October 20th, 2012
12:50 PM ET
1 year ago

Poll: Races in Florida, Ohio remains tight after second debate

(CNN) - New polls of the two largest battlegrounds in the race for the White House show a close contest following the second presidential debate.

In Florida, where there are 29 electoral votes, 48% of likely voters said they back GOP challenger Mitt Romney, and 45% said they support President Barack Obama, according to a Fox News poll of likely voters. Those results are in line with Friday's CNN/ORC International poll of likely Florida voters.

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The CNN poll found 49% of likely voters in the Sunshine State backed Romney and 48% backed Obama.

The differences between the candidates in both polls are within the sampling errors.

Likely voters in Ohio split similarly between the two candidates, with 46% backing Obama and 43% supporting Romney, the Fox poll showed. Throughout the fall and summer, polls in the Buckeye State have showed a tight race, some with a slight advantage for Obama. Ohio has 18 electoral votes.

Obama has slipped among independents in both states, the poll showed.

In Florida, Romney's favorability stands at 55%, and in Ohio, 48% view him favorably. Obama's favorability is 53% in Ohio and 51% in Florida, according to the Fox poll.

A CNN poll found that two out of three debate watchers said Romney won the first debate, but the second debate, held October 16, was a draw.

The Fox News polls were conducted on October 17 and 18. Included were 1,130 likely voters in Florida and 1,131 likely voters in Ohio contacted by telephone. The sampling error in each state is plus or minus three percentage points.

The third and final debate between the two candidates will take place in Florida on Monday.

Also on the CNN Political Ticker

– Ryan zeroes in on energy jobs in Pennsylvania

– Poll: Races in Florida, Ohio remains tight after second debate

– Early voting opens in seven states, D.C.

– Sparring over economy in weekly addresses


Filed under: 2012 • Florida • Mitt Romney • Ohio • President Obama
soundoff (147 Responses)
  1. Anonymous

    The 25,000 might work for very low cost of living areas and the very poor but it will drastically raise taxes for middle class particularly for families making between 100 and 200 thousand dollars. The NET deduction limit will only be 15,000 and NOT 25,000 because Romney expands Obama's proposal to tax the health insurance premium benefit will raise people's TAXABLE income by about 10,000. Most families making over 100,000 now will use up this 15,000 limit fast. Your state income tax deduction, real-estate deduction; state sales tax deduction; mortgage deduction; personal exemption deduction for you, your spouse and your kids. We payed $20,000 between the state income tax(6%) and real-estate tax (2.75% of the house value) plus several thousand more in sales tax (8%). Thats 25,000 right there, no chance to claim mortgage health insurance, personal exemptions additional sales tax on cars, etc and the 20% tax rate cut does not even come close. This article does not take into consideration the $10,000 increase in your taxable income due to the addition of insurance premiums your employer pays as your income. So now the $17,000 the author mentions becomes $7,000 and all of the middle class and as well as parts of working class get hit. Mitt will not increase your tax rate but he will INCREASE your taxes.

    October 20, 2012 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  2. P-King

    Qualifications win elections, and clearly Mitt Romney is the more qualified candidate. Barack Obama was unfortunately elected with a resume of 'community activist', lawyer who got poor people mortgages (94% of which foreclosed), and mfreshman senator from Illinois. None of his positions required a handle on the economy, creating and sticking to a budget, reducing a deficit, or being a strong leader. In short, he got I'm to office on novelty and rhetoric, but hasn't delivered substance.

    America will change this by electing a good and decent man who has the economic and leadership qualifications to fix things – that man is Mitt Romney.

    October 20, 2012 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  3. Tina

    Elect a leader – elect Mitt Romney.

    October 20, 2012 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  4. ralph

    Yes, everyone knows that Florida is and has been a tossup, But using a Fox News Poll to call Ohio a tossup is nonsense. It is not that close in Ohio if you do a "Poll of Polls" after the second debate. This just feeds into CNN's desire to call the race a dead heat to keep interest high and their ratings up. This sort of nonsense hurts your credibility in the long run.

    October 20, 2012 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  5. Baylon Owayezu

    Obama will win the third debate

    October 20, 2012 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  6. Harold_PA

    Here in PA I can already tell you – no matter what the polls say, Romney will win by a landslide!

    October 20, 2012 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  7. stainpouch

    To those Obama haters in Ohio: Don't like the way things are? Just wait til the Bishop gets hold of your candy a$$e$. TRUST. TRUST TRUST. Hahahahahahahaha,

    October 20, 2012 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  8. NotWorking

    My family has suffered long enough – I can't find a job and every week we are faced with a decision – do we buy food this week or gas so we can get the kids to school. We shouldn't have to live like this so where is Obamas hope and change? I hope Romney wins and I am voting for him.

    October 20, 2012 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  9. ziggy2003

    if the past is any indication of the future then Obama is in trouble. When he won the presidential nomination he was well ahead of Mcain in the Polls. In the end he only managed to squeek by in certain battle ground states and even states that he was supposed to win by a large margin. Nobody knows what goes on in peoples head once they are inside a voting booth...

    October 20, 2012 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  10. cleareye1

    There seem to be plenty of people willing to concede the freedoms of women so they won't have to admit they made two huge mistakes- one in 2000 and another in 2004.
    This election is fundamentally about women's place in our country, are they free or are they subject to laws written by men based on nothing?

    October 20, 2012 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  11. Theophilus Adenyi

    Mitt Roomney, please tell obama to provide an answer to what happened in Benghazi

    October 20, 2012 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  12. Kevin

    I think the polls in Florida and Ohio have pretty much stabilized over the past month. Florida will go to Romney and Obama will take Ohio.

    October 20, 2012 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  13. PJ

    If anyone thinks Medicare is difficult to figure out now just wait until the Voucher system is put in by Romney. The Voucher will only buy the cheapest plan in town and we will end up paying thousands more. This is a critical issue for anyone in the 47% castawats group who is on Medicare.

    October 20, 2012 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  14. PeggySue

    Speaking on behalf of the 90% of women who don't have abortions and don't expect the government to pay for our birth control, the economy and jobs are way more important the. Those things. Why does President Obama think we are so dumb? We need to feed and take care of our families, and Romney has a better plan.

    October 20, 2012 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  15. Robert

    It won't be after Obama cleans Romney's clock in this final debate on foreign policy.

    October 20, 2012 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  16. fryuujin

    notice the generation gap. in less than a generation the GOP will be a relic. the demographics are unstoppable. The GOP must stop the madness, the hate, the lies, the noncooperation, and being the party driving by extreme or they will be a relic.

    October 20, 2012 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  17. sixpackistan

    the polls are not tight. romney is winning.

    October 20, 2012 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  18. Lar5

    Read the NY Times editorial today. Why in the world doesn't President Obama bring up these women's reproductive rights issues. It should be a major theme. I and my friends don't get it. It's a central issue to get the women's vote. Romney will destroy women's rights yet Obama seems to be avoiding the topic. He will lose if he continues to duck this issue.

    October 20, 2012 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  19. Cano

    The latest swing state poll:

    Obama 6 in Wisconsin
    Obama 8 in Iowa
    Obama 3 in OH
    Obama 3 in Colorado

    October 20, 2012 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  20. James Baker

    It's really hard to imagine such a large percentage of the electorate would vote for Romney. To do so, they have to be simply unconcerned with so many significant flaws, such as (1) a business background that does not show he understands anything relevant to helping the US economy other than putting his own profit above the interests of jobs, many of which he shipped overseas, (2) failing to release his past tax returns (which proves he's hiding harmful information), (3) failing to endorse equal pay for equal work, (4) opposing a woman's right to chose and picking a running mate that would ban abortion in all cases, even when incest, rape or the life of the mother is involved, (5) would repeal Obamacare and leave millions without health insurance again, (6) repeal regulations placed on Wall Street and leave them free to create financial havoc like they did last time, and (7) would take our foreign policy back to the reckless days of the NeoCons, where policy makers who never served in uniform gleefully order other young American men into combat for reasons that have nothing to do with US national security. Who are these people who would take the US down this destructive path .. again???

    October 20, 2012 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  21. Yeahona

    And 99% of all polling doesn't say jack squat, but the 65% of the media report it as having meaning, while 30% of the media is not sure what meaning a poll has. The other 5% are outside the margin of error.

    October 20, 2012 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  22. Iwish

    Where are the jobs Obama? Why is gas $5.00 a gallon Obama. Why is milk $4.50 a gallon Obama? Why are my taxes so high Obama? Florida voter.

    October 20, 2012 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  23. A new start

    NO...Florida is Romney all the way. Ohio, is in play and if obama loses it he is finished....like i said OH is in play. People are turning their attention to the election and learning Romney and seeing obama perform with out controlled press and they are turning on obama...as they should, we have a mess. We need jobs and virtually everything obama has done is anti-business and inflationary (high fuel and food prices), people see this. And, then we get to the middle east, China, North Korea, and Russian policy...all a mess. We need HOPE AND CHANGE!

    October 20, 2012 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  24. Mike

    Obama is already winning in early voting, and Romney's campaign is crumbling. From 'Binders full of Women' to his 'Blunderer in chief' stint in the UK this summer, Romney has been a walking disaster. By completely alienating women, he has ensured President Obama will win this election. Also, strong debate performances on Romney's behalf can't make up for the fact that he has changed his mind several times on key issues, and has it stated within the record. Most importantly though, is the fact that Romney is looking to reinstate the same policies which led to the economic crisis - and that is just something americans will not stand for.

    President Obama will win this election on November 6th.

    Obama 2012

    October 20, 2012 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  25. geminimoon66

    It's really sad to see our country torn between such two lying corrupt people. Regardless of who has been picked, we will still continue seeing the demise of our once great nation...

    October 20, 2012 02:32 pm at 2:32 pm |
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