Poll: Obama advantage in Virginia
October 27th, 2012
09:23 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama advantage in Virginia

(CNN) - President Barack Obama has an advantage in the battleground state of Virginia, a new poll released Saturday shows.

Likely voters in the Old Dominion State split 51% for Obama to 47% for GOP challenger Mitt Romney in the Washington Post poll out Saturday. Obama's advantage is just outside the poll's 3.5 point sampling error.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.

The candidates' efforts to campaign here in the final days could be hampered by Hurricane Sandy, who is expected to bring heavy wind and rain to Virginia and surrounding states over the next several days.

Romney canceled a slate of Sunday campaign events in "a cautionary move so resources would not be diverted," Romney spokesman Rick Gorka said. Vice President Joe Biden canceled a Virginia Beach event scheduled for Saturday.

Underscoring the importance of the state's 13 electoral votes, 44% said they had been contacted by the Obama campaign, and 41% said Romney's team had reached out to them.

Especially important to Obama's 2008 win were the suburbs in northern Virginia. The area within approximately an hour of Washington, D.C. gave him his advantage while the rest of the state split nearly evenly, allowing Obama to snap a GOP streak of 10 consecutive presidential wins there.

Likely voters in Virginia said the economy was the most important issue to them, while military spending, the federal budget deficit, and Medicare followed. Obama and Romney were within two points of each other, 48% and 46% on the top two issues - Romney with the slight edge on handling the economy and Obama with the advantage on handling military spending.

Four percent of likely voters said they had already cast an absentee ballot, and the survey showed 41% of likely voters said they planned to cast an absentee ballot. The state does not allow in-person early voting, as do some other states.

The poll includes telephone interviews conducted from October 22, the night of the third and final presidential debate, through October 26. The poll included 1,228 likely voters.

– CNN's John King and Ashley Killough contributed to this report

Also on the CNN Political Ticker

– Obama courts young voters in MTV interview

– Coulter stands by use of controversial word to describe Obama

– A gridiron battleground

– Micro-targeting offers clues to early vote leads


Filed under: 2012 • Virginia
soundoff (54 Responses)
  1. shushe

    Cnn is not getting enough comments to support their analysis. thousands of comments down to hundreds. Is this enough to come to a fair analysis? Too bad you will be disappointed

    October 27, 2012 11:42 pm at 11:42 pm |
  2. Royal

    Early voting in Ohio has Obama up 2 to 1. Obama has the math behind him . Romney better start picking it up because he is running out of time fast.

    October 27, 2012 11:46 pm at 11:46 pm |
  3. Mike

    Goodbye Mr. Romney. It looks like all of your flip flopping has finally caught up to you.

    October 27, 2012 11:55 pm at 11:55 pm |
  4. Mike in Texas

    Virginia is trending towards Obama. Earlier this week it was a coin flip. It's still up in the air but the odds of Obama winning Virginia are getting better. If Obama takes Virginia, Romney is done. Romney can take Florida and North Carolina but it won't matter if he loses Virginia and Ohio where Obama's has 3-1 chance in winning.

    October 28, 2012 12:02 am at 12:02 am |
  5. obamafan

    cool GO OBAMA

    October 28, 2012 12:14 am at 12:14 am |
  6. Woman In California

    Let's go BLUE (again) Virgina and help the president complete what he's started. Four years is just not enough time to clean-up the horrific mess left by the last administration. Besides, if you value healthcare you'll vote for the president.

    October 28, 2012 12:32 am at 12:32 am |
  7. J.V.Hodgson

    As usual polls tend to show lower differences as the election nears:-
    a) because some have voted already.
    b) because the undecideds also naturally decline.
    If this goes Obama's way then Ohio it's game over for Romney Ryan.
    Regards,
    Hodgson.

    October 28, 2012 12:38 am at 12:38 am |
  8. Mark

    Obama will win however; not like in 2008. It seems to me the President was distracted with being President this year rather than politics until well late into the game. That will cost him an Electoral Landside and at worst, the pop vote but it will not be like Bush getting only 271 out of 270. It looks like Obama will have a clear win of 284 so no lawsuits needed and a win by 10pm EST and then votes will be counted later and he might win by a small line or even lose the pop votes but those do not matter so much in a non Democracy such as the States which is a Federal Republic.

    I'll call the election for Obama at 284 with a chance to lose the pop vote or just win it my small amount but he will continue to be President and in 2016, Hillary will get a big start early post her rest and cosmetic surgery and she will win in a landslide her first term but second too soon to know. Remember, Republicans were in office 12 years 1980-1992 so this happens. I will not vote since I know it makes no difference who the figurehead is. A President can't even lower or raise taxes.

    October 28, 2012 12:42 am at 12:42 am |
  9. Mark

    BTW, CNN is the only fair and balanced new station now. Mainstream is a good thing. Look it up and find out.

    CNN has more viewers worldwide and no need to brag like another Cable station that is in fact biased.

    October 28, 2012 12:44 am at 12:44 am |
  10. Independent Texan

    This is certainly no surprise. As each day passes, I'm hopeful that those who are considering voting for Romney will realize what that vote represents. College aged students will no longer be allowed to remain on their parents insurance policies until age 26, no cancer screenings or mammograms from Planned Parenthood, no more Pell Grants, etc.....Besides who can trust someone who changes his positions on EVERY issue, depending on the audience.

    October 28, 2012 12:57 am at 12:57 am |
  11. NameBETTYE

    Willard is a liar, because he said that Mitt is his first name. This is a Guy u can't trust

    October 28, 2012 02:08 am at 2:08 am |
  12. Thomas

    Good news !

    Mitt Romney , five sons all avoided military service.

    October 28, 2012 02:12 am at 2:12 am |
  13. Janine

    Go Mr. President! You, Barack Obama, are my President – no money could take you away – !!!

    October 28, 2012 02:53 am at 2:53 am |
  14. Anonymous

    Five Virginia polls were released this week. Two have Romney up +2, two have it a tie and WaPo has Obama +4 .. Anything wrong with this picture?

    October 28, 2012 02:56 am at 2:56 am |
  15. Name Longman

    It is just a matter of time virginia will be Obama's! Romney is too desperate, and the people of Virginia adhor this!

    October 28, 2012 03:52 am at 3:52 am |
  16. ken

    The people will realize Barack Obama has been right and showed good judgement on all the major issues including being against Iraq war from day 1 and saving auto industry. He has been a leader fighting for Americans regardless of income, race or gender. His economic policy has helped America emerge from great recession caused by previous administration. Unemployment is improving, the stock market has doubled since 2008 meaning folks 401K retirement accounts have probably doubled, oil production is up to all time highs and Obama has encouraged alternative safe clean energy sources. Obama wants to invest in education which will be one of keys to future economic success while Romney will cut it. Romney's plan promises to return us to the failed policy of the past giving tax breaks to wealthy and limiting deductions that will take away incentive giving to non-profit charities thus increasing burden on govt to fill the void in our communities. Romney gave into tea party picking running mate Ryan and Romney/Ryan have zero foreign policy experience which is the first time I can remember neither candidate or running mate have any forign policy experience. Romney showed tremendous lack of leadership making critical statements against the POTUS as our overseas diplomats were under seige. Let's re-elect Barack Obama so we can continue economic recovery that benefits middle class and so we have a President we can count on in times of international crisis.

    October 28, 2012 05:44 am at 5:44 am |
  17. Dar

    Do you folks really think that a coal producing state is going to vote for this piece of dung after he has killled thier jobs and talking about killing more? Get real

    October 28, 2012 05:54 am at 5:54 am |
  18. Name keisha sanders

    when obama got in office 4 yrs ago he did everything he said he was goner do so give let give obama another 4yrs to get us ppl were we need to be can't be hard on obama office was already a mess when he got in so vote for obama not mitt he another bush . Now he is cleaning u bush mess. Mitt is only for the rich he not for mid class r poor mitt said behid close doors 4months ago he for rich only so if u vote for mitt the world will be sorry

    October 28, 2012 06:33 am at 6:33 am |
  19. ducky657

    CNN wishes Obama was ahead in Virginia! He will lose by five to seven points in the Commonwealth and he knows it. His idiot running mate (Joe Biden for Obama voters) called Virginia's former Governor and Senatorial candidate Tom Kaine–a few days ago he was in Marion, Ohio and said it is great to be back in Iowa. Of course neither of these gaffes by the smiling imbecile will every be chronicled by CNN. They have to make sure their candidate wins even if he will not finish his second term because of Benghazi Gate–there is a reason no one watches CNN any more!

    October 28, 2012 06:58 am at 6:58 am |
  20. jim

    Just another piece of the CNN liberal information war against Romney! CNN should be reporting on Libya!

    October 28, 2012 07:00 am at 7:00 am |
  21. Name

    If the diff is within the margin of error... Then it should be thought of as a tie.... Where does Cnn get these people now days????

    October 28, 2012 07:29 am at 7:29 am |
  22. Name

    I support Obama he did his best. It took 10 years to get in this mess so it going to take 10 or more to get out.

    October 28, 2012 07:39 am at 7:39 am |
  23. plain&simple

    If you believe in treating the military with respect by your actions,then Obama/ Biden is the way to vote. What lives in your heart is shown by where you invest your time. Obama ,his wife and Biden's whole family have invested in a great care for the service our military families have given. We can return their care with the trust of our votes.

    October 28, 2012 08:04 am at 8:04 am |
  24. Rick McDaniel

    Not at all. Romney is leading in VA.

    CNN lies to the people, yet AGAIN!

    October 28, 2012 08:11 am at 8:11 am |
  25. jack

    Vote for a man that borrowed money from commy china.and plans to cut our military? I dont think so

    October 28, 2012 08:13 am at 8:13 am |
1 2 3