Poll: Nevada all tied up
October 11th, 2012
03:12 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Nevada all tied up

(CNN) - The race between President Barack Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney remains tight in the battleground of Nevada, a poll released Thursday shows.

Obama has a two-point advantage over Romney, 47% to 45%, in the Suffolk University/KSNV poll. The difference is within the poll's sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 points.

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Obama's advantage is eight points, 50% to 42% in the state's most populous county, Clark County, and four points (47%-43%) in the second most populous county, Washoe County. Romney, however, leads in the other 15 counties 63% to 30%, according to the survey.

The Nevada race for a U.S. Senate seat is also close: Sen. Dean Heller, the Republican, stands at 40% with Rep. Shelley Berkley, a Democrat, at 37%. The race has attracted over $13 million in spending by outside groups, according to FEC records. The conservative group Crossroads has aired a series of television ads sharply critical of Berkley.

Independent candidate David Lory VanderBeek stands at 7% in the Senate poll.

Two September, pre-debate polls of the battleground state found the presidential race there was similarly close. The CNN/ORC International survey released September 20 found the candidates three points apart, while the NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll released September 28 found a two point margin.

Nevada has six electoral votes and went to Obama in 2008 and President George W. Bush in 2004.

Romney won the state's February caucuses with 50% of the vote.

The Suffolk University/KSNV poll included 500 registered voters and 452 likely voters reached by phone.

– CNN's Paul Steinhauser and Gregory Wallace contributed to this report


Filed under: 2012 • Nevada
soundoff (36 Responses)
  1. YZ

    "Obama has a two-point advantage over Obama, 47% to 45%, in the Suffolk University/KSNV poll."

    Not sure if you're trying to prove non-bias here... but seriously? This is useless.

    October 11, 2012 03:18 pm at 3:18 pm |
  2. Rob

    "Obama has a two-point advantage over Obama" – impressive reporting! How about a proof-read, folks?

    October 11, 2012 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  3. Peter

    "Obama has a two-point advantage over Obama" ... LOL

    October 11, 2012 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  4. Jodie

    Obama "has a two-point advantage over Obama?" "...Obama has a two-point advantage over Obama, 47% to 45%,.."

    October 11, 2012 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  5. a little sad

    "(CNN) – The race between President Barack Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney remains tight in the battleground of Nevada, a poll released Thursday shows.

    Obama has a two-point advantage over Obama, 47% to 45%, in the Suffolk University/KSNV poll. The difference is within the poll's sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 points."

    ah, come on, CNN – "Obama has a two-point advantage over Obama" ?

    October 11, 2012 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  6. Borderless

    It's amazing to see this response from the first debate. It wasn't just that Obama was humiliated. The fact is people saw what they have seen for the past four years of Obama. But they got their first look at Romney without the press' Democrat controlled filters.

    October 11, 2012 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
  7. DEMOCRATS ARE IN FACT THE BIGGEST TAX CHEATS AROUND. Timothy Geithner THE PERFECT EXAMPLE.

    The administration is falling apart before our eyes.

    Was in fact California left off the unemployment numbers as is being reported on many, many other news sources? Right now they're reporting one state was left out and that it was a big one.

    The administration did in fact skew the unemployment numbers as accused.

    October 11, 2012 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  8. Borderless

    I see that after his sentencing, Sandusky and his wife deployed the Obama/Biden defense...blame everyone else.

    October 11, 2012 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  9. WiWillia

    Heads up: You say "Obama has a two-point advantage over Obama" – bit confusing.

    October 11, 2012 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  10. CSW

    OK, this is my first post because we all have our opinions which are clearly different. So liberals, your president just publicy praised a dictator in Chavez. Little comment here "There is no middle class in Venezuala". So how do you argue Obama is for the middle class?

    October 11, 2012 03:29 pm at 3:29 pm |
  11. DEMOCRATS ARE IN FACT THE BIGGEST TAX CHEATS AROUND. Timothy Geithner THE PERFECT EXAMPLE.

    Mother of Slain State Dept. Official Tired of Being Lied To and Stonewalled by Obama Administration
    9:01 PM, Oct 10, 2012 • By DANIEL HALPER

    October 11, 2012 03:30 pm at 3:30 pm |
  12. DEMOCRATS ARE IN FACT THE BIGGEST TAX CHEATS AROUND. Timothy Geithner THE PERFECT EXAMPLE.

    CBS 5 Poll: Romney Gains 8 Points On Faltering Obama In California
    October 10, 2012 6:26 PM
    *******************
    Even California can't deny the truth. Obama's in some serious trouble and America is now winning.

    October 11, 2012 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  13. hmw011

    This Administration is in so much trouble for the Benghazi Attack, they have dug a hole they can’t get out of. The lack of security even though the people onsite were begging for more security and the cover up after the incident. Oh yeah and Lying to the American people regarding a video being the cause and not Obama spiking the ball on HIS killing of Bin laden for political purposes. This Administration is incompetent and corrupt. I can’t wait to see how Biden lies about this to Ryan. Vote ROMNEY/RYAN 2012

    October 11, 2012 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  14. republicans are clowns

    seriously- you can trust Romney and ryan? even i live in canada and watching your gong show debate and romney's lies makes me wonder if anyone from the US are even smarter than a fifth grader. i know everyone lies.. true but if you solely rely on your belief that throws this event to another ball game. When will you idiots realise that Romney and Ryan are both lying about the number and their CONSTANT flip flops? you think they will change US for the better, trust me from what i hear/read (daily unlike some of you ) your nation will go downwards if Romney and Ryan are elected. And all you idiots whining after that will make no sense. Why dont you guys get educated? is it because you believe that Republicans should win this election or you guys are thinking about your country more than parties?

    October 11, 2012 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  15. Mitt Robme_DRAFT_DODGING, TAX_EVADING_POS

    polls go up and down. just a couple weeks ago, FAUX NEWS and the GOP nut jobs are calling all polls as being cooked up...this too is cooked up according to the false mongering FAUX NEWS Teahadist....so nothing to see here!!!

    Move along folks!!!!

    OBAMA 2012!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11

    October 11, 2012 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  16. Sniffit

    Haha. Of course, CNN ignores polls showing Obama still pushign a 6% lead in Ohio and 5% in Virginia. It's all about the horse race and "Mittens debate performance" narrative. Apparently, it's so much about the "Mittens debate performance" narrative, that CNN is also ignoring polls of FL (Obama), WI (Obama) and CO (Mittens) that show NO CHANGE from before the debate.

    Fact: CNN and the MSM will focus on national polling and other measures that show a difference from the debate, will ignore swing state polling that doesn't show a difference from the debate, and will focus only on swing state polling they can play up as a "horse race." The reality is that most swing states aren't showing a major shift for Mittens after the debate and they largely show Obama maintaining slight to large leads, depending on the state. THAT is where the battle really is and so far Mittens apparently hasn't done much to shift things his way. The electoral college calculations still heavily favor Obama....but that's not sensational enough, so let's sweep it under the rug.

    October 11, 2012 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  17. myviewis

    If Nevada people want jobs than they'll vote Romney. If they want to stick to an economy that is going nowhere and no jobs than they'll vote for Obama.

    By the way, I read earlier that one large State failed to report all of its unemployment claims and that is why the unemployment rate dropped down to 7.8%, it was the spokesperson for the Labor Department.

    October 11, 2012 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  18. The REAL Truth...

    @Independent411 – Having lied about Romney for so long, the president and Biden are now confused and disorganized when the public believed what they saw and heard from Romney and not the vitrioloc negative campaign adds from Obama/biden.
    -------------------------–
    ROTFLMAO – where have you been for the last 18 months.. must not get out from under that rock much. What you should have posted should say
    – Having lied about Obama for so long, the GOP and Ryan are now THOROUGHLY confused and disorganized after public saw the total yapper terrier flip-flopper and saw first hand the vitriolic and negative campaign ads from the Grand Obstructionist Party candidates. Amen.

    October 11, 2012 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  19. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    This is going to be close all around, isn't it? All we have to do is think about the options: Romney going to lower taxes and pushing things to later with deficits and no regulations so there are disasters with bubbles of great proportions or Obama who goes with higher taxes and regulations that produce a slow growth economy. I'd like a slow but steady recovery that helps the majority.

    October 11, 2012 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  20. novacane

    how about "no hope for the dope"

    October 11, 2012 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  21. RealityBites

    "Obama's advantage is eight points, 50% to 42% in the state's most populous county, Clark County, and four points (47%-43%) in the second most populous county, Washoe County. Romney, however, leads in the other 15 counties 63% to 30%, according to the survey."

    Never under estimate the power of the big city sponges..

    October 11, 2012 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
  22. rosoc

    Read today that Caifornia did not post thier unemployment #s and thats why it fell !!!

    October 11, 2012 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  23. Uche

    You know what, Everybody is hyped about the debate and the GOP made amuch ado about the Romney Foreign Policy speech given last week after the debate. I am yet to see any substantive discussion from any media outlet regarding that speech as they it was expected to put a dent on BO's foreign policy record. But since the speech was a technical wash out and a political disaster for Romney, the media has swept it under the carpet and filed it away in a never-to-open cabinet.

    Where's the impartiality express by CNN and Keeping them Honest by Anderson Cooper

    October 11, 2012 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  24. Mitt Robme_DRAFT_DODGING, TAX_EVADING_POS

    CNN just continue to drink on that Mitt_Robme_won _the_debate kool aid!!!

    Get overrit!!!....Polls are showing President Obama holding steady a 6% lead in Ohio and 5% in Virginia. How about reporting on the Mitt Robme bounce that's been wiped out in Rasmussen poll; the most coveted GOP poll?

    CNN should STOP carrying water for Mitt Robme/Lyin Ayn Ryan and do some actual reporting and spell checking!!!

    There is NO WAY Mitt Robme is winning this election no matter how CNN continue to post ALL ROBME/RYAN article all day everyday day!!!

    President Barack Obama....still your president on November 7th!!!!!!!

    October 11, 2012 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
  25. Brian

    Rope a Dope yeah thats exactly what Ryan will do tonight.

    October 11, 2012 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |
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