Michigan poll: Obama 48% – Romney 42%
October 31st, 2012
07:26 PM ET
2 years ago

Michigan poll: Obama 48% – Romney 42%

(CNN) – A new poll released Wednesday indicates President Barack Obama has a six-point advantage over Mitt Romney in Michigan.

Forty-eight percent of likely voters in the state back the incumbent president, while 42% support the GOP presidential nominee, according to a new EPIC-MRA poll commissioned by the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ, a CNN affiliate.

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While the six point margin falls within the poll's sampling error, the difference represents a wider gap between the two candidates than when the poll was last conducted after the first presidential debate. An EPIC-MRA survey released on October 8 showed Obama with a three point edge.

The president, however, seems to have regained momentum in Michigan, where Romney's father served as governor in the 1960s.

Among independent voters, Obama has a 42%-31% margin over Romney, while nearly 30% say they would choose a third-party candidate or stay undecided, the poll shows.

The Wolverine State also serves as home to a large sector of the auto industry, a part of the economy that has seen intense focus in the presidential election. Obama's campaign portrays the president as the industry's savior thanks to his role in overseeing the auto bailout.

But Romney's team faults the Obama administration for mishandling the bailout, saying taxpayers will still be responsible for a large chunk of the federal loan. Of late, Romney has taken up a new attack line, saying the bailout has allowed some automakers to expand manufacturing overseas and shift jobs away from the U.S. The auto companies, General Motors and Chrysler, have staunchly denied such accusations.

Results from Wednesday's poll indicate the auto bailout played a big part in voters' minds as they made their ballot decisions, with half of respondents saying the federal loan was a deciding factor. Nearly two-thirds of them were Obama supporters.

EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn told the Detroit Free Press that the auto issues "solidified things for Obama" in the state.

Obama's campaign confirmed Tuesday it would soon go up with television ads in Michigan, following a recent advertising push by the pro-Romney super PAC, Restore Our Future, which has invested millions in air time in the state.

With 16 electoral votes, Michigan is rated as "leaning Democratic" on CNN's Electoral Map. However, recent polls that show a tighter race than expected, combined with the Detroit News' endorsement for Romney, have caused some politics observers to revisit the state.

But a senior Obama campaign adviser was so confident about the president's chances in Michigan that he vowed Wednesday to shave his trademark mustache if Democrats lose.

In the survey, both Romney and Obama fare well on the question of enthusiasm. About three-quarters of supporters for both candidates say they were enthusiastic about voting.

The GOP nominee has 46%-44% edge over the president when it comes to who would best handle the economy, according to the poll. Obama fared better on other issues, including Social Security and Medicare, health care and Afghanistan.

For the survey, EPIC-MRA interviewed 600 likely voters in Michigan by telephone from October 26 through October 28. The poll's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

– CNN's Kevin Bohn and Gregory Wallace contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Michigan • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (51 Responses)
  1. incredulous

    Leave it to Romney to tell ever bigger lies during the last days of a campaign that set new lows in politics.

    October 31, 2012 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  2. NameKELSEY

    Obama will win this election despite romneys desparation.We the american people with sense know that romney is full of –it u feel in the blank.Mitt is a compulsive liar who is saying anything to get elected.But mitt its not going to work in this election try again in another life time your pass is up.OBAMA/BIDEN 2012.

    October 31, 2012 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  3. terri

    ooppss there goes that lie they are telling that they are "close" in Michigan...more and more lies by the day – can't wait til the president is RE-ELECTED on 11/6!

    October 31, 2012 07:47 pm at 7:47 pm |
  4. Mike

    They can see through his BS about Jeep and China. I would like to see the SEC investigate this clown for all his misinformation on a publically traded company.

    October 31, 2012 07:50 pm at 7:50 pm |
  5. naksuthin

    If there's anything we've learned from the disaster of hurricane Sandy is that Big Government is sometimes the only entity that has the power and resources to save a bad situation. It's like the financial crisis. Even Republicans like Boehner and Ryan voted for the government bailout of the financial institutions when credit was frozen and it looked certain that the economy was going to melt down.
    The financial toll of tens of billions of dollars and the massive cleanup work that needs to be done cannot be done by the private sector or by the cash strapped states that are hardest hit.
    Big Government isn't always good..but it isn't always bad either.

    October 31, 2012 07:52 pm at 7:52 pm |
  6. jm

    poor romney and ryan! NOT

    October 31, 2012 07:53 pm at 7:53 pm |
  7. Anthony

    Romney's momentum, which came mostly from the first debate and the Gallup Poll, is gone. Romney is still behind in Ohio. Romney can't win without Ohio. That is all she wrote.

    October 31, 2012 08:11 pm at 8:11 pm |
  8. Kelly Bonewell

    I live in MI and I am an independent – read the demographic of the respondents – it was +10% democrat. Invalid poll – as most other polls attest the race is tied.

    October 31, 2012 08:13 pm at 8:13 pm |
  9. rs

    Romney is losing in his home state, he is losing in Michigan (his Dad's state, and Romney's home as a youth), and losing Ohio. Perhaps lying about the automibile industy support from the Obama Administration wasn't very wise on the part of Romney.

    October 31, 2012 08:14 pm at 8:14 pm |
  10. Wake up People!

    Thank you fellow Michiganians for supporting our President. Unfortunately, Willard will win Oakland County and possibly Macomb. But President Obama will win Wayne County!

    OBAMA 2012!

    October 31, 2012 08:14 pm at 8:14 pm |
  11. Kelly Bonewell

    I live in Michigan and I am an independent. This poll is not valid as the respondents were +10 on the Democrat side. As most polls show, the race is tied.

    October 31, 2012 08:17 pm at 8:17 pm |
  12. Anonymous

    +6 more dems than repubs in the poll... Epic FAILURE Poll is more like it

    October 31, 2012 08:17 pm at 8:17 pm |
  13. natali

    Vote for Obama if you want – O(bama)B(iden)EY BIG GOVERNMENT
    If you're smart enough to vote – Vote for Romney/Ryan 2012

    October 31, 2012 08:27 pm at 8:27 pm |
  14. matt

    If romney is losing in the state his dad was governor, losing in Massachusetts where he was governor, and losing in Wisconsin where Paul Ryan is from, then what does that tell people.

    October 31, 2012 08:27 pm at 8:27 pm |
  15. Thomas

    That's Mitt's home state , he was born there , says he likes cars and all the trees the same size , and what about the lakes !

    It's funny , Massachusetts , his other home won't elect him ether.
    And his other , other state California won't as well .

    Turn out the lights , the party's over !

    This just in , Romney up by 6 in Alabama and American Samoa

    The Island State of US Samoa would like to thank the Romney LDS Foundation for the ten cargo containers of Spam .

    October 31, 2012 08:30 pm at 8:30 pm |
  16. Gurgyl

    Obama–you are a god gift to USA, we love you!!!!!!!!!!

    October 31, 2012 08:34 pm at 8:34 pm |
  17. pkrbkr

    Michigan voters know a fraud like Romney/Ryan when they see one....how many lies can these people tell and still keep a straight face? It is unbelievable that they are even still in the race. Romney is so fake and changes his positions more often than some people change their undies! Can't imagine him in the white house and to think he'd be the leader of the free world when he can't even visit England and other countries without looking downright dumb......scary! Obama/Biden Forward 2012

    October 31, 2012 08:35 pm at 8:35 pm |
  18. bassman

    I wonder what the poll would look like if our media had asked Pres. Obama the tough questions concerning Benghazi?

    October 31, 2012 08:39 pm at 8:39 pm |
  19. Woman In California

    IF this poll is true, I ask this question: WHY ISN'T IT 20 PTS. AHEAD? Are people really that hung-up on the president's heritage?

    October 31, 2012 08:42 pm at 8:42 pm |
  20. USA

    Wonder if Romney plans to release his Jeep ad there....So far he has been willing to say things to the American people he know is false...Somehow I don't think their buy what he's selling...

    October 31, 2012 08:46 pm at 8:46 pm |
  21. DaPower

    Detroit Free Press "to the rescue"...with another skewed poll: 6%+ for Dems, only 16% Independent. No wonder the article doesn't mention it. Obama doesn't need to buy ads in Detroit if he's really up by 6.

    October 31, 2012 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  22. Romney Hood's a FRAUD

    Willard Mitt Romney as the amazing shrinking candidate!!! "I just won't answer the press' questions. heh heh heh".

    October 31, 2012 09:03 pm at 9:03 pm |
  23. natali

    Let’s disallow liberals to divide our country even more. In San Francisco, majority of us have to pay 10 cents for one paper bag in any stores, while people on food stamps can ask for unlimited number of free bags in any stores.
    What about elderly and disabled on fixed income? What about mothers who worked three jobs, but decided not to collect food stamps? What about families who decided to share one-bedroom apartments with other families and trying to live American life without government assistance?
    We have to be smart this election and vote for Romney.

    October 31, 2012 09:11 pm at 9:11 pm |
  24. McShannon

    Thank you Chrysler management! Thank you GM management! Mitt Romney has engaged in the most outrageous, lack of integrity and desperate attempt to distort the truth probably ever in any Presidential campaign. The Romney camp “has no shame” and is flailing with wild jabs unbecoming of honorable men.

    October 31, 2012 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  25. Jason

    This poll over samples Democrats Romney is tied here

    October 31, 2012 09:24 pm at 9:24 pm |
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