Poll: Obama 46%-Romney 43% in Florida
October 2nd, 2012
06:30 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama 46%-Romney 43% in Florida

(CNN) – On the eve of the first presidential debate, a new poll indicates a close contest between President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the race for Florida's 29 electoral votes.

According to a Suffolk University/WSVN-Miami survey released Tuesday, 46% of Sunshine State likely voters say they are supporting the president, with 43% backing Romney and seven-percent undecided. Obama's three-point margin is within the survey's sampling error.

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The Suffolk poll was conducted September 27-30, and is the sixth non-partisan, live operator survey of likely voters in Florida conducted over the past two weeks. The others are Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times (Sept. 18-24); Mason Dixon (Sept. 17-19); Washington Post (Sept. 19-23); American Research Group (Sept. 20-22) and Fox News (Sept. 16-18).

The margin in the Suffolk survey is closer than in all but one of the other five polls. A CNN Poll of Polls which averages all six surveys puts Obama at 50% and Romney at 45%.

President George W. Bush carried Florida in his 2004 re-election, but Obama turned Florida from red to blue four years ago.

The Suffolk poll was released one day before the first presidential debate, which will be held Wednesday in Denver. The survey indicates that Floridians by a more than two to one margin think Obama is the better debater.

In the state's U.S. Senate contest, the survey indicates Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson with a 40%-34% advantage over Republican Rep. Connie Mack, with one in five undecided. Nelson's edge over Mack is smaller in the Suffolk poll than in most other recent surveys.

The Suffolk University/WSVN-Miami poll was conducted by telephone with 600 likely voters in Florida questioned. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report


Filed under: 2012 • Florida • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (20 Responses)
  1. Wolfgal

    Good to see the voters are waking up. Most people have a conscience.

    October 2, 2012 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  2. Joe from CT, not Lieberman

    And just think, if it wasn't for those illegally registered Florida GOP voters, the numbers would be worse for WIllard.

    October 2, 2012 06:38 pm at 6:38 pm |
  3. Borderless

    Based on a CNN poll of 17 of the nation's top economists, 9 think that Romney would do a better job for the economy, 5 abstained and 3 said Obama would do a better job. That's a CNN story that's very difficult to find on CNN. Instead they want to focus on the news that most Latinos favor Obama because he panders to them. Even in the story about the economists there was a link for "Obama May Be a Job Creator After All", a story which applauds an anemic net growth of about 100,000 jobs and ignores an increase in the working age population that is several times that number. If CNN ever stopped working so hard to get Obama elected and just did their job, we would see entirely different poll numbers.

    October 2, 2012 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  4. Four and The Door

    So this was before Joe Biden admitted that the middle class has been clobbered for the past 4 years? Without an explanation for how the middle class would do any better with a 2nd Obama term?

    The middle class has an obvious option for improving what happens for them in the next 4 years. Romney/ Ryan 2012.

    October 2, 2012 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  5. dtrain

    Sampling a bunch of polls made by inept pollsters who sample on average 8% mor dems than reps. Well that makes this poll as worthless and inaccurate as the others. Can't wait till november to watch the media and their paid pollsters to have all that egg on their face. Just like the wisconsin polls showing walker losing the recall by several points. Could not have been more wrong.

    October 2, 2012 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  6. Pete

    It'll only get worse for Romney the STENCH after seniors are made aware of what he and Ryan really want to do with Medicare,Medicaid and SocialSecurity,then they're political toast..AARP,USAA and others that specialize in senior care have no choice but tell the truth about Romneys plans to voucherize healthcare and break down Medicaid to something nobody can use..SocialSecurity will go under the republicans knife also and it'll only be a skeleton of its former self,you can count on that because its been ridiculed and made fun of since Roosevelt inacted it in the 1930's,so go ahead republicans blow as hard as you can,you can huff and puff but they'll still be here long after your extremists asses are all gone!!!It's time proven and there's more positives than negetives,go check it out if you have time or need it then its alright isn't it if you hypocrites use it!!

    October 2, 2012 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  7. Rob Portman

    After tomorrow night, it will be;
    Obama – 65%
    Romney – 35%

    October 2, 2012 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  8. proudmemberofglobalzero

    It will be just as tight as it was here in 2008. I jumped through hoops to get my "Third Party Organization" Certificate so I could register voters. I turn in all I get...R's D's and I's. All but a few are D's. I also drove two of my co-workers to get ID to vote. Did you know it costs $31.50 to vote in FL.? These are people that take the bus to work at 5:00 in the morning. We have some really smart people here that will vote for their family's future, some very wealthy that will vote in their best interests, and some that will vote for freedoms that our current President values.

    I am one of those! Obama/Biden 2012

    October 2, 2012 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  9. Gurgyl

    Florida-don't you know 47% comment. Mitt bans your SS and Medicare.

    October 2, 2012 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  10. miki thinks

    The RNC hired a consulting firm to register voters in Florida and four other swing states. When the firm was caught supposedly committing fraud the RNC claimed that they did not know what the consultants were doing. They paid the firm $3 million and did not know what they were doing? The voter surpression is in full swing. The new government ID costs $25 at tje DMV. Hours and days have been cut short. Vote as soon as early voting starts in your state, or vote absentee. If you don't vote, don't compain for the next four years.

    October 2, 2012 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  11. Dou

    President Obama will win the Sun shine state...

    October 2, 2012 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  12. proud american

    Mit Romney 2012.
    Real solution for America

    October 2, 2012 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  13. GaryDMN

    In other words, Romney will win Florida by a landslide. The polls are pretty much staying in the 3 point sampling error window, so they save face and don't look biased when they are wrong.

    October 2, 2012 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  14. Jobo

    Mittens should be ahead in Florida but he's not because folks are starting to see that the RNC has moved too far to the right and hamstrung themselves with a hopelessly conflicted Romney/Ryan ticket.
    By adhering to their Norquist-Tea Party-Limbuagh inspired plank they've alienated the "other" 53% of America. If the ticket attempts to apear less extreme they lose the GOP party base.

    October 2, 2012 07:38 pm at 7:38 pm |
  15. Dan B

    If the poll wasn't bias Romney would be up. CNN ignores accurate polls like gravis and trusts the dem polls like CBS, who oversamples Dems by 10 pts.

    October 2, 2012 07:49 pm at 7:49 pm |
  16. Meo

    According to Romeny said 47 percent people of USA not to care about them
    So who cares about them if he dose not ?????

    October 2, 2012 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
  17. Tom

    Just moved to Florida this year and I am looking forward to finally casting a vote in a battle ground state.

    Obama/Biden and (D) down ticket!

    October 2, 2012 09:19 pm at 9:19 pm |
  18. Ol fashion Republican

    the polls will likely spike in favor of Obama after the first debate. seriously, take a look at the people Romney debated in the past. not exactly good competition during the GOP primaries.

    October 2, 2012 09:24 pm at 9:24 pm |
  19. Squigman

    I don't understand how Romney could have 43%, he's as clueless as they come.

    October 3, 2012 12:08 am at 12:08 am |
  20. Spock500

    Interesting. This latest poll virtually parallels Mr. Obama's 51-48% victory over McCain in 2008. With 33 days and 19 hours remaining until the election, I expect this to be the identical final spread for Florida.

    October 3, 2012 12:41 am at 12:41 am |