All tied up just before final faceoff
October 22nd, 2012
09:27 AM ET
2 years ago

All tied up just before final faceoff

Boca Raton, Florida (CNN) – Hours before the final presidential debate, a new average of the latest non-partisan, live operator, national polls indicates a dead heat between the two presidential candidates in the race for the White House.

According to a CNN Poll of Polls compiled and released Monday morning, 47% of likely voters say they support President Barack Obama, with an equal amount saying they back Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

Watch CNN's coverage of Monday's third and final presidential debate starting at 7 p.m. ET on CNN TV, CNN.com and via CNN's apps for iPhone, iPad and Android. Web users can become video editors with our clip-and-share feature that allows them to share favorite debate moments on Facebook and Twitter. Join the discussion on our live blog, and get comprehensive coverage on our debates page. Need other reasons to watch the debate on CNN's platforms? Click here for our list.


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The new edition of the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of five live operator, non-partisan, national surveys of likely voters conducted over the past week, mostly after the second presidential debate (on Oct. 16). The surveys are the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll (Oct. 14-20); NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Oct. 17-20); Washington Times/JZ Analytics (Oct. 18-20); Politico/George Washington University/Battleground (Oct. 14-18); and Investors Business Daily/TIPP (Oct. 15-20). The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.


Filed under: 2012 • CNN Poll of polls • Polls • Presidential Debates
soundoff (28 Responses)
  1. Marie MD

    I just want to see the twit's face again after his dismal try to checkmate the president on Lybia and falling flat on his face! You could tell he knew he was going to step in it but he still wanted to look like the vulture capitalist he truly is and pretend he is such a businessman and in control. He failed miserably on both counts.
    That look and fumbling and mumbling was priceless.

    October 22, 2012 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  2. Tabeth

    While the majority of people have already made up their minds about who they'll vote for, some are still deciding or have only just decided. Judy James says it was Bill Clinton's speech at the Democratic National Convention that gave her that final push to get on board with Obama.

    "When he laid it out I mean I followed what he was saying and it just made sense to me because I hadn't really thought about it in those ways about how even Bill Clinton couldn't have fixed it that fast. I think we're a country that expects things to happen overnight."

    October 22, 2012 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  3. jpmichigan

    Obama needs to answer some very important questions about national security. I personally along with many other American do not feel as secure as we did 4 yrs. ago. #1 Why is it that the President stated , he found $8 million to help train 500 police officers in Libya to help with security, but CUT the security (via the State Dept) when increase security was requested? #2 Why did the White House subbordinates continue to use the excuse of a vedia, to justify the murdering of 4 Americans? #3 Why didn't the President, in the Rose garden, make a clearer connection to the murder of 4 Ameriacan as an terrorist attack, instead of spinning it , so Americans assumed he ment (generally speaking) any terrorist acts would not be excepted? The Democrats donot want further investigation in to the Libyian assult until after the election to protect an ill advised foreign policy associated with the Obama administration. The Fort Hood incident is also an terrorist attack, for the members who believe in Al-quea, have infiltrated our military. There is a clear relationship of the man at Fort Hood to the head of Al-quea in Yeman. There are many failed attempts of terrorist attacks in the USA, that at noted ( the underwear bomber) . Honesty can get you farther then distortions, Mr. President!!!!!

    October 22, 2012 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  4. Jeff in Virginia

    CNN has been saying that the race is "All Tied Up" for weeks- even before the first debate. I wonder- if Romney takes a slight lead within the margin of error, will CNN still say that the race is tied?

    October 22, 2012 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  5. v_mag

    The laws of chance dictate that if you flip a quarter a large number of times, the outcome will be 50% heads and 50% tails, and that's what's happening here. We are bombarded about equally from the right and left, which means that how people vote will revert to chance. The "undecided voter" is either mythical or soft in the head or just likes the attention. In any case, the election will be decided by 1) how many people get off the couch and go vote, and 2) how much the vote is suppressed by the right wingers.

    Getting the best president is a hit-and-miss proposition. We have gotten some real rotten apples, like Nixon, Reagan, and Bush II. We've gotten ineffective presidents like Carter. And we've occasionally gotten someone who makes things a bit better, like Clinton. It's hard to live with the 'what ifs' when we think what would have happened in cases like Nixon's landslide in '72, when George McGovern would have stopped the war and saved thousands of lives, or in 2000 when the Extreme Court awarded the loser Bush the election and led us to 2 unnecessary wars, war crimes, and economic collapse. All we can do is keep trying, and we can expect a large percentage of failure.

    October 22, 2012 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  6. Larry in Houston

    if this election only depends on the undecided voter , we're in big trouble. I hope Carol Costello reads this, and isn't as dumb as she looks. The so called "undecided voter" is the people who work in restaurants / fast foods / Malls / strip Malls / receptionists / in other words : people that work long / hard hours, and don't have the time, or don't take the time to constantly keep up with all the polls, and all of the Info. about politics.

    May the Best Man Win – 2012
    Hillary – 2016 (with a 'surplus' in – 2018 )

    October 22, 2012 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  7. lyn

    "GOD BLESS PRESIDENT OBAMA THE REAL HORNEST LEADER WE NEED IN AMERICA TO TAKE US FORWARD". Not a MAN who are for the RICH and who only want POWER & MONEY and don't care a dam about the poor, who will tell lies, dishornest to the people, flip flop on every thing just to win.

    October 22, 2012 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  8. Wade

    All Lies from CNN 24 7

    he Three most accurate and most reliable pollsters in America.

    Pew research Romney 49 Obama 45

    Rasmussen Romney ahead by 5 in the swing state average and three points ahead nationally.

    Gallop Romney ahead by 7 nationally leading in every swing stae except Wi and Oh where he is now tied.l

    Now the kicker the average of all pools REAL CLEAR PLOTICS ROMANY is winning the Electoral Collage.

    Romney 206 Obama 201

    Politco/Battleground: Romney Ahead 49-47, w/2 Weeks To Go.

    The most accurate of all of these ofcurse is Fallop because they use no weighting and it is a rolling 7 day average so it is a large data sampling every time.

    CNN would say anything to help Obama. Candy proved that int he last debate.

    October 22, 2012 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  9. Timmy

    Of course it is
    Carter was way out front with Reagan
    how did that go for ya

    October 22, 2012 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  10. gt

    this debate will not change one vote....its who gets there people out....

    October 22, 2012 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  11. UBS, WILLARD & THE 4000+ AMERICAN AMNESTY DEAL

    How ironic is that they're having the final debate in Boca Raton where Willard made his infamous 47% remarks.

    October 22, 2012 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  12. packerfans

    Come on Vote for Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan who can save America.. We need better new President this time. Obama falied his records too far.

    October 22, 2012 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  13. ttt

    There are more Dems registered to vote, so Obama wins especially considering that this is a game of electoral collage and not necessarily numbers.

    October 22, 2012 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  14. Dawn

    I do hope President Obama wins. If it's meant to be it will be. If he does not, he will be just fine.
    As for Mitt, he will NOT be a good president. If people like rhetoric, then Romney is your guy. He will
    not create 12 million jobs as he stated. Impossibe, Impossible, Impossible. Americans do have a short memory when it comes to Politics. What I do see happening here ( I am from the outside looking in) people will vote against their best interest just to oust this President. I say vote for Mitt and America will get exactly what it deserves.
    There will be another war, he will do nothing to help the middle class, (remember the 47% ?)
    He will bring back the Bush years, only that they will be worse.
    Dawn

    October 22, 2012 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  15. vamom23

    All I can say is I'm going to sit back and laugh if Romney is elected. Republicans are definitely going to get what they voted for... Once Romney's policies are put into action people will be crying the blues. The right to make my own health care decisions will evaporate. My elderly parents will probably have to move in with me when their medical bills increase. The rich will get richer, the poor will become poorer. Our environment will have increased pollution leading to more health issues. The list goes on and on. A vote for President Obama is a vote forward, a vote for positive leadership, a vote for someone who cares for all people....not just the wealthy and corporations.

    October 22, 2012 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  16. Lionel

    Romney is not going to worry about the 47% of Americans in this poll. This includes Seniors, Students, Veterans and the Disabled.

    Romnew was caught in lie during the last debate. This man will be a laughting stock of the world if he gets elected.

    October 22, 2012 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  17. Planet Kolob

    The fact that Obama doesn't have 90% support astounds me.

    October 22, 2012 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  18. dc

    cnn is so owned by the liberals-lefties you are a joke communist news network.

    October 22, 2012 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  19. bawevi

    Ever WONDER if mainstream media pushes things toward a "dead heat" to increase their viewership? (that's a rhetorical question, of course)

    October 22, 2012 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  20. Dee

    It is unconceivable that the american people would elect a President who is not honest with his tax returns and out-source his money in other countries and want to lead this country. He feels that he is entitled to that position with the attitude he and his wife have.

    October 22, 2012 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  21. Steve- Illinois

    The Republicans run the "worst candidate ever" (according to libs) and 2 weeks before the election he's running tied with an incumbent President. Doesn't say much for the Dem candidate!

    October 22, 2012 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  22. Joe

    Lets not forget there's this idiotic think called the electoral vote, which favors Obama at this point. It's nice to know vote doesn't mean much in Connecticut.

    October 22, 2012 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  23. SoSad

    Its all about NON-CHRISTIAN MORMAN TAKING OVER THE WHITE HOUSE STOP IT STOP IT

    According to The Second Book of Nephi, a part of Mormon doctrine, “Black and white, bond and free, male and female; … all are alike unto God

    WHAT THE HELL IS THE 2ND BOOK OF NEPHI? THAT'S NOT IN THE BIBLE!

    October 22, 2012 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  24. columbus

    It's easy to see from these polling maps, that there are two Americas, urban America and rural America. The urban setting relies on a lot of infrastructure so people are more comfortable with paying for provisions and letting the government handle it. Rural, on the other hand, is about independence and very uncomfortable with government interference. Of course this is going to play out over many years, but what will America look like in the future? Are headed for revolution or reform? I think this election is making it clear there are very polarizing needs from segments of the population, and our current form of government can't accommodate it.

    October 22, 2012 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  25. sonny chapman

    AMERICA ! If you liked George W.'s Foreign Policy, you're gonna LOVE Mitt's. War w/Iran, War w/Syria, War/Pakistan, War w/China, War w/Russia. It might get so bad the Neo-Cons may have to send their own kids & Grand kids. Nah, they'll open up the borders of Arizona & recruit the illegals.

    October 22, 2012 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
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