Polls: Obama has advantage in Wisconsin, Iowa
October 18th, 2012
08:10 PM ET
2 years ago

Polls: Obama has advantage in Wisconsin, Iowa

(CNN) – New polls that were taken partially after the second presidential debate indicate President Barack Obama has an edge over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in the battleground states of Wisconsin and Iowa.

Fifty-one percent of likely voters in Wisconsin back the president, while 45% support Romney, according to one of the NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls released Thursday. The six point margin falls within the survey's sampling error, meaning the two candidates are statistically tied in the state.

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In Iowa, however, Obama has an eight point lead over Romney, 51%-43%. Both surveys were conducted Monday through Wednesday, with about half of respondents interviewed after the second presidential debate on Tuesday, the surveys say.

Iowa and Wisconsin are rated as "toss-up" states on CNN's Electoral Map.

The NBC/WSJ/Marist results offer a contrast to previous polls released after the first debate, which showed Romney with a bounce in several swing states.

A Marquette University Law School poll, for example, released Wednesday showed Obama ahead by only one point in Wisconsin, though the survey was conducted entirely before the second presidential debate. And in Iowa, an American Research Group survey released on Monday showed Obama and Romney tied at 48% in the Hawkeye State.

The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll shows that Obama seems to have a strong lead over Romney among early voters in Iowa. About a third of likely voters said they have already cast their votes in the state, and 67% of them said they supported Obama, while 32% said they backed Romney.

The president has made an aggressive push in the state. He appeared in Iowa Wednesday, and former President Bill Clinton, as well as rock legend Bruce Springsteen, stumped in the state for Obama on Thursday.

Romney, however, has stronger numbers on the question of enthusiasm. In Wisconsin, 68% of Romney fans showed a "high level" of enthusiasm, while 63% said the same about Obama. In Iowa, which has six electoral votes, the gap is wider, with 64% of Romney supporters showing enthusiasm, compared to 53% for the president.

In recent weeks, Republicans have upped their efforts in Wisconsin, hoping to grab its 10 electoral votes. The pro-Romney super PAC, Restore Our Future, has especially gone after the state, dropping millions in ad money the last few weeks. Wisconsin also represents the home state of Romney's running mate, Rep. Paul Ryan.

In Iowa, 1,137 likely voters were questioned by telephone for the survey, which has a sampling error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points. In Wisconsin, 1,013 likely voters were surveyed, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. Both surveys were conducted between October 15 and October 17.


Filed under: 2012 • Iowa • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama • Wisconsin
soundoff (13 Responses)
  1. Gurgyl

    Any one who has head will vote for this President. Not that I like but that it is a truth.

    October 18, 2012 08:15 pm at 8:15 pm |
  2. Anea

    If Romney is elected...I'm moving to Canada!!!!

    October 18, 2012 08:45 pm at 8:45 pm |
  3. Frank

    Good. Along with Ohio Obama has got this thing down. Too bad these polls are not as credible as we want to imagine them to be.
    \

    October 18, 2012 09:47 pm at 9:47 pm |
  4. Name w.bullock

    Iowa and wisconsic are keep play game vote on poll

    October 18, 2012 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  5. Dan

    After this weeks debate, Republicans in Wisconsin have been furious at Romney.
    One co-worker even removed his Romney bumper sticker.

    October 18, 2012 10:52 pm at 10:52 pm |
  6. chad

    obama is going to win Iowa but wisconsin is different. two more polls after debate conming out tomorrow basically show dead heat in wisconsin.

    October 18, 2012 11:24 pm at 11:24 pm |
  7. Larry L

    Those are states where working people are appreciated. Those are states who would never consider disabled veterans, seniors on Social Security or folks looking for a job to be part of the 47% Mitt Romney considers useless parasites. Remember, Romney thought he was talking in private to just fat-cats. He told his buddies what he really feels, not the campaign lies, distortions and flip-flopping we hear from him when he politicking.

    October 18, 2012 11:35 pm at 11:35 pm |
  8. Donkey Party

    It's looking like Ryan is going to lose his home state, and Romney is going to lose 2 out of 3 of his home states.

    October 18, 2012 11:52 pm at 11:52 pm |
  9. jimcolyer

    Obama should never have been president.

    October 19, 2012 12:38 am at 12:38 am |
  10. jimcolyer

    MITT ROMNEY 2012

    October 19, 2012 12:38 am at 12:38 am |
  11. Clouds Across The Moon

    But Fil-Ams won't support Obama more. Well, Indian-Americans support Obama. That's a setback for Obama. And he's trying to court them by giving funds which should've been decades ago.

    October 19, 2012 05:03 am at 5:03 am |
  12. The 1 Prophet

    The problem with Obama is he thought the minority would grow the economy in the last 4 years, wrong the minority can never grow any economy anywhere, becouse if locks skills and education as a foundation. Romny has a vision just like me.

    October 19, 2012 06:22 am at 6:22 am |
  13. Are you kidding me?

    I am hopeful the American people will realize while they are voting that our president is no slouch and will fight for the citizens and not fight for the wealthy who have hijacked the democratic process or lobbiests who hold progress hostage.

    Willard is not running to help us. He is running to help his family make more money and share it with his country club friends.

    October 19, 2012 07:57 am at 7:57 am |