Poll: Clinton, Christie fare best in possible 2016 showdowns
March 7th, 2013
06:00 AM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Clinton, Christie fare best in possible 2016 showdowns

Washington (CNN) – Hillary Clinton vs. Chris Christie.

It's an intriguing 2016 presidential showdown.

And according to a new national poll, Clinton would come out on top in such a hypothetical matchup.

That's one of the findings from a survey released Thursday from Quinnipiac University, which asked American voters about nine possible general election matchups in the next race for the White House.

According to the poll, the former first lady, Democratic senator from New York and secretary of state, leads the Republican New Jersey governor 45%-37%. The survey also indicates Clinton would top Republican Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida 50%-34% and would beat Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the House budget committee chairman and last year's GOP vice presidential nominee, 50%-38%.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would start a 2016 presidential campaign with enormous advantages," says Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "She obviously is by far the best known and her more than 20 years in the public spotlight allows her to create a very favorable impression on the American people. But it is worth noting that she had very good poll numbers in 2006 looking toward the 2008 election, before she faced a relative unknown in Barack Obama."

If Vice President Joe Biden became the 2016 Democratic presidential nominee, the poll suggests closer general election contests.

Biden would trail Christie 43%-40% and would top Ryan 45%-42%. The three point margins in both matchups are within the survey's sampling error. According to the poll, the vice president would lead Rubio 45%-38%.

According to the poll, Christie would lead New York Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo 45%-28%, with Ryan ahead of Cuomo 42%-37% and Cuomo and Rubio deadlocked at 37%.

"Although some Republicans don't think New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie is conservative enough for their taste, he runs best of the three Republicans tested and would defeat two of the top Democrats," adds Brown.

One caveat with such polling is that the next presidential election is still three and a half years away, and surveys this early in a campaign cycle are often heavily influenced by name recognition.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted February 27-March 4, with 1,944 registered voters nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this story.


Filed under: 2016 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (215 Responses)
  1. maybrick

    In theory, I'm not opposed to voting for a Republican. But in practice, even voting for the most liberal, rational Republican imaginable would skew the balance of power to the radical right which is currently hampering the GOP's ability to lead.

    So, it's Clinton for me.

    March 8, 2013 07:28 am at 7:28 am |
  2. Maryellen

    Hillary, Christie would have to ditch his party before I would ever consider voting for him. In the past I voted for the person but no more, the GOP's behavior over the last 4 years has been shameful.

    March 8, 2013 07:45 am at 7:45 am |
  3. jogene

    I would vote for Christie hands down. He knows how to work with his opponets and he gets. things done . Hillary has toooooooo much baggage .

    March 8, 2013 07:47 am at 7:47 am |
  4. christina knight

    It's academic because the far right would never let Christie be the nominee. However, I would still vote for Hillary.

    March 8, 2013 07:58 am at 7:58 am |
  5. J

    Christie can represent a better future for the GOP that features common sense over divisive rhetoric. Out of all the national figures he is the most likable Republican.

    March 8, 2013 08:06 am at 8:06 am |
  6. sparky

    That would be the first time that both parties ran a serious candidate in 16 years.

    March 8, 2013 08:16 am at 8:16 am |
  7. Evangenital

    Christie has done a superb job on Sandy. I give you that, but there is no coin flip or even consideration when it comes to my voting for him. Hillary all the way!

    March 8, 2013 08:17 am at 8:17 am |
  8. Saluki Lady

    President Clinton and VP Christie. Now wouldn't that be something. Moderate Democratic President and moderate Republican VP?

    March 8, 2013 08:19 am at 8:19 am |
  9. JJ

    Hillary would have to murder someone to lose to Christie. It's that simple.

    March 8, 2013 08:23 am at 8:23 am |
  10. evan

    A couple of quick points:

    -Hilary has crossover appeal. She would pull many votes from moderate, female, Hispanic, etc. Republicans.
    -Christie is not a national player.
    -Christie does not have the support of about half of his OWN PARTY.
    -Hilary not only has overwhelming support of her party, Independents, she can get Republican votes.
    -Jeb Bush, Rand Paul, Paul Ryan, Marco Rubio, Bobby Jindal, Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Rick Santorum, etc.........there is no GOP leadership to pick from. None of these stand a skinny chance of being elected.

    March 8, 2013 08:25 am at 8:25 am |
  11. julie

    Clinton will win hands down Dem will own yet another presidential election..............christie is A REPUB and though for time being he is P'O at his party he IS trying to reconcile that torn relationship and will be a TRUE REPUB long before 2016..so watch your back a republicanis a republican is a republican thru and thru CLINTON 2016

    March 8, 2013 08:34 am at 8:34 am |
  12. JeffersonLives

    Christie is a joke to the Republican party...he's not really a conservative, he's a liberal masquerading around as a republican, its no surprise...they do it all they time. Infiltrate and disrupt...its an easy game. Clinton is a tool who cant speak for herself without the aid of a teleprompter.....no thanks on the puppet politicians.

    Its funny to see em pushing these two as the mainstream candidates when in reality it is Rand Paul who is on fire lately and will be the clear frontrunner in 2016. Im sure the msm will play the same game they did on his father...ignore and pretend he doesnt exist, despite his leading the new republican party on every front. In the last election it was clear that the msm's influence was still very strong, however it was clear that it had also weakened, it will be interesting to see how influencial they are in 2016...

    Rand Paul vs Dennis Kuccinich 2016....a real choice for once. Two people who ACTUALLY care about this country.

    March 8, 2013 08:34 am at 8:34 am |
  13. marijobama

    Who wins? Lets hope it's Gary Johnson or Rand Paul.

    March 8, 2013 08:41 am at 8:41 am |
  14. julie

    Clinton will win hands down Dem will own yet another presidential election..............christie is A REPUB and though for time being he is P'O at his party he IS trying to reconcile that torn relationship and will be a TRUE REPUB long before 2016..so watch your back a republican is a republican is a republican thru and thru CLINTON 2016

    March 8, 2013 08:42 am at 8:42 am |
  15. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    If he doesn't address his most obvious health issue he won't have to worry about 2016.....politically or otherwise.

    March 8, 2013 08:42 am at 8:42 am |
  16. MaryM

    Hillary, If she runs. But I don't think she will run. And if republicans don't shoot themselves in the foot again, Christie might have a chance.

    March 8, 2013 08:47 am at 8:47 am |
  17. Jack

    What amazes me is that Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity are not being thrown overbroad along with the rest of the trash. The Tea Party Republicans' have literal destoryed the Republican Party. Jindal quit being the party of stupid.

    March 8, 2013 09:07 am at 9:07 am |
  18. Libertarian

    Neither one will be the candidate. Hillary is too old and too much baggage to be elected and Christie is too fat and polarizing. It won't be Jeb Bush either. Likely Rubio or some other yet to be announced candidate on the R side (Rand Paul?) and another governor on the L.

    March 8, 2013 09:22 am at 9:22 am |
  19. rad666

    Which one would allow more American ambassadors to get killed?

    March 8, 2013 09:25 am at 9:25 am |
  20. Al-NY,NY

    J

    Christie can represent a better future for the GOP that features common sense over divisive rhetoric. Out of all the national figures he is the most likable Republican.
    ------------------------–

    and your trying to say that he would be their best choice? Of course he is but he's a RINO to many on this board and the GOP leadership hates that he even spoke with Obama, let alone was nice to him. Therefore he will not be the candidate and the GOP will lose yet again

    March 8, 2013 09:25 am at 9:25 am |
  21. Wilson

    "What difference does it make?"
    $

    March 8, 2013 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  22. ray

    Hillary.

    March 8, 2013 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  23. Lynda/Minnesota

    Ah, yes. The let's pretend to be moderate crowd...
    Marco Rubio. Rand Paul. Chris Christie. Bobby Jindal.
    Not. Going. To. Happen.
    Not in 2016.
    Not ever.

    March 8, 2013 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  24. Wilson

    "Officials: 80 Percent Of Recent NYC High School Graduates Cannot Read"
    ----------------------------------–
    A perfect example of why this country is in the condition it is in and getting worse. And with a bit of sarcasm, this is how the democrats are planning to stay in power, people that cannot read are the perfect liberal voter.

    March 8, 2013 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  25. enlightened

    The problem nowadays is that while most of us in this country are evolved, there are some who want to cling to antiquated ideas and are nothing if if not absolutely uncompromising. No one wants to be ruled by an extremist, which is exactly what these tea baggers are. I am dem for the most part but I think I would be happy with Christie as POTUS...as long as he doesn't cave to the pressure from the extreme right nutcases that are pervading the current GOP. He speaks his mind, doesn't take crap. Would be nice to get more moderate people on the hill like him. That whole branch of gov needs an enema imho.

    March 8, 2013 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
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