Ohio Poll of Polls shows tight race
October 22nd, 2012
02:35 PM ET
1 year ago

Ohio Poll of Polls shows tight race

(CNN) - The latest collection of polls in Ohio shows a razor thin margin between President Barack Obama and his rival Mitt Romney in the key battleground two weeks ahead of the November 6 election.

The CNN Poll of Polls shows Obama at 48% and Romney at 45% in Ohio, which carries 18 electoral votes. Those numbers are an average of three Ohio polls of likely voters conducted after the second presidential debate: Quinnipiac University/CBS News (October 17-20); Suffolk University (Oct. 18-21) and Fox News (Oct. 17-18). The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

Watch CNN's coverage of Monday's third and final presidential debate starting at 7 p.m. ET on CNN TV, CNN.com and via CNN's apps for iPhone, iPad and Android. Web users can become video editors with our clip-and-share feature that allows them to share favorite debate moments on Facebook and Twitter. Join the discussion on our live blog, and get comprehensive coverage on our debates page. Need other reasons to watch the debate on CNN's platforms? Click here for our list.


Both candidates have been campaigning heavily in Ohio, and have taken steps to increase turnout in the Buckeye State. Both Romney and Obama have also urged their supporters to cast their ballots early.

In the Suffolk University poll of Ohio, which was released Monday, a gender gap persisted for the two presidential candidates. Obama was ahead of Romney among women, 53%-41%, but Romney led among men, 52%-40%.

"All roads to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue lead through Ohio," David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, wrote in a statement. "Timing is everything. Barack Obama has banked an early lead, but Mitt Romney should even the score with his slight edge among likely voters who plan to cast ballots on Election Day. However, failure to turn out his voters on November sixth could be costly for Romney."

Favorability-wise, the two candidates fared evenly: both were at 50% favorability ratings.

And with the final presidential debate focused on foreign policy, Obama held a slight edge on the topic among likely Ohio voters. Forty-nine percent said the incumbent would better handle foreign policy if re-elected, compared to 42% who said Romney would better handle America's dealings abroad.

"These are high foreign policy expectations that the President must live up to in the final debate tonight," said Paleologos. "If he lives up to his billing, he could close the deal. However, failure to meet or exceed those expectations could open up the race for Romney."

The Suffolk University poll was conducted by telephone between October 18-21 from 600 likely Ohio voters. The sampling error was plus or minus 4 percentage points.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Ohio • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (77 Responses)
  1. armyav8r

    lets see...do I choose a Socialist, Marxist, Anti-Entrepreneur who only knows how to re-distribute (by force) from one to another (all in the name of "fairness" of course....even though HALF THE NATION disagrees with him)......OR.....do I choose someone who at least UNDERSTANDS the period form 1775 to 1945 was NOT a Socialism model...and is EXACTLY the model Liberals claim "doesn't work" (yet they have NO explanation as to what model we DID use to rise to a world super power). hmmmmm....decisions decisions.

    October 22, 2012 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  2. Gurgyl

    Obama is way ahead.....mitt is lies, lies, lies.

    October 22, 2012 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
1 2 3 4