Poll: Locked up race in North Carolina
October 29th, 2012
01:07 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Locked up race in North Carolina

(CNN) - The presidential race in North Carolina is neck and neck between President Barack Obama and GOP nominee Mitt Romney, a new survey released Monday indicates.

The Elon University Poll shows the two candidates tied at 45% apiece in the Tar Heel State, where 15 electoral votes are up for grabs

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Several recent surveys indicated Romney with a slight advantage in the state, and in a sign of confidence about their chances there, the Romney campaign recently began shifting some staffers out of North Carolina and into Ohio and other key states.

Obama campaign senior adviser David Axelrod said on a conference call with reporters on Monday the incumbent believes North Carolina is "very much in play."

"We've added money over the last few weeks on television there and we're going after it," he said. "We're going to do everything within our power to win the state of North Carolina."

While the Democratic National Convention was held in Charlotte, Obama has not campaigned in the state since his nomination acceptance speech at the convention in early September.

Likely voters favored Romney over Obama on handling the economy, 52% to 42%, and by the same margin favored Obama over Romney on handling foreign policy.

Obama has an advantage over Romney among women, 51% to 40%, while Romney has a similar margin among men, 51% to 39%.

It is too early to tell the extent of Hurricane Sandy's impact on voting in the state. Some polling places which would have been open for early voting were closed over the weekend as the hurricane sacked the state, especially the Outer Banks. According to the poll, Obama leads among those who have already voted, 55% to 37%, though Romney has an edge among likely voters who have yet to cast ballots, 48% to 43%.

North Carolina was a toss up state on the CNN Electoral Map but was shifted earlier this month to leaning in Romney's favor. Other news organizations also shifted North Carolina to lean Romney.

The poll was conducted between October 21 and 26, mostly after the final presidential debate between Obama and Romney. It included 1,238 likely voters in North Carolina and had a sampling error of plus or minus 2.79%.

– CNN Political Reporter Peter Hamby contributed to this report


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • North Carolina • President Obama
soundoff (29 Responses)
  1. Lynda/Minnesota

    Hey. I thought Romney pulled out of NC because he was 5 points ahead? Looks as if he pulled out because he knew he was going to lose it. That, or CNN bought his spin.

    October 29, 2012 01:10 pm at 1:10 pm |
  2. truth hurts

    Total joke.... Obama BARELY won this state in 2008 by a few thousand votes. He doesn't stand a chance in 2012. Democrat delusion BIG TIME!

    October 29, 2012 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  3. gt

    not going to happen,,,,

    October 29, 2012 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  4. soren

    NC is not close... you can't trust NC outlets like Elon and PPP to tell you this because they want money spent in their state.

    October 29, 2012 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  5. Yanni

    There is no locked up election in NC, Obama is a true and trusted leader

    October 29, 2012 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  6. Namejkane sfl a vote for lady parts romney the tax cheat and lyin lady parts ryan willcut your moms medicare and soc sec . .can you afford to pay for them???

    North Caroline might be the only state in the country dumb enough to vote for romney the tax cheat . I wouldn't want to be you !!!!!!

    October 29, 2012 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  7. luke,az

    Gov. Romney is NOT presidential material. How any women can vote for him is beyond belief. Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock will ensure that Gov Romney won't make it to the White House. By the way, SHOW US YOUR TAXES FOR THE LAST 10 YEARS.

    October 29, 2012 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  8. UBS, WILLARD & THE 4000+ AMERICAN AMNESTY DEAL

    But just 2 days ago CNN you had NC leaning towards Romney. So which is it? Enough with the poll numbers already because none of them are consistent besides for the Ohio polling which shows that the President's support has not dwindled.

    October 29, 2012 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  9. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    If Obama wins NC, it makes OH, FL and VA needed to win for Romney. I think that if Romney can't win OH, VA, NC & FL along with at least two of the other "toss up" states, then he can't win the White House. There are more ways for Obama to win than Romney.

    October 29, 2012 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  10. C Anderson

    President Obama is strong proven leader. Mitt Romney is a weak proven liar.

    October 29, 2012 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  11. Scott

    The Elon Poll has a terrible track record – I don't know why CNN uses it.

    October 29, 2012 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  12. Expat American

    Strong leaders are concerned about 'fact checkers'. This is where Romney fall short.

    October 29, 2012 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  13. BeverlyNC

    I live in North Carolina in a suburb of Charlotte. President Obama is doing well here with everyone I know from women to neighbors to co-workers to local small business people. They see Romney is a fraud who will lie about anything to get a vote. He has no plans for the PEOPLE. He is a corporate puppet. Do you really think these billionaires and corporations have donated to his campaign without expecting specific favors in return – like no minimum wage, no workers comp. no regulations on their industry, deregulating the banks again, killing Obamacare so private insurance can again decide who lives and dies, destruction of Medicare, Social Security, veteran benefits, killing funding for education and every program to help the poor. Those are not AMERICAN values. Those of ones of greed and self-serving arrogance. President Obama has worked hard non-stop for ALL of us and has real, vetted plans to continue the economic recovery we are seeing, Jobs are UP. Housing is UP 20% last month. We finally sold our house after 7 years in August. The stock market is the highest it has ever been. We ARE better off than 4 Years Ago and no President has been has genuine, honest, and proactive in helping America from the auto industry to repealing DADT, to standing up for WOMEN and our rights, to helping immigrant children who grew up here get an education and contribute to our society, to getting Osama and gaining worldwide respect for America again. Even ALL our Allies want President Obama re-elected because he is a brilliant foreign affairs leader. He got us out of Iraq. He is getting us out of Afghanistan and using all this money to rebuild America back for ALL of us. He is a good and decent man we can TRUST. That's why I early voted for President Obama and so did almost every person in line with me did too. We know we have a great President and want to keep him! NC for OBAMA!

    October 29, 2012 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  14. jinx88

    Wow!!! Wasnt Mittens winning this state by 3% points two days ago?

    October 29, 2012 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  15. Jersey Girl

    If Pres. Obama wins NC, it is because they finally got smart enough to see through the habitual liar, Willard Mitt Romney. Didn't he say at one of the primary debates to Wolf Blitzer that Mitt is his real first name? This guy can't tell the truth even if his life depended on it. I seriously think he gives Mormonism a bad name. We don't deserve this amoral, no-core, no-ethics, guy in the White House. People, America is smarter than that.

    October 29, 2012 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
  16. 4moreyears

    Non of these polls can be trusted or taken for face value. People get out and VOTE. That's it right there.

    October 29, 2012 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
  17. Frank

    Romney will not win this election. Plain and simple. The electoral votes are not his way. If you count all the states that is even .1% or more for Romney and states that are .1% or more for Obama, Obama wins by very close to 300 electorates. Even if Romney takes two tied states, which is Colorado and Virginia, Obama will still win. Romney NEEDS to take ohio or it just will NOT work. Plain and simple. And there has not been one poll not even ONE, that has shown Romney to be ahead.

    October 29, 2012 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
  18. tracey

    @luke, az you are right how and the world these women voting 4some1 like that is crazy. if he wins we are in trouble voters give obama some time. just renber he has to go threw congress and we all now republicans are in congress over democrats. thats right why has mitt not shown his taxes for the last ten years do congress know that.

    October 29, 2012 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  19. GOP = Greed Over People!

    Nate hasn't had NC in play for over a month, but whatever.

    October 29, 2012 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  20. tracey

    mitt will also make it harder for the ladies and middle class. all we have to do is pray, and vote.he does not pay taxes thats why he hiding money in other countries. a BIG LIAR. him and veryone that is with him what do he now about being in middle class. he does'nt cause his family was rich that why he do not want to show taxes listen congress research

    October 29, 2012 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  21. Data Driven

    This is excellent news!! For Romney!!!

    October 29, 2012 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  22. bethjoyce

    Wow!! I didn't realize that Obama was doing so well in North Carolina. I though that Romney had it all tied up there. Obama has a great chance to win. Keep it up Barack. You'll get there!!

    October 29, 2012 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  23. Dave Jaipersaud

    Do not fall for the crap Romney and the Republicans are selling. They will lie, cheat and steal to get into the White House. The Republican idea to make things better is to do the same things that caused the problem. I am sure they would have no problem rehiring a financial advisor whose investment policies almost wiped out most Americans life savings. Basically that is what the Republicans are proposing. They are saying lets fire the guy that stabilized your investments and grow it to almost what it was prior to 2007 and let’s rehire the guy whose policies almost wiped it out. Do they think most Americans are stupid?

    Here is the real hoax. The Republican idea to make things better is to do the same things that caused the problem. Here is something to think about. Republicans would have no problem rehiring a financial advisor whose investment policies almost wiped out their life savings. Basically that is what they are proposing. Republicans are telling us to fire the guy that stabilized and grow our investments to almost what it was worth prior to 2007 and rehire the guy whose policies almost wiped it out. We have to be really stupid to listen to them and rehire a guy whose policies wiped out investment in the first place. I would hope that Americans are smarter than that.

    Here is a simple way of looking at who is best for the economy. Would you invest with a guy whose investment policies wiped out your investment portfolio or would you invest with a guy whose investment policies stabilized your investment portfolio and is currently growing your portfolio. Even Romney wouldn't invest his own money with the guy whose policies wiped out everyone’s investment and now he wants us to do it. So why would anyone even consider voting for any Republican.

    How can any Americans think that Romney/Ryan policies would be better for the Economy. The only way for anyone to think that is if they are suffering from total amnesia. Have people forgotten what happened in 2007/2008 and the years leading up to the Great Recession. It was the exact same policies that Romney is advocating now that caused the Great Recession. Are we that dumb to think that these same policies that caused the Great Recession will somehow magically make the economy better.

    I guess Romney/Ryan think we are all stupid and don’t know the truth and can’t remember the dark days of the great recession of 2007 and 2008 and the years leading up to it.

    The choice is clear. Do we want to go back to the exact same policies (Romney/Ryan current policies) that brought America (this great Nation) to its knees or do we want to continue to build on the recovery.

    October 29, 2012 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  24. ccb

    If R/R win in part due to their assault on women's issues, look out for the legislation won during the civil rights days, namely the Voting Rights Act, the Civil Rights Bill,etc. The assault on women's issues is part of an overall strategy by the GOP/Tea Party leaders who talked about this when Gov. Perry,Bachman and others were in the race; they talked about taking the country back; really racist in nature! However, this is STILL a part of the GOP agenda for 2013 if they win. If they win,it probably means that they will have picked up enough votes to control the Senate. This also means that they will be able to put one or more on the Supreme Court to role back or even eliminate the gains won by women and people of color over the last 50+ years. Such a scenario will necessitate a new civil rights movement for sure.
    I never would have thought this would be necessary again in this country, except this time I believe that for the most part people of color will have to go it virtually alone. Recent studies suggest racism and a growing negative view toward people of color growing. :( I don't see evangelical/Christian leaders helping like they did in the '60s because they have been MIA in re all the other issues, including racism; I see no incentive for them to get involved in these other social issues at all because they have shown no guts at all, except the Catholic nuns bus tour concerning the poor and the impact of the proposed cuts in Ryan's budget on the poor, Medicaid cuts, cuts to Pell Grants , cuts in the food stamps, etc.. but yet no real outrage from the Christian community at-large. Isn't Jesus Christ bigger than just 2 issues? No wonder so many people are rejecting Christianity. They don't see demonstrated the love of Christ but just politicians using Christianity and compromising it(supporting Romney and now embracing Mormonism as Christian???????) to address their political concerns.
    Fortunately, God is not fooled by any of this, and these politicians and religious zealots will eventually will be thwarted by the King of Kings, and the Lord of Lords, Jesus Christ, God the Son, and not a created being. Watch the recent video clip on You Tube in re Mormonism (doctrinally they still believe that people of color are cursed, yes they do) and see if those of you who consider yourself Christian can vote for Romney or does race really trump everything, even Christian doctrine; as several white authors have noted,"Do you really want to vote against your own self-interests?" Something to think about BEFORE you vote!!!

    October 29, 2012 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  25. FactCheck

    Wait wait... what happened to Mitt-mentum?

    October 29, 2012 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
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