CNN's GUT CHECK | for January 2, 2013 | 5 p.m.
– n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle
DEVELOPING: HOUSE TO VOTE ON SANDY AID FRIDAY… SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE JOHN BOEHNER AND MAJORITY LEADER ERIC CANTOR IN A WRITTEN STATEMENT: “Getting critical aid to the victims of Hurricane Sandy should be the first priority in the new Congress, and that was reaffirmed today with members of the New York and New Jersey delegations. The House will vote Friday to direct needed resources to the National Flood Insurance Program. And on January 15th, the first full legislative day of the 113th Congress, the House will consider the remaining supplemental request for the victims of Hurricane Sandy.”
CLIP & SAVE CALENDAR: THE NEXT CLIFFS:
Debt Ceiling: Late February/early March… Treasury has said that the fiscal cliff made it hard to predict how much time its “extraordinary measures” will buy. Usually it’s about two months. Expect more guidance from Treasury, especially as we get closer. The United States was on track to hit the $16.394 debt ceiling limit on Dec. 31 without the extraordinary measures.
Sequester/Budget Cuts: March 1… The fiscal cliff bill pushes back the sequester to Friday, March 1. Without a change, President Obama must order the sequester in place on that day.
Gov. Spending Bill: March 27… The current bill funding most of the federal government runs out Wednesday, March 27. Read the write from Rich Barbieri
CLINTON UPDATE: Clinton said to be speaking with staff, active … Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has been speaking with her staff – and is active on the phone from the hospital according to State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland.
What president made it known through the people who worked for him that he despised the "foolish and wicked practice of profane cursing and swearing”?
Wisconsin Republican Rep. Paul Ryan’s “yes” vote on the fiscal cliff legislation caught our eye.
Not just because his vote differed from Florida Republican Sen. Marco Rubio and other potential 2016 hopefuls, but because of what he told our own Dan Merica right afterward:
CNN: “Why did you vote ‘yes’?”
RYAN: "If you want a bill to pass, you should vote for it."
CNN: “Why did you want it to pass?
RYAN: "I am not afraid of anything. I think it needed to pass."
RYAN: "Because it needed to pass. I wanted to stop a big tax increase."
Fearless? Or politically dangerous? A great debate among conservatives, insofar that Erick Erickson, editor in chief of Red State and CNN contributor, decided to write a piece debunking the “cult of Paul Ryan:”
“Paul Ryan is a creature of Washington. He was a Hill staffer. He was a think tanker. Then he went back as a congressman. While in Congress, he voted for ‘No Child Left Behind,’ the Prescription Drug Benefit, TARP, caps on CEO pay, the AIG bill, the GM bailout, the debt ceiling, and now the fiscal cliff. In fact, he is one of less than a dozen Republican congressmen to have voted for every bailout to come before Congress.
“Paul Ryan is a great spokesman. He offset Romney’s deficiencies well. He has some great ideas on entitlement reform. But he is a better spokesman for conservatism than he is a conservative member of Congress.
In his long career in Congress, Paul Ryan has often been pitted between the conservative rank and file and Republican leaders. He has never not chosen to go with leadership. Paul Ryan is a great guy. But he’s not really a leader. He’s more a follower of leaders.”
Did you miss it?
Leading CNNPolitics: Republicans pledge to back Boehner, reversing earlier outrage
Certain Republican lawmakers said Wednesday they'll now vote for John Boehner's re-election as House Speaker, despite earlier offering uncertainty over whether they'd cast their vote for the top Republican. Rep. Michael Grimm, the freshman Republican who represents Staten Island, said he would "absolutely" vote for Boehner, hours after saying he would likely abstain when the House votes for the position on Thursday. – Deirdre Walsh and Ashley Killough
Leading Drudge: Played: $1 In Cuts For Every $41 In Taxes
According to the Congressional Budget Office, the last-minute fiscal cliff deal reached by congressional leaders and President Barack Obama cuts only $15 billion in spending while increasing tax revenues by $620 billion—a 41:1 ratio of tax increases to spending cuts. – Matthew Boyle for Breitbart.com
Leading HuffPo: 'Defeat And Surrender' – Deal Sparks Conservative Freak-Out
As the House prepared to vote Tuesday evening on a Senate-passed bill to avert the fiscal cliff, prominent conservatives - both on and off Capitol Hill - lashed out. They considered the bill to be lousy and called each other sellouts and bad negotiators.
Leading Politico: GOP anti-tax policy goes over the cliff
Read their lips: Republicans just voted for higher taxes. Granted, it was with a large helping of Democratic aid in the House, where Speaker John Boehner and his GOP leadership spent a turbulent New Year’s Day and night dealing with a near-insurrection by rank-and-file lawmakers. Many House Republicans loathed the bill passed in the wee hours of New Year’s morning by the Senate, which raised taxes on Americans earning over $400,000 a year and lacked corresponding spending cuts. – Alexander Burns and Maggie Haberman
Leading The New York Times: House G.O.P. Looks to a Round 2 Obama Hopes to Avoid
President Obama’s eyes narrowed late Tuesday as he looked into the cameras and warned Republicans that he had no intention of ever getting pulled into another negotiation over raising the nation’s borrowing limit.
The political bites of the day
– Christie: Boehner did not take my calls –
NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR CHRIS CHRISTIE IN A PRESS CONFERENCE ON THE HOUSE NOT VOTING ON SANDY RELIEF BILL: “In our hour of desperate need, we have been left waiting for help, six times longer than the victims of Katrina, with no end in sight. Americans are tired of the palace intrigue and political partisanship of this Congress, which places one upsmanship ahead of the lives of the citizens who sent these people to Washington, D.C. in the first place. New Jerseyians and New Yorkers are tired of being treated like second class citizens. New York deserves better than the selfishness we saw displayed last night. New Jersey deserves better than the duplicity we saw displayed last night. America deserves better than just another example of the government that has forgotten who they are there to serve and why. Sixty-six days and counting, shame on you, shame on Congress.”
On Speaker of the House John Boehner: “This was the speaker’s decision. His alone…. I called the Speaker four times last night after 11:20 and he did not take my calls.”
– After fiscal cliff, Republicans look forward to debt ceiling debate –
REPUBLICAN SENATE MINORITY LEADER MITCH MCCONNELL OF KENTUCKY IN A WRITTEN STATEMENT TO THE PRESS: “Now that the House and Senate have acted in a bipartisan way to prevent tax increases on 99 percent of the American people, Democrats now have the opportunity—and the responsibility—to join Republicans in a serious effort to reduce Washington’s out-of-control spending. That’s a debate the American people want. It’s the debate we’ll have next. And it’s a debate Republicans are ready for. … Washington’s credit card has reached its limit again, and the Senate majority must act on legislation early in February—rather than waiting until the last minute, abdicating responsibility and hoping someone else will step in once again to craft a last-minute solution for them. Once the Senate passes bipartisan legislation, we can conference with the House on a solution. But this time the entire Senate must have an opportunity to act.”
– Conservative publication: cliff deal is not that bad –
THE NATIONAL REVIEW ONLINE IN AN EDITORIAL: “Taxes are going up on almost everyone. The government is trying to extract additional revenue from the economy in the most economically damaging way possible, with tax-rate increases that undermine incentives to work, save, and invest. This is happening at a time when economic growth has been weak, and when many credible observers are concerned that its trend level has permanently declined. … Conservatives have every reason to be dismayed by this picture, and to seek to change it. It would be a mistake, however, to regard the fiscal-cliff deal that has just passed Congress as an important cause of these destructive trends. The deal actually makes federal budget policy slightly less disastrous.” LINK
What stopped us in 140 characters or less
Jamie Dupree (@jamiedupree)
257-167 is the final vote on the fiscal cliff; now the bill goes to President Obama
Erick Erickson (@EWErickson)
Dear members of the press, yes you can all refer to this as the Mitch McConnell Tax Hike. RedState approves.
Lisa Desjardins (@LisaDCNN)
I'M GUESSING: Reid is relishing chance to accuse House of doing nothing after months and months of hearing that flung at Senate.
Daniel Strauss (@DanielStrauss4)
Obama has been talking with Gov. Christie and Gov. Cuomo's staff on Sandy Relief aid, per WH pool report.
Jill Jackson (@jacksonjk)
Sandy scandal resolved. Boehner ok's vote on part of $60b package this Friday and rest January 15. NY and NJ delegations satisfied.
jennifer bendery (@jbendery)
Everyone happy with Boehner again. King, Grimm, other previously ruffled NJ/NY GOP members say "absolutely" voting Boehner for Spkr.
Domenico Montanaro (@DomenicoNBC)
Remember, by voting on Sandy funding Friday, Senate will have to vote again because Thursday begins the new Congress. Same as it ever was
Brian Stelter (@brianstelter)
Al Jazeera's going to position this as an AMERICAN news channel. 60% out of New York, 40% out of Qatar. http://nyti.ms/VvhxMe
Jared Keller (@jaredbkeller)
Mentions of 'gun control' on Twitter over the past four weeks. pic.twitter.com/m3OfvVc4
TRIVIA ANSWER from @DanMericaCNN
On August 3, 1776, General George Washington issued orders that profanity was a “foolish and wicked practice.” His generals had earlier reported to him that the practice was “growing into fashion.” LINK
“He hopes the officers will, by example, as well as influence, endeavour to check it, and that both they, and the men will reflect, that we can have little hopes of the blessing of Heaven on our Arms, if we insult it by our impiety, and folly,” read the report. “Added to this, it is a vice so mean and low, without any temptation, that every man of sense, and character, detests and despises it.” (Kudos to CNN’s Kevin Liptak for finding this gem)
Washington issued this order during the heat of the American Revolution – just a day before, most of the American colonies ratified the Declaration of Independence and just a week or so later, Washington’s troops were defeated in Brooklyn.
It is unclear of what Washington’s order meant to his troops, but a story released last night by Politico is proof that swearing is still alive and well among the powerful in America. A Democratic source familiar with an exchange during the fiscal cliff negotiations between Speaker of the House John Boehner and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid confirmed to CNN that Boehner told Reid to “Go f*** yourself.”
The same Democratic source said that Reid and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell were sitting on a sofa in the White House when Boehner breezed in and delivered the line to Reid. Boehner's comment came after Reid took to the Senate floor on Thursday and characterized the House speaker's handling of his chamber as a "dictatorship."
Washington would not be happy.
GUT CHECK WINNER’S CIRCLE
(why aren’t you in it)
Steve Liguori (@SteveL3877) is a clever one. “I cannot tell a lie, Washington did it,” Steve tweeted. Congrats.
Our inbox awaits: firstname.lastname@example.org
Anyone can sign up for Gut Check by emailing email@example.com
Tips or comments? Send them to Michelle; send complaints to Preston, because he is already in a bad mood. We also want to give a shout out to Dan Merica, who runs our Twitter account @gutCheckCNN and enriches this product every single day.