Ohio Poll of Polls shows tight race
October 22nd, 2012
02:35 PM ET
6 years ago

Ohio Poll of Polls shows tight race

(CNN) – The latest collection of polls in Ohio shows a razor thin margin between President Barack Obama and his rival Mitt Romney in the key battleground two weeks ahead of the November 6 election.

The CNN Poll of Polls shows Obama at 48% and Romney at 45% in Ohio, which carries 18 electoral votes. Those numbers are an average of three Ohio polls of likely voters conducted after the second presidential debate: Quinnipiac University/CBS News (October 17-20); Suffolk University (Oct. 18-21) and Fox News (Oct. 17-18). The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

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Both candidates have been campaigning heavily in Ohio, and have taken steps to increase turnout in the Buckeye State. Both Romney and Obama have also urged their supporters to cast their ballots early.

In the Suffolk University poll of Ohio, which was released Monday, a gender gap persisted for the two presidential candidates. Obama was ahead of Romney among women, 53%-41%, but Romney led among men, 52%-40%.

"All roads to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue lead through Ohio," David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, wrote in a statement. "Timing is everything. Barack Obama has banked an early lead, but Mitt Romney should even the score with his slight edge among likely voters who plan to cast ballots on Election Day. However, failure to turn out his voters on November sixth could be costly for Romney."

Favorability-wise, the two candidates fared evenly: both were at 50% favorability ratings.

And with the final presidential debate focused on foreign policy, Obama held a slight edge on the topic among likely Ohio voters. Forty-nine percent said the incumbent would better handle foreign policy if re-elected, compared to 42% who said Romney would better handle America's dealings abroad.

"These are high foreign policy expectations that the President must live up to in the final debate tonight," said Paleologos. "If he lives up to his billing, he could close the deal. However, failure to meet or exceed those expectations could open up the race for Romney."

The Suffolk University poll was conducted by telephone between October 18-21 from 600 likely Ohio voters. The sampling error was plus or minus 4 percentage points.

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Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Ohio • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (77 Responses)

    All of the polls show the President with a significant advantage over Willard in Ohio. All of a sudden it's a tight race? Give me a break already. There's only so much spin you can put on a story CNN. Once Gloria Allred's bombshell is revealed, it's over for Willard.

    October 22, 2012 03:23 pm at 3:23 pm |
  2. Larry in Houston

    @Borderless – Surely You mean the Worst was Dubya –
    @ Bill – Thank You for giving some Info. to borderless – he doesn't sound like he's too intelligent.

    May the Best Man Win – 2012
    HILLARY should have been our Prez, instead of Obama, but I'll take either one, besides the Robme.

    October 22, 2012 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  3. Rachel

    Obama would rather punish the wealthy than fix the economy!

    October 22, 2012 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  4. Newme1

    A Romney/Ryan win will be terrible for America, period. Don't the Romney's own most of the voting machines in Ohio?Oh well, middle-class Americans may as well tell their sons and daughters to strap in their boots and get ready for war!!

    October 22, 2012 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  5. scottf

    The FOX News fact deniers mare out in force today. What would you do if you had no one to hate?

    October 22, 2012 03:30 pm at 3:30 pm |
  6. bob

    Anyone else a little tired of all the polls and yacking about polls?

    October 22, 2012 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  7. Pete

    @truth hurts,Romneys not surging and check out actual voting in Iowa and Wisconsin bone head..Gender gap of over 20 points in both states and Pres.Obama in early voting leads 69%- 32% Romney in Iowa and pretty much the same in Wisconsin.Republicans big wigs everywhere are trying to supress the minority vote because they're scared they don't want what happened in 2008 to happen all over with the president again,you know it truth ,just say you're scared because Nathan Sproul said so!!Look up Nathan Sproul too bonehead he was hired by the GOP to supress and use fraud to kill the minority vote!!Racists like you will never learn will yah!!

    October 22, 2012 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  8. Kirk in michigan

    Truth, borderless, are you saying that the 8 years under bush was a sucess?. surplus iinto defecit, wars based on lies, trickle down economics, what do you consider his sucess' were? and romney tax plan is different how? i just dont think his plan wil create jobs, his record proves he does not know how. but im all ears. oh and the tax breaks for the rich creating jobs is bs and you know it, wall street cleaned up under bush, and we lost ten million jobs. what am i missing here guys. not obama fan, but not stupid enough to think romney is tha amswer

    October 22, 2012 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  9. GeneralW

    I think those of you lump military families into the 47% are doing them a great diservice. Unlike the folks who take from the system without giving back, soilders contribute to the greater good of our society.

    BTW there is a reason R/R will get 70% of the Military vote, that is of course if the Admin let's them vote.

    October 22, 2012 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  10. St. James Place

    Willard will be elected president. I can't wait for day one.

    the end of the following programs.
    1. Obama Care- No insurance then die.
    2. Social Security and other welfare programs-- Stop supporting the leaches.
    3. Medicare-- Stop taking this TAX out of MY check. Let the program go broke.
    4. SSI and Medicaid- Turn these programs over to the states if the state want to spend there money on them.
    5. Food Stamps and Wic progams- If they are hungry let them eat cake or the states can pay for there programs.
    6. Pell Grants and Student loans-- SOCIALIST PROGRAMS defund both of them.
    7. EPA- Is anti-business defund the program.
    8. Cut federal employees by 40%- Who going to miss them.

    God I am going to love my new AMERICA.

    October 22, 2012 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  11. Kirk in michigan

    More george bush anyone? did'nt think so, thisshould be a nobrainer

    October 22, 2012 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  12. Pete

    Romneys done also with his 9 billion dollar ponzi scheme he and Tagg are in.Allan Stanford the other partner is sentenced to 110 for the scheme plus racketeering.Romneys lawyers are trying to keep the two out of jail but the monies missing and they won't talk!!Look up Solimere ,Taggs other ponzi deal and his private equity firms in the Cayman Islands,all 20 of them!!And Romneys still out sourcing with the sale of Honeywell of Freeport,Illinois to Sensata of China,ask Romney how he made 8 million if he's not CEO of Bain anymore!!American job creator my ass!!

    October 22, 2012 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  13. truth hurts

    Claudia, Houston, Tx - It's not close in Ohio, Obama has a double digit lead , Republicans want Americans to think that to justify stealing this election and we're not going to let that happen. Ohio won't be fooled by Bush/Romney policies again, as a native of Ohio, we're smarter than that and so is the rest of the country.
    What planet do you live on?! Double digit lead in Ohio??? Maybe in the inner cities, but everywhere else Obama LOSES so even double digit leads in the inner city are LOSSES state wide.

    And another clueless poster stated Obama had a 15-20% lead in NH! Seriously people, give up the koolaide. It is causing severe brain damage.

    And start getting used to saying President Romney. The American people are getting ready to fix the mistake they made in 2008. Who in their right mind would risk another 4 years like the last 4 years? Only devout leftist koolaide drikers.

    October 22, 2012 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
  14. Kirk in michigan

    Your so right rick, romney has not lied at all, he has taken the high road, you are pathetic, and extremely stupid

    October 22, 2012 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  15. Marie MD

    @teapartymike, the only movement is going to be the twit running the bathroom after the votes are counted on November 6th.
    @helene, YIU are NOT a Democrat but nice try lying abou it. Go back to the faux news website. Your name tells me you iChat be one of those seniors who the twit and lyan altar boy will destroy.

    October 22, 2012 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  16. REGinAZ

    It has been stated that people are dependent on the very wealthy for their jobs and income and thereby even for their homes, living and life style, almost as if owing loyalty. That is the “trickle down” theory but what is reality and who really benefits who? Actually “the money” is simply after profits with that being their only real motivation, completely substantiated in their shipping jobs overseas and cutting jobs to increase profits – there really is no obligation there. Now how do the working people benefit the wealthy and their profits? Well they spend the money that buys the products and creates the profits and they work the jobs to create, sell and service the products that provide the profits. Actually everyone is dependent on everyone else to some degree and what is best is a honestly level playing field with fair play so that everyone benefits ... and not ever just a concentration on catering to “the money”, allowing their run-away greed, gross dishonesty and self-indulgence that slants the economy in that one direction – like what we have experienced and have seen pushed by “puppet” politicians serving “the money” for their support. Corporations aren’t people but they are literally composed of numerous workers doing their jobs to create the profits that “the money” enjoys and those people deserve fair consideration and not to just be taken for granted.

    October 22, 2012 03:45 pm at 3:45 pm |
  17. Thomas

    Thank you Supremo Court !
    The best election corporate money could ever buy !


    October 22, 2012 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  18. gcbruce

    As a Canadian I am amazed that Romney is this close to Obama in the polls. We get all your news channels and follow this election very closely and Mit Rommey is such a flip flopper ,it is crazy!! He is going to all big CEOs and telling them how their employee's should voite , he was caught on tape. Basically as a threat and than he talked about the 47% of people that are depended on goverment. For all of your own sakes, dont' vote for this Republican!! Wait for the next election in 2016 in hopes for a better canidate for the Republican party!! This guy is a WACK JOB!! Vote Obama.

    October 22, 2012 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
  19. Larry in Houston

    I hate to think think that this election cycle would be this close – I mean, they had to count the votes in Florida, in some counties. Can you imagine counting Votes in some States ? WoW – – it's going to be a hum-dinger, for sure. The polls are so far apart – it's pitiful. I mean, every poll out there, are showing different numbers. Something is wrong, somewhere.

    Too bad Hillary didn't get the nomination in 08.

    This is the first day that we begin Early Voting in this State. As a "transplant" from another State, ( 8 yrs, now) it's definitely a different experience. I've already Voted this morning at the local library – I was in line behind somewhere around 100 – 150 ppl. but the line went Fast – I was thinking since the line went so fast – maybe most of the voters were voting a "straight ticket" ? ( I know I did ) it only took me about a minute to vote, once I got in that voting booth.

    May the Best Man Win – 2012
    Hillary – 2016 ( with a "surplus" in – – 2018 )

    October 22, 2012 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  20. Thomas

    @Kirk in michigan
    More george bush anyone? did'nt think so, thisshould be a no-brainer
    Different Name , Deferent Face , Same Old Policy.

    Romney = GW Bush

    October 22, 2012 03:53 pm at 3:53 pm |
  21. Sniffit

    "It will be a tight race, mostly because Obama has been controlling the media"

    It will be a tight race, mostly because Obama is black.


    Make no mistake: change nothing but Obama's skin color and he'd be running away with this election like nobody's business.

    October 22, 2012 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |

    @truth hurts

    Hurts to know that 44 will be re-elected, doesn't it?

    October 22, 2012 03:56 pm at 3:56 pm |
  23. edofchattanoogatn


    October 22, 2012 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  24. jen

    @Truth hurts

    Nice name, goes along with Voting with Romney who can't tell the truth. Go one!!!

    October 22, 2012 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  25. texcal68

    truth hurts – if the election were held today, as it is in early voting states like Ohio, President Obama would win easily. And as you know, not a single Republican presidential candidate "ever" won the presidency without winning the Buckeye state. Furthermore, please keep in mind since early voting started in Ohio on October 2, the president has led in the polls.

    October 22, 2012 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
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