Poll of Polls: Margin is thin in New Hampshire, Iowa
November 5th, 2012
02:52 PM ET
1 year ago

Poll of Polls: Margin is thin in New Hampshire, Iowa

(CNN) – New polls released Monday indicate the presidential race is neck and neck in two battleground states.

A CNN Poll of Polls show President Barack Obama has a narrow two-point edge over Mitt Romney in New Hampshire, 50%-48%, and a three-point edge over his Republican challenger in Iowa, 48%-45%.

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In New Hampshire, the Poll of Polls is an average of three polls of likely voters in the Granite State conducted in the past week: American Research Group (Nov. 2-4); WMUR/University of New Hampshire (Nov. 1-4); and NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist (Oct. 28-29). The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

The latest survey was released by American Research Group on Monday and showed Obama and Romney tied at 49%. Earlier Monday, a separate survey indicated the president was up by three points, 51% to 48%, over his Republican challenger.

With four electoral votes, New Hampshire has been a contested battleground throughout the presidential race. Romney launched his White House bid in the state in 2011 and will hold a rally there Monday night, on the eve of the election. Obama traveled to the state Sunday.

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In Iowa, The CNN Poll of Polls is an average of three Iowa polls of likely voters conducted in the past week: American Research Group (Nov. 2-4); Des Moines Register (Oct. 30-Nov. 2); and NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist (Oct. 28-29). The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

The latest survey, from American Research Group, was released Monday and showed Romney with a one point edge over Obama, 49%-48%. The Des Moines Register poll on Saturday, however, indicated the president had a 47%-42% advantage.

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With six electoral votes, the state has long been considered a toss-up and coveted territory by both campaigns. Obama holds his final campaign rally Monday night in Iowa, a state he credits with launching him on a path to winning the Democratic nomination in 2008. GOP vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan will also be in Iowa Monday.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • CNN Poll of polls • Iowa • New Hampshire • Pennsylvania • Polls
soundoff (28 Responses)
  1. Francisco

    If Romney wins, it is because Obama lost.

    If Obama wins, it is because theres something wrong with the voting machines...

    GIVE IT A BREAK... Obama will win because thats where all the polls are leaning. Go to Intrade.com where people are betting money on the election and you will see that 2 to 1 are choosing Barack Obama over Willard Romney. Let's just stop eluding ourselves and lets rationalize on who has the best case scenario of winning. And you know it's Obama.. Specially because of Ohio... Romney can lose the election by still winning Ohio, but Romney cannot win the election by losing Ohio. And Romney is NOT gonna WIN Ohio.

    November 5, 2012 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  2. eddie chen

    obama wins around 28Θ electoral college votes.

    November 5, 2012 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  3. ssugiharto

    Before you vote remember the facts: Dow Jones Index: 7552 (20 Nov.08) and 13345 (22 Oct. 12), GM is alive, and Osama Bin Laden is dead.

    November 5, 2012 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
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