Two very different polls in battle for White House
October 8th, 2012
04:12 PM ET
2 years ago

Two very different polls in battle for White House

Washington (CNN) - Two national polls released Monday suggest Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney got a bounce out of last week's first presidential debate, though they differ on how much of a bump the GOP nominee received after his performance in Denver.

According to a Pew Research Center survey released Monday afternoon, 49% of likely voters say they back Romney, with 45% supporting President Barack Obama. The survey was conducted October 4-7, the four days after last Wednesday's first presidential debate in Denver, Colorado. Romney's four-point advantage is within the survey's sampling error.

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In Pew's previous poll, conducted in mid-September, the president had a 51%-43% lead among likely voters.

Among registered voters, Obama and Romney were both at 46% in the Pew survey released Monday. In mid-September Obama was at 51% and Romney was at 42% among registered voters.

Meanwhile, Gallup's latest daily tracking poll of registered voters, also released Monday afternoon, indicates the president with a 50%-45% advantage over Romney. The president's edge is within the survey's sampling error. The poll was conducted October 1-7, both before and after the debate.

Early Monday Gallup released a breakdown of its previous tracking poll, which was conducted September 30-October 6. The survey indicated that Obama held a 50%-45% advantage over Romney from September 30-October 2, the three days leading up to last Wednesday's presidential debate, and that Romney and Obama were deadlocked at 47% each in the three days after the debate, from October 4-6.

Responding to the Pew poll, an Obama campaign official pointed to a shift in the party identification percentages used in Pew's mid-September poll compared to the poll released Monday.

The earlier survey was composed of 39% Democrats, 29% Republicans and 30% independents, while Monday's poll was comprised of 31% Democrats, 36% Republicans and 30% independents.

"This is far bigger than any one-month change in party ID ever reported by Pew in the past," the Obama campaign official said.

Another representative of the Obama campaign said the "state of the race is what it has been, which is a close and competitive race in key states with a slight lean towards the president."

Meanwhile, a Romney campaign official said the GOP effort was "encouraged by the enthusiasm we are seeing from supporters who are energized, as well as undecided voters who are now giving the Governor a new look." They are "continuing to work hard to bring home persuadable voters," the official said.

The new Gallup Tracking poll questioned approximately 2,200 registered voters nationwide by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

The Pew Research center poll questioned 1,112 likely voters by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

CNN's Jim Acosta and Dan Lothian contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls
soundoff (363 Responses)
  1. Aaron

    Romney looked incredibly bright and prepared, Obama, not so much

    October 8, 2012 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  2. Dan B

    The election isn't over yet, but Romney is back. If Pew says he is, a very accurate poll, then he is. Before the debate, he looked down and out. What everyone forgets is that is when Mitt does best. This is a horse race and anyone who says different has no idea what they are talking about. Obama did an excellent job disqualifying Romney as an acceptable candidate, but now that Romney s on the national stage, he can't do that. I can't wait for election night,

    October 8, 2012 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  3. Tom Joad

    People must love to get trickled on by the rich.

    October 8, 2012 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  4. Name

    Nice work

    October 8, 2012 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  5. Boo

    Hey conservative m o r o n s...before you break out the champagne....READ THE ENTIRE ARTICLE!

    October 8, 2012 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  6. JohnRJohnson

    Obama could have walked onto the stage and talked jibberish for 90 minutes and I still wouldn't understand how any thinking human being could possibly believe Mitt Romney would make a better president. It just defies logic.

    October 8, 2012 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  7. Rob- Texas

    loqe, do anything to get elected? Like setting up a monument for Cesar Chavez weeks before the election. You might want to look at your candidate again.

    October 8, 2012 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  8. kayla

    maybe now the repugs will agree with the polling. when the stiff is behind they say they don't believe in the polls, but now since herman munster is up the polls is good. you people kill me.

    October 8, 2012 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  9. ConcernedCanadian

    I'm really concerned if Obama gets another 4 years. Haven't you Americans already learnt what you get from him in the last 4 years? You may not like Romney, I don't either, but I would vote for him because he is best for the American economy. He'll do anything to make his own companies, or stocks perform well. However, Obama does only bad things. He has no guts, he helps out the needy, like robinhood. It's not good. The US Dollar has fallen enough in the last 4 years. Give Romney a chance you stupid Americans!

    October 8, 2012 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  10. Lindsey Brutus

    Romney couldn't have performed any better at the debate. I am not a big Romney fan but now I am sold and will vote for him. As he said, "Mr. President, You've had your Chance." Obama blew his chance by being a partisan hack! Let's let Willard have a shot!!!

    October 8, 2012 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  11. Greg

    If Amercia gave the worst President in history, (Bush) eight years to screw up the country. Then they owe Obama, eight years to try and fix it. End of story.

    October 8, 2012 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  12. GOP hate America

    so I guess the right wing tools will believe the polls now that it does not have the president winning? Romney won the debate but not my vote.

    October 8, 2012 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  13. Obama/Biden 2012

    Polls are only as good as what people tell them. I know there is a polling club in several swing and battleground states. Their mission is to say they are voting for Romney but they are voting for President Obama.

    October 8, 2012 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  14. offreservation

    Obama is a 47%er. Never started a company, never ran a business, never worked for anyone but the Gov., had hand outs from grandparents, student loans. Question Obama fans "Has Obama ever paid off his loans?"

    October 8, 2012 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  15. rosie

    Who's laughing now Obama? Better stop running on your own record and attack Romney. Oh wait, you can't because Romney has no record. I predict now that Obama will lose the election by 10 electoral votes.

    October 8, 2012 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  16. JasonP

    This country deserves Mitt Romney. Let it all burn.

    October 8, 2012 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  17. MIke

    Wahhhh, things didn't change fast enough for in the last three years. What a bunch of whiners.

    October 8, 2012 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  18. Mancrush

    But, hey, Barack Obama can sure play some hoops, can't he?

    October 8, 2012 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  19. scmom

    You people really want Mitt for president because he was the loudest and told the most lies. Evidently, you didn't hear what he said, just that he was loudest. Pathetic man, not presidential but I guess it's because he's white and rich and that's enough.

    October 8, 2012 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  20. tee1227

    But the poll don`t tell you that early voting had begun days and a week before the debate. They just talk to a Va pollster in Va and he said he has been on the ground for a month and still is on the ground after the debate and he don`t see Mitt winning Va,OH,WI, or NV

    October 8, 2012 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  21. Tigrr

    This is what the last GOP WH did.....
    see youtbe - CIA Asset Susan Lindauer Can Now Speak 10 years after 9-11. / YouTube
    Yeah, they did it. Lied about everything. Most of Congress knew/ knows. More on Veterans Today.

    Mitt is another puppet for Senior and Cheney, as were Junior, actor Regan, and Ford. They all deserve prison.

    October 8, 2012 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  22. MIke

    The real question is.... Why does Romney really want to be President?

    October 8, 2012 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  23. BostonDan

    Tax evader? Romney? what in the world are you talking about? If you want tax evaders, look to the President's cabinet, there are plenty.

    October 8, 2012 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  24. kyle

    Obama got absolutely destroyed in the last debate. He apparently is used to being surrounded by his "yes" men. LOL
    Romney is the real deal, all the money the democrats have spent trying to define him has backfired.
    Axelrod .... what a joke of a man

    October 8, 2012 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  25. pimpson

    LMAO! Obama is finished. So funny.

    October 8, 2012 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
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