Polls: Dead heat in Colorado; Obama with slight advantage in Nevada
October 25th, 2012
07:25 PM ET
1 year ago

Polls: Dead heat in Colorado; Obama with slight advantage in Nevada

(CNN) - New polls of likely voters in two battleground states released Thursday show President Barack Obama with a slight advantage in Nevada but tied with Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Colorado.

The NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls were conducted Tuesday and Wednesday - entirely after Monday's third and final presidential debate. In Colorado, the race is tied at 48% for each candidate, while in Nevada voters split 50% for Obama and 47% for Romney.

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The three point advantage for Obama is within the survey's sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. An American Research Group poll of Nevada likely voters conducted both before and after Monday's debate found a similarly close race, with Obama at 49% and Romney at 47%.

The pollsters said their survey is evidence of a tightening race in Colorado, where Obama broke 50% in a mid-September NBC/WSJ poll, with Romney at 45%. That survey was conducted after the party conventions but before the debates.

Romney's favorability ratings have increased in both states since that September sample: in Colorado, he gained five points (from 43% to 48%) and in Nevada, he added three points (from 45% to 48%). Obama's favorability moved up two points in Nevada (from 50% to 52%) but remained at 51% in Colorado.

Following the third presidential debate's focus on foreign policy and national security, Obama retains an advantage on the subject. His edge over Romney was 51% to 44% in both states.

The polls were conducted October 23 and 24 by telephone. The Nevada sample included 1,042 likely voters and has a sampling error of plus or minus three points. In Colorado, 1,128 likely voters were contacted, and the poll has a sampling error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Colorado • Nevada
soundoff (58 Responses)
  1. GI Joe

    Romney has been lying for the 6 years I've been watching him. I sure don't trust him now.

    October 25, 2012 09:30 pm at 9:30 pm |
  2. 2020

    Polls fool you, just like the GOP.

    Vote for the Middle Class, vote for rebuilding middle class america.

    Get rid of Romney & GOP

    October 25, 2012 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  3. why woul anyone vote for romney incuding romney

    why would anyone vote romney

    October 25, 2012 09:47 pm at 9:47 pm |
  4. Peter V

    Nevada is not tight. Harry Reid has an amazing GOTV operation there. In 2010 everyone predicted (i.e., the polls) that he would lose to Sharon Angle by a couple points. He beat her by 6. He's got the culinary unions who bring out the vote. Harry's pollster, Mellman, puts Obama ahead by 8. Nevada is 100% in Obama's bank right now. The state is very tough to poll because of the ground game there. Mellman is the only one who understands that state's polling.

    October 25, 2012 09:49 pm at 9:49 pm |
  5. vet4america

    Today, I voted early and proudly cast my vote for Romney. As an independent, I voted for Obama in 2008. But the president has failed to deliver on so many things – but above all he failed to focus on jobs and the economy, in my opinion. Instead, when he had a super majority of Democrats in both houses of Congress for the first two years of his administration we got ObamaCare – to the exclusion of all else.

    So to all my CNN friends and fellow veterans – don't be find your self on the losing end of this election by backing a losing team. There is time. Join with a winning ticket and cast your vote for Romney too! Let's get this economy humming again.

    October 25, 2012 10:04 pm at 10:04 pm |
  6. sayer

    Colorado for Obama! Our ground game is second to none. The repugs are going to lose because they think they're too good to pound the pavement and get out the vote in every neighborhood. They would rather make a phone call from their ivory tower.

    October 25, 2012 10:04 pm at 10:04 pm |
  7. Sadie Boyd

    We need monitors for our election! We need the international community to come help us!

    October 25, 2012 10:04 pm at 10:04 pm |
  8. amarjeet

    Food, jobs, health, social; security, houses all are needed by everyone not just white or black, brown,yellow and others.America is a home of all races, colors, religions and regions of the world with substantial majority of immigrants. Race or anyother criteria hardly matters. People of America must vote in favor Obama who alone can bring back manufacturing & jobs of higher pay back to America.

    October 25, 2012 10:11 pm at 10:11 pm |
  9. Kelly

    Wow. I hope Obama wins.

    October 25, 2012 10:13 pm at 10:13 pm |
  10. Erick_z

    Obama: $6 trillion of national debt in four years, high unemployment, high taxes, and more of the same and worse if re-elected. A person would have to be crazy to vote for this degree of failure and negligence.

    October 25, 2012 10:14 pm at 10:14 pm |
  11. Mojo

    Four more years of blame and mediocrity.

    October 25, 2012 10:15 pm at 10:15 pm |
  12. vet4america

    I would rather live in the"Land of the free and home of the Brave" than the "Land of the freebies and home of the Naive"

    Romney 2012

    October 25, 2012 10:27 pm at 10:27 pm |
  13. wake up america

    I give Romney a 40% chance of winning, but if he does it will be a disaster for America. He will blow up the deficit with his 5 trillion tax cuts on the wealthy plus another 2 trillion on a bloated military. Another new dumb war in Iran, and two supreme court justice picks that would overturn Roe vs Wade, removal of Pell grants for college kids, rewarding companies that ship jobs to China. After 8 years of the Bush disaster who decimated our economy by 2008. Why in gods name would we want to go back to the same policies that got us this disaster in the first place? 18 Bush advisors are now working for Romney... WAKE UP AMERICA!!!

    October 25, 2012 10:58 pm at 10:58 pm |
  14. Name

    Bias in tank for obama

    October 25, 2012 11:00 pm at 11:00 pm |
  15. Fact

    I guess people are starting to look at the facts. Romney's constant "tell anyone what they want hear" approach did not account for people's memory, audio and video.

    October 25, 2012 11:12 pm at 11:12 pm |
  16. LK2000

    Why is CNN comparing today's polls with September polls. Why not compare with August polls? (kidding just in case you didn't catch the sarcasm in the 2nd sentence)

    Of course, the polls today are favorable for Romney when compared to those in September when Obama peaked between the conventions and 1st debate. Duh!! What a perceptive person will conclude today is that Obama is inching back up after cratering post 1st debate. Of course, CNN has lot of technology for sake of it. But, they are very simple-minded or dumbed-down in their analysis.

    October 25, 2012 11:30 pm at 11:30 pm |
  17. Rodney

    I myself being a moderate democrat find it hard to understand why republicans say Obama has done such a horrible job. I just received my RA statement and year to date I have received 14.8 percent return. I have finally recovered from the butt kicking I received during the Bush administration. Mitt states that when big business does well we all do well. I am quite sure that in order for me to have been blessed with such a healthy return, the S&P Companies I am invested in must be doing very well under this administration. I am also very confident in saying that my situation is not abnormal. I have to ask myself, why in the world would anyone want to go backwards when we have come so far in the past years. Vote Obama!!

    October 25, 2012 11:48 pm at 11:48 pm |
  18. Wade

    Obama is losing every where and going down fast.

    October 25, 2012 11:50 pm at 11:50 pm |
  19. Jay

    Why should one trust any polls from the media? The media are earning themselves fat and stupid with election ads. So I think they manipulate poll results in one way or another, which keeps the ads going. The only poll results, which one can trust are those from the candidate campaign groups, because the candidates need to have more accurate poll results to know what they need to do. They are both aware that the media are nothing else than a bunch of greedy corporations getting most out of these elections.

    October 25, 2012 11:57 pm at 11:57 pm |
  20. not in WI

    I don't understand how a tax free state like NV can vote democrat when their platform has always been tax and spend. I sure hope nevadans figure it out before election day.

    October 26, 2012 12:12 am at 12:12 am |
  21. jasen

    Why doesn't CNN poll with 3rd party candidates? I am sure Gary Johnson or one of the other candidates will draw votes away from Romney and Obama in CO, but no mention of him in this story?

    October 26, 2012 12:18 am at 12:18 am |
  22. Getoverit

    Brought to you by the state of Nevada, who gave you Harry Reid. Why would anyone in Nevada vote Democrat?

    October 26, 2012 12:22 am at 12:22 am |
  23. Nelson

    Romney is right when he talks about change and big change. Romney will definitely give big change ($) to his super-rich friends and take away change ($) from the middle-class including his 47% American victims.

    October 26, 2012 12:24 am at 12:24 am |
  24. Fact

    People a realizing that only one candidate, President Obama, actually cares about all US citizens. Not just the rich.

    October 26, 2012 12:34 am at 12:34 am |
  25. zenthrop

    OBAMA: Harvard funding unknown, Transcripts and thesis not released, Mentored by Frank Marshall Davis (card carrying, FBI tracked communist), Community Organizer (3 or 4 jobs), 20 years with Jeremiah Wright’s black liberation theology (class warfare), one term senator who was never there, mortgage paid by Tony Rezko (now in prison), Bill Ayers friend(radical terrorist), “The Food Stamp President” (touts the ‘workers paradise’ lie), Solyndra (-1100 jobs),War on coal (-9000 jobs),Stimulus (-100000 jobs),"The most dangerous president in modern American history" (Marxist behind a huge federal power grab.), “After my election, I’ll have some flexibility”, “We can’t wait on Congress”, Tyrant above the law.

    October 26, 2012 01:06 am at 1:06 am |
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