Poll: Warren still ahead in Mass. Senate race
September 30th, 2012
04:28 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Warren still ahead in Mass. Senate race

(CNN) - A new poll indicates Democratic Senate hopeful Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts is holding on to her narrow margin over incumbent Sen. Scott Brown in the Massachusetts Senate race, but nearly a fifth of voters say they're still undecided.

Forty-three percent of likely voters back Warren, while 38% support Brown, according to the Boston Globe poll released Sunday.

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The five-point difference, however, falls within the survey's sampling error, meaning the two candidates are statistically tied. The new poll marks the latest in a string of surveys putting Warren ahead of Brown since the Democratic National Convention, where Warren delivered a high-profile speech.

However, a University of Massachusetts/Boston Herald survey last week indicated Brown was up by four points.

While Brown has high marks in likability and job performance, many voters say they will vote with their political party, which could hurt Brown in the typically blue state. Democrats outnumber Republicans by a margin of 3-to-1 in Massachusetts.

Eighteen percent, though, say they haven't made up their minds for the November election.

Sunday's poll was conducted after the duo's first debate on September 20, when the opponents exchanged pointed barbs over their respective characters and records. Brown especially attacked Warren over a scandal involving her heritage. His campaign has consistently hammered Warren for listing herself in faculty directories as having Native American roots while teaching Harvard University.

Warren fought back on the attacks, saying she learned from her family she was "part Delaware and part Cherokee" and arguing she has never used her heritage to advance her career.

But the incumbent senator continued to push the offensive last week, releasing two television ad criticizing Warren over the issue. Warren herself released an ad responding to the criticism.

"Let me be clear. I never asked for or never got any benefit because of my heritage," she says in the spot. "The people who hired me have all said they didn't even know about it."

While the new poll shows that the story has become widespread in the state - 79% of voters are either very or somewhat familiar with the issue - the controversy seems to be having little impact. Seventy-one percent say the story has no influence on their ballot choice, according to the Globe poll.

The two face again in their second debate Monday night.

For the survey, 502 likely voters were interviewed by telephone between September 21 and September 27. The sampling error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Elizabeth Warren • Massachusetts • Polls • Scott Brown • Senate
soundoff (23 Responses)
  1. Sue

    The Boston Globe poll?? The same Boston Globe poll that was predicting that Martha Coakley was going to beat Scott Brown the last time he ran? And, I believe that they were claiming/showing by double digits.......Hahahahahahaha.........Brown is easily going to win this seat again!! There is so much dirt on Warren, that the Boston Herald has been doing a great job of exposing to the voters before the election.

    September 30, 2012 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  2. phoenix86

    Mass is really in a sad state if this is true.

    September 30, 2012 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  3. MajMajestik

    I <3 Elizabeth ... Keep up the good work!!!

    September 30, 2012 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  4. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    How can Brown even be in the race after he voted against our troops, and with no plans, only can run by attacking a person's American Indian heritage based on looks? MA deserves better.

    September 30, 2012 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  5. Dennis

    CNN, ya' think the photos selected push an agenda? Brown, the republican...head tilted down, cold blue tint, no smile, shifted eyes. Warren, the democrat...head up, warm yellow tint, smiling with directed gaze. Nah, probably the only two photos you had...right.

    September 30, 2012 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  6. once upon a horse

    me thinks that Brown needs to get off the RACE CARD and get back to attacking Warren on other things. Brown is one of the few Republicans today I have respect for because he hasn't gone off the right wing cliff....YET. I have no horse in this race but he can do far better than the Indian Attack. That video was PATHETIC and whoever that guy is in the camera whooping it should be ashamed of himself.

    September 30, 2012 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  7. Marie MD

    These undecided people need to stay home and eat cookies. If you don't know almost one month to voting day who you want representing you you are s t u p i d!

    September 30, 2012 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  8. felita

    I don't know about the dirt on Warren, but I did see, with my own eyes, the juvenile, inane and stupid staffers hooting about like idiots on taxpayer $$$. If the judgment that Brown uses for Congress is the same that he used to pose for a Cosmo centerfold and to hire these ethnically insensitive jerks, I want no part of him.

    September 30, 2012 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  9. Richard

    What a reminder to same forces of division and separation that we all as part of the human race should eschew in all its ramificatons , doesn't matter a bit what roots one is from .

    September 30, 2012 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  10. Mac

    well if my vote will help Scott Brown is going down. Brown claim he is an independent voice. I don't want an independent voice I want someone who will vote the way we the people of the commonwealth want them to vote!

    September 30, 2012 06:04 pm at 6:04 pm |
  11. John Mcaluney

    Cherokee Liz just lies because she is a victim just like President Obama. When is Obama coming to campaign for her?

    September 30, 2012 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  12. winky

    Sue, If you are so sure Brown will win then there is really no need to post here... It smacks of desperation by a supporter who knows their candidate is losing.

    September 30, 2012 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  13. Gurgyl

    Mass, just vote for Elizabeth.

    September 30, 2012 07:05 pm at 7:05 pm |
  14. GI Joe

    Brown is a juvenile, small, petty person. He's also Wall Street's favorite Senator (wonder why ---).

    Put Warren in there for the smartest pick you can make.

    September 30, 2012 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  15. Jean2

    We spend to much time DIGGING UP DIRT instead of listening to these caidates!!

    September 30, 2012 08:22 pm at 8:22 pm |
  16. The Real Tom Paine

    -Sue
    The Boston Globe poll?? The same Boston Globe poll that was predicting that Martha Coakley was going to beat Scott Brown the last time he ran? And, I believe that they were claiming/showing by double digits.......Hahahahahahaha.........Brown is easily going to win this seat again!! There is so much dirt on Warren, that the Boston Herald has been doing a great job of exposing to the voters before the election.

    *************************************

    What dirt on Warren? Where have the Brown ads been talking about said dirt? Let me guess, there is none, right? Of course right. Brown got the votes he got for one reason: it was a GOP year, and no one knew who he was. People have now seen what a weasel Brown is, especially since he turned his back on the Tea party. He's toast.

    September 30, 2012 10:01 pm at 10:01 pm |
  17. jo an

    Elizabeth...you are the best candidate for the senate I've ever supported.....I will continue to calls and send money!!

    September 30, 2012 10:32 pm at 10:32 pm |
  18. John

    Brown's obviously too ashamed to talk about his voting record. Might as well hit them with a little misdirection right?

    September 30, 2012 10:37 pm at 10:37 pm |
  19. ann west

    A vote for any Republican senator/representative is a vote for Republican Tea Party, right wing , filibuster(364), no compromise.
    The Leaders tea party senator filibuster Mcconnell, Ryan , Bachman, cantor etc all make sure every Republican who comes to Washington vote in lockstep with them.

    Check C-span for how your members vote, that counts much more than what they or super pacs like Rove, ,crossroad say to buy your vote. You can also read Ryan Budget 2011 which all Republicans in house and senate voted for on c-span.
    You can listen to Rommey's video 5/14/12 on c-span 47% of Americans consider themselves victims....google to see most Southeast red states have large groups of 47%. these two things show you what Republicans think about you if you are not one of 1%. wealthy .

    September 30, 2012 11:58 pm at 11:58 pm |
  20. Thomas

    Brown will win by a nose. He was a male model and now a pretty face for the banking industry.

    October 1, 2012 01:04 am at 1:04 am |
  21. aaron

    Brown seemed like a very decent guy for a Repub. However, his pettiness about pushing Warren's Indian heritage has clouded his record. It's one of those things where nobody outside of Fox News and its junkies cares.

    October 1, 2012 01:53 am at 1:53 am |
  22. Cam Spurgeon

    This guy is a thug and if you let him in for a full term you will see his real voting tendencies. Throw the bum out!

    October 1, 2012 04:16 am at 4:16 am |
  23. Get Real

    It's MA. Like this is a shock. They elect certain candidates I would not hire to watch my dog.

    October 1, 2012 05:26 am at 5:26 am |