National Poll: Obama 50%, Romney 47%
November 4th, 2012
06:30 PM ET
1 year ago

National Poll: Obama 50%, Romney 47%

(CNN) – A national poll released Sunday showed President Barack Obama with an edge over Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the last couple days of the 2012 presidential campaign.

The Pew Research Center poll indicates Obama with 50% support among likely voters nationwide and Romney with 47% in their final pre-election survey.

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The Pew survey showing Obama with a three-point edge over his Republican challenger indicates the largest advantage for the president of three other non-partisan, live operator, national polls released since Saturday.

A Pew survey released a week ago, conducted before Superstorm Sandy hit the East Coast on Monday, showed an even tighter race with both candidates receiving 47% support from likely voters.

The latest ABC/Washington Post tracking poll, conducted from October 31 through November 3 and released Sunday, showed Obama with a one point edge over Romney, 49% to Romney's 48%. The survey's sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.

Another national poll from Politico/George Washington University, conducted from October 29 through November 1 and also released Sunday, showed the race for the White House in a dead heat with both candidates at 48% support among likely voters.

The Pew Research Center survey was conducted from October 31 through November 3 among 2,709 likely voters reached by telephone with a sampling error of 2.2 percentage points.

–CNN's Dana Davidsen and Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012
soundoff (32 Responses)
  1. Namebigburnzie2000

    CNN Reagan and Bush both became President and both won there home states where they governed California and Texas.Mitt Romney is trailing Obama in Mass by 15 points.Please do a report as to why on this.

    November 4, 2012 10:20 pm at 10:20 pm |
  2. Anonymous

    Hey Obamaites! Guess what! Here in Michigan, I have met almost NO ONE who voted for Obama in 2008 that is going to vote for him again this time! Let's see what happens Tuesday!

    November 4, 2012 10:22 pm at 10:22 pm |
  3. LIP

    in the segment above, CNN said it was a dead heat and tied and now Obama is ahead? Doesn't really matter because as CNN said when Romney was ahead...it was within the margin of error. Make CNN wrong at all their guessing and get out and vote Romney and Ryan.

    November 5, 2012 12:07 am at 12:07 am |
  4. J.V.Hodgson

    CNN continues to talk momentum in the Romney canpaign, but chooses not to mention on talk shows the latest national polls except thier own CNN/ ORC poll showing the drama they want to keep going at 49/49 Obama/Romney.
    Thats based on 693 likely voters I add this because the Pew Research ( 2903 likely voters) and ABC/ Washington Post, ( ????) all concluded after CNN ORC i.e 31st October to 3rd November those results as noted above in the blog both give a 50/47 and 49/48% win ratio for Obama and closed later than CNN/ORC
    I think PEW/ABC is important and more accurate and will affect the currently considered views of how the House and Senate results will turn out, especiaaly if Pew is correct.
    Then, more teaparty house members will be ousted than is currently expected and the Democrats retain the Senate in any event.
    Regards,
    Hodgson.

    November 5, 2012 12:31 am at 12:31 am |
  5. Indchacha

    Romney has lied again. In his story about the Boy Scout flag he said he hadn't seen the flag for 15 to 20 years, yet the flag was loaned to the Mormon church to be flown at the 2002 Winter Olympics. If he would lie about something like this, you can't believe anything he says. A vote for Rip Robme is a vote for the 1%.<

    November 5, 2012 02:18 am at 2:18 am |
  6. Marry

    Let us prevent to have to go through what Romney / Ryan and the GOP have in store for us should they win!
    It is up to YOU! Please go out and VOTE! Strait "D" ticket! For the love of our country! Make the effort! VOTE!

    November 5, 2012 04:44 am at 4:44 am |
  7. John Randall

    I certainly believe Obama really will win this election due to the fact that historically people go with the same person for two terms usually. This has been the standard except for the time George Bush Sr lost to clinton, and Warren G Harding in the early 1900's.

    But unfortunately i do see the democrats losing a few key senate seats, and will enough of a gain in the house to stop key legislation from passing which is not much to write home about. I just hope we have senators who fight for their community and not of party.

    November 5, 2012 05:39 am at 5:39 am |
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