October 24th, 2012
05:07 PM ET
2 years ago

CNN shifts North Carolina to 'lean Romney'

(CNN) - Color North Carolina light red.

CNN is moving its classification of the swing state from true "toss up" to "lean Romney."

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Four years ago then Sen. Barack Obama became the first Democrat since 1976 to carry North Carolina in a presidential election. And this summer the Democrats held their nominating convention in Charlotte.

While the Obama campaign continues to run ads in North Carolina, spending just over $1.2 million to run spots over the past week, according to Campaign Media Analysis Group, which tracks ad spending for CNN, the president hasn't made a campaign stop in the state since his nomination at the Democratic convention in early September.

Last week, in a clear sign it's confident about turning the state from blue to red, Republican nominee Mitt Romney's campaign moved its North Carolina spokesman out of the state and planned to shift more staffers to other states.

This week the Obama campaign denied that they were giving up on North Carolina, saying they have a "credible pathway to 50%" in the state. But some campaign officials privately acknowledge that the state, which Obama can afford to lose, is moving out of reach.

With the shift of North Carolina, CNN now estimates that Romney is leading in states with 206 electoral votes. The shift does not affect CNN's estimate that Obama is leading in states with 237 electoral votes. Two-hundred and seventy electoral votes are needed to win the White House.

CNN is also shifting Indiana and Missouri, two states that are currently "lean Romney," to "safe Romney." Obama carried Indiana four years ago, becoming the first Democrat since 1964 to win the state in a presidential election. And he narrowly lost Missouri to Sen. John McCain, the 2008 GOP nominee.

But this cycle, the Obama campaign has not seriously contested either state.

The moving of Indiana and Missouri does not affect the electoral count.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

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Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • North Carolina
soundoff (306 Responses)
  1. alex

    Loving the people completly trashing everyone in north carolina.
    Kinda hard to get people to listen to you about the evil, rich republican elitists when you act like you are better than everyone who disagrees with you.

    October 24, 2012 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  2. merrilltech

    Gotta love the national unity people are showing in this presidential process. If our founders were alive today they would be absolutely embarrassed on how we are all treating each other over this election. Last I checked we were all Americans! Obama or Romney does it really matter in the end? Both of them are lairs depending on who you talk to and both of them will do a bad job depending on who you talk to. Maybe we the American people should grow up and start taking personal responsibility for our actions and start taking care of ourselves. The politicians both Dems and Rep's together have worked together to ruin this country. We the people have enabled them! Look in the mirror before you get on the bashing wagon!

    October 24, 2012 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  3. Mark

    Lynda from Minnesota, the south is very racial. People do not tell me race is not an issue here!

    October 24, 2012 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  4. nina

    the only way that mitt could win is if he 'steals' the election like he did in the republican primaries and as bush did to kerry in ohio in 2004......remember, mitts son has ties to the voting machines that will be used next month that the main stream media won't report on...look up solarmere capital....ties to standford crime boss as well.
    Unfortunately it appears that a portion of the country would rather vote for a lyin rich white man who has changed his stance on every issue more times than I blink, has deemed 47% as victims and been the least transparent candidate in history, than an african american harvard educated man who feels that everyone deserves a fair break, has turned the country from losing jobs every month to 40 months of job growth and is respected around the world...how sad

    October 24, 2012 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  5. Joan

    Romney is going to win because the American people are really dumb. I don't thinkthey are paying attention to this man lies and polices. This will be a sad time for us and the World will turn away from, American too. They know that Obama deserve another 4 years to move the country forward. Romney/Ryan is the spin doctors. They are laughing at how they pull the wool over you guys eyes. They bash and bash all that Obama has achieved over the pass 4 years and you guys buy the lies. All you who hate Obama because of his race please know that you can not stop a good ,man. Obama and his family will be okay. They are bright educated people and they can be anything they want. So don't will not suffer anything from this. They will move on with their lives and the sky is the limit. As a matter fact maybe America does not deserve them. Just saying....

    October 24, 2012 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  6. David in NC

    I've already cast my ballot for Obama. It is very sad, there are many rural poor who are voting against their own best interest because they have been barraged with lies that Obama is a socialist Muslim. Seems to me he is a politically a little right of center and a liberal xian. There's a reason that, in general, the states with the best K-12 educational systems go blue.

    October 24, 2012 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  7. ru serious

    Oh wake up already people, Obama is an empty suit...an arrogant small man, ill-suited for the office.

    October 24, 2012 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  8. myviewis

    anne

    If Mitt gets in office he said it would take eight years for recovery.Since that is a historical fact why do people want it done in four,sounds like different rules.I cannot wait four more years so please for the working poor that cannot get insurance give Obama"s policies time to work.Clintons did remember.
    ----------------------------–

    Remember what Obama said, that he couldn't do it from the inside, that it was going to have to be done from the outside??????? So what is the point of leaving Obama on the inside if he himself is telling us he can't get it done? Might as well join the rest of us on the outside where he said it can be done. Romney/Ryan can be on the inside and get it done.

    October 24, 2012 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  9. shuman

    Governor Romney will be the savior of this nation. We cannot afford 4 more years of the irresponsible absentee POTUS who ignores his campaign promises and lets his administration run wild.

    October 24, 2012 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  10. Emily

    somebody got their facts wrong..

    October 24, 2012 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  11. Mark

    Is CNN now owned by fox? For some reason they seem like they want Romney to win. I do not understand why they keep saying that Romney and Ryan are ready to lead the country. You guys must be joking. He Ran Mass and fixed the olympics come on people! The people of Mass knows, people are clueless

    October 24, 2012 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  12. Jake

    Yeah...lean Romney, like Romney understands the folks from NC. A man that never was ever in the Middle Class or Poor, and you think he understand you folks. The man never had to pay a car note or mortgage and you think he relates to you.

    Only in America does a guy that knows or cares anything about you can get these same folks their vote. How easy it is for slick commercials to make you believe this guy Romney.

    October 24, 2012 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  13. soul68

    This isn't news. It's been leaning Romney for weeks. I had to check the date on the story to see if it was from September.

    Is this more media attempt at pushing this false Romney "momentum" nonsense? Seems like they aren't going to be happy unless they have viewers watching this race down to 4am after election night.

    Liberal media my behind. They dont care they just want ratings.

    October 24, 2012 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  14. Solomon

    I don't think NC leans towards Romney. Since everyone already decided to whom to vote for Democrats and those who will vote for Obama are tired of taking the survey. To the surprise of CNN NC will be for Obama on the 6th of November.

    October 24, 2012 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  15. advocatusdiaboli

    "If our founders were alive today they would be absolutely embarrassed ...Obama or Romney does it really matter in the end?"

    You don't read much history do you? The Founders and others ended debates in near fisticuffs often enough. Read up on Sam Adams who had people tarred and feathered. And try and tell the Founders your statement: "KIng George or Independence with the Founders—it doesn't matter". LOL. You need to learn a lot.

    October 24, 2012 06:03 pm at 6:03 pm |
  16. Anthony in California

    Isn't North Carolina always a RED STATE? Isn't the fact that some of these states in contention a sign of how bad a shape Romney is actually in? Or do people just like to have their opinions constantly manipulated by the the media, to be strung along so these sites can keep selling ad space and Super Pacs can keep buying air time on tv.

    October 24, 2012 06:04 pm at 6:04 pm |
  17. NameNC_Right

    X new yorker now in NC......Romney/Ryan 2012....already voted.

    October 24, 2012 06:05 pm at 6:05 pm |
  18. Irony

    Hey look all the welfare states are voting for the Anti-Welfare guy....This should be funny.

    October 24, 2012 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  19. Kennedy Danga

    Doesn't matter, BO just doesn't need NC to win this election.

    October 24, 2012 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  20. Sol-L.I. N.Y.

    Please move Pennsylvania while your at it. It's all but over there for the Benghazi Svengali.
    Romney leads Obama by several points in Penn....but just remember.....it ain't over until Michelle Obama sings!

    October 24, 2012 06:14 pm at 6:14 pm |
  21. j williamson

    If America were as racist as many people out here seem to believe, Barack Obama would have never won four years ago. It wasn't a massive amount of black votes which propelled him into office (blacks went heavily for John Kerry four years before), but a huge amount of white voters who made Obama president. I like Barack just slightly more than Romney – and I think Romney is the absolute worst. (For the record I have already voted for a third-party candidate as a protest against this BILLION dollar race – just obscene!)

    October 24, 2012 06:14 pm at 6:14 pm |
  22. St. James Place

    North Carolina will go for Romney. Why because President Obama is BLACK. The south will never change racism is alive and well in the South. What I don't understand is why support a non-christian? This christian Doesn't believe Christ and the Devil are brothers. Yes I believe in the Virgin birth unlike the Mormon that believe she was knocked up and without a husband at the time of the birth of CHRIST BIRTH.

    October 24, 2012 06:14 pm at 6:14 pm |
  23. Judy

    this North Carolinian is not voting for Robme. No, no, no

    October 24, 2012 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  24. God's son Tal

    The reality is is that this election is neither about race nor about social issues. It is about SPIRITUAL issues! Think! We currently have a President who OPENLY put himself in God's place, saying he supports what God says is NOT OK-saying, in essence that it is OK, to do what He Himself said IS NOT OK. Gay marriage (something God destroyed 2 cities for doing, not to mention it caused the downfall of the Greek & Roman Empires) & abortion rights (child murder). Plus, he OPENLY believes we shouldn't take the Bible literally. How HUGE a mistake is that? Has anyone read the CNN article from yesterday called, the Gospel According to Obama? He's so blasphemous! Then, people labeled him the savior of America, & he went along with it? People, we have only ONE Savior,the Man Jesus Christ, who is not only the Savior of America, but the Savior of the world! Romney may not be Christian,but he @ least supports values God does(not all our founding fathers were Christian, but they @ least agreed to follow God's principles).

    October 24, 2012 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  25. BinaryTooth

    "Now?" CNN, You gota be kidding me. NC has been red for a few months now. I know, I know, the media had been propping up Obama but now you have to consider your credibility. You'll see more states turn red over the next week due to a "miraculous" sudden change in voters opinions. Yea right.

    October 24, 2012 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
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