Polls split on race in Ohio, Florida
November 3rd, 2012
12:11 AM ET
1 year ago

Polls split on race in Ohio, Florida

(CNN) – New state polls in Ohio and Florida are divided about the state of the presidential race in these two key battlegrounds.

In Ohio, arguably the most important of the battlegrounds, a NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll released Saturday showed Obama with 51% of likely voters and Romney at 45%. The CNN/ORC International Poll released Friday found the Buckeye State slightly tighter and within the sampling error: 50% for Obama to 47% for Romney.

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It's a slightly different picture in Florida, where two polls show a close race but split on who has the advantage. The NBC poll showed Obama with a slight advantage over Romney, 49% to 47%, while a Mason Dixon Poll conducted in the same time period, Wednesday and Thursday, had Romney at 51% and Obama at 45%.

Obama enjoyed a high approval in both states of his handling of Superstorm Sandy, which battered the East Coast this past week and caused both campaigns to cancel campaign events.

The NBC/WSJ poll found that among likely voters in Florida - a state which has seen hurricanes and major storms - 70% approved of his response to Sandy, while 11% disapproved. Seventy three percent of likely voters in Ohio approved and 7% disapproved.

The two states are the largest prizes listed as toss up states on the CNN Electoral Map, and both will see attention from the candidates in the final three days before Election Day.

Obama holds an advantage among early voters in both states, according to the NBC/WSJ polls, while Romney enjoys the advantage among those who plan to vote on Election Day. The survey found 63% of Florida voters plan to vote before Tuesday or already have voted.

However the Mason Dixon Florida poll - conducted for Bay News 9, Central Florida News 13, Tampa Bay Times, Miami Herald, and the El Nuevo Herald - found Romney with a 53% to 45% advantage among those voting absentee and a 50% to 47% among those voting early in-person.

Voters were nearly tied - putting the candidates within two points of one another - on who would best handle the economy, according to the NBC/WSJ survey. Romney has the slight advantage in Florida, while the slight advantage goes to Obama in Ohio.

Both states also have races for the U.S. Senate. In Florida, the NBC/WSJ poll found Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson is ahead of Republican Rep. Connie Mack, 52% to 43%, and in Ohio, Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown has an advantage over Republican State Treasurer Josh Mandel, 50% to 45%.

The NBC/WSJ poll in Ohio included 971 likely voters and had a sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 points. Their Florida sample included 1,545 likely voters with a sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 points. Voters both NBC/WSJ polls were reached by telephone on October 31 or November 1.

The Mason Dixon poll included 800 likely voters reached by telephone in Florida and was conducted between October 30 and November 1. It had a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report


Filed under: 2012 • Florida • Ohio
soundoff (49 Responses)
  1. What

    It's pretty clear to everyone with 2 brain cells that Obama will win this election handily. No need for this to be news.

    November 3, 2012 12:20 am at 12:20 am |
  2. pcalif

    If Florida were to go Democratic, the goal for Democrats in 2014 is to oust this crooked, unpatriotic, unqualified governor Rick Scott. He doesn't belong in public service.

    November 3, 2012 12:35 am at 12:35 am |
  3. Derek

    Bye Bye Romney you slimy, lying, flip-flopping, egotistical, bought by billionaires, cheap car salesman in a $2000 suit. You won't be buying this election, and YOU WON'T BE President of the United States... . EVER!!!

    Maybe your second career can be focused on helping others ship money over sea's to dodge taxes, or helping companies ship jobs over sea's (I know you have alot of experience with those two). Or perhaps you can put yourself on "Dancing with Stars" like Sarah Palin has done. She's been able to milk media and shows even if EVERYONE I TALK TO wished she would bury herself in some tundra back in Alaska and NEVER show her face again.

    I think that's what you should do Flip-Flop. . Mittens.. or whatever your name is. You ARE an Etcha-Sketch!! Get lost already.

    November 3, 2012 12:36 am at 12:36 am |
  4. the situation

    HA HA! You what lying gets you MItten. 4 Polls taken within the past 24 hours in Ohio and beside Rasmussen, which is leaning Rethugs, all the other 3 polls are showing Obama ahead. I guess the rethugs response is the usually, predictable one, "Well the are Left Wing leaning Polls.

    Nice Try but Mitts is on the verge of losing.

    November 3, 2012 12:36 am at 12:36 am |
  5. cameron whitton

    That i hope that romney takes the polls over obma i do not like as a person let alone the president. I do not think he should anorth term in the white house, he is bi-far the worst president we have had sents along time ago in 1880s

    November 3, 2012 12:37 am at 12:37 am |
  6. FedUpWithRomnesia1%

    We cannot afford reversing the productive course charted by Obama to build a future where ALL Americans have access to health care, retirement, homes, education, environmentally sound sustainable energy, modern infrastructure and equal job opportunities on a level playing field.

    We cannot afford to return to the corrupt Republican/"Rob-me" policies that brought our country to the brink of bankruptcy in order to curry favor to those stealing American homes, retirement funds, and jobs in order to line their own pockets!

    We the people will elect a government of the people, by the people and for the people to serve ALL Americans – not just the 1%-ers!!!

    November 3, 2012 12:39 am at 12:39 am |
  7. MaryM

    Look and the long lines and hours voters have to stand in line to vote in Florida. Gov Scott cut the hours for voting this year. Designed to cut the voters chances to vote.

    November 3, 2012 12:39 am at 12:39 am |
  8. Yonni

    Let's go and finish this thing Obama/Biden 2012. As Ann promised this will be the last run for Mitt for the presidency. This must motivate people to vote

    November 3, 2012 12:45 am at 12:45 am |
  9. Tish NC

    Nov.6,2012 Cometh!

    Obama/Biden 2012!

    November 3, 2012 12:52 am at 12:52 am |
  10. Mike

    Looks like all of the flip flopping will cost Mr. Romney the election. It turns out that the American public is smarter than Mr. Romney hoped for. The entire country has watched him change his position every five minutes. President Obama on the other hand has shown strong, decisive leadership. The entire GOP field was weak from the outset, and Romney was the leader of a three-ringed circus.

    November 3, 2012 12:52 am at 12:52 am |
  11. Ordnry1

    The Star newspaper headline reads, "Divine intervention may have come to Obama's aid." I sure hope so. Obama/Biden 2012!

    November 3, 2012 01:00 am at 1:00 am |
  12. Thomas

    No worries ,
    Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan are leading in the polls in Guam , the Northern Marianas Islands and American Samoa.

    However all three support FEMA , because the islands are disappearing do to climate change.

    November 3, 2012 01:20 am at 1:20 am |
  13. nelson origa

    Obama wins Florida and Ohio, Robme is toast. enough lies from a purpoted mormon. I never knew a mormon minister would tell lies(chrysler taking jeep plant to china).

    November 3, 2012 01:20 am at 1:20 am |
  14. cy yost

    very nice.. I hear the UAW is suing Romney for illegally profiting from the auto bailout.

    November 3, 2012 01:23 am at 1:23 am |
  15. Thomas

    Has anybody seen Rick Santorum ?

    Just asking.

    November 3, 2012 01:36 am at 1:36 am |
  16. Carrie

    I hope that Obama is able to win Florida. Make this a clear mandate that the far right doesn't have a place our government.
    Women, Independents (both in my catagory) want more than just economic recovery, we want a USA Recovery. Bring our Troops home! Bring Jobs Back! Fair Pay for Equal Work! Free Choice of Women's health! Healthcare!

    You can't get economic recovery by taking away Child care credit, Mortgage interest deductions, College tuition deductions....

    November 3, 2012 01:44 am at 1:44 am |
  17. peakarach

    Let go Democrat!

    November 3, 2012 01:53 am at 1:53 am |
  18. ifeanyi

    With the new job release, I see Obama victorious because the economy is in real recovery

    November 3, 2012 01:58 am at 1:58 am |
  19. Sean Tuttle

    I know John King is very disappointed in these numbers, because when Romney has a one point lead, King would be all aglow and talk about Romney's strong lead in the polls, BUT when Obama has a three point or five point lead John King calls that statistically tied in the polls.
    And folks that's why he lost his show, people just got tired of his bias reporting and stopped watching.

    November 3, 2012 02:25 am at 2:25 am |
  20. sithlord1

    OHIO
    President
    Romney 50%
    Obama 48%

    November 3, 2012 02:26 am at 2:26 am |
  21. sithlord1

    President
    Romney 50%
    Obama 47%

    November 3, 2012 02:26 am at 2:26 am |
  22. sithlord1

    Election 2012: Florida President
    Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

    November 3, 2012 02:28 am at 2:28 am |
  23. RudyG

    NBC polls! And I believe in fairy tales, Santa and the tooth fairy!!

    November 3, 2012 02:36 am at 2:36 am |
  24. REDFIRESTORM

    massive blue depression tuesday -- obama made his bed -- he could have worked harder at racial interrelations during the past four years. he was too stuck on "first black with pres power" thing as a goal in itself rather than as a tool to help the 100% -- i feel sorry for the black population who stick with him the tightest for the least of reasons other than race. obama will pay for it - in more ways than one. michelle is just as guilty. the only ones i feel sorry for are their kids.

    November 3, 2012 02:52 am at 2:52 am |
  25. Data Driven

    This is excellent news!! For Romney!!!

    November 3, 2012 03:11 am at 3:11 am |
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