(CNN) - Two Virginia political heavyweights on Sunday said the presidential race in the Old Dominion, a crucial battleground state, would come down to a nail-biter.
Sen. Mark Warner, a Democrat, and former Rep. Tom Davis, a Republican, each argued on CNN's "State of the Union" that his party's candidate would carry the state - but they agreed the final results will be close.
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Davis, who served as a seven-term U.S. congressman, said Romney is on an "upward trajectory."
"It's close, but Obama's turnout model is going to be down from 2008. The kids are not coming out for him like they did before," Davis said, referring to the youth vote that helped Obama win the state four years ago for Democrats for the first time in four decades.
Warner, however, said the president has a significant advantage over Romney among women in Virginia, an important voting bloc needed to win the commonwealth. He cited the bill passed by the Republican-controlled House of Delegates and signed by Republican Gov. Bob McDonnell that requires women to have an ultrasound before having an abortion.
The senator also argued the Obama campaign was better equipped in Virginia than its rival. "Going into the last two weeks, we've got twice as much operations in place in Virginia than the Romney campaign."
A recent American Research Group poll showed Romney ahead of Obama by one percentage point in Virginia, 48% to 47%. The survey was conducted before the second presidential debate last week.
With the race being so close, Warner and Davis both acknowledged that third-party candidates in the race could have an impact on the final results. Constitution Party candidate Virgil Goode, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein will all be on the ballot.
Goode, who's from the state, in particular may pull some votes away from Romney, but Davis said he's not too concerned about a potential spoiler.
"He probably cuts into us more than the other side, but he's just driving around the state in his truck," Davis told CNN chief political correspondent Candy Crowley. "I think our lead's going to be big enough to overcome that if we get our vote out. "
Watch State of the Union with Candy Crowley Sundays at 9am ET. For the latest from State of the Union click here.
Viginia race won't be that close as Republicans hope for. debate or no debate.
The fundamental of Viginia is the economy there is much better than other places, and people demand stability.
It is simple as that.
Did Warner explain how Virginias unemployement has dropped under this presidents policies and would significantly drop further if republican obstructionists would inact his job,infastructure bills .They know they'd work that's why they're railing against them,the racist right wants the president a one termer and we're suffering for their extremism as well..Get people in congress and senate that care for their constituents,not the lobbyist that run this country,the president makes policies and the lobbyist with their deep pockets exterminate them,its treasonistic as well as pathedic and has to be stopped before a repeat of what happened in 2008 happens all over again!!
I just find it amazing that there could possibly be that many people buying in to a used car salesman like Mitt Romney. Here is a man that changes his positions on issues like a chamillion. Romney says whatever people want to hear at that moment. He talks about creating 12 million jobs by sending government programs to the states and to be run by corporations. Where does the money come from to do that? He won't and can't tell us. He refuses to get specific on tax cuts; only to say TRUST ME. Why should americans trust a man that would say behind closed doors to his supporters he thinks 47 percent of the people are victims and have no responsibility because they receive social security or other benefits from the government or work for the government such as people in the US Armed Forces.
Here is my OPINION: All these polls are none sense and not true. They are close because both candidates campaigns and the media want people to vote and if they showed the truth; less people would vote and the rating would go down.
Obama is going to STOMP Mitt Romney in this election. The ONLY people that are going to vote for that flip flopping dishonest used car salesman, Mitt Romney are the rich, the bigots, the racists and a few people that are just to ignorant to know what is really going on.
Candy "The Candy Bar" Crowely who hosts "State of the Union" had two heavy weight politicians on her show. I would bet the "The Candy Bar" would agree with Sen. Mark Warner, a Democrat than agree with former Rep. Tom Davis who supports the Romeny. Everyone must understand that Candy "The Candy Bar" Crowely believes in what the President is doing. She only believes in liberal democratic issues than listen to the other side. As everyone say in the debate she was helping the President when the President was geting into trouble. Expecially when the topic came to Libya. So I would to much stock in what Candy "The Candy Bar" Crowely" says. She showed her true colors when she was the moderator at the second debate. "The Candy Bar Crowely" would rather live in a socialist world that live in a Republic which is how United States was formed. So again I don't put to much stock in "The Candy The Bar" Crowely"
Democrats need one more Bush in the white house to win Virginia
I thought women did not like to be fooled by men or lied to by men.......they showed on many of the networks today how Mitt Romney out of his own mouth has said "he would not tax the wealthy" but in the debates have said the opposite, "how he has layed off many people to outsourse their jobs overseas and he himself made millions" but now says the opposite on the campaign trails, how he has said "he wants to get rid of social security and medicare and pre-existing conditions and leave it up to the insurance companies to decide if they will dump you or charge you outrageous fees" but says the opposite in a debate or on a campaign trail.and the list goes on and on and on and you will see out of his own mouth and his own actions he will never be for anyone who is poor or middle class. Romney simply does not care......these are the facts. Please join me and my registered Republican female friends and vote for Obama. Don't let Mitt Romney lie and make a fool of you...........be smart and set a good example for your children.....vote for Obama!
Let's break this down. The Mitt Romney is a puppit to the Rep GOP and he is going to do exactly what they want. The GOP has BLOCKED annual appropriations from the Fed Gov to the states for Firemen, Teachers, Police, etc and caused the layoff of over 600,000 Firemen, Police and Teachers. He is NOT going to get 1 vote from them. He is not going to get very many senior votes either due to their agenda to VOUCHER Medicare. He is not going to get many senior votes due to their desire to turn over social security to the stock market. Few black votes, no gay votes, few Latino votes and very few women votes. HE IS going to LOSE BADLY....
How could anyone trust a man who puts his money in the Caymen Islands,America is like a comany to him which he is going to harvest and then outsource along with the 47%. You can not run a country like a business.
My worry is with these electronic voting booths the ronney ties hv purchase just like bush croonies n 2004. Middle of night 4% lead kerry to 2% win 4 bush. Hopefully electorial college will b ahead of the ohio boondogle that it will b!
Polls are done over land lines. Who has land lines anymore? Certainly not poverty level, many Seniors don't either. People under 45 don't what a land line is. Only poll that counts is Nov 6. In my swing state D's have registered 90,000 more potential voters than R's this election cycle. Even if one third don't vote. 60,000 is Huge. Arithmetic.
Read the comments above, nd note the many gramatical and other errors. That's the type of uneducated people who make up the 47%. Many of tem will nnot vote, while nearly all of the educated people, especially the older ones, WILL vote. And they will vote for Romney, because Obama has nearly wrecked this country in just four years. At a trillion dollars a year, what would four more years do for ou economy? Pure devastation! I do not worry for myself; I really do worry for the welfare of my grandchildren. Has anyone noticed how many Hollywood types have given up on Obama? Many!
Obama/Biden 2012. Let Obama have 4 more years. Women for Obama!
You don't have a clue what Candy Crowley thinks regarding her personal political preferences, and I don't either.
On the other hand, we do know what everyone on Faux News thinks so what's your problem?
Guess its OK for you to live in the Fox Box and continue to be uninformed, but that doesn't mean the rest of the
media is biased.
Bain Capital controlled Sensata is moving their operations from IL to CHINA. 170 workers are about to lose their jobs, WHERE IS MITT ROMNEY?? Why isn't he doing anything to try and prevent this? Funny, he's for jobs, but silent on this.
THE EMPLOYEES ARE BEING FORCED TO TRAIN THE CHINESE WORKERS. If you think I'm making this up, GOOGLE IT.
Given the current Electoral Map, Virginia is not likely to be the decisive state in the election. It could, but the odds are low. Let us take the premise that the odds favor Obama carrying Ohio since he has led in virtually every poll conducted in the state (including all recent). By that math, he would only need to keep Wisconsin and Iowa or Nevada to win, both of which have consistently better polling for Obama in the last two weeks than Virginia. I simply cannot see Nevada and Iowa and Wisconsin or even New Hampshire voting for Romney while Virginia voting for Obama.
With that said, for Virginia specifically, Obama probably does have a slight advantage. It is true that the 'kids' that Tom Davis talks about (a voter is a voter ok...) were probably more enthused in 2008, they did not necessarily provide the critical defining margin that they provided in North Carolina. Virginia's demographics are changing and have changed even more since 2008. And the change potentially favors the Democrats . In lower turnout off-year elections it is hard to predict accurate a Presidential race. The voter pool expands and the issues change. No one will dispute that Obama is probably much more popular now that he was in November of 2010. What will decide Virginia will be if NoVa abandons Obama to any degree from his victory in 2008. He won some counties for the first time ever, others by the highest margin ever for a Democrat in the last 40 years. NoVa is heavily dependent on the government infrustructure and most of those voters, while many being economically conservative, are not as socially conservative as the rest of the state. The economy is doing relatively well in Virginia and the economic argument may not resonate as much as it would elsewhere in the country. Virginia has a good chance of going with the ultimate overall winner of the election, we shall se.
In a June conference call hosted by the conservative-leaning National Federation of Independent Businesses, Mitt Romney encouraged business owners to let their employees know which candidate they support and how the election's outcome will affect their business.
"I hope you make it very clear to your employees what you believe is in the best interest of your enterprise and therefore their job and their future in the upcoming elections," Romney said.
Now with Tagg Romney having investments in the company that makes the voting machines and tallies the vote, it looks like they may steal the election. That is why they are so positive about him winning.
Also, the company that makes the machines are one of Romney's largest contributors. Conflict of interest for sure.
Virginia is a leader.
I love these comments....for a minute there I thought I was the only thinking person living! Heard Marco Rubio on meet the press today....how sad Romney has all these politicians lying for him. Hope after he loses all the seats that are up for mid term election use the lies theyve told to help Romney are use to expose them too. Then maybe we can get something done.