October 20th, 2012
12:50 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Races in Florida, Ohio remains tight after second debate

(CNN) - New polls of the two largest battlegrounds in the race for the White House show a close contest following the second presidential debate.

In Florida, where there are 29 electoral votes, 48% of likely voters said they back GOP challenger Mitt Romney, and 45% said they support President Barack Obama, according to a Fox News poll of likely voters. Those results are in line with Friday's CNN/ORC International poll of likely Florida voters.

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The CNN poll found 49% of likely voters in the Sunshine State backed Romney and 48% backed Obama.

The differences between the candidates in both polls are within the sampling errors.

Likely voters in Ohio split similarly between the two candidates, with 46% backing Obama and 43% supporting Romney, the Fox poll showed. Throughout the fall and summer, polls in the Buckeye State have showed a tight race, some with a slight advantage for Obama. Ohio has 18 electoral votes.

Obama has slipped among independents in both states, the poll showed.

In Florida, Romney's favorability stands at 55%, and in Ohio, 48% view him favorably. Obama's favorability is 53% in Ohio and 51% in Florida, according to the Fox poll.

A CNN poll found that two out of three debate watchers said Romney won the first debate, but the second debate, held October 16, was a draw.

The Fox News polls were conducted on October 17 and 18. Included were 1,130 likely voters in Florida and 1,131 likely voters in Ohio contacted by telephone. The sampling error in each state is plus or minus three percentage points.

The third and final debate between the two candidates will take place in Florida on Monday.

Also on the CNN Political Ticker

– Ryan zeroes in on energy jobs in Pennsylvania

– Poll: Races in Florida, Ohio remains tight after second debate

– Early voting opens in seven states, D.C.

– Sparring over economy in weekly addresses


Filed under: 2012 • Florida • Mitt Romney • Ohio • President Obama
soundoff (147 Responses)
  1. GI Joe

    There were 17 attacks on embassies/consulates during Bush II, 15 during Clinton, 4 during Bush I, 11 during Reagan. Plus the attack on the Marine Barracks in 1983 under Reagan that killed more than 200 and injured 60 others.

    This happens. It's terrible, but it happens. Not sure who made the point first, but embassies/consulates have to be secure, yes, but also be open enough to be approachable. It's located in a foreign land, with some aspects of security out of our control. There are going to be incidents. You investigate them, you don't jump the gun and make it into political theater. You learn from them and you work to improve conditions and reduce the risk for a next time.

    I'd rather have a president who's winding down wars, keeping us out of new ones and showing a balanced, reasoned approach than another chicken hawk who will make things worse.

    Also worth mentioning is the fact that the Republican House (in the last 18 months) has cut funding for Embassy security around the world by $549 Billion Dollars.

    Chew on those facts awhile. Romney is politicizing this dreadful incident, and I believe it makes him a horrible person.

    October 20, 2012 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  2. Captain

    This is what the last GOP WH did....
    see youtube - CIA Asset Susan Lindauer Can Now Speak 10 years after 9-11.
    More on VeteransToday

    October 20, 2012 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  3. beau

    If American children had their way, President Barack Obama would serve another four years as the Commander in Chief.

    That’s according to the recent Scholastic Student Vote where those under 18 got to weigh in on the important election. Nearly a quarter of a million students across the country cast their ballots, and the results are in: President Barack Obama walked away with a 6 percent lead over Republican candidate Mitt Romney.

    Students who voted for "Other," wrote in Republicans such as Ron Paul, Rick Santorum, John McCain and Paul Ryan, according to a press release from Scholastic, peppered with the occasional "my mom" or "my dad."

    October 20, 2012 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  4. carol

    Yes, Florida the crooked state. All those senior citizens think Mitt is going to take care of them. Wait until they find out the truth!!

    October 20, 2012 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  5. david

    Obama is falling apart like a Chinese motorcycle. It's great people realize how devistating Obama has been.

    October 20, 2012 03:35 pm at 3:35 pm |
  6. blake

    Eliminate the 5-10% oversampling of Democratic voters from the polls, and Romney is likely to win every swing state and a few states labeled as leaning Obama. This election is not going to be close.

    October 20, 2012 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  7. Larry

    Mitt was an unpopular one term governor in Massachusetts. The state was 47th in education when he left office. He has already said what he thinks of us (The 47% remark). The fact that he has changed his position many times on every issue and will not give details on what tax deductions he will eliminate is sufficient cause for me to VOTE FOR OBAMA.

    October 20, 2012 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  8. dwech

    Why the citizens of Florida (a large contingent of retirees and immigrants) would vote for Romney is a mystery – as they are voting against their own interest. Be interesting to see how the election process goes in these two states, both have experienced many problems in the past two elections. At least Blackwell is out as SofS in Ohio – they have a better chance of a fair election process.

    October 20, 2012 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  9. Chris

    Because polls are so accurate. Just look at Gallup getting sued by DOJ

    October 20, 2012 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  10. USA

    Where are you getting your polls?

    October 20, 2012 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  11. Don

    If people in Ohio or any other coal producing state want to keep jobs or at least the cost of electricity low they will vote for Romney. Obama stated in 2008 he would bankrupt coal plants. Just imagine the things he will do if he wins. This could be the term he starts keeping promises. Vote with you bank account in mind.

    October 20, 2012 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  12. Wade

    In Ohio maybe but in FL Romney is way ahead by 6 points. It is a tie in WI, and now Romney is winning in PA, VA,NC, Iowa, and MI,Nevada is still a tie. Obama is finished with Romney 6 to 7 points ahead nationally and 6 pints ahead in the swing states.

    October 20, 2012 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  13. Brad

    Tough choice, I don't like either of them............

    October 20, 2012 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  14. Don

    Two words: Diebold, machines. It just doesn't matter.

    October 20, 2012 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  15. Mark Taylor

    Here's a nightmare scenario. We have a repeat of 2000 election where Supreme Court had to decide and of course, because it is 5-4 conservative their decision went to GW Bush (the wrecking ball). In that election, a sitting President was not involved. Can you imagine that same scenario and they decide to remove a sitting President. All hell will break loose.

    October 20, 2012 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
  16. Leonore H. Dvorkin

    Intrade, Nate Silver, and PredictWise - all very reliable - all have Obama well ahead. He is going to win.

    October 20, 2012 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  17. vancooler360

    who cares what the polls say!
    Vote any way!!!!
    Remember to Vote!!!

    October 20, 2012 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  18. Truth1111

    If a CEO of a company promises change and fixing the economy then fails in 1 year (let alone 4!) he would be FIRED.. PERIOD.. Why dont we hold this measure to our presidents!!?? If Romney is voted in and he fails, he is FIRED period! We need to treat our presidents like company CEO's!!!

    Facts:

    President Obama promised us our premiums would go down $2,500 per family per year if we passed Obamacare, but family premiums increased 9 percent last year

    The president promised us he wouldn’t raise taxes on middle class families making less than $250,000 a year, but Obamacare raises taxes on health plans, medical devices, prescription drugs and employers, and 75 percent of the individual mandate tax will fall on the middle class

    The president promised he would cut the deficit in half by the end of his first term, but because of his out-of-control spending, he has created record trillion dollar deficits every year in office, and he’s increased the deficit by $5 trillion since he took office.

    President Obama promised that if he didn’t have the economy fixed in “three years” then his presidency was “going to be a one-term proposition,” but since he took office, the national unemployment rate has been above 8 percent for a record 41 straight months

    The president promised that his stimulus package would keep unemployment below 8 percent, but the U.S. has lost nearly half a million jobs since he took office, the unemployment rate is still above 8 percent and 23 million Americans are unemployed, underemployed or have simply stopped looking for work.

    By any measure, the president’s approach has failed. He is the most liberal and incompetent president we have had since Jimmy Carter. Before becoming president, he had never run anything. Nothing. Not a business, not a state, not a law firm and not even a lemonade stand. The results of his presidency show that. That’s why we simply cannot afford another four years of President Obama. We have to pursue another path

    October 20, 2012 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  19. 2cents

    I haven't seen much coverage on about the voting machines and romneys ties to them, isn't that a bit more important than a poll in a swing state. What does a poll matter if the states already been bought?

    October 20, 2012 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  20. peacemonger

    Looking forward to Romney's concession speech!

    October 20, 2012 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  21. jinx88

    Tied? Wasnt Mittens winning in Florida by 4? Mittens better get back to Florida and tell more lies, before he loses the state.

    October 20, 2012 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
  22. teacheng

    Uhm...let's face it, Ohio is lost to Romney. This poll is the closest they have him there, with most of the others giving a much wider gap. He should focus on Florida...or just give up, which would be fine with me.

    October 20, 2012 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  23. Namejkane sfl a vote for lady parts romney the tax cheat and lyin lady parts ryan willcut your moms medicare and soc sec . .can you afford to pay for them???

    Down here in Florida ,we don't believe in polls ,only in the votes and president Obama is going to win big .vote early and prevent the gop voter fraud that they have been ding across the country with Nathan sproul . FBI should investagate !!!!!!

    October 20, 2012 03:53 pm at 3:53 pm |
  24. charlie avila

    Voters should not support obama, his agenda is to turn the country into a third world one, and integrate it to europe, with a big government. He will sequester americans liberties!....

    October 20, 2012 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  25. Josylad

    The story of the 2012 US presidential elections is akin to the story of a great mother with 2 kids. This mother took great care of her kids and made huge sacrifices for them. Every 4 years, the 2 kids 'campaign' for the privilege to host and care for mother for the next 4years – with the extended family voting

    The first son R had the mother for 8 years and during that period she aged, became sic
    k due to lack of proper care and R's disposition to be cater to his elite friends rather than spend time with mother. D – the other son campaigned that if he gets the chance to host and care for mother, he will take better care of her – build her a grandma chalet, buy her a chauffeur driven car, get her the best doctor to care for her, make sure she sees the world and have a great life. D campaigned and made these promises over a 2 year period because he loved his mother and aspired to give her the best.

    A few days before the election, mother went into a cardiac arrest induced coma. D won the election and got her in this terrible state. Of course, D spent his all his time, energy, resources and emotions to save mother's life; while R – still smarting from an election loss refused to help D care for mother despite the fact that mama was in a coma. After 2 years mama came out of a coma and with the help of rehab got stronger gradually over the next 2 years

    As the next election approached, R began to slam D. R argued that mother doesn't have a new house and car yet, has not seen the world and was not better than what she was 10 years ago. R said D broke his promises. R conveniently forgot he handed over a comatose mother and never helped to care for her. R loves to quote stats on mother's blood pressure, bank balance and other indicators of health and well being without referencing the state in which mother was handed over to D – almost dead

    R is Republican Romney, D is the Democratic Obama and Mother is the United States. The question is : Does D deserve credit for getting mother back on her feet, even if she is not in her best condition yet? Does R have a right to attack D when he was responsible for mother's coma and never helped to care for her when she was in a coma? Does R deserve to have mother back when he didn't help and when he intends to feed her the same food and introduce her to the lifestyle that got her sick in the first instance? R complained that D squandered the family savings and incurred debt to save her life, when he was using the savings to entertain his elite friend and live the good life.

    You decide. Who should have mother for the next four years?

    October 20, 2012 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |
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