National polls all tied up
November 5th, 2012
03:22 PM ET
2 years ago

National polls all tied up

Washington (CNN) – The day before the presidential election, an average of the eight national polls released Sunday and Monday indicates the race for the White House is all knotted up.

A CNN Poll of Polls compiled and released Monday afternoon indicates President Barack Obama at 49% and Republican nominee Mitt Romney at 48% among likely voters nationwide.

Watch CNN's comprehensive coverage of Election Day starting at 6 p.m. ET Tuesday on CNN TV and follow online at CNN.com or via CNN's apps for iPhone, iPad and Android. For up-to-the-minute results, go to cnn.com/results and for our real-time Election Day live blog, check out cnn.com/conversation. Need other reasons to watch Election Day coverage on CNN's platforms? Click here for our list.

The CNN Poll of Polls is an average of eight live operator, non-partisan, national polls of likely voters conducted over the past week: CNN/ORC (Nov. 2-4); Gallup Daily Tracking (Nov. 1-4); NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Nov. 1-3); American Research Group (Nov. 2-4); Monmouth University (Nov. 1-4); ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll (Oct. 31-Nov. 3); Politico/George Washington Univ. (Oct. 29-Nov. 1); and Pew Research Center (Oct. 31-Nov. 3).

Since the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of multiple surveys, it does not have a sampling error. But the president's one point margin is well within the sampling errors of the surveys averaged into the poll of polls.

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Filed under: 2012 • CNN Poll of polls • Polls
soundoff (19 Responses)
  1. REGinAZ

    Is America experiencing a moral and ethical decline much like the Roman Empire did after their rise to greatness? We elect politicians who are grossly dishonest just because they are aggressive and allude that they’ll provide “more”. We applaud financial success no matter how it is achieved and ignore quality without it. We follow clergy who excite with hype created over being “holier than thou” when all religious doctrines teach humility is God’s true way. We rationalize that we individually deserve “more” based on others having it and seek to attain it however we can. We have political movements shouting and demonstrating with their “more for me for nothing” mentality. We have a political party that just gives the 99% subterfuge as they self-servingly concentrate on catering to the 1% for their support. We have activists who are on national media constantly ranting and raving about how justified it is for the few to always be gaining “more” and rationalize that those needing are just looking for a handout. We have media, owned by billionaires and staffed by millionaires, who work to influence, at the minimum subtly, the public’s thinking, thereby failing their responsibility and the public’s trust. We have politicians who want to even cut benefits for children in order to give “more” to the very wealthy. ...

    ... We have politicians, with strong support from the “money”, who manipulate public opinion with deceptions aimed to excite emotions and appeal to selfish interests. They fault “big government”, which didn’t cause our problems, to distract from and condone the aggressive exploitation by the few, which does constantly cause our problems. We rationalize that our religious beliefs should dominate and control yet we fault countries who have followed those same paths. We have business, community and government leaders who demonstrate self-aggrandizing without ever conscientiously serving more than their own interests. We see many who take pride in their financial gains, with pride in real quality disappearing. We see the 1% constantly pushing for “more”, without concern for the 99% and then they propagandize that the 99% are at fault for needing more. On and on with the measurement and the motivation always being for material success, without any guilt or concern for neglecting compassion or for being dishonest. No, this isn’t true of everyone but there is little evidence of it not being tolerated by everyone. Where is the honesty, the conscience, the compassion, the humility and the striving for personal quality that made America great? Is America in a drastic moral decline – I don’t know, but maybe you can tell by your own reaction to this and by how you vote.

    November 5, 2012 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  2. UBS, WILLARD & 4000+ AMERICAN AMNESTY DEAL

    Enough with the polls already CNN. All of them are within the margin of error. It must be a slow news day. How about a story on Iran cooperating with IAEA regarding their halting of 20% of uranium enrichment.

    November 5, 2012 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  3. Gurgyl

    Are you fox news????? What the heck you are talking about??? Huffingtonpost, nytimes, 538 blog all say Obama... Do not be a sold out thug by GOP thugs. Enough mess in USA with GOP thugs. Obama12.

    November 5, 2012 03:30 pm at 3:30 pm |
  4. Silence DoGood

    The media wants an exciting close race so everyone is glued to the media news-feed trough.

    But a national poll is not reflective of how we elect the president. We use the Electoral College. This is irresponsible journalism.

    "Obama is leading in polls that matter like likely voters in states that will decide the election. He will probably win."
    That is the headline you will not see because it makes the media less important and we cannot have that.

    November 5, 2012 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  5. Ind.

    The left is clearly and obviously delusional.

    ROMNEY / RYAN 2012
    Because there really isn't any other choice.

    November 5, 2012 03:35 pm at 3:35 pm |
  6. Malory Archer

    The right is clearly and obviously delusional.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
    Because there really isn't any other choice.

    November 5, 2012 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  7. Reggiedw

    CNN will you stop trying to make it look like Obama is ahead of Romney. This reporting will not make anybody change their mind in voting against Romney. CNN always does a bias polling by using more democrats than republicans..........dishonest!!!!!!!!!! Romney/Ryan in 2012!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 5, 2012 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  8. BetterDaysAhead

    ROMNEY/RYAN 2012! Dont punish success, aspire to achieve it!

    November 5, 2012 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  9. bill

    When all is said and done Obama will win this thing by high double digits. There is no way half of America will vote for a crook like Mitt and we all saw (and are still living in) the terrible situation created by the last GOP president. I even doubt we'll see a viable GOP candidate in 2016. When the Democrats build up another public surplus maybe then another GOP president can come in and blow it all again.

    November 5, 2012 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  10. TheVoice2

    Tomorrow we will see if the polls were right!! If I was a neo-con, GOP, teabagger. I'd be very worried.

    November 5, 2012 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  11. iIsa

    CNN = FOX news What is their problem. Tied up, 1% up, Tied up,Tied up, Tied up. Please CNN stop bias.

    November 5, 2012 03:46 pm at 3:46 pm |
  12. cali girl

    For all the voters in places like Florida, Ohio and others that are experiencing long lines. You are the true American heroes, keep up the fight so that no one takes away your right to vote. Do not be intimidated, make sure you have all the proper papers and id's necessary, and vote with your head held high.

    November 5, 2012 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  13. Anonymous

    do we really want to go back to bush ways

    November 5, 2012 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  14. truth hurts

    Gurgyl
    Are you fox news????? What the heck you are talking about??? Huffingtonpost, nytimes, 538 blog all say Obama... Do not be a sold out thug by GOP thugs. Enough mess in USA with GOP thugs. Obama12.
    ===========================================================================================
    It is just SO hilarious to see the leftist koolaide drinkers, that line up at the usual leftist koolaide stands like these sites, get very upset when a touch of reality intrudes on their daily dose of delusion. I fear for their mental well being when the reality of a Romney presidency swats them upside the head on Wednesday. All psychiatric units at all hospitals around the country need to be placed at the highest state of readiness. Hurricane Reality is about to sweep across the USA and the lefties are ill prepared, as usual.

    November 5, 2012 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  15. Randy, San Francisco

    The national poll is meaningless. The election boils down to 8 or 9 battleground swing states. Time to look at getting rid of the electoral college.

    November 5, 2012 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  16. Francisco

    The close race is not as close as people think. Obama is clearly ahead. And Obama will clearly win. Go to Intrade.com where people bet MONEY, on who will win the election and almost 70% is choosing Obama, while less than 40% is choosing Romney.. This is a 2-1 lead. No one bets money to lose. All the polls shows Obama ahead now. And Obama will win the electoral AND the popular vote. Stop acting like its going to be a 269 269 electoral tie, or as if Romney will win popular vote and Obama will win electoral or something.. Thats not the case. Obama is the clear winner and let's just sleep well tonight. Thank you America for choosing NOT to vote for mitt.

    November 5, 2012 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  17. Buckeye

    CNN doing their civic duty to not make the GOP any more depressed than they will be by the time tomorrow night rolls around. It wont be close from an Electoral College standpoint: Obama will win with well over 300, and win the popular vote by roughly 4%. All the horse race spin does is help make sure that people go out to make sure there is no Bush third term.

    November 5, 2012 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  18. Woman In California

    @ truth hurts

    You're out of control today (and I understand you're fearful), so I'll just ignore you today-but tomorrow, is a different story.

    November 5, 2012 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  19. GI Joe

    To vote for Lying Romney and Lying Ryan is absolute insanity.

    Obama/Bien

    November 5, 2012 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |