Poll: Possible GOP '16 contender gets high marks in home state
November 15th, 2012
10:00 AM ET
1 year ago

Poll: Possible GOP '16 contender gets high marks in home state

(CNN) - These are the kind of numbers any politician would like.

Fifty-three percent of Virginia voters approve of the job Republican Gov. Bob McDonnell is doing in office, with just 26% giving him a thumbs down, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.

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The survey comes as McDonnell closes in on his final year as Virginia governor and may start considering a possible bid for the 2016 GOP presidential nomination.

The poll, released Thursday, indicates that McDonnell scores well among people who normally don't give Republican politicians rave reviews. He gets a 48%-26% approval rating among women, a 41%-32% approval among black voters, and a 48%-24% thumbs up from voters age 18-34. Democrats, as expected, comprise the only group that disapproves of McDonnell–but only by a narrow 43%-34% margin.

"As Gov. Bob McDonnell enters his final year in office, he remains one of the nation's more popular chief state executives," says Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"He is the only Republican office-holder in the seven states surveyed by Quinnipiac University who get positive ratings from women, almost 2-1 in this case, and a plus score from black voters. A 2-1 approval rating among young voters doesn't hurt. Are national GOP leaders paying attention here?" adds Brown.

In Virginia, governors cannot run for consecutive terms, thus McDonnell is prevented from making a bid for re-election next year. This year he was a leading surrogate for Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, and was considered to be in the mix for a while as a possible running mate for Romney. McDonnell is among a number of Republicans who may have designs on making a bid for the White House in 2016.

Meanwhile a new Quinnipiac poll in Pennsylvania, also released Thursday, indicates that 40% of Keystone State voters approve of the job Republican Gov. Tom Corbett is doing in office, with 38% saying they disapprove.

"With positive marks for his handling of Hurricane Sandy, Gov. Tom Corbett moves from a negative job approval to a break-even," says Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Corbett is up for re-election in 2014.

The Quinnipiac University poll in Pennsylvania was conducted Nov. 9-13, with 1,489 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University poll in Virginia was conducted Nov. 8-12, with 1,469 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PsteinhauserCNN


Filed under: 2016 • Bob McDonnell • Pennsylvania • Tom Corbett • Virginia
soundoff (24 Responses)
  1. Wire Palladin, S.F.

    I think invasive procedures will play well in 2016, so go for it goppers.

    November 15, 2012 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  2. Wake up People!

    Why are we even discussing 2016 right now? Whether Dem or GOP, this is crazy. We just went through a very grueling time and I for one need a break from reading about and seeing campaign ads.

    Come on people, give us a break.

    November 15, 2012 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  3. Anonymous

    "As Gov. Bob McDonnell enters his final year in office, he remains one of the nation's more popular chief state executives,"

    I say go for it, McDonnell. It's never to soon to put the GOP clown car back into over-drive.

    November 15, 2012 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  4. GEN. BETRAYUS..WHOOPS....PETREUS

    Here we go again with the polls. As an African-American Virginia resident, I think Gov. Ultrasound has done a mediocre job as governor. The recession/depression didn't hit Virginia hard as it did to majority of the country mainly because of all the defense jobs here. I certainly wouldn't want McDonnell in the Oval Office. This is the same guy who wants to celebrate a Confederate Day. Really!?! This poll more than likely was taken in NOVA and not in Hampton Roads where majority of African-Americans live.

    November 15, 2012 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  5. FactCheck

    Please please run him as your GOP candidate in 2016. He makes Mourdock and Akin look like liberals. Be sure to bring all your invasive ultrasound equipment with you.

    November 15, 2012 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  6. Scott

    I live in Virginia, our Gov. is doing good things for the Commonwealth, he cares about the people, we have a budget surplus. He is hands down better then Kane was as Gov. People I talk to all say the same thing, they wish he could run for another term. If he would run for President he would have my support.

    November 15, 2012 10:21 am at 10:21 am |
  7. Scott

    FactCheck

    Please please run him as your GOP candidate in 2016. He makes Mourdock and Akin look like liberals. Be sure to bring all your invasive ultrasound equipment with you.
    __________________________________________
    His proposal was good, ultra sound equipment is not invasive. What is wrong with letting the person see a picture of their child they are carrying, it helps them make a better informed decision. The more info you have the better it is. FactCheck you sound like a very uncaring person, shame on you.

    November 15, 2012 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  8. Ray E. (Georgia)

    Humm,
    After the screw job the Liberal's have done to the country now nearing 80 years who will want the job? People aren't too bright out there. Good luck.

    November 15, 2012 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  9. Scott

    GEN. BETRAYUS..WHOOPS....PETREUS

    Here we go again with the polls. As an African-American Virginia resident, I think Gov. Ultrasound has done a mediocre job as governor. The recession/depression didn't hit Virginia hard as it did to majority of the country mainly because of all the defense jobs here. I certainly wouldn't want McDonnell in the Oval Office. This is the same guy who wants to celebrate a Confederate Day. Really!?! This poll more than likely was taken in NOVA and not in Hampton Roads where majority of African-Americans live.

    For your info i live in Hampton Roads, Norfolk, retired Navy and I think the Gov is doing a fine job. For your infomation I am African- American, so dont go saying that Hampton Roads does not like him. Where are you from the Liberal North part of the state.

    November 15, 2012 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  10. joan

    Where are you getting these numbers, from Karl Rove? 48% of Virginia women approve of trans vaginal ultra sounds?, oh I forgot not transvaginal, just ultra sounds!!! Give me a break....

    November 15, 2012 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  11. joe

    lets stick with the fisical cliff right now . The repubs will try and package a moderate nominee in 2016 and then it will be back to their old adjenda. Listen to the talk they still don't get it. Repos in congress are to busy right now showing indignation over petraus and rice. All this stupid posturing to take our minds off the fisical cliff. We need to keep voting these clowns out not in. Forward. Romney is a whiney baby who has shown his real feelings toward the 47% . We told you so.

    November 15, 2012 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  12. NameFrank

    Is that Governor ultrasound ? Huh?

    November 15, 2012 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  13. dave

    Gen Petraus in 2016, his divorce should be final by then

    November 15, 2012 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  14. The Real Tom Paine

    Scott, a trans-v aginal ultrasound is an invasive procedure, which is why he backed off the bill. For someone who claims to live in teh state, you seem remarkably uninformed.

    November 15, 2012 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  15. Randy, San Francisco

    The possible GOP/Tea Party 2016 contenders may appear attractive but they are severly handicapped with conservative social and fiscal ideologies that won't sell to a growing number of minority voters. A nearly all white audience in the 2016 GOP/Tea Party Presidential Convention will be indicative of the problem for its eventual nominee.

    November 15, 2012 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  16. WiredWeirdinSF

    Looks like the reality of the lies the most corrupt, inept, incompetent president told to get reelected are coming home to roost, stock market diving, increase unemployment, increasing inflation and increased world tension and of course general depair in this country and around the world (unless you are on drugs, a welfare fraud, or a member of a corrupt union). What can you say, the lies repeated as truths by the liberally biased media won, at least for the short term.

    November 15, 2012 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  17. Ready

    Hispanics can go either way in an election, generally they are religious minded and hard workers, not the typical democrate profile. Marco Rubio would be a good choice in 2016.

    November 15, 2012 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  18. MENTALLECT

    Virginia, especially, northern Virginia is rife with military, defense, and federal government employees who lifted the economy. Regardless of who is governor, the states economy will be strong. Virginia's economic condition isn't an indicator of presidential economic strength.

    November 15, 2012 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  19. Name

    CNN Just Stop The Stupidity

    November 15, 2012 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  20. Rick McDaniel

    He couldn't deliver the state for Romney......so he would likely be unable to win, himself.

    November 15, 2012 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  21. sayer

    Not a chance, ultrasound boy.

    November 15, 2012 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  22. ghostriter

    Oh weirdwire, why must you ramble on so? You guys haven't said jack about the stock market for years....ya know....since it doubled in Obama's 1st term. Are you really going back to that? And will you still be looking at the market as an indicator of where we are as a country if it bounces back?

    face it, you are the reason your team lost. And will continue to lose.

    November 15, 2012 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  23. Swiheezy

    Rand Paul beats them all

    November 15, 2012 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  24. trex

    .....wait..........This guy will NEVER get past the Ttards. He makes WAY TOO MUCH SENSE.

    November 15, 2012 11:23 am at 11:23 am |