Two very different polls in battle for White House
October 8th, 2012
04:12 PM ET
2 years ago

Two very different polls in battle for White House

Washington (CNN) - Two national polls released Monday suggest Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney got a bounce out of last week's first presidential debate, though they differ on how much of a bump the GOP nominee received after his performance in Denver.

According to a Pew Research Center survey released Monday afternoon, 49% of likely voters say they back Romney, with 45% supporting President Barack Obama. The survey was conducted October 4-7, the four days after last Wednesday's first presidential debate in Denver, Colorado. Romney's four-point advantage is within the survey's sampling error.

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In Pew's previous poll, conducted in mid-September, the president had a 51%-43% lead among likely voters.

Among registered voters, Obama and Romney were both at 46% in the Pew survey released Monday. In mid-September Obama was at 51% and Romney was at 42% among registered voters.

Meanwhile, Gallup's latest daily tracking poll of registered voters, also released Monday afternoon, indicates the president with a 50%-45% advantage over Romney. The president's edge is within the survey's sampling error. The poll was conducted October 1-7, both before and after the debate.

Early Monday Gallup released a breakdown of its previous tracking poll, which was conducted September 30-October 6. The survey indicated that Obama held a 50%-45% advantage over Romney from September 30-October 2, the three days leading up to last Wednesday's presidential debate, and that Romney and Obama were deadlocked at 47% each in the three days after the debate, from October 4-6.

Responding to the Pew poll, an Obama campaign official pointed to a shift in the party identification percentages used in Pew's mid-September poll compared to the poll released Monday.

The earlier survey was composed of 39% Democrats, 29% Republicans and 30% independents, while Monday's poll was comprised of 31% Democrats, 36% Republicans and 30% independents.

"This is far bigger than any one-month change in party ID ever reported by Pew in the past," the Obama campaign official said.

Another representative of the Obama campaign said the "state of the race is what it has been, which is a close and competitive race in key states with a slight lean towards the president."

Meanwhile, a Romney campaign official said the GOP effort was "encouraged by the enthusiasm we are seeing from supporters who are energized, as well as undecided voters who are now giving the Governor a new look." They are "continuing to work hard to bring home persuadable voters," the official said.

The new Gallup Tracking poll questioned approximately 2,200 registered voters nationwide by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

The Pew Research center poll questioned 1,112 likely voters by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

CNN's Jim Acosta and Dan Lothian contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls
soundoff (363 Responses)
  1. HOLY TIGHTY WHITIES WILLARD

    Yawn. If this tax evader becomes President, I'm opening a Swiss Bank Account & a Luxembourg account. If he can get away with it, why can't I?

    October 8, 2012 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  2. .Tired Of The Lies

    It's ok, wait until the next video of Romney is released. The one released last month is tame compared to what's coming.

    October 8, 2012 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  3. lefty avenger

    47% prepare to be Liquidated by President Tea Party Mittster.

    October 8, 2012 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  4. Namejkane sfl a vote for lady parts romney the tax cheat and lyin lady parts ryan willcut your moms medicare and soc sec . .can you afford to pay for them???

    Well romney the fax cheat and the bafoon lyin Ryan will both be unemployed on Nov 7th.,polls don't matter ,only vote do and the gop doesn't have them ,by by gop!!!!!

    October 8, 2012 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  5. loqe

    I'm ashamed that so many of my fellow Americans are so blind to Flip Robme's lies! How can someone trust this pathological flip-flopper who will say anything to become president??? God save the USA if this man gets elected

    October 8, 2012 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  6. Name

    Obama wins this. End of story

    October 8, 2012 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  7. yasmine

    the "bump"..I am sure CNN is happy....with this poll

    October 8, 2012 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  8. feelingood

    Hahhahahaha. What's up libs? Where's all your crowing now?

    October 8, 2012 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  9. Tony

    Obama is joking about his debate performance. This means that he knows how to fix the problem.

    October 8, 2012 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  10. BreckNDpendent

    It is redicules that the polling is so close. High unemployement, High gasoline prices, High food prices, Lower Wages and the PROMISE of MORE TAXES! How can this be close? If the polls are true, we really are a nation of morons.

    October 8, 2012 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  11. Mark

    not surprised – Romney knew his stuff and Obama didn't. Obama is lazy, corrupt and a stuffed shirt. Romney is the real deal and will wipe the floor with Obama again and again. Obama is one and done!!! God be praised.

    October 8, 2012 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  12. Jason Wilson

    Good bye, Obama

    October 8, 2012 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  13. beevee

    What this says is bullies impress the voters. That is a shame. It is time for the voters to look how thisngs are progressing economically in the country and whether it is wise to favor an untested big mouth who is born into riches and never knew what poor and middle class lives are in the country just because he spewed a bunch of lies about the president's policies and changed his stance on all the issues from the day before. How can we say that a lying flip-flopper Romney did a good job debating the president? He acted like a bully.

    October 8, 2012 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  14. Alice

    Who do you people think you're fooling Ha Ha Ha LOL !!!!!!

    October 8, 2012 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  15. Critical Thinking

    Mr. President, you might want to start looking at some new housing and schools for Jan 2013.

    October 8, 2012 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  16. Doug

    Wahoo, keep it up Romney! Enough of Obama and his failed presidency. The last 4 years have been nothing like he promised us.

    October 8, 2012 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  17. skygoing

    Are we going to hear about several new polls every day from here until the end of the election? Let me guess... leading right up until all the media coverage the polls are going to indicate it is even more of a hair splitter. Then the day after election the media can spend several days of airtime reporting on "why the polls got it wrong" and how polls are horrible indicators of what is going to happen in an election.

    October 8, 2012 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  18. pete

    gallup has obama up by 5.

    October 8, 2012 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  19. MikeB

    ABC News has a must read:
    ABC News report By Mary Bruce and Jake Tapper
    "At White House Request, Lockheed Martin Drops Plan to Issue Layoff Notices"
    This leaves little question about whether the Obama Oligarchs are manipulating the Job numbers before the election.
    Why cook the numbers when they can buy off those that can affect the numbers?

    October 8, 2012 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  20. Proud American

    Of course any 'TRUE" poll will show a bump for Romney, he did something that the press has refused to do for years. He in front of millions of people called Obama out for his failed policies and lies.

    October 8, 2012 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  21. Ron

    Well, it will be a huge mistake if we elect Mitt Romney. This is a guy who flip flap all the times like President George Bush did. We can't afford to take the risk with Mitt Romney.

    October 8, 2012 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  22. Tom Joad

    Americans will believe anything. Even a fake plastic man.

    October 8, 2012 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  23. myviewis

    Tony

    Obama is joking about his debate performance. This means that he knows how to fix the problem.
    ------------------------------

    Obama will push to have his teleprompter on his next debate since he can't debate of the top of his head on issues like jobs, high gas prices, foreign policy, economy, taxes.

    October 8, 2012 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  24. vowel movement

    whimpering whining uncultured obama poodles

    October 8, 2012 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  25. Robert

    Democrats don't care how bad the economy is, or how high unemployment is, or how hopeless and changeless Obama is for the country. They'll keep voting him in again and again regardless just because he is black and liberal. To hell with the country.

    October 8, 2012 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
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