Poll: Obama, Romney tied in New Hampshire
October 15th, 2012
11:00 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama, Romney tied in New Hampshire

(CNN) – A poll released Monday indicates Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama are tied in the battleground state of New Hampshire.

Likely voters in the Granite State are split 47% to 47%, according to a Suffolk University/7News survey. Two percent of voters support Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, while 4% are undecided.

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The poll comes a few days after a survey by American Research Group on Friday showed Romney with 50% and Obama with 46%, a margin that fell within the poll's sampling error.

Both surveys were conducted entirely after the first presidential debate, which was held in Denver on October 3. The two candidates face off again for the second debate Tuesday in Hempstead, New York.

While Obama had largely maintained a steady advantage over Romney in New Hampshire for much of the campaign, the race has grown tighter in recent weeks. Romney gained a modest bounce in several swing states after his widely applauded performance at the first debate.

The new poll also indicates Obama fares better than Romney on personality and foreign policy, but the Republican nominee edges out the president, 45% to 42%, when voters are asked which candidate had the best plan to fix the economy.

CNN rates New Hampshire, with its four electoral votes, as a "toss-up" on its Electoral Map.

With the race so close, New Hampshire is one state where support for Johnson, the Libertarian candidate, could prove decisive in the final results. David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston, said Obama will likely benefit more than Romney from Johnson voters.

"Politics is full of ironies. Gary Johnson voters are predisposed to voting against the incumbent president, but Johnson's presence on the New Hampshire presidential ballot is actually helping Obama," Paleologos said. "Those anti-incumbent voters - at least right now - aren't finding their way to Mitt Romney."

The poll comes the same day as a new survey suggests the race for the White House is a dead heat nationwide. A CNN Poll of Polls that averages seven nonpartisan, live operator, national surveys conducted entirely after the first debate indicates Obama at 47% and Romney at 48% among likely voters.

For the New Hampshire survey, Suffolk interviewed 500 likely New Hampshire voters by telephone between October 12 and 14. The poll's sampling error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • New Hampshire • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (16 Responses)
  1. etesot Obe

    “We don’t have people that become ill, who die in their apartment because they don’t have insurance.” Said Mr. Romney according New York Times. My eyes lids are getting misty…burdened by the weight of my tears. But again that is the Romney most of the world now knows as one who rejected 47 % of his country, mostly the poor “who die in their apartments” or better still on cold streets or squalid homeless shelters. And we now know as much about this man from extrapolating from that secret video. All this instalments coming from him help us build a good picture. And I must confess upfront, even before these we never knew him much except to infer him from the 1% club he is a member of. I don’t begrudge him for his wealth. He was lucky especially coming from a wealth family too. In all my lifetime of trying to dig myself from the middleclass ( or better, inferior class) , I have never seen a human being so dismissive of have-nots, hold multiple stances or change positions multiple times on the same issue as Mr. Romney. Never! For that reason, my family are voting for President Obama. As struggling republicans ourselves, we don't agree with Obama on most issues, but he is consistent, and seems to hold a genuine heart for those of my aspiring lot. And in uncertain times, one should be able predict a leader beyond partisan stripes. Obama is predictable whether you like him or not. Obama’s predictability lies in his constancy, meaning that he synthesizes issues and takes a faithful position, and holds to it. The only predictability with Mitt Romney is that he will change his positions, disparage those who don’t smell money like him. In other words, he is faithful to nothing except saying anything to advance his presidential ambitions!

    October 15, 2012 11:17 pm at 11:17 pm |
  2. zaggs

    Shocker, no demographic breakdown.

    October 15, 2012 11:32 pm at 11:32 pm |
  3. Tom Dybowski

    Gary Johnson vs. two Goldman Sachs candidates.
    The choice is clear.

    October 15, 2012 11:35 pm at 11:35 pm |
  4. pcalif

    Not the Suffolk poll again!!

    October 15, 2012 11:45 pm at 11:45 pm |
  5. Larry L

    Folks in New Hampshire need to ask themselves some critical questions. Has Mitt Romney actually given you any specifics about Medicare, Social Security or specifics on how to pay for his big promises? Has Mitt Romney flip-flopped on every issue? Has he been shown to be a liar about just about everything? Was he a draft-dodger? Did he really say that 47% of Americans "weren't worth worrying about"? Why won't he show his tax returns? What's he hiding? Can you trust him?

    October 16, 2012 12:08 am at 12:08 am |
  6. ColoradoJoe

    anyone interested in a new fact from NY Times?
    As Massachusetts Governor, Romney Was Often Away
    More interested in funding events (to be a president) than doing his job. And this guy is going to run the country? He didn't even run his own state. No wonder it came in 47th in jobs when he left.

    October 16, 2012 12:16 am at 12:16 am |
  7. Thomas

    Wow ,
    I would have thought Romney had that state. Doesn't he have one of his ten homes there? And with the corrupt John Sunnozoo puling strings and calling in favors .
    Romney should take the state easy.

    October 16, 2012 12:39 am at 12:39 am |
  8. Devan

    And how many more Democrats were polled than Republicans? How many younger vs older? How many more urban vs rural residents? How many more females than males? Each of these factors, in addition to how the question is asked, will influence the survey results.

    October 16, 2012 12:43 am at 12:43 am |
  9. Jim

    Poor Obama. No plans for the future and only attacks on Romney who did bother to come up with actual plans rather than excuses.

    October 16, 2012 01:07 am at 1:07 am |
  10. BeverlyNC

    I feel fully confident as the President reminds the People of all he has accomplished despite total Republican obstruction and makes sure People know what Romeny is REALLY planning to do the rights of women, workers, children to a quality education, in addiiton to extreme destruction of our social structure of programs for the poor, our veterans, and our healthcare system – Romney will drop again like a rock in the polls. Women need to wake up to what Ryan's bills and voting record in the House on the "varying defintions of rape", no abortions for ANY reason, no access to contraception, and giving women's eggs rights, even property rights, and vote to save what we worked 40 years to get in making decisions over own bodies. Romney will say anything but what he actually plans to do is dangerous for our nation. Better know which Romney you are voting for. He hasn't held a single position except to work for the rich, the corporations, and to deregulate the banks again. He will kill Medicare and Social Security totally. He has run on that for 18 months and now suddenly he pretends his whole platform has changed. All this show us is Mitt cannot be trusted with the leadership of our nation. I stand with President Obama because he is consistent, truly cares about ALL Americans and has a proven record for successfully creating jobs and help for ALL the people as our economy recovers.

    October 16, 2012 01:58 am at 1:58 am |
  11. Gurgyl

    Mitt needs to show his TEN YEARS OF TAXES. This guy is a tax-cheat. Massachuttes was 47/50. He commented 47%, watch in YouTube. Obama12.

    October 16, 2012 07:02 am at 7:02 am |
  12. n

    Enough with these phony polls already! >:(

    October 16, 2012 07:36 am at 7:36 am |
  13. Victoria

    Romney's going to win New Hampshire and the White House!!

    October 16, 2012 07:40 am at 7:40 am |
  14. Anonymous

    If MR wins and becaones president, he will have a TURN KEY adminristration. But he does not have the KEY(S) to the American heart. Empathy is not an issue that he understands. Obama has all of the goodness needed to help the American people. Look into Mitt's eyes during the debate. Dark and sinister and even scary.

    October 16, 2012 07:50 am at 7:50 am |
  15. Namejkane sfl a vote for lady parts romney the tax cheat and lyin lady parts ryan willcut your moms medicare and soc sec . .can you afford to pay for them???

    The only positive thing I can think of coming from a romney the lieing tac cheat is ,,we will know how many stupid people we have in the USA and which states the come from ,after all ,the gop trashed the whole economy only four years ago . Who in their right mind would vote to go back to that and we are clearly on the rebound and Obama care is better then romney the serial lier is saying . My kids now have healthcare!!!!!

    October 16, 2012 07:59 am at 7:59 am |
  16. carl

    Folks, if MR wins the election he will enter a TURN KEY administration.But what Mitt does not have is/are keys to the American heart! Look into his eyes during the TH meeting so dark and sinister.

    Obama's administration that has battled its way back from the brink of disater on all fronts. What has MR done (Bain Capitol?) a real tough one huh Mitt.

    October 16, 2012 08:01 am at 8:01 am |