CNN's GUT CHECK for January 29, 2013
January 29th, 2013
05:00 PM ET
1 year ago

CNN's GUT CHECK for January 29, 2013

CNN's GUT CHECK | for January 29, 2013 | 5 p.m.
n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle

BREAKING: KERRY GETS CONFIRMED… The United States Senate has confirmed Sen. John Kerry to be the next Secretary of State by a 94-3 vote. The three Republican senators that voted against Kerry were Ted Cruz of Texas, John Cornyn of Texas and James Inhofe of Oklahoma. Kerry, who voted present, is the first white male to hold the post in 16 years.

DEVELOPING: OBAMA ON IMMIGRATION REFORM... Today at a campaign style event at Del Sol High School, Las Vegas, Nevada, President Barack Obama addressed an energetic crowd: “The reason I came here today is because of a challenge where the differences are dwindling; where a broad consensus is emerging; and where a call for action can now be heard coming from all across America. I’m here today because the time has come for common-sense, comprehensive immigration reform. The time is now. Now is the time. Now is the time. Now is the time.”

The Audience chanted in response, “Sí se puede!”

Gut Check Flashback (What became known as “La Promesa de Obama”) In a May 2008 interview with Univision’s Jorge Ramos, Obama promised to address immigration reform in his first year in office:
Ramos: Hillary Clinton promised to send a comprehensive immigration reform bill to Congress within her first 100 days. Can you match this promise?
Obama: Initially, it was her first term and then, I think, when I said I would do it in the first year, she upped the ante and said 100 days.
Ramos: Can you do it in 100 days?
Obama: I cannot guarantee that it is going to be in the first 100 days. But what I can guarantee is that we will have in the first year an immigration bill that I strongly support and that I’m promoting. And I want to move that forward as quickly as possible.
Ramos: In the first year?
Obama: In my first year in office.

TRAIL TRIVIA
(Answer below)
Who was the first president to ride in a car and what kind of car was it?

MARK (@PrestonCNN) & MICHELLE (@MJaconiCNN)
What caught our eye today in politics

One of the most fascinating political figures of our time leaves public service this week, and sat down with CNN on her way out.

It’s hard to imagine political life without Hillary Clinton, and you can put us in the camp that doesn’t think we will have long to put that imagination in process.

In an interview with CNN’s Jill Dougherty and Elise Labott, Clinton defends her legacy, keeps the door slightly open on 2016 and talks about her future work with her husband and daughter.

One of the most fascinating political figures of our time leaves public service this week, and sat down with CNN on her way out.

It’s hard to imagine political life without Hillary Clinton, and you can put us in the camp that doesn’t think we will have long to put that imagination in process.

In an interview with CNN’s Jill Dougherty and Elise Labott, Clinton defends her legacy, keeps the door slightly open on 2016 and hints at a future Clinton family alliance.

On her legacy...
Clinton: I think we have to go back to my beginning in January of 2009 to remember how poorly perceived the United States was, how badly damaged our reputation was, how our leadership was in question, how the economic crises had really shaken peoples confidence in our government, our economic system, our country. Part of my job in the very beginning was to get around the world and restore confidence in American leadership, sometimes against some pretty tough odds because there were a lot of people pointing fingers at us, particularly over the financial crises. But it was important to stabilize the situation, which I think we did.

On 2016...
Labott: In April you told Wolf Blitzer for 2016 that's not in my future, but you seem to be, I don't know, leaving some wiggle room in there. Have you decided? Clinton: No, I am so looking forward to Monday when I have no schedule, no office to go to, no responsibilities.

On working with Bill and Chelsea...
Dougherty: You’ve got President Clinton, International health. Chelsea, who studied international health. You are interested in women, development, health issues. What do you do? Is there a chance that you would all work together? Clinton: I hope so. I mean that is one of the things that we all have to work out. I am very proud of what my husband has done in the last 10 years. I mean, his foundation, his entrepreneurial philanthropy with the Clinton Global Initiative, his work on getting the price of AIDS drugs down so that more people can get treatment and so much else. And he has also focused on the health of children here in this country, through the healthy alliance. He is doing things that resonate with me, as well as with him. We are going to see how we can join our efforts together.

The full interview will air on CNN in the five and six o’clock hours of the Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer.

the LEDE
Did you miss it?

Leading CNNPolitics: Immigration Reform Is Making For Strange Bedfellows
AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka and Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Tom Donohue are working together to reach an understanding about a guest worker program. This was the topic of discussion at a recent breakfast between the two men, who usually find themselves on opposing sides of the negotiating table. – Jessica Yellin

Leading Drudge: Coming: Amnesty For 11 Million
President Barack Obama is expected to lay out his principles for immigration reform in a speech in Las Vegas today that will include a potentially quicker path to citizenship than the bipartisan plan a group of senators unveiled earlier this week. The president will offer some new details about the White House's immigration reform plan, which expands on a blueprint it released in 2011, a senior administration official told ABC News. But for now Obama will stop short of offering his own piece of legislation because of the progress made by the Senate “Gang of Eight.” – Jordan Fabian for ABC News

Leading HuffPo: 'Turned Upside Down': 'Wake-Up Call' Flips Gop Calculus
What a difference one brutally disappointing election can make. At this time last year, Republican U.S. presidential contenders were competing to act tough on immigration to win favor with the party's conservative base. Eventual nominee Mitt Romney led the way by advocating "self-deportation" – a plan that essentially called on the government to make life so miserable for the nation's 11 million undocumented immigrants, most of whom are Hispanics, that many would leave on their own. – John Whitesides for Reuters

Leading Politico: President Obama, John McCain, Marco Rubio begin immigration dance
John McCain and Marco Rubio weren’t going to follow President Barack Obama’s lead.
When the White House announced that Obama would open a campaign for immigration reform with an event in Las Vegas Tuesday, the Republican senators and their bipartisan working group decided to rush out their plan ahead of him on Monday, according to sources familiar with the effort. – Carrie Budoff Brown and Kate Nocera

Leading The New York Times: Bipartisan Plan Faces Resistance in G.O.P.
Now, as a new bipartisan group of eight senators, including Mr. Graham and Mr. McCain, try again — this time with President Obama as their partner in the White House — members of Congress will have to overcome deep-seated resistance like that expressed in the restaurant if they are to push legislation forward. Republicans are betting that opposition from Tea Party activists and the party’s most conservative supporters will have less impact because of the dire electoral consequences of continuing to take a hard line regarding immigrants. The senators on Monday released a blueprint for a new immigration policy that opens the door to possible citizenship ahead of a Tuesday speech on the subject by Mr. Obama in Las Vegas. – Michael Shear

TRAIL MOMENTS
The political bites of the day

– Rubio on Rush: a warning for Obama –
REPUBLICAN SEN. MARCO RUBIO OF FLORIDA IN AN INTERVIEW WITH RUSH LIMBAUGH: “He (Obama) can either decide he wants to be part of the solution or he can decide that he wants to be part of a political issue and try to trigger a bidding war. I am not going to be part of a bidding war to see who can come up with the most lenient path forward. … Right now the president has a decision to make. If today becomes the beginning of a bidding war where he tries to be even more liberal than members of his own party in the Senate then I clearly think we know what his intentions are and I don’t think that is going to be a good development.”

Gut Check Full Service… Before the interview, on the Senate floor, Rubio demands border security: “The border is not just an immigration issue. I am not in favor of a housekeeper or a landscaper coming across the border illegally. I am not in favor of that. But what keeps me up at night is a terrorist coming across the border. And a porous border in the north and the south leads to that possibility. So the border is as much about our sovereignty and our national security as it is about immigration.”

– Durbin on border security: ‘I don’t want this to… drag on forever’ –
DEMOCRATIC SEN. DICK DURBIN OF ILLINOIS IN AN INTERVIEW WITH CNN: “We have invested $18 million on border security. We're spending more on our borders than we're spending in combination with the Secret Service, FBI, and many law enforcement agencies. But what we're seeing is real results. Some parts of the border, we can use new technology, we can use the resources that are available. I think we can get an even better compliance. But I don't want this to go on and drag on forever.”

– After committee approves Kerry, colleagues sing his praises –
DEMOCRATIC SEN. JEANNE SHAHEEN OF NEW HAMPSHIRE: “Everybody knows where John Kerry is on foreign policy positions. He's done a great job as the chair of the Foreign Relations Committee. I think he will be a great secretary of state.”
REPUBLICAN SEN. BOB CORKER OF TENNESSEE: “I was actually very happy for him that he was able to speak in a wide ranging way, that he did. I view him as a realist and I do look forward to working with him.”
REPUBLICAN SEN. JOHN MCCAIN OF ARIZONA: “I think we all respect his work here in the Senate, his knowledge, his background and we think that he is certainly well qualified to serve.”

– NRA head previews testimony before Committee on the Judiciary –
WAYNE LAPIERRE, EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT OF THE NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION: “As I said earlier, we need to be honest about what works and what does not work. Proposals that would only serve to burden the law-abiding have failed in the past and will fail in the future. Semi-automatic firearms have been around for over 100 years. They are among the most popular guns made for hunting, target shooting and self-defense. Despite this fact, Congress banned the manufacture and sale of hundreds of semi-automatic firearms and magazines from 1994 to 2004. Independent studies, including a study from the Clinton Justice Department, proved that ban had no impact on lowering crime. And when it comes to the issue of background checks, let’s be honest – background checks will never be ‘universal’ – because criminals will never submit to them.”

Gut Check Full Service… Ranking member of the Senate Judiciary Committee Orrin Hatch (R-Utah) pledges to listen to all ideas in an interview with CNN’s Dana Bash: “I'm going to listen more than question. I actually think, you know, it is time to review these matters. But I'm a strong supporter of the Second Amendment. I don't intend to change. It's explicit in the Constitution, unlike some of these things that have been conjured out of thin air by the Supreme Court. It's right there and a lot of people through out the country are concerned they're going to lose some of these rights and they should be because there are those who basically want to take those rights away.”

Erick Erickson on leaving CNN
ERICK ERICKSON, EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF RED STATE, IN A POST ON THE SITE…
On CNN: “I had to learn an art form too often missing these days in partisan talk — the art of conversation, particularly with those who might disagree with me. I had to learn to be friends with people who I disagreed with.”
On courage: “I deeply regret never working up the courage to pull on Wolf’s beard.”

TOP TWEETS
What stopped us in 140 characters or less

TRIVIA ANSWER from @DanMericaCNN

President William McKinley, who was born in Niles, Ohio on this day in 1843, was the first president to ever ride in a car.

In the summer of 1899, McKinley rode around Washington, D.C., in a Stanley Steamer that was driven by the company’s founder, F.O. Stanley. Steamers ran on steam engines and were stripped down models that were produced when the American automotive industry was still in its infancy. LINK http://millercenter.org/president/keyevents/mckinley

While McKinley never owned a car, after the president was assassinated in 1901, President Theodore Roosevelt took over for McKinley and his administration became the first to own a car – two Stanley Steamers. The money spent on the cars was never officially appropriated but they were purchased to shuttle visitors from Roosevelt's home in New York to the nearby train station.

Though a Stanley Steamer played a significant role in presidential history and was the first car to climb to the top of Mount Washington in New Hampshire, the company went bankrupt in 1924 when it was unable to compete with their more powerful gas-powered brethren.

GUT CHECK WINNER’S CIRCLE
(why aren’t you in it)

Congrats to Joseph Jones on Facebook for correctly answering today’s Gut Check Trivia question. LINK

http://www.facebook.com/GutCheckCNN

GOT NEWS?
Tips or comments? Our inbox awaits: gutcheck@cnn.com
Anyone can sign up for Gut Check by emailing gutcheck@cnn.com


Filed under: CNN's Gut Check
soundoff (7 Responses)
  1. Sniffit

    September 21, 2010: Senate Republicans Filibuster DREAM Act.

    December 18 2010: Senate Republicans Filibuster DREAM Act.

    May 2011: Harry Reid re-introduces DREAM Act in the Senate but Republican's vowed to withhold their votes.

    Why do I have to do your job for you CNN?

    January 29, 2013 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  2. Sniffit

    Now, follow along...

    March 2012: Rubio starts yammering on national television with Geraldo's help and guidance that he wants to introduce a bill that...magically...mimics the DREAM Act and would contain pathways to legal residency, but not necessarily citizenship...like allowing students to legally remain in the country to get an education (this is while Mittens was busy lying and saying the Dems had introduced and done nothing...see above for disproof).

    June 2012: Obama's directive that granted two-year work authorizations to undocumented youth between 15 and 30 years of age who have lived in the U.S. continuously for at least five years.

    June 2012 (later): Rubio starts saying the political climate is now harder for getting reform passed and that he won't be drafting a bill that mimics the DREAM Act.

    November 2012: GOP/Teatrolls lose very VERY badly in part because they lost the vast majority of latino votes.

    Now: Rubio and the GOP/Teatrolls suddenly want to pass what essentially amounts to the DREAM Act with some slight revisions (and a poison pill in the form of a border security "trigger" and commission of only southwestern politicians)....and is suddenly clamoring to take all the credit for "taking the lead and saving immigration reform."

    January 29, 2013 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  3. Sniffit

    There should be no sweeping of things under the rug, CNN.

    Rep. Lou Barletta (R-PA) believes that Hispanics would never vote for Republicans because they're too stupid and won't vote for anyone who won't provide them with government handouts:

    “It’s amnesty that America can’t afford...We have to stop people from coming in illegally. This will be a green light for anyone who wants to come to America illegally and then be granted citizenship one day...Anyone who believes that they’re going to win over the Latino vote is grossly mistaken...The majority that are here illegally are low-skilled or may not even have a high school diploma. The Republican Party is not going to compete over who can give more social programs out. They will become Democrats because of the social programs they’ll depend on.”

    Wanna take a guess at whether his attitude and beliefs represent the majority of GOPers/Teatrolls? Brings us to the main point: this all a matter of political expedience to them...there has been no sea change in their beliefs about immigrants, particularly brown ones, and no paradigm shift in their overall policy position that immigration is bad for them politically and must be bottlenecked at all costs. They'll even pretend to pass reform so long as it includes a poison pill in the legislation, like a commission composed solely of southwestern politicians with the power to essentially block the citizenship process for immigrants if they deem border security "insufficient."

    January 29, 2013 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  4. Marie MD

    rubio is a disgrace for all Cubans who came to the US because of political persecussion and have made a better life for thenmselves!
    He will NEVER be anything more than he is right now. A spoiled little loud mouth nobody.

    January 29, 2013 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  5. CBP

    Is there anyone who is surprised that the three Senators, Cornyn,Inhofe and Cruz would vote against Sen. Kerry or anyone else that the President might appoint. I would truly like to know why these men feel they must be anti all the time. Every time I read their statements I am at a loss to understand their reasoning. Evidently the people of Texas and Oklahoma seem to understand because they have elected them.

    Sen. Cruz is a new senator but that has not stopped him from making statements. It is just too bad that he does not have the experience or the background to make the statements that he does. In fact he has not been correct with his facts. He has now joined with Sen, Cornyn and now both Senators from Texas and the Governor are representative of a new brand of Conservatism which is resonating across the state. I believe that Governor Perry has found out that some of the ideas did not get the support he wanted when he ran for President. Will he change or will he remain on the same side as his two senators.

    Sen. Inhofe has made the most outrageous statements and is particularly mean-spirited. He still does not believe that the President was born in Hawaii. I wonder where the Senator was born and who influenced his brand of conservatism. Those who are Conservative in the same way of past powerful Republicans were able to express themselves without getting people upset. That no longer seems to be the way these people want to respond. They seem to rile up the people and think that is the way to go. Just listen to Ann Coulter. Rush Limbaugh, Karl Rove, Mr. Beck, Fox Network people, and others who have chosen to be so negative. That is not going to get people to join with them.

    January 29, 2013 09:54 pm at 9:54 pm |
  6. Thomas

    What I'm more concerned with is the right of ownership .
    Any foreigner can own property in the USA , As an American , I can not hold ownership in most foreign countries, Mexico , India, China , extra .
    Any country that will not allow an Americans ownership to property in there country should not be allowed the right of property ownership in America .

    January 29, 2013 10:01 pm at 10:01 pm |
  7. CBP

    Now it appears that Sen. Graham is still talking about Benghazi. No matter what anyone says or does he cannot hear what they are saying because he wants this to be a problem for the President. Sen. Graham needs to give this a rest. People do understand that what happened at Benghazi was terrible and was a State Dept. error of judgement. Certainly those who read the request from the Ambassador made a grave error in judgement. They have been identified and removed from office. Secretary Clinton took responsibility and did come to Congress to testify. SHe sat and took the criticism. She admitted that she accepts blame as she should but does that mean that Sen. Graham needs to carry on even more. She did not get away with murder. She will be reminded of those killings every day as she was the one who met with those left behind, Sen. Graham did not nor has he done anything to bring this whole issue to its rightful conclusion. Is this all because he never really talked about other killings or attacks in the past?

    January 29, 2013 10:28 pm at 10:28 pm |