, former Gov. Tim Kaine, the Democratic candidate, and former Gov. and Sen. George Allen, the GOP candidate, are tied at 44%.

The winner will succeed Democratic Sen. Jim Webb, who narrowly edged out Allen six years ago. Webb decided against running for re-election.

The Suffolk University/WWBT-Richmond poll was conducted Sept. 24-26, with 600 likely voters in Virginia questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • President Obama • Virginia
soundoff (13 Responses)
  1. Gurgyl

    VA, just vote direct democratic ticket and Obama12.
    Drive the evil, drive GOP cult.

    September 27, 2012 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
  2. Pete

    Well it'll change for good after the debates,just another bump in the political road for "STENCH" the Mormon wonder,defender of the wealthy,liquidator of corporate America.Betrayer of the middleclass ,poor and all involved,you know who you are you 47% ers you!!He's trying like heck to betray all the different classes,give STENCH a chance,he's trying isn't he!!

    September 27, 2012 06:22 pm at 6:22 pm |
  3. n

    Here we go again fudging the numbers to help Romney stay in the game. Notice how they emphasized "non-partisan", What a sham this election is turning out to be. Romney for all purposes, should be down and counted out along with his side kick, Lyan Ryan. Oh, the hidden powers that be . . . boo!

    September 27, 2012 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  4. Namejkane sfl a vote for the gop will cut your moms medicare and soc sec .can you afford to pay for them???

    Some of the active military and retired should ask romney the tax cheat and his vp canadate lyin Ryan and the gop goofball party they represent , voted againest the vet bill and farm bill and woman's equal pay for equal work bills in the last 60. Days ,and you want to vote for these gop
    Freaks ????????

    September 27, 2012 07:19 pm at 7:19 pm |
  5. JM

    Romney is on both sides of every issue that he can actually debate himself.

    September 27, 2012 07:47 pm at 7:47 pm |
  6. ronb

    Don't worry girls. They'll warm up that probe before you get your MANdatory ultrasound. LOL. Can't believe VA is giving the GOP a second thought. But hey, you get what you vote for! Good luck...

    September 27, 2012 07:55 pm at 7:55 pm |
  7. fire0bama

    Go Gov. Romney and Go America!

    September 27, 2012 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
  8. PaulC

    It's amazing that Virginia votes conservative while leads in welfare, food stamps, medicaid and medicare usage.
    I can only say that if you think Romney will pass or propose anything that does not benefit the 1% you are delusional.

    September 27, 2012 08:05 pm at 8:05 pm |
  9. Borderless

    Ya, Obama will probably win. Then he'll have four more years to break promises, develop his excuses, and find people to blame. Worst. President. Ever.

    September 27, 2012 08:35 pm at 8:35 pm |
  10. GOP IS DEAD

    I suspect the voters in Virginia will be looking at the debates for something Romney has yet to provide... specifics on his promises. His latest tactic is laughable. He brags about his healthcare plan (nearly identical to the AHC law) but then promises to repeal Obamacare. He wants to repeal a law that has the same provisions as the one he brags about!

    September 27, 2012 08:46 pm at 8:46 pm |
  11. CarolO

    When standing in those voting lines, think about all the job bills that the senate blocked. Think about the Job Bill for Veterans that the Republicans voted down last week. And keep saying to yourself......MEDICARE, MEDICARE, MEDICARE
    unless you have lots of money and can afford to pay the bills for your elderly parents or the nursing home they may end up in.

    September 27, 2012 08:50 pm at 8:50 pm |
  12. judy

    forward 2012 not backward with dummy

    September 27, 2012 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  13. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    There are a few close states. This could be the tie breaker. If the trend continues, then Obama will win Va.

    September 27, 2012 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |