Poll: Clinton, Christie fare best in possible 2016 showdowns
March 7th, 2013
06:00 AM ET
1 year ago

Poll: Clinton, Christie fare best in possible 2016 showdowns

Washington (CNN) – Hillary Clinton vs. Chris Christie.

It's an intriguing 2016 presidential showdown.

And according to a new national poll, Clinton would come out on top in such a hypothetical matchup.

That's one of the findings from a survey released Thursday from Quinnipiac University, which asked American voters about nine possible general election matchups in the next race for the White House.

According to the poll, the former first lady, Democratic senator from New York and secretary of state, leads the Republican New Jersey governor 45%-37%. The survey also indicates Clinton would top Republican Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida 50%-34% and would beat Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the House budget committee chairman and last year's GOP vice presidential nominee, 50%-38%.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would start a 2016 presidential campaign with enormous advantages," says Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "She obviously is by far the best known and her more than 20 years in the public spotlight allows her to create a very favorable impression on the American people. But it is worth noting that she had very good poll numbers in 2006 looking toward the 2008 election, before she faced a relative unknown in Barack Obama."

If Vice President Joe Biden became the 2016 Democratic presidential nominee, the poll suggests closer general election contests.

Biden would trail Christie 43%-40% and would top Ryan 45%-42%. The three point margins in both matchups are within the survey's sampling error. According to the poll, the vice president would lead Rubio 45%-38%.

According to the poll, Christie would lead New York Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo 45%-28%, with Ryan ahead of Cuomo 42%-37% and Cuomo and Rubio deadlocked at 37%.

"Although some Republicans don't think New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie is conservative enough for their taste, he runs best of the three Republicans tested and would defeat two of the top Democrats," adds Brown.

One caveat with such polling is that the next presidential election is still three and a half years away, and surveys this early in a campaign cycle are often heavily influenced by name recognition.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted February 27-March 4, with 1,944 registered voters nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this story.


Filed under: 2016 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (215 Responses)
  1. Seth Hill

    After listening to what passes for "news," these days, I don't care about 2016: I need to know who will win in 2024.

    March 8, 2013 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  2. Angela

    Wrong. Warren. America likes Warren.

    March 8, 2013 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  3. Phyllis

    Why wasn't Jeb Bush mentioned in this article?

    March 8, 2013 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  4. Gonzoinhouston

    Never mind Christie; imagine a ticket of Hillary and Jon Huntsman! Not that it matters. The demmies are going to hang W on the pubbers, and it's going to work. It may not be fair or all that honest, but it will be effective. The memory of the W administration will enable the demmies to hold the White House for the next 3-4 terms. NOW do you understand how bad he was?

    March 8, 2013 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  5. John

    Sorry, BOTH losers.

    March 8, 2013 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  6. bluedogboy

    Any republican who thinks Chris Christie would be a great candidate knows nothing about the current republican party. They had to swallow their pride to nominate Romney. They won't go for another moderate. He'll probably switch parties in another couple years anyway.

    March 8, 2013 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  7. Ed1

    Great photo of Clinton I guess that's the best CNN can do but then again she did cost us four American lives since she wouldn't send in more security.

    March 8, 2013 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  8. Expat American

    Christie lost points with his own party when he chose to work alongside the President to actually help people. His chance of becoming the GOP Nominee or President for that matter was effectively ended then and there – that is, at least with Republican voters.

    March 8, 2013 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  9. Anonymous

    Who cares about either of these two knuckleheads? One won't run because he knows N.J. is as good as it going to get for him, and the other is a liar who sold Her soul. Benghazi will haunt her, and it should

    March 8, 2013 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  10. Doug

    Christie is doing MASSIVE damage to himself with the fiscal conservatives and core Republicans right now. His whining about needing $100 billion of pork for Sandy and then complaining about the sequester are inexcusable and true Republicans won't forget how he helped throw Romney under the bus at the last minute. Jeb Bush is a Bush and that's enough to ensure he can't win. I stay home and don't vote if either candidate wins the primary – even against a hated Clinton. But by the time Comrade O is done with our economy the appeal of having Jesus H Clinton back in the White House in hopes of another Internet bubble will guarantee I Takes A Village winning.

    Rubio, Rand Paul, Paul Ryan etc... are the future of the Republican party – if we even have won. Romney was the best candidate since Regan and Obummer was the worst since Carter – yet we lost. You might be seeing Repubs going the way of the Wigs opening up a future for a REAL libertarian party of fiscal conservatives and racial/social liberals.

    March 8, 2013 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  11. notahistorianbut

    With the names tossed up by previous posters – It's gonna be Clinton, hands down. When the republicans don't even want their most electable guy at CPAC, they're handing over the 2016 presidency to the democrats. Even after the 'schallacking' received in the last election; they have their blinders on that its not them, its how they present themselves; so from what I've seen they intend to double down on a facelift/makeover of their messaging. They seem clueless about the demographics of the melting pot; colonial of what rights a woman has; bent on manipulating the voting rights (especially of groups not likely to vote for them); and childish when one of theirs goes off script. Their rejection of Christy at CPAC is evident of the tantrum tossing mindset of the republican party. They scream, kick, and tantrum when they don't get their way without the first thought of behaving like elected leaders. Unfortunately, the democrats in congress aren't doing much better. Both parties have become the party of themselves and forget all about serving the country. I can't wait (if it happens) for Clinton to increase the landslide begun by Obama. P.S. – When Bush jr. claimed a mandate with a significantly tighter result (both with Gore and Kerry) than Obama got – the republicans need to quit acting as though Obama got in under less of an electorial college win than he did. They also need to accept that their intent to make him a one-term president FAILED.

    March 8, 2013 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  12. blake

    Who cares? Neither of these far left media darlings will be our next president.

    March 8, 2013 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  13. enlightened

    The current GOP wants to devolve this country 40 or 50 years or more. It's filled with fear, hate, and self-righteousness. We as a country should be striving toward inclusion and tolerance and the welfare of all, not exclusion and policies that benefit only an elite few. The opinion of a few crazies who spread their skewed ideals via social media, radio, etc. have poisoned America. If people would only think for themselves...

    March 8, 2013 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  14. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    @ sick of republican phonies
    Two things:
    (1) So am I, and (2) I found your comments regarding Christie and his governing style illuminating.
    Thank you.

    March 8, 2013 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  15. onehappyguy

    Zero chance Christie gets the nomination. It just won't happen.

    March 8, 2013 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
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