Another tightening battleground: Pennsylvania
October 9th, 2012
05:02 PM ET
6 years ago

Another tightening battleground: Pennsylvania

(CNN) – Among a slate of battleground state polls showing a tightening race between Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama is a survey in Pennsylvania, where Obama, until recently, held a lead over his rival but is now statistically tied with the GOP nominee.

The poll, from Siena College, showed Obama with the backing of 43% of likely Pennsylvania voters, compared to 40% who backed Romney. That's within the 4.2% sampling error. Another 12% of likely Pennsylvania voters in the Siena poll remained undecided. The survey was conducted October 1-5, partially before and partially after the first presidential debate between Obama and Romney, which took place October 3.

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The latest poll showing a close race between Obama and Romney in Pennsylvania is a shift from the end of September, when a CNN Poll of Polls in the state showed Obama with a 10-point advantage over Romney. The Poll of Polls averaged five Pennsylvania polls of likely voters over a two and a half week period.

CNN's Electoral Map rates the state as leaning towards Obama. The president carried Pennsylvania in 2008 by 10.3%. There are 20 electoral votes at stake in November.

At a rally in Pennsylvania on September 28, Romney opened by saying a win in the state would amount to a surprising defeat for the president.

"You know we really would shock people if early in the evening of Nov. 6 it looked like Pennsylvania was going to come our way and actually did come our way," Romney said at the Union League Club. "That could happen. That could happen."

On Tuesday, the Romney campaign said they were shifting five of their 64 Pennsylvania staffers to Ohio, where early voting is already underway.

"We have so much going on in Ohio that we're temporarily asking some staff to help out," a Romney campaign official said.

The Siena Poll of Pennsylvania was conducted by telephone from 545 likely Pennsylvania voters between October 1 and October 5. The sampling error was plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.


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Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Pennsylvania • President Obama
soundoff (35 Responses)
  1. Borderless

    Slip Sliding Away...

    October 9, 2012 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  2. Orchid333

    ...and yet, Obama is STILL in the lead. One word for this election: landslide.

    October 9, 2012 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  3. Dejavu65

    Its amazing how half this country wants to support Romney when they know deep down inside his policies will destroy their lives...Pre-existing conditions(no coverage), woman's rights(gone), voucher instead of medicare for the elderly(poor coverage),involving religion more in the government(church and state), raising taxes on the middle class by allowing the middle class tax cuts to expire in 2013, raise interest rates on college loans(making it harder for kids to go to college, believes parents should pay for college out of pocket), taxing us more but yet he avoids paying taxes himself(offshore accounts,release taxes), outsourcing jobs(Bain), less regulation of banks(which started the recession in the 1st place, supports wall st), take sesame street away from kids(scrooge).....know wonder Romney talks down and disrespects middle and lower class Americans 47% around his rich friends, He knows bigots would rather see another recession than have Obama as President!!...I hope you people really know what is going to happen to the middle class if this guy who just lied about all his positions in the debate to fool simple minded people is elected..if you think it is bad now I hope you all have some super Rich friends to loan you money!!.....glad I work in the medical field and have a high paying job in demand!!

    October 9, 2012 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |
  4. 1608

    Mitt should be running under the banner of change. Give him 12hrs. and he'll change his mind.

    October 9, 2012 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  5. policies not rhetoric

    romney/ryan policies are bad for this country. how many times has romney had to revise
    what he says-many many many! and youwant him in charge of our economy, foreign policy,
    and the country? really something has to be wrong with half the people in our country. this
    is sad-no wonder we are the laughing stock of the world–we would actually consider this
    salesperson and his daily spin. do your research on what a failure he was in mass and think
    twice before you vote for this guy. ask mass voters what they think–it's not pretty.

    October 9, 2012 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  6. Rick McDaniel

    Unions are doing nothing for people, anymore.

    Vote for what makes sense.........not who your union boss tells you to vote for!

    October 9, 2012 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
  7. Hammerer

    If you question obama's touch with reality, he came off the stage at the debate with the belief that he had manhandled Romney. All he needs to do is show up and all of the pheasants will bow at his command.

    October 9, 2012 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  8. The REAL Truth...

    @Rick McDaniel – Unions are doing nothing for people, anymore.
    I agree vote for what makes sense. Unions are less than 12% of the workforce today. Less than effective as they are basically not needed. If Willard wins, Unions will come back in force as he wants to do away with all the unnecessary regulations such OSHA, Labor laws, and so on.

    October 9, 2012 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  9. Back To The 1950's

    I guess one debate does not put Romney ahead. Maybe in the next debate he will promise a job for every American making 6 figures. In the last debate he will promise to outsource the military. He will tell us when we go to war with Iran you won't have to worry about your loved ones dyng.

    October 9, 2012 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  10. Steve S

    Key question:

    On election day, which one of Mitt Romney's alter egos will you be voting for?

    October 9, 2012 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  11. shuman

    We are so lucky to have a courageous, proven leader like governor Romney to turn us away from Obama's relentless march over the cliff.

    October 9, 2012 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  12. bettyann

    Romney is running the slowest recovery in campaign hiostory. He has not lead this race from day one.

    October 9, 2012 06:03 pm at 6:03 pm |
  13. California Gary

    This poll is based on calls to 545 people? And that is supposed to mean something? Heck, I can find that many people that believe the moon is made of green cheese. Probably the same people that are supporting Romney in Pennsylvania.

    October 9, 2012 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
  14. manhar

    I hope that people won't make mistakes on Romney's multiple face. Obviously, he is a very good actor and confident liar. Don't forget that he is the one who said 47% of us don't pay taxes where he pays less than 15% and he is the one who want to cut benefit from middle class and from our children education. He flip flopped his position so many times to gain advantage and make us fool. He is power hungry and to buy our vote by his money and lie. Obama may not have done all the work he promised, but he has done lots of work in 4 years. Most importantly, he is an honest person compare to Romney.
    Many people in Florida made mistakes by choosing Florida's governor and he won the election by his own money. Now people are suffering by their mistakes.
    I am not affiliated by any party but I pay the value in honesty, integrity and true facts. Please judge the true color and don’t move by Romney’s false promise.

    October 9, 2012 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  15. California Gary

    BTW hammerer......Obama did have command of the facts on that stage, Romney only had command of the optics – style won out over substance. That doesn't usually translate into votes on election day. And I'm having fun imagining all those birds(pheasants) bowing to Obama........

    October 9, 2012 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  16. thegame

    I have a question...Every poll I've read talks about this year verses 2008...Do you think we will have the same democratic turn out this year that we had in 2008?

    October 9, 2012 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
  17. loya

    Change is not a strategy,Romney is saying...that's all he has been doing; adjust his speech depending on WHO THR AUDIENCE IS. Voting this man would be a disaster. He has no integrity.

    October 9, 2012 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  18. Ev

    Hey, dejavu65. We don't need a liberal dissertation. Most people just ask themselves a simPle question- are you better off today than you were in 2008? My answer is absolutely not. Most of America that is actually working was doing better back then- hands down. Oh yeah, my company just announced that our healthcare cost are going way up next year in anticipation of Obamacare. So, basically I don't want to pay to cover you lazy liberals' healthcare costs. Does that make sense Dejavu69?

    October 9, 2012 07:19 pm at 7:19 pm |
  19. PoleCat

    I agree whole heartedly Dejavu65 . Romney is all about power., and will say whatever he thinks will get him elected .

    October 9, 2012 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  20. Clivus

    See ya, Barry. 4 years of failure is enough.

    October 9, 2012 08:05 pm at 8:05 pm |
  21. Dr.Cole

    @ Rick McDaniel...AMEN!!! You said it so well, I don't want to say it any different.

    October 9, 2012 08:48 pm at 8:48 pm |
  22. n

    Laughable at best, these poll numbers are nothing more then political wrestling . . . totally fake. This election and what's to follow, is a bad and sad sign of the time. Tomorrow president will be like the Queen of England, just another figure head with no legislative power, Only for show. What happened to this once great nation. Plutocracy is killing it's very essence, it's life spark. Sad days ahead.

    October 9, 2012 09:02 pm at 9:02 pm |
  23. lnd72

    I think the President's downfall in the debate was that he has started to believe the hype about himself that comes from his inner circle. He was over confident.

    October 9, 2012 09:30 pm at 9:30 pm |
  24. NamT. Brett Absher

    How many times has Obama lied. Every time he speaks

    October 9, 2012 09:36 pm at 9:36 pm |
  25. Betty

    If you question obama's touch with reality, he came off the stage at the debate with the belief that he had manhandled Romney
    Now apply that to negotiations with Putin, Ahmadinejad, or the Taliban. Truly frightening. Obama would give up everything, and believe it to be a victory.

    October 9, 2012 10:10 pm at 10:10 pm |
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