New poll shows Mass. Senate race still close
October 29th, 2012
02:13 PM ET
2 years ago

New poll shows Mass. Senate race still close

(CNN) – The high-profile Senate battle in Massachusetts remains neck-and-neck in the final eight-day sprint to Election Day, according to a new poll released Monday.

Republican Sen. Scott Brown holds a slender edge over Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren, 45% to 43%, among likely voters, the Boston Globe survey shows. That margin falls well within the sampling error, meaning the candidates are statistically tied.

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When undecided voters were asked which candidate they lean toward, the results change to indicate the race gets even tighter, with both candidates tied at 47%.

The new poll comes after a string of polls in the last couple of months showed Warren with a slight advantage over Brown, including the Boston Globe's last survey at the end of September, which indicated Warren was ahead by five points. The incumbent senator, however, had an edge in a couple of polls during the same time period.

Monday's new survey underlines the intensity of the competition between the two candidates, one that has remained close for the last year.

The poll also comes out one day before the two are scheduled to face off in their fourth and final debate, to be hosted at the WGBH studios in Brighton and moderated by CNN Chief National Correspondent John King.

As of Monday afternoon the showdown is still slated to take place Tuesday night, but both campaigns canceled their public campaign appearances on Monday due to concerns about Hurricane Sandy.

The Boston Globe survey suggests Brown may be riding on a modest rise of support in Massachusetts for GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney. While President Barack Obama still maintains a solid 52%-38% lead over Romney, the 14-point gap is narrower than the 27-point margin found in last month's Boston Globe poll.

For the poll, the University of New Hampshire Survey Center interviewed 583 likely voters by telephone from October 24 through October 28. The sampling error is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Elizabeth Warren • Polls • Scott Brown • Senate
soundoff (16 Responses)
  1. truth hurts

    Democrats OWN Massachusetts. If Scott Brown wins it will be a miracle but it looks like he is hanging in there. Looks like the people of Massachusettts aren't very eager to replace a level headed military man with a far left loon. There may be hope for Massachusetts yet!

    October 29, 2012 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  2. Gurgyl

    Go for Elizabeth. Go for straight democratic ticket.

    October 29, 2012 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  3. Valentina

    I live in MA. There is tremendous support of Scott Brown in my county, and especially in my town. We remain hopeful Brown will be re-elected, but we need Republicans and like-minded Independents to go out and vote. I also believe the margin of victory for Obama in MA will be much slimmer than what it was in 2008 – it may even end up being in single digits.

    October 29, 2012 02:30 pm at 2:30 pm |
  4. Armand Winter

    How does Mitt Romney get away with laundering billions of unreported income in the Caymans through a bank owned by his church?

    October 29, 2012 02:33 pm at 2:33 pm |
  5. gt

    brown is one of the few who is not lock step with the party line...he is one of the good ones....warren not so much....far left agenda...

    October 29, 2012 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  6. BigTBone

    Why is the right wing hate machine so petrified of this woman?

    They collectively unloaded in their diapers when she was going to head the Consumer Protection Bureau.

    Now she's gunning for Brown and can legitimately win but you can't find any articles on her without some level of rovebot personal attack in the comments...

    October 29, 2012 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  7. Phil

    Elizabeth Warren is a nut job mini me to Nancy Pelosi. America is Better off WITH OUT her!

    October 29, 2012 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  8. just sayin

    fidel castro refused to endorse warren because she is just too far left for his taste. enuff said... besides, her indain name is lyin donkey. already got too many of those in congress and don't need more.

    October 29, 2012 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  9. Steve- Illinois

    Apparently "Native Americans" are not coming out to vote for her in the numbers she hoped. Maybe this week she'll announce being 1/32 African-American.

    October 29, 2012 03:02 pm at 3:02 pm |
  10. Anonymous

    @gt
    scott brown is an independent voice when there are small issues being voted on. then he becomes Mitch McConnell's lap dog when there's something big to vote on...he is clearly just as in step with the republican agenda as every other right winger in the senate.

    October 29, 2012 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  11. CJG

    Sorry I do not understand how they could vote him in again, wake up , Warren is the way to go for Mass.

    October 29, 2012 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  12. b

    The fact that there are some women that support Scott Brown, the man who voted against the equal pay for equal work law is just plain mind-boggling.

    October 29, 2012 03:16 pm at 3:16 pm |
  13. Dean

    Warren in heap big trouble.

    October 29, 2012 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  14. Tony G

    Just what America needs, another know it all leftist professor in Congress. Hasn't the know it all leftist professor in the WHitehouse screwed things up enough over the last four years? Wake up Massachusetts. Don't screw the country over like Nevada did whenthey sent Reid back to DC.

    October 29, 2012 03:23 pm at 3:23 pm |
  15. Pete

    It's amazing how money,lies make thrives,crooked politicians look like angels in these republicans.They lie constantly and their money creates more of the same painting them something republicans really aren't,ethical ..Having a Mormon moron whos sole business agenda was stripping corporations of all their assets and selling to the highest foriegn bidder not caring who or what they hurt in thr process..It's been that way for years with Romney, Bain so why would he change now,he's what's wrong with corporate America because they're only out for themselves...

    October 29, 2012 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  16. Lette

    Elizabeth Warren is an amazingly smart woman and people would choose the lingerie model over her?????? REALLY ...I don't get it.

    October 29, 2012 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |