Polls: New numbers in New Hampshire and Virginia
September 28th, 2012
02:32 PM ET
2 years ago

Polls: New numbers in New Hampshire and Virginia

(CNN) – New polls in Virginia and New Hampshire indicate close contests in those two swing states in the race for the White House.

According to an American Research Group survey released Friday in Virginia, 49% of likely voters support President Barack Obama, with 47% backing Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

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The new survey is similar to a Suffolk University poll in the Commonwealth that came out Thursday. But other recent polls indicated a larger margins for the president (he was up 4 points in a Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll; he was ahead by 7 points in a Fox News poll; and leading by 8 points in a Washington Post survey).

The ARG poll is the fifth non-partisan, live operator survey of likely voters in Virginia to be conducted over the past two and a half weeks. A CNN Poll of Polls which averages all the surveys together indicates the president at 49% among likely voters, with the former Massachusetts governor at 45%.

Both Obama and Romney separately campaigned in Virginia on Thursday.

Four years ago Obama became the first Democrat since 1964 to win Virginia in a presidential election. Thirteen electoral votes are up for grabs in the state.

The president holds a five point 50%-45% advantage over Romney in a new ARG poll in New Hampshire, that was also released Friday. Obama's edge is within the survey's sampling error. The ARG poll in the Granite State comes out just one day after an NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist survey indicated Obama 7-points ahead of Romney in New Hampshire, 51% to 44%. The president's lead in the NBC/WSJ/Marist survey is outside of the poll's sampling error of 3.1 percentage points.

There are four electoral votes at stake in New Hampshire, which Obama won four years ago. George W. Bush's victory in New Hampshire in 2000 was the last time a Republican carried the state in a presidential election.

The American Research Group polls were conducted Sept. 24-27, with 600 likely voters in New Hampshire and 600 likely voters in Virginia questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • New Hampshire • New Jersey • Polls
soundoff (34 Responses)
  1. truth hurts

    Romney will be closing the deal when he dessimates Obama in the debates. Obama is going to have to lie to defend his record. The American people will know he's lying to them yet again. The country can't survive another 4 years of this "Hope & Change" BS. They now know it was nothing but a marketing plan.

    September 28, 2012 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  2. MR.CANADA

    This is a joke, right ? No one in the U.S is really going to vote for this guy , right?

    September 28, 2012 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  3. ozzie

    The only reason that so many people will vote for Romney is that he is not President Obama. And what does Romney have that Obama does not have? You know the answer. To Faith-based folks: how does your vision of God or your understanding of the mission of Jesus lead you to your political perspective?

    September 28, 2012 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  4. Jake in Omaha

    Willard what are you hiding? Post your tax returns for the last 10 years. A note from your tax preparer is not the same as showing us the actual returns. The people want to know about those tax shelters and how much money you have in the Cayman Island accounts.

    September 28, 2012 02:47 pm at 2:47 pm |
  5. John, PA

    This isn’t going to be an election about character and being likeable; this is going to be a referendum on the Obama record of FAILURE. Like the exit polls in Wisconsin that were wrong, the working people, the voters of America won’t be fooled. The majority of Americans sees president Obama, the Obama administration as a complete FAILURE. Obama now has the lowest job approval of any president and we recognize that fact.

    September 28, 2012 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  6. jefflz

    The 47% comment has been widely distributed by now. He clearly stated in a rare, candid moment what he really thinks of people who are not rich like him. The surprising result is that after insulting a substantial portion of his own base who form a significant portion of the lazy, non-tax paying "victims", there has not been an even greater movement away from Romney. Is this broader lack of outrage due to the heavy buffering of the event on the part of the Fox News machine? Is it due to the highly polarized electorate that has no desire to rethink their position? The real mystery is that after the curtain has been pulled aside and the Wizard Romney has been revealed as small, inept and uncaring, why are his polling numbers as high as they remain?

    September 28, 2012 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  7. Ancient Texan

    The polls are all over the place and make you wonder if the pollster in some of these might not have an ulterior motive and like the neighborhood butcher, put a "finger on the scales".

    September 28, 2012 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  8. Borderless

    Of all the political gaffes from both candidates, and there have been many, remember this one quote. It is the only one worth remembering and the only one that will have any relevance in four years..

    "After this election, I will have a lot more flexibility."–President Obama

    The only two things I have to look forward to is smugly saying, "I told you so" and the pride of not sharing in the responsibility of the damage he brings.

    September 28, 2012 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  9. Namejkane sfl a vote for the gop will cut your moms medicare and soc sec .can you afford to pay for them???

    The only way romney the tax cheat and lyin Ryan ,the 60,000 bribe taker from his home state winn is. .by fixing the election ,and then the people will take over ,gop is done !!!!!

    September 28, 2012 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  10. Rhon

    This family would be completely thrilled if this dope could finally get the message we don"t trust him -if the whole US turned blue Nov 6th. It could happen. It could happen! :)

    September 28, 2012 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  11. OutsideTheEchoChamber

    Ahaaa!! So Romney just announced he's gonna BUY the election in Pennsylvania, via Voter suppression! 750,000 Democrats don' t have an ID yet, and Repub governor is working overtime to keep it like that. Could the FBI please look into this? A criminal investigation? It would be so cool if the FBI arrested him on November 5th. Remember, remember, the 5th of November ...........

    September 28, 2012 03:13 pm at 3:13 pm |
  12. Anonymous

    The only real harvest that America will face with a Romney/Ryan administration, is our nations "first hunger games" harvest. The proposed policies and "wealthy" only beliefs of Romney and Ryan will leave America looking like something from the hunger games as our future. All Americans need to understand what is actually at stake in this election. Forget the rhetoric, forget the religious social agenda, this election will determine the future look of America with many more in poverty, and the death of the middle class.

    September 28, 2012 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  13. Howard

    If Obama wins ... all Americans will be fasting on a daily basis ... except Obama and his cronies, who will still be enjoying $400 bottles of wine ... paid for by us struggling tax payers.

    September 28, 2012 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  14. 2020

    The 47% wake up, strong at work !!!

    The game is over for Romney !!! now, focus to kick out GOP in Congress !!!

    GOP will not work in congress to solve fiscal cliff. will not cooperate to move the country forward, GOP has to go

    September 28, 2012 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  15. Rob Rowen

    The Noovember election will define the future of America. Our we going to vote for Obama and work together to rebuild the middle class, our infrastrucure, our schools, and invest in Americas future? Or is America going to elect a representative of the wealthy and big business, and secure a future that mirrors the "hunger games"? This should be a know brainer for 95% of the population, as the choice could not be more clear. let's hope that enough of us have the capacity to understand what is truly at stake and vote for Obama.

    September 28, 2012 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  16. B.

    Now, if we can just get the 47% to actually go out and vote!

    September 28, 2012 03:29 pm at 3:29 pm |
  17. Squigman

    Delusional republican boot lickers. Every hate filled post placed here, places one more nail in the hopes of your candidates. Not every person in this country, is as bigoted or racist as you'd like to believe.

    September 28, 2012 03:29 pm at 3:29 pm |
  18. Steve-O

    H ope
    O bama's
    P residency
    E nds

    I want my change please.

    September 28, 2012 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  19. truth hurts

    Borderless
    Of all the political gaffes from both candidates, and there have been many, remember this one quote. It is the only one worth remembering and the only one that will have any relevance in four years..
    "After this election, I will have a lot more flexibility."–President Obama
    The only two things I have to look forward to is smugly saying, "I told you so" and the pride of not sharing in the responsibility of the damage he brings.
    ===========================================================================================
    How true. But Obama and the Democrats will still be blaming George Bush, Republicans, tsunamis, droughts, earth quakes, Europe, the evil rich, big oil, etc. even after 8 years (10 years counting the control of the House and Senate by Democrats) of failed policies. Don't you know it is alway their fault for not willingly going along with the far left policies of the "progressive"/socialist/communist Democrat party.

    September 28, 2012 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  20. rs

    To the GOPpers questioning poll validity. Here it is: you guys deny science at all levels (really, putting Akin "Mr. Legitimate Rape" in charge of the House Science Committee?), the next skill you lose deal with math.

    If you continue to not use your brains far worse skills will go by the wayside-you'll be like Truth Hurts!

    September 28, 2012 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  21. Romney Said Let Them Eat Cake

    For the first time in my life I was just polled. Obama/Biden 2012 if you really care about the middle class and the poor.

    September 28, 2012 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
  22. Foreverwar

    Breaking news: Scientists at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California, using the Sequoia Supercomputor, announced today that they hope to create the worlds first known working model of Paul Ryan's budget, possibly within the next five years.

    September 28, 2012 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  23. The Real Tom Paine

    -John, PA

    This isn’t going to be an election about character and being likeable; this is going to be a referendum on the Obama record of FAILURE. Like the exit polls in Wisconsin that were wrong, the working people, the voters of America won’t be fooled. The majority of Americans sees president Obama, the Obama administration as a complete FAILURE. Obama now has the lowest job approval of any president and we recognize that fact.

    truth hurts

    Romney will be closing the deal when he dessimates Obama in the debates. Obama is going to have to lie to defend his record. The American people will know he's lying to them yet again. The country can't survive another 4 years of this "Hope & Change" BS. They now know it was nothing but a marketing plan.
    *************************************************
    You're recycling your posts, John. You said the same thing a few days ago. Like the GOP, you have nothing but poor retreads of discredited ideas to spout back. truth, it's spelled "decimate". Romney has nothing to debate with, since he can't articulate a vision to people that goes beyond vague promises. He's not trying to win over primary voters, he needs to win undecided votes, and he can't do that with the fumbling answers he's given in recent months. Lights out on the Mittster.

    September 28, 2012 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  24. Larry L

    @truth hurts

    Romney will be closing the deal when he dessimates Obama in the debates.
    -------------------------------------------------
    Romney is already prepping the masses for his poor showing in the debates. I've never heard of a politician rolling over BEFORE the debates! You delusion is in keeping with all of your comments. Do the math – Romney is finished.

    September 28, 2012 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  25. Kevin

    I think all of people that want to see Romneys tax records are stupid. Why dont we ask obama to unseal his records so people can see the real him and the lies that he is trying to cover up. If we the people of the United States think we are doing better now then we were four years ago then we are dumb. If all you want is a free hand outs and more government then keep things the way they are. I want to work, I want cheaper gas. I didnt go to college to get a degree for nothing.

    September 28, 2012 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
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