Polls: New numbers in New Hampshire and Virginia
September 28th, 2012
02:32 PM ET
2 years ago

Polls: New numbers in New Hampshire and Virginia

(CNN) – New polls in Virginia and New Hampshire indicate close contests in those two swing states in the race for the White House.

According to an American Research Group survey released Friday in Virginia, 49% of likely voters support President Barack Obama, with 47% backing Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.

The new survey is similar to a Suffolk University poll in the Commonwealth that came out Thursday. But other recent polls indicated a larger margins for the president (he was up 4 points in a Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll; he was ahead by 7 points in a Fox News poll; and leading by 8 points in a Washington Post survey).

The ARG poll is the fifth non-partisan, live operator survey of likely voters in Virginia to be conducted over the past two and a half weeks. A CNN Poll of Polls which averages all the surveys together indicates the president at 49% among likely voters, with the former Massachusetts governor at 45%.

Both Obama and Romney separately campaigned in Virginia on Thursday.

Four years ago Obama became the first Democrat since 1964 to win Virginia in a presidential election. Thirteen electoral votes are up for grabs in the state.

The president holds a five point 50%-45% advantage over Romney in a new ARG poll in New Hampshire, that was also released Friday. Obama's edge is within the survey's sampling error. The ARG poll in the Granite State comes out just one day after an NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist survey indicated Obama 7-points ahead of Romney in New Hampshire, 51% to 44%. The president's lead in the NBC/WSJ/Marist survey is outside of the poll's sampling error of 3.1 percentage points.

There are four electoral votes at stake in New Hampshire, which Obama won four years ago. George W. Bush's victory in New Hampshire in 2000 was the last time a Republican carried the state in a presidential election.

The American Research Group polls were conducted Sept. 24-27, with 600 likely voters in New Hampshire and 600 likely voters in Virginia questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • New Hampshire • New Jersey • Polls
soundoff (34 Responses)
  1. rafi

    Wait, are they wearing the same shirt? Do they share their clothes? That's kind of sweet.

    September 28, 2012 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  2. Anonymous

    WOW. The gullible who watch FOX News really DO believe the propaganda that network dishes out. And bless their foxy hearts, here they are sharing their wordly indoctrination. Too, too delicious for words.

    September 28, 2012 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  3. GOP Clown Car Is Broken

    Romney knows he's hosed in the debates because the fact checkers will expose his lies and for the first time, he'll be required to actually answer questions. "Governor Romney, how do propose to PAY for health care if you don't mandate coverage for all? You plan in Massachusetts was almost identical to Obamacare which you plan to repeal. How does this make sense? Are you flip-flopping again? How will you keep from killing Medicare when you claim to support the Ryan Budget Plan? Economists all agree it would drive the cost of Medicare up thousands of dollars for seniors and put the entire program at risk. Specifically, what would you cut to fund Medicare, a huge Defense budget, and low taxes for the rich?" I can't wait.

    September 28, 2012 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  4. emma

    @ truth hurts... "Pres Obama sold most of Americans on a "marketing plan" YOU say..what about that nonsense talk Mitt is selling about the "12 million jobs" if he is elected? I think most of US Americans can call out a liar when we see one. I definitely dont care for Pres Obama all that much, but I'm not stupid either... this election is about REALITY. Mitt's 'market plan' do not sell. PERIOD.

    September 28, 2012 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  5. Pete

    @ truth hurts ,you better start reading bud,there is voter fraud going on and it is republican.Stratigic Allied Consulting,owned by a notoious Nathan Sproul has contracts in 5 states to gather new people for votes and is caught in Florida on voters fraud charges,changing voters apps from Dem to repub.He was guilty in shredding voting ballots in two previous Bush presidencial elections as well as voters fraud there as well.Now your republicans are trying to change the way the electoral college votes.Only two states Nebraska,Maine can split votes but the extremist republicans want all republican led states to not only get their states to vote split but change their district to mainly republican districts as well so even if Pres.Obama wins the state by popular vote he'll only get what the Democrates have for state votes,not the old winner take all plan..So it'll take more states to win the electoral total of over 270 of 536 than ever before.So truth again you and your idiotic followers ,you know who you are ,are wrong again,if it get challenged in court it better not be won on party lines or you'll see the SCOTUS go down in flames I assure you!!Democracy and voters rights won't be tampered again,not this election with this Mormon clown Romney!!

    September 28, 2012 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  6. OutsideTheEchoChamber

    Being a Chinese businessman, I kind of hope for Romney presidency, it will mean more jobs for us, and more profits for Chinese corporations!
    It's as you Americans say it, a win win: We win your jobs, and sell you back goods and services, and Romney wins a lot of money! Thank you for doing business with us.

    September 28, 2012 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  7. Khaleeshi

    Why would any middle class family want to pay more so millionaires and billionaires can get more tax breaks. Why would anyone who's paid into the system their entire working life want to get rid of medicare for a coupon. Why would anyone want to give up affordable healthcare for the emergency room. It just doesn't make any sense for people to vote against their own self-interest.

    Obama/Biden 2012

    September 28, 2012 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  8. Bootstomper

    Fox is hysterical over all the poll numbers,they can't be right because mike huckabee says so.

    September 28, 2012 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  9. d

    i cant believe any one would vote for romney...ryan either even in wi. but romney still hasnt given a hint as to what he would do...his taped comments were so offensive! i want to see his tax returns!

    September 28, 2012 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
1 2