New national poll shows Obama, Romney virtually tied
November 4th, 2012
09:53 AM ET
1 year ago

New national poll shows Obama, Romney virtually tied

(CNN) - Two days before Election Day, the race between President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney remains locked in a virtual dead heat nationally, according to a poll released Sunday.

Obama has the support of 48% of likely voters, while Romney has 47% in the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Two weeks ago, the same organizations' poll had the candidates each at 47% support nationally.

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The new poll also shows 68% of those surveyed approved of the president's handling of Superstorm Sandy. Only 15% disapproved.

A separate poll released early Sunday morning indicated Obama and Romney were tied at 48%, according to the ABC News/Washington Post survey.

For the survey, 1,475 likely voters were interviewed by telephone from November 1 to November 3. The sampling error is plus or minus 2.55 percentage points.

READ MORE: New polls measure two key states


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (47 Responses)
  1. Gurgyl

    Yes, on OBAMA12.

    November 4, 2012 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  2. tenoney

    I can't wait for this race to be over so that we all move on with our lives

    November 4, 2012 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  3. luke,az

    President Obama deserves 4 more years for any of the following 3 reasons; saving GM and Chrysler, Obamacare and making the decision to take out Osama bin Laden. President Obama is truly a great leader.

    November 4, 2012 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  4. becky

    For weeks we have heard how terrible conditions are in the United States. The middle class is being crushed by debt. However, the crowds at the mall and the toy store would indicate a different view. People were buying big items. Very few people came out of the stores empty-handed. This leads one to believe it is the 47% hurting. Those that Mr. Romney does not consider to be important. By putting a scare into people he hopes to win the election. Meanwhile, those who really do need our support may not receive it.

    The economy is moving upward, slowly but still upward. The large infusion of donations into the Republican PACS is indicative that the 1% is doing just fine. They seem to have a good deal of disposable income. There is little chance that there incomes will go down because they have investments all over the world. THeir companies are earning big profits because they have moved their manufacturing plants to China and other overseas venues. The American workers received pink slips. We really should be demonstrating our displeasure and letting these executives know what we think. Can we have a campaign to buy American products for a month?

    November 4, 2012 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  5. jonaty

    Go ahead and believe this liberal poll, then be shocked when Romney wins by at least 5 points.

    November 4, 2012 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  6. apstar

    Obama inherited a $12 trillion debt and unlike most politicians, is willing to say that this is not something that can be fixed overnight. Things are looking up. He's concerned about the average citizen, including the "47%". The U.S. is the only major western democracy without a comprehensive national health plan - since those without health insurance end up in many cases being funded by the Feds, it's ludicrous that there isn't a better system of coverage in the first place. Cast your vote for someone who cares about the average citizen and can related to him/her.

    November 4, 2012 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  7. vic , nashville ,tn

    We are watching two states Virginia and North Carolina very close
    IF Obama win these two states or lose these states less than 2 Points, GOP can’t send his candidate to White House in future
    G.W.Bush , Dick Cheney , Palin ,Romney and FOX news destroyed the republican party

    November 4, 2012 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  8. Name Independent Thinker

    I could be wrong, but I think the youth and latino vote has been underestimated. These groups usually do not have a landline, they use cell phones, so they cannot be polled in the usual way. If these two groups come out in force, it will be no contest.

    November 4, 2012 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  9. queenbee

    wednesday, Nov 7, 2012 can't come soon enough. the danger of another Obama win is that it will give Democrats the false impression that many Americans actually support unleashed illegal immigration concessions and a health care reform that does NOTHING to ensure the tax payer is not gouged by insurance companies and abandoned by private insurers and employers–it also allows Obama the false impression that his wishy washy, failed to take a stand and fight for it leadership is the way to go.

    A win by the GOP is actually worse. It allows them to believe that tantrum throwing, obstructionism and racist taunts is how to win a race or how to force a public to change who they elect. I don't like Obama but as a mother of 5, I can tell you that electing anyone who has behaved as badly as the republicans have since 2008 is a GUARANTEE that every time they do not win, they will throw a hissy fit, abandon the country, hound the President and have a do nothing in Congress UNLESS we put them back in charge.

    Giviing into to childish taunts and rants is NEVER a good idea and it is not a good idea now. Had the Republicans actually worked with the President and kept their minions in line, then with the way Obama and the dems have behaved, the gop would be a shoo in–but they showed their butt for 4 years. To vote for any group who throws tantrums is to underline in their mind that tantrum throwing is the way to go–I don't want a country run like that or run by a group of spoiled brats who don't know how to cooperate and work together unless they get to be in charge.

    Bad choices all around–but of the two, the GOP simply turns my stomach. (I am an Independent)

    November 4, 2012 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  10. Paul

    I am not voting for Obama because I want to open a Swiss Bank Account & a Cayman Island Account and he can't help me with that.

    November 4, 2012 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  11. fernace

    Ok, democrats, republicans & independents who support the President w/words, need to get out & do it w/deeds! Vote! Especially those in the so called "battleground" states! It depends on if we want a corporate/1% nation, or a democratic/for us all nation! I want to go Forward to the Future w/Obama on Tuesday! Any1 else??

    November 4, 2012 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  12. Anthony in California

    I wasn't polled. And im voting for Obama. virtual tie broken.
    I also believe theres something screwy going on with the polling. No way is half this country either gullible enough or in such denial to vote for Mitt Romney. Then again, it could just be racism or retardism on behalf of the Red States.

    November 4, 2012 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  13. Mary

    How is this race close????

    The media is putting a spin on this race just to have something to talk about. Forget the popular vote, what does the electoral vote look like?

    Oh, that's right! Obama has consistently lead in the electoral vote and is leading in 8 out of 10 swing states. Plus, he has a superior ground game in the states that count like Ohio.

    This race is by no means close. Even the folks on Intrade willing to put their money where their mouth is vote overwhelmingly in favor of the President winning.

    November 4, 2012 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  14. Peter

    Looks like two Liberal New York news papers The Daily News and Newsday will both be endorcing Gov Mitt Romney ,seems like there is a REP. lead to white house.

    November 4, 2012 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  15. CTEd

    News outlets are going to say it's tied no matter what. They NEED election night viewers becuase they are going all in 24/7 on the election. The election is not a TV event. You'll find out the next day, who cares, they guy doesn't take office for three months, knowing 1 day later is not a tragedy.

    Nobody should watch electin coverage. Nobody. Then they might get some sanity back.

    November 4, 2012 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  16. Joe citizen abroad

    No national news organization is going to say anything other than "it's close." Too many advertising dollars at stake to declare a winner at this point. Networks need the whole country watching the election returns so they can continue to charge top dollar for advertising. The truth: Obama has it locked up, mathematically.

    November 4, 2012 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  17. Simmonich

    Why don't we address a MD as Mr.xx, or do we?
    However the person who holds the highest office in the nation/the free world can't even
    Be given the respect he has worked for..

    November 4, 2012 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  18. Simmonich

    Even past president clinton, is still being address as president clinton, and even president bush(son) is
    given his title. But nobody want to say "president Obama", and the media had a lot to contribute to the down fall..

    November 4, 2012 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  19. James Planter

    From the sound of CNN, Obama has it in the bag...so why sould I bother to wait in long lines when I know he will win.

    I tried to early vote but the lines were very long. Me thinks my FL vote dont matter anymore...

    Staying home and smoking some good chronic watching the outcome

    November 4, 2012 11:19 am at 11:19 am |
  20. Anonymous

    Romney needs everyone that is praying for a better future to vote. Every vote counts. Your vote counts. Make your voice heard and vote!

    November 4, 2012 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  21. Steve

    Nate Silver predicts Obama at 81% chance of winning. Statistically speaking, Obama would win 4/5 times. While that in no way guarantees an Obama win, the media is making it sound much more closer to get people to tune in for ratings.

    November 4, 2012 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  22. Mark

    People need to to a refresher on statistics. Since most polls are based on likely voters. As people do early voting they are no longer polled. Since the majority of early voters are Dems the pool of people to poll becomes skewed towards the Reps. So natually the polls appear to tighten up. I suggest reality is still closer to what the polls were in battle ground states prior to the start of early voting. So sorry jonaty. Not even close to a 5 point Romney win. Obama by 3-6 points. His electoral total will be in the high 300 teens to low 300 twenty's.

    November 4, 2012 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  23. ricardo1968

    I can't believe the race is close. I have never seen in my lifetime such an empty, dishonest campaign as Romney/Ryan. Are we really that stupid? These poll numbers are scary. Our education system must be failing worse than we can imagine.

    November 4, 2012 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  24. bob

    ROMNEY / RYAN 2012...... America returns to prosperity

    Obama??? Give me a break...playtime is over.

    November 4, 2012 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  25. u.s1000

    race issue should not come in the way to select a candidate. american peoples' rationalism, unity, equal status and equal opportunities for all genders and senior citizens should play primary part in selecting our leader. all these reasons stated above can only economic prosperity, securirty and peace in u.s and around the world, which is needed for speedy economic recovery of u.s. Obama's victory will help us to achieve our goals.

    November 4, 2012 11:31 am at 11:31 am |
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