Poll: New Hampshire a tight sprint to the finish line
November 5th, 2012
10:03 AM ET
2 years ago

Poll: New Hampshire a tight sprint to the finish line

(CNN) – The race in New Hampshire, the state where Mitt Romney kicked off his presidential campaign and will hold his final event Monday night, continues to be a close contest between the GOP nominee and President Barack Obama.

A new poll released Monday indicates the incumbent president has a slender margin in the state over Romney, who once served as the governor of neighboring Massachusetts.

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Fifty-percent of likely voters say they support Obama, while 45% say they back Romney, according to the WMUR-University of New Hampshire poll. Four percent are undecided, and one percent say they prefer another candidate.

When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean towards, Obama's advantage narrows to three points over Romney, 51%-48%. One percent say they would choose a different candidate. The three-point margin falls within the survey's sampling error.

Among independents, Romney leads Obama 50%-36%, but the president leads among women 58%-40%. Also of note, 10% of those who voted for Obama in 2008 are now picking the GOP presidential ticket, while four percent of those who chose Sen. John McCain four years ago are now supporting the president.

The new poll shows a narrower gap between the two candidates than a separate WMUR poll released last week, which showed Romney and Obama tied at 48%. Other recent polls have indicated the president holds a slim margin over his opponent, while an American Research Group survey released late last month showed Romney ahead by two percentage points.

Both campaigns have been visiting the state, which has four electoral votes, in the final days before the election. Obama held an event in Concord on Sunday, while Romney ends his campaign in Manchester Monday night.

Obama carried New Hampshire in 2008 by nearly 10% over Sen. John McCain.

For the survey, the University of New Hampshire interviewed 789 likely voters by telephone from November 1 through November 4. The sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • New Hampshire • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (14 Responses)
  1. Dar

    The only poll's that matter now are the ones that YOU the VOTER decide in the booth.
    Good Luck everyone and get out and vote for God's sake

    November 5, 2012 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  2. Critical Thinking

    It's only tight for CNN, I wish they would try and not be so bias..geez

    The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters, taken the night after the final presidential debate, finds Romney earning 50% support, while President Obama has 48% of the vote.

    November 5, 2012 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  3. bill pike

    as a vet i want all vets to find out what our navy seals think of obama about "when the navy seals called for obams's help in Libya he wasn't there". If you are a vet is this the person you want in the white house??? When the navy seals killed bin laden–although obama says he did--the video was on tv the next day but when he refused to send troops to help our navy seals when they were under attack he refused-then covered it up. We have to IMPEACH obama not praise him for this act alone.

    November 5, 2012 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  4. UBS, WILLARD & 4000+ AMERICAN AMNESTY DEAL

    It's ironic that Willard is losing in all the states he owns a home.

    November 5, 2012 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  5. Fred Opondo

    I wish Barack Obama all the best. I am confident he will win the election 2-morrow.

    November 5, 2012 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  6. Scott E Downer jr (@sedj4wd)

    My Thoughts.. 53 years old and really never went to school. So any one given me some info is appreciated as long as there right with facts.. But Me brought up 2 kids with out entitlements given to me and they was brought up knowing they would have to pull there own weight. and when this President gives things away w/o teaching or labor for what they receive from Government hands out only teaches our kids and then there kids and so on and on that people start thinking Government owes them when in fact there taking the years that me put in for selfishness for there on greed and lazy ass.& this President is not only a Coward but a Socialist to the weak word of a communist. Again I am not Smart but still a patriot and tuff love builds respect you cant buy respect. and in respect of the 4 Americans that was Murdered under Obama. Like Mr.Woods said I would rather die a Hero then live the Life of a Coward.
    one man has all ready lead America for 4 years of deception & mismanagement of funds. Has voiced his views on entitlements and not independence. when people are poisoned with the fact That Government will bail them out then a chain reaction will happen and there kids turn there kids to entitlements. Education & tuff Love feed the knowledge how one builds a future..when a leader has no balance and can not build the protection to his people and Cuts the fundamentalism of his Military by 1.3 trillion Dollars and American"s Die as he Sleeps has no respect in my Vote to lead. Romney is my vote because only 2 Men are given to choose from and one all ready went down the wrong path.

    November 5, 2012 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  7. Independent

    In Nevada, a female Democrat tried to get away with voting twice in the same day at separate locations. She was caught and hopefully arrested. This type of voter fraud never used to exist. It also proves the decline of one political party.

    Romney/Ryan 2012.

    November 5, 2012 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
  8. truth hurts

    Obama will lose NH. The people of NH are not stupid enough to make the same mistake twice. They know incompetence when they see it.

    November 5, 2012 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  9. nelson origa

    Romney can even lead in states he lived in and was a governor. not even his neighbor is happy with him.

    November 5, 2012 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  10. Dave Jaipersaud

    Romney and the Republican idea of not jeopardizing the future for our kids, is to defund the things that will make the future of our kids more stable and sustainable. They want to gut education assistance, they want to gut research and development, they want to borrow money from China to give tax cut to the rich now and saddling our kids with paying that money back to China. So if Romney and the Republicans are so concerned about the future of our kids, why are they proposing a plan that will decimate the ability of our kids to succeed in the future. In my view this is simply immoral, for us to continue to rack up larger and larger debts (borrowing from China to give tax breaks to folks like Romney) and pass them on to our kids, knowing full well that we'll all be dead and gone before it's paid off. It makes no sense at all. So Romney, spare me the hypocritical stupidity.

    It doesn’t matter how Romney/Ryan and the Republican twist, turn, lie and cheat, their policies are still the exact same Republican policies from 1 month, 1 year or 10 years ago. Remember the Great Recession? Here is what Romney/Ryan and the Republicans will do to Middle-Class and less fortunate Americans. Life as we know it will become even harder under a Republican Administration.

    November 5, 2012 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  11. Dave Jaipersaud

    This is how Romney and the Republican plan to empower women. Romney wants to dictate to a woman what is best for her. He wants to stuff government down women’s throats and other body parts. The Republican Party believes certain types of rape are legitimate and the victims should have no reprieve if they get pregnant and that government should dictate to the victims what they can do to their bodies. This position is enshrined in the Republican Party’s’ platform, which Romney endorsed. Romney/Ryan and the Republican Party supported legislation that ban abortion that made no exception to what Akin called “LEGITIMATE RAPE”. In fact Ryan co-sponsored a bill with Akin to ban all such “LEGITIMATE RAPE” abortions co-sponsored legislation that would grant NO reprieve to women who were raped and over 200 House and Senate Republicans voted for it. How can you ever thrust these hypocrites. If this is Romney and the Republicans way of empowering women then imagine how terrible life would be for women under a Romney and Republican Administration.

    This is certainly a more radical Republican position than the previous Republican Administration. This is the Republican Party showing their true colors. If they should ever gain control of the Presidency, House and Senate, Americans should BEWARE.

    So my fellow humans, in America we have one party that believes certain types of rape is legitimate and the victim should have no reprieve if they get pregnant and that government should dictate to the victims what they can do to their bodies, while the other party believes that all forms of rape is illegal, morally wrong, and the victim should have a reprieve if they get pregnant and that government should not dictate to the victims what they can do to their bodies.
    People! You have a choice.

    November 5, 2012 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  12. Dave Jaipersaud

    Romney is the most dishonest person ever to run for President. Romney has no morals and is a man with no core. He cheated many decent folks out of their retirement and their jobs in order to stuff his pocket while at Bain. He will lie, cheat, steal and change his position in a heartbeat to sound reasonable and con people to vote for him and then he will change back to the most unreasonable person that he truly is. DON"T FALL FOR IT. He is the worst of the worst con artist. Romney and the Republicans would let the States fend for themselves even if they are hit by a natural disaster. The Republican agenda is everyone is for themselves and to hell with everyone else. That is not the American way and we MUST not fall for what the Republicans are selling. Remember the last time we bought what they were selling? It was not that long ago. And remember what happened? We almost lost everything. We MUST never forget. DO NOT BUY WHAT THEY ARE SELLING.

    Romney has changed is position on almost everything that he had a position on. Have you forgotten how many times he changed his positions on taxes, abortion, assault weapons, equal pay for women, regulations, immigration, debt, spending, role of government, jobs, foreign policy. One day he supports something and the next day he is opposed to that same something. This shows that the man has no ethics, no integrity, no sense of honesty. Are these the qualities we should aspire too? I think not

    November 5, 2012 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  13. Embarrased by Cheap Romney Tactics

    Romney never explained how he was going to cut everyone's taxes and balance the budget. He never disclosed his tax returns. He never explained why he brutally assaulted a classmate in private school. He never explained how discounting 110,000,000 Americans qualified him to be President.

    Vote Obama. He cares for ALL Americans, even the 1%! Proud to have his back. Proud to have him back.

    November 5, 2012 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  14. This statement doesn't seem mathematically possible

    "The new poll shows a narrower gap between the two candidates than a separate WMUR poll released last week, which showed Romney and Obama tied at 48%."

    November 5, 2012 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |